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Epidemic outbreaks in complex heterogeneous networks

Yamir Moreno·Romualdo Pastor-Satorras·Alessandro Vespignani
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Abstract

We present a detailed analytical and numerical study for the spreading of infections in complex population networks with acquired immunity. We show that the large connectivity fluctuations usually found in these networks strengthen considerably the incidence of epidemic outbreaks. Scale-free networks, which are characterized by diverging connectivity fluctuations, exhibit the lack of an epidemic threshold and always show a finite fraction of infected individuals. This particular weakness, observed also in models without immunity, defines a new epidemiological framework characterized by a highly heterogeneous response of the system to the introduction of infected individuals with different connectivity. The understanding of epidemics in complex networks might deliver new insights in the spread of information and diseases in biological and technological networks that often appear to be characterized by complex heterogeneous architectures.

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Yamir Moreno, Romualdo Pastor-Satorras, Alessandro Vespignani. 2001-07-30. Epidemic outbreaks in complex heterogeneous networks. https://doi.org/10.1140/epjb%2Fe20020122

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