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Learning short-option valuation in the presence of rare events

M. Raberto·G. Cuniberti·E. Scalas·M. Riani·F. Mainardi·G. Servizi
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Abstract

We present a neural-network valuation of financial derivatives in the case of fat-tailed underlying asset returns. A two-layer perceptron is trained on simulated prices taking into account the well-known effect of volatility smile. The prices of the underlier are generated using fractional calculus algorithms, and option prices are computed by means of the Bouchaud-Potters formula. This learning scheme is tested on market data; the results show a very good agreement between perceptron option prices and real market ones.

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M. Raberto, G. Cuniberti, E. Scalas, M. Riani, F. Mainardi, G. Servizi. 2000-01-18. Learning short-option valuation in the presence of rare events. https://doi.org/10.1142/s0219024900000590

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