Searcharxiv⌕ Search

arXiv · 2610.24892

Scalable and Adaptive Distribution Regression via Random Features

Abstract

Distribution regression seeks to learn mappings from probability distributions to response variables and has emerged as a unifying framework for kernel methods, multi-instance learning, and set-valued learning. Despite its success, kernel-based distribution regression remains computationally expensive and sensitive to kernel choice, motivating scalable and adaptive representations. Building on random feature approximations, we develop a finite-sample analysis of Random Feature Distribution Regression (RaDR) under two-stage sampling. Our perturbation analysis separates the effects of distribution-level sampling, finite within-bag sampling, and random feature approximation. We establish sufficient feature-budget conditions under which RaDR preserves the order of our excess-risk upper bound for exact two-stage kernel distribution regression while maintaining computational efficiency. We further propose Adaptive Random Feature Distribution Regression (A-RaDR), a unified score-guided framework that adaptively allocates random features according to downstream learning objectives. Experiments on synthetic benchmarks and 41 real-world datasets demonstrate that RaDR delivers substantial computational savings while maintaining competitive predictive performance, whereas A-RaDR further improves learning accuracy in distribution regression while retaining the computational speed up. Together, these results establish a practical and theoretically grounded framework for adaptive, scalable distribution learning

Explore related subjects

Keep this discovery

Explore connections, maps & timelines

BibTeXRIS

Yinsong Wang, Xiao Liu, Yu Ding. 2026-10-17. Scalable and Adaptive Distribution Regression via Random Features. https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.24892

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

Help Me Help You: The Aggregate Value of Source and Target Data in Transfer Learning

Transfer learning, in regression or classification, concerns problems where one aims to use imperfect data from a source distribution P to improve prediction w.r.t. a target distribution Q. While there is now much theoretical understanding of the unsupervised setting of this problem (where no labeled target data is available), the supervised setting with labeled target data remains under-studied. We identify and characterize an interesting dichotomy in the rates achievable in the supervised setting: there is a weak transfer regime where optimal rates are determined by information in either the source or target dataset but not both, and a strong transfer regime where much faster target rates are achievable, accounting for complementary information in source and target data. Furthermore, while previous theoretical tools for the unsupervised setting can be extended to capture the weak transfer regime, we argue that they cannot capture the strong regime due to limitations inherent in the various notions of relatedness they rely on. Instead, we provide an appropriate refinement of relatedness notions---termed weak and strong moduli of transfer---that reveal the two regimes and lead to a nontrivial characterization of which pairs of distributions P and Q adhere to which regime. Finally, the above dichotomy reveals a new categorization of existing algorithmic approaches in terms of their optimality or lack-thereof across supervised regimes, and we provide a generic approach that remains nearly optimal in all regimes without prior distributional knowledge.

stat.ML↗

Measuring Variable Importance Using Proportional Inclusive Marginal Effects

Shapley-based measures are widely used for measuring variable importance in statistics and machine learning. However, these measures have a serious issue--a nonactive variable can get a positive importance measure when it is correlated with an active variable. Herin et al. recently proposed a measure called proportional marginal effects (PME) that mitigates this spurious effect. However, PME is developed for deterministic models and has high computational cost. In this article, we propose a new measure called proportional inclusive marginal effects (PRIME) that overcomes these two limitations of PME. The key idea in PRIME is to use a novel model-free variable selection technique to identify the active variables and include only them in the computation of the importance measure. Analysis of test functions and real datasets show that PRIME can accurately and reliably quantify variable importance from noisy input-output data.

stat.ML↗

Beyond Scalar Leaderboards: Adaptive Sampling for Pareto Frontier Identification in Multi-Objective LLM Arenas

The evaluation of large language models (LLMs) is inherently multi-objective, as different models may offer different tradeoffs across performance dimensions such as math, code, and writing. Because such evaluations are often based on costly and time-consuming human feedback, it is important to draw reliable conclusions using as few comparisons as possible. In this paper, we present Vector-Borda Empirical-Gap Elimination (VB-EGE), a fixed-confidence adaptive sampling algorithm for efficiently identifying models on the Pareto frontier in arena-style evaluation, where each comparison evaluates a pair of models on a prompt with respect to a selected performance dimension. VB-EGE progressively eliminates models from an active set once sufficient statistical evidence has been accumulated to certify their Pareto status. Under a multi-objective Bradley-Terry model, we show that VB-EGE returns the correct Pareto frontier with high probability and derive an instance-dependent upper bound on its sample complexity. We further establish a worst-case lower bound showing that VB-EGE is minimax-optimal up to logarithmic factors. Simulations and experiments on three real-world Arena datasets (Arena, SearchArena, and VisionArena) demonstrate VB-EGE's empirical effectiveness.

stat.ML↗