Searcharxiv⌕ Search

arXiv · 2610.27746

S$^2$-MAS: A Society-Scale Multi-Agent Simulation Framework with 500 Million Household Persona Agents

Abstract

Simulating economic responses at society scale requires agents whose decisions reflect household circumstances and the effects of earlier actions. We introduce S$^2$-MAS, a society-scale multi-agent simulation framework built on 500 million synthetic household personas grounded in real-survey data. Its Genese engine separates decisions from state updates, while reusable financial scenarios and application ledgers track consumption, cash, debt and payments. FinL-mlx, a compact decision model trained with SFT + RLCD on 2.93 million examples, achieves 74.55% accuracy and 38.37% question-macro F1 in consumer financial-choice scenarios, outperforming Jev 1.13 and GLM-5.3-Flash on both measures. We evaluate eight financial task families and simulate 12 million distinct household agents in paired purchase-funding conditions. Jointly raising purchase goals and approved credit limits increases consumption, with responses differing across age and income groups. Education, employment and household-size differences persist after age--income standardization and mainly reflect transitions from deferral to purchase. Asset and debt groups differ in cash drawdown, repayment and closing debt. A 24-month panel varies purchase goals under a common credit product, with repayment and arrears updating subsequent offers. S$^2$-MAS links heterogeneous household decisions to evolving consumption, cash and repayment paths, supporting economic experiments across household groups, population scales and time horizons.

Explore related subjects

Keep this discovery

Explore connections, maps & timelines

BibTeXRIS

Yang Li, Di Wan, Yike Wang, Chujun He, Zongsi Xu, Xiyu Chen, Sheng Zhong, Deng Binjie, Zhenwei Guo, Hou Jun, Kunhan Guo, Weihao Lin, Tuo Zhou, Hai Liu, Ye Luo. 2026-10-20. S$^2$-MAS: A Society-Scale Multi-Agent Simulation Framework with 500 Million Household Persona Agents. https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.27746

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

OpenAgenet / OAN White Paper: Open Infrastructure for Trusted Agent Interconnection

OpenAgenet, abbreviated as OAN, is an open infrastructure project for trusted Agent interconnection. It addresses a problem that becomes visible when Agents move from isolated applications into open, multi-operator networks: before an Agent can safely discover, select, and invoke another Agent, it needs a way to verify identity provenance, governance state, discovery authorization, freshness, and pre-connection trust evidence. OAN is designed as a protocol-neutral trust layer. It does not replace Agent interaction protocols, tool protocols, model orchestration frameworks, or application-level workflows. Instead, it provides routing-aware did:oan-based resource identity, local OAN Identity material for signing and authentication, governance-backed admission, Registrar-assisted onboarding, Root-verified package publication, authorization-aware Discovery, Root-issued infrastructure authorization VCs, controller-aware authorization, and profile-defined signed trusted invocation. The architectural center of OAN is the combination of federated governance, resource identity, trusted Discovery, and the Root Node's three hub responsibilities. Root acts as a trust authorization hub for accepted identity state and evidence, a data-distribution hub for Root-verified packages, and a semantic-governance hub for the tag tree shared by registration and Discovery. This white paper explains the motivation, architecture, roles, governance model, relationship with MCP, A2A, and ANP, deployment patterns, cooperation model, on-chain governance layer, prototype status, public pilot network, standardization surfaces, performance profile, and roadmap of OAN.

cs.MA↗

OpenAgenet / OAN Yellow Paper: Technical Architecture for Trust-Governed Resource Identity and Discovery

This yellow paper describes the technical architecture of OpenAgenet / OAN. OAN is a protocol-neutral trust layer for open Agent interconnection and discoverable AI resource products. It specifies the role architecture, did:oan identity objects, registration workflow, governance-backed Root lifecycle enforcement, Root-verified package model, authorization-aware Discovery, Root-issued infrastructure authorization VCs, signed trusted invocation, Root's trust, data-distribution, and semantic-governance hub responsibilities, verification requirements, state transitions, security properties, implementation boundaries, and deployment considerations. The design is intended to support heterogeneous Agent frameworks and interaction protocols, including MCP, A2A, ANP-like systems, domain-specific Agent protocols, Skills, MCP Servers, and Tool/API resources. OAN does not define the entire business conversation among Agents or the native protocol of every resource; it defines how resource identities become admissible, discoverable, verifiable, and safe to approach before protocol-specific interaction begins, and how defined profiles carry that identity into protected protocol interaction.

cs.MA↗

ECHO: Learning Epistemically Adaptive Language Agents with Turn-Level Credit

Effective multi-turn agents must decide what information to seek, how to use new evidence, and when they are certain enough to act. We introduce Epistemic Decision Processes (EDPs), a belief-state formulation of multi-turn information seeking in which actions produce external observations that update the agent's posterior over a latent task variable. EDPs make epistemic adaptivity explicit: good policies choose actions that are useful under the current belief, not merely those that correlate with eventual success. We then introduce ECHO (Epistemic Credit for History-Conditioned Optimization), a practical clipped policy-gradient objective that assigns turn-level credit using posterior-sensitive rewards. In the Clue Selector Game, a novel controlled evidence-seeking benchmark, and in CRAFT, a challenging multiagent coordination game, we show that ECHO substantially improves resolution, information gain, and efficiency over trajectory-level GRPO, and matches or exceeds frontier baselines on epistemic metrics such as grounding, recovery, and calibration.

cs.MA↗