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Uncertainties due to imperfect knowledge of systematic effects: general considerations and approximate formulae

G. D'Agostini·M. Raso
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Abstract

Starting from considerations about meaning and subsequent use of asymmetric uncertainty intervals of experimental results, we review the issue of uncertainty propagation. We show that, using a probabilistic approach (the so-called Bayesian approach), all sources of uncertainty can be included in a logically consistent way. Practical formulae for the first moments of the probability distribution are derived up to second-order approximations.

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G. D'Agostini, M. Raso. 2000-02-22. Uncertainties due to imperfect knowledge of systematic effects: general considerations and approximate formulae. https://arxiv.org/abs/hep-ex/0002056

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