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Adam Lidz

Publications and source records attributed to Adam Lidz.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Prospects for Near-Far Constraints on Reionization from Simulated LSST Observations of Milky Way Dwarf Galaxies and Stellar Streams

The NSF-DOE Vera C. Rubin Observatory's Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) will detect resolved stellar populations of intact dwarf galaxies and disrupted stellar streams in the Milky Way (MW) halo and beyond, opening a new avenue for near-field cosmology, particularly for constraining the faint galaxies during reionization. To interpret these data, we present and publicly release mock LSST catalogs of satellites, stellar streams, phase-mixed galaxies, and field galaxies around 13 MW-mass hosts in the FIRE-2 zoom-in simulations, generated with \textsf{py-ananke}. Using a surface brightness limit of $μ_{g} \leq 34$ $\rm{mag}$ $\rm{arcsec^{-2}}$, we find that $\approx29\%$ of streams with $M_{\star} \gtrsim 5 \times 10^5$ $M_{\odot}$ are detectable with tidal tails, while another $\approx38\%$ are detectable only through their bound progenitors and would appear as satellites. We estimate that $\approx96\%$ of satellites and $\approx64\%$ of field galaxies (out to $\sim$3.5 Mpc) with $M_{\star} \gtrsim 10^{5}$ $M_{\odot}$ are detectable, decreasing to $\approx$59\% and $\approx$42\% for $M_{\star} \gtrsim 10^{4.5}$ $M_{\odot}$ owing to resolution limits. Including streams detectable as satellites reproduces the radial distribution of observed MW satellites, suggesting that some observed satellites may be bound remnants of disrupted systems. Our mock galaxies match the sizes of observed satellites with $M_{\rm{V}} \lesssim -6$. Star-formation histories computed from only the detectable stars broadly recover the simulated star-formation histories. As an application, we test the near-far technique for reconstructing the proto-MW ultraviolet luminosity function (UVLF) during reionization ($z \gtrsim 6$). Adding the detectable streams improves the recovered faint-end slope at $z = 7$ and reduces the halo-to-halo scatter by $\approx33\%$.

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Probing Early Phases of the Epoch of Reionization with the $\mathrm{kSZ}^{2}\times21\,\mathrm{cm}^{2}$ Cross-Correlation

Observations of the Epoch of Reionization (EoR) provide key insights into the nature of the first luminous sources and the thermal state of the intergalactic medium (IGM). Cross-correlations between the kinetic Sunyaev--Zel'dovich (kSZ) effect and neutral hydrogen (HI) 21-cm emission offer a promising probe of this era, sensitive to both the ionization and thermal histories of the early Universe. We investigate the cross-correlation of the squared kSZ field with the squared 21-cm intensity-mapping field ($\mathrm{kSZ}^{2}\times21\mathrm{cm}^{2}$) over $z\simeq9$--$16$, focusing on the impact of spatial fluctuations in the HI spin temperature. This higher-order statistic avoids line-of-sight cancellations in the kSZ signal, while squaring the 21-cm field enables non-vanishing correlations with pairs of equal and opposite high-$k_\parallel$ modes accessible outside the foreground wedge. We forecast the cumulative signal-to-noise ratio ($\mathrm{S/N}$) for several combinations of 21-cm and CMB experiments, including realistic instrumental noise. For a fiducial heating history and an optimistic foreground-avoidance scenario ($k_\parallel\leq0.1\,h\,\mathrm{Mpc}^{-1}$), we find $\mathrm{S/N}\simeq5.89$ for SKA-Low AA$^\ast\times$CMB-HD and $\simeq3.62$ for HERA$\times$CMB-HD. If the foreground wedge extends to the horizon, these decrease to $2.94$ and $2.85$, respectively. Our results demonstrate that $\mathrm{kSZ}^{2}\times21\mathrm{cm}^{2}$ is sensitive to the thermal evolution of the IGM as well as its ionization structure, providing complementary constraints on the high-redshift thermal and reionization histories.

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Probing the Reionization History and Bubble Sizes with JWST Lyman-$α$ Fraction Measurements

Recent James Webb Space Telescope (JWST) measurements quantify the fraction of ultraviolet-selected galaxies showing detectable Lyman-alpha (Ly-$α$) lines at $z \sim 6-14$. These Ly-$α$ fractions are partly shaped by Ly-$α$ scattering from neutral hydrogen in the surrounding intergalactic medium (IGM), and so the observed Ly-$α$ fraction evolution can inform our understanding of the reionization history and the size distribution of ionized bubbles during reionization. We compare the JWST measurements with Ly-$α$ transmission calculations based on both the THESAN reionization simulations and a flexible semi-analytic model. In each case, we calibrate a sub-grid model for the intrinsic Ly-$α$ emission lines emerging from the interstellar medium (ISM) and circumgalactic medium (CGM) of the host galaxies using empirical estimates of the Ly-$α$ equivalent width (EW) distributions at $z \sim 6$. We find that the reionization history and bubble sizes in THESAN yield good agreement with current JWST Ly-$α$ fraction observations, with a reduced $χ^2_ν= 0.4-1.2$. Our semi-analytic models and THESAN Ly-$α$ transmission calculations agree well, allowing us to explore a wide range of reionization models. We derive $1σ$ bounds on the average mass-weighted neutral fractions of: $\langle x_{\mathrm{HI}} \rangle$ = $0.38^{+0.14}_{-0.38}$ ($0.52^{+0.09}_{-0.21}$), $0.57^{+0.23}_{-0.57}$ ($0.68^{+0.12}_{-0.39}$), and $0.93^{+0.05}_{-0.17}$ ($0.89^{+0.11}_{-0.15}$) at $z \sim$ 7, 8, and 11, based on the Ly-$α$ fraction measurements with EW $>25\,\mathring{\rm A}$ ($>10\,\mathring{\rm A}$).

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LIMFAST. V. Probing Reionization with the Synergy Between 21 cm and Photometric Galaxy Surveys

Cross-correlating the 21\,cm signal from intergalactic neutral hydrogen with the galaxy distribution is a powerful probe of the Epoch of Reionization and the physical mechanisms driving it. While upcoming surveys with the SKA-Low radio telescope and the Roman Space Telescope offer ideal synergies for this measurement, foreground mitigation of 21\,cm data requires exquisite redshift precision of galaxies, effectively excluding the rich photometrically selected samples of Lyman-break galaxies (LBGs) with typical redshift uncertainties $σ_z \gtrsim 0.1$. We overcome this challenge using a squared statistic of the foreground-cleaned 21\,cm signal. Squaring the filtered 21\,cm signal couples surviving high $k_\parallel$ modes into low $k_\parallel$ fluctuations accessible to photometric LBG surveys. This higher-order cross-correlation statistic remains measurable even when direct cross-correlations are strongly suppressed. Applying Fisher matrix analysis to this LBG--21\,cm$^2$ cross-correlation signal simulated by the \texttt{LIMFAST} code over $6 \lesssim z \lesssim 10$, we investigate the prospects for constraining EoR physics combining SKA-Low 21\,cm measurements and Roman photometric galaxy samples. For an overlapping survey area covering 10\,deg$^2$, we find that the LBG--21\,cm$^2$ cross-correlation is detectable at high significance across much of the EoR through 1000\,hours of SKA-Low integration with 15\,MHz bandwidth and a Roman photometric galaxy sample from the High-Latitude Wide-Area Survey (HLWAS) reaching $m_\mathrm{AB,lim}=27$ and photo-$z$ uncertainties of $σ_z \sim 0.1$--0.3. The characteristic sign evolution of the large-scale cross-power spectrum---driven primarily, though not exclusively, by the evolving neutral fraction---provides strong constraints on the physical parameters governing the ionization and thermal history of the IGM.

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Dual Signatures of Bursty Star Formation in High-Redshift UV Luminosity Functions

The UV luminosity function (UVLF) encodes key information about galaxy formation. The slowly evolving bright-end UVLFs at $z\gtrsim10$ have made UV variability from bursty star formation a promising explanation, but the impact of such variability need not be restricted to the bright end. Motivated by ultra-deep measurements of the $z\simeq7$ UVLF, we investigate whether UV variability can provide a unified interpretation of the low-mass star formation efficiency (SFE) at $z\simeq7$ and the abundance of UV-bright galaxies at $z\gtrsim12$. Using abundance matching, we show that a steep faint-end UVLF at $z\simeq7$ admits a range of interpretations. For modest, mass-independent UV variability, the inferred median SFE starts flattening below $M_{\rm h} \sim10^{10.5} M_{\odot}$. If UV variability instead grows with decreasing halo mass---a possibility motivated by simulations and observations---the inferred median SFE is steeper and lower by a factor of about three at $\sim10^9 M_{\odot}$, consistent with stronger feedback suppression in low-mass halos. Calibrated to the common target $z\simeq7$ UVLF, these two scenarios diverge strongly when extrapolated to $12\lesssim z\lesssim17$ under redshift-independent UV variability and SFE prescriptions. Strongly mass-dependent $M_\mathrm{UV}$ scatter links the steep $z\simeq7$ faint-end slope and high $z\gtrsim12$ bright-end abundance as dual signatures of burstiness in similarly low-mass halos. Stronger variability makes bright galaxies contribute a larger fraction of the UV luminosity density, whereas weaker variability favors faint sources, despite their similar predicted reionization histories. At fixed $M_\mathrm{UV}$, UV variability broadens the halo mass distribution and lowers the clustering bias, which provides a useful diagnostic of burstiness for JWST and Roman.

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A Proliferated Space Architecture for Time-Domain Astrophysics

Time-Domain and Multi-Messenger Astrophysics (TDAMM) is entering a discovery-rich but follow-up-limited era, creating an urgent need for responsive, multiwavelength space-based capabilities. The Hydra constellation is a concept for a proliferated space architecture for time-domain astrophysics. The constellation would act as a disaggregated observatory composed of coordinated, relatively low-cost spacecraft that collectively provide capabilities traditionally concentrated within a single large mission. The architecture would combine persistent wide-field gamma-ray monitoring, wide-field and focused X-ray observations, and rapid-response ultraviolet, optical, and infrared imaging and spectroscopy. The constellation would both discover high-energy transients and respond to external alerts from gravitational-wave detectors, neutrino observatories, and ground- and space-based surveys, using low-latency communications, automated event prioritization, and community coordination frameworks to rapidly assign observing resources. A proliferated architecture would offer operational advantages over a single larger mission, including simultaneous observations of multiple targets, graceful degradation following individual spacecraft failures, recurring technology refresh, and opportunities for commercial, international, and philanthropic contributed nodes to join the network. The constellation would address fundamental questions concerning cosmic accelerators, the origin and evolution of the elements, the behavior of matter at extreme density, and the nature of dark energy through gravitational-wave standard sirens. This white paper presents the Hydra concept description that was submitted to NASA's ASTRA initiative for consideration by the Cosmic Origins Program Analysis Group (CoPAG) and Physics of the Cosmos Program Analysis Group (PhysPAG).

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Line-Intensity Mapping

Line-Intensity Mapping (LIM) has emerged as a powerful technique for studying large-scale structure and the high-redshift universe, enabling three-dimensional maps of line emission across vast cosmological volumes. In this review, we summarize the LIM framework, its key scientific goals, and its future prospects. We describe the landscape of emission line tracers, theoretical modeling approaches, anticipated signals, and data-analysis methodologies. We also discuss experimental challenges, particularly those posed by astrophysical foregrounds, and review possible mitigation strategies. Further, we highlight a range of cross-correlation science cases, linking LIM with other cosmological surveys. Finally, we summarize current and upcoming experiments and early results, including recent first detections, while outlining the outlook for future discoveries. Specifically, LIM may offer new insights into galaxy formation and evolution and cosmology, while revealing the Epoch of Reionization, Cosmic Dawn, and possibly the Cosmic Dark Ages. LIM enables cosmological measurements that complement other probes and provide unique access to the high-redshift universe, potentially shedding light on dark matter, dark energy, and cosmic inflation.

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Widespread Extended [CII] Emission in High-Redshift Galaxies: Insights from the FIRE-2 Cosmological Zoom-in Simulations

Recent ALMA observations reveal diffuse [CII] emission ("[CII] halos") extending to $\sim 10\,$kpc in galaxies at $4 < z < 6$. These measurements provide new insights into high-redshift galactic ecosystems and processes that drive metal enrichment on inner circumgalactic scales. To better understand the nature of [CII] halos, we analyze a suite of high-redshift FIRE-2 simulations at $5 \leq z \leq 6$ in the stellar mass range of $10^{9}$--$10^{10.5}\,M_{\odot}$. By post-processing these simulations with three-dimensional dust radiative transfer and photoionization modeling, we generate synthetic images of [CII] and UV continuum emission, from which we extract one-dimensional surface brightness profiles. Our results reproduce both the galaxy-integrated and spatial distribution of [CII] and UV emission, capturing in particular the more extended profile of [CII] emission. Comparing the time evolution of [CII] halos with bursty star formation histories of the simulated galaxies, we find that [CII] emission becomes more spatially extended following the decline of star formation rate in recent starburst episodes. This implies a strong correlation between extended [CII] emission and bursty star formation, consistent with a key role for star formation-driven outflows in producing [CII] halos -- though the kinematics of [CII]-emitting gas suggest that inflows and turbulent motions are also significant contributors. We also find a modest contribution from satellite galaxies to extended [CII] emission. Our framework can be readily applied to predict the observability of [CII] halos at higher redshifts and extended to create spatially resolved synthetic observations of other important emission lines, such as [OIII] and H$α$.

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Analytical Estimates of Gravitational Wave Background Anisotropies from Shot Noise and Large-Scale Structure in Pulsar Timing Arrays

An important next step for pulsar timing arrays (PTAs) is to measure anisotropies in the gravitational wave background (GWB) at $\sim$ nano-Hz frequencies. We calculate the expected GWB anisotropies using empirically calibrated models for the merger rates of supermassive black hole binaries (SMBHBs). The anisotropies reflect both shot-noise in the discrete SMBHB populations while also tracing, in part, the large-scale structure (LSS) of the universe. The shot-noise term is sensitive to the high-mass end of the merging SMBH mass function, depends somewhat on the low-redshift tail of the merger distribution, and is a strong function of observing frequency. The precise frequency dependence provides a test of SMBHB residence times. In our models, the mean shot-noise anisotropy typically lies close to or above the broad frequency-band NANOGrav upper limits. Consequently, near-future PTA data, and potentially re-analyses of existing measurements using frequency-dependent shot-noise anisotropy templates, should be capable of detecting this signal or placing meaningful constraints on SMBHB merger models. A full interpretation, however, will require modeling the probability distribution of shot-noise amplitudes rather than relying solely on ensemble-averaged predictions. The LSS-induced anisotropies are at least two to three orders of magnitude smaller. Although the LSS contribution contains valuable information regarding the redshift distribution and clustering bias of the merging SMBHBs, detecting this component will be challenging.

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Realization Variance of Gravitational Wave Background Anisotropies from Shot Noise for Pulsar Timing Arrays

Shot-noise anisotropies in the nHz gravitational wave background (GWB) are a promising target for pulsar timing arrays (PTAs). If the nHz GWB is sourced by merging supermassive black hole binaries (SMBHBs), as current evidence suggests, the shot-noise signal is expected to be large, potentially of order unity at observing frequencies of $f \sim 1 \, \mathrm{yr}^{-1}$. In this regime, the signal is dominated by rare bright binaries, and Poisson fluctuations in the discrete SMBHB population produce significant spatial anisotropies. Here, we use Monte Carlo simulations to model the realization-to-realization scatter in the shot-noise, sampling from empirically calibrated models of the SMBHB source populations. We find that the probability distribution of shot-noise amplitudes is broad, spanning a factor of $\sim 50$ (95\% interval) at fixed frequency, with a long tail towards high amplitudes. The most probable and median amplitudes lie significantly below the ensemble means by factors of $\sim 2-3$, implying that the shot-noise in typical realizations is smaller than the mean. The ensemble-averaged shot-noise also differs from simple estimates based on moments of the strain, $\langle h^4 \rangle/\langle h^2 \rangle^2$, because the average of a ratio is not equal to the ratio of the averages (i.e., $\langle X/Y \rangle \ne \langle X \rangle/\langle Y \rangle$). This difference is a factor of $\sim 3$ at $f = 0.1 \, \rm{yr}^{-1}$, growing to larger than two orders of magnitude by $f \sim 1 \, \rm{yr}^{-1}$, where the GWB is dominated by low abundance, high-strain sources. Shot-noise nevertheless provides a powerful diagnostic for understanding the GWB and SMBHB populations; interpreting PTA measurements, however, requires modeling its full probability distribution.

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Fuzzy Dark Matter Halo Mass Functions at Cosmic Dawn

In fuzzy dark matter (FDM) cosmological models, wave effects impact astrophysical length scales, suppressing the abundance of small mass dark matter halos, and delaying the earliest phases of galaxy formation during Cosmic Dawn. Current and upcoming James Webb Space Telescope (JWST) measurements of the galaxy ultraviolet luminosity function (UVLF) will allow unprecedented tests of this suppression, yet significant uncertainties remain in theoretical models of the FDM halo mass function. We run a new suite of N-body simulations with FDM particle masses of $mc^{2}=10^{-22}\,{\rm eV} - 2 \times 10^{-21}$ eV and mixed FDM-cold dark matter (CDM) models with FDM mass fractions of $f_{\mathrm{F}} = 0.3-1$. We identify and remove spurious halos from discreteness noise and quantify the associated systematic uncertainty. We provide a new halo mass function fitting formula, calibrated over $z=6-11$, applicable to pure FDM and mixed dark matter scenarios. Our results are in better agreement with previous simulation-based fitting formulas than with current semi-analytic mass function models. Nevertheless, for $m c^{2} = 10^{-21}$ eV and $M \sim 3 \times 10^9 M_\odot$ we find a $\sim 30\%$ weaker suppression than earlier simulation-based formulas predict, which we attribute to their extrapolation beyond the $m_{\rm FDM}$ range previously simulated. Applying our fitting formula to the UVLF, we find that upcoming JWST observations behind foreground lensing clusters, probing $M_{\rm UV} \gtrsim -13$ at $z \gtrsim 10$, will provide a powerful test of FDM and mixed dark matter models.

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Probing Cosmic Magnetism with Rotation Measure-Squared-Galaxy Cross-Correlations

We present a new approach for extracting information about cosmic magnetic fields using cross-correlations between extragalactic Faraday rotation measure (RM) catalogs and galaxy surveys. Specifically, we propose measuring the two-point cross-correlation between RM squared, ${\rm RM}^2$, towards background sources and the projected density field of foreground galaxies, $\langle {\rm RM}^2 \times {\rm g} \rangle$, as a function of transverse separation. This statistic is analogous to the ''projected fields'' estimator used for the kinetic Sunyaev-Zel'dovich (kSZ) effect, $\langle {\rm kSZ}^2 \times {\rm g} \rangle$. Our estimator avoids contamination, and is also free from the noise bias that arises when correlating the absolute value of the RMs with galaxies. Moreover, by binning in foreground galaxy redshifts, $\langle {\rm RM}^2 \times {\rm g} \rangle$ enables a tomographic reconstruction of the redshift evolution of large-scale cosmic magnetic fields. We model this statistic using the Illustris-TNG cosmological magnetohydrodynamic simulations and compare with approximate analytic predictions. We show that $\langle {\rm RM}^2 \times {\rm g} \rangle$ can be related to a bispectrum involving two copies of the electron-density--weighted magnetic field strength and one of the galaxy overdensity. In Illustris-TNG, the effective field strength is primarily set by the magnetic field amplitudes within the inner regions of galaxy-hosting dark matter halos. It increases towards low redshift, driven by dynamo amplification and magnetized outflows. Our forecasts suggest that $\langle {\rm RM}^2 \times {\rm g} \rangle$ is detectable at high significance with current galaxy surveys and future RM catalogs from the SKA, offering a tomographic probe of large-scale magnetic fields across cosmic time.

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Signatures of Accreting Black Holes in Line Intensity Mapping

Line-intensity mapping (LIM) has attracted growing attention as a powerful technique for probing the large-scale distribution of galaxies and the cosmic history of star formation through unresolved line emission. Existing LIM models for galaxy-associated lines, such as H$α$, often assume that the dominant contribution to observed emission arises from star-forming activity, while the role of accreting black holes (BHs) remains largely unexplored. In this study, we use the IllustrisTNG cosmological hydrodynamical simulation to construct mock intensity maps of H$α$ and He II, including contributions from both star formation and BH accretion. We show that the BH contribution to the mean intensity is significant, reaching $\sim$40--60 per cent for H$α$ and $\sim$60--80 per cent for He II around cosmic noon. Owing to the large luminosity weight of rare, bright sources, BH-powered emission dominates the shot-noise component of the power spectrum and significantly boosts the small-scale clustering amplitude, particularly for He II. We assess the implications for forthcoming LIM surveys and show that SPHEREx can probe the BH-influenced bright end of the H$α$ voxel intensity distribution (VID) at $z\lesssim4$, and a CDIM-like experiment can further access the BH-dominated regime of He II. Our results demonstrate that accreting BHs represent an essential component of LIM signals, which was previously underappreciated. We thus conclude that accurately modeling the BH contribution is crucial for a physically complete interpretation of future LIM observations.

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Rise of the forsaken relics: connecting present-day stellar streams and phase-mixed galaxies to the Epoch of Reionization

The `near-far' approach to studying reionization leverages the star formation histories of the Milky Way (MW) or Local Group (LG) galaxies, derived from resolved photometry, to infer the low-mass/faint-end of the stellar mass functions (SMFs) or the ultraviolet luminosity functions (UVLFs) of high-redshift galaxies ($z \gtrsim 6$), beyond the current JWST detection limits ($M_{\mathrm{UV}} \gtrsim -15$). Previous works considered only intact low-mass galaxies in the MW and LG, neglecting disrupted galaxies such as stellar streams and phase-mixed objects. Using the FIRE-2 simulations, we show that these disrupted galaxies contribute up to $\sim50\%$ of the total stellar mass budget of the proto-MW/LG at $z =6-9$. Including all the progenitors of these disrupted galaxies improves the normalization of the recovered SMFs/UVLFs by factors of $\sim2-3$ and reduces the halo-to-halo variation in the slope by $\sim20-40\%$. This enables robust constraints down to at least the resolution limit of the simulations, near $M_\star$ $\sim$ $10^{5}$ $M_\odot$ or $M_{\mathrm{UV}} \sim -10$ at $z \gtrsim 6$. We also show that `fossil record' reconstructions - which assume each present-day system descends from a single reionization-era progenitor - are sensitive to the stellar mass/UV magnitude thresholds, which introduces bias in the inferred low-mass/faint-end slopes. Additionally, we demonstrate that neglecting disrupted systems underestimates the contribution of galaxies with $M_{\mathrm{UV}} \lesssim -15$ to the reionization-era UV luminosity density. Finally, we estimate that a significant fraction ($\sim50\%$) of streams with $M_\star$ $\gtrsim$ $10^{6}$ $M_\odot$ at $z=0$ should be detectable from upcoming Rubin Observatory and Roman Space Telescope observations.

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A New Window into the Baryon Cycle at Cosmic Noon with Line Intensity Mapping: Forecasts for auto- and cross-correlations in [CII]-158$μ$m, HI 21 cm, CO$_{J+1\rightarrow J}$, and H$α$ galaxies

Across the peak of cosmic star formation at $z\sim1-2$, inflow, processing, and feedback drive rapid changes in the spatial distribution and chemical composition of baryons in galaxies and surrounding reservoirs; this baryon cycle can be tomographically mapped by line intensity mapping (LIM) of atomic hydrogen, ionized carbon, and carbon monoxide. We present a simulation-based forecasting framework for detecting auto- and cross-power spectra between spectroscopic surveys of four such tracers at $z\sim0.5-1.7$ mapping the same deep field - TIM, EoRSpec/FYST, MeerKAT, & Euclid. We forward-model 3-D distributions for these tracers from magnetohydrodynamic simulations, directly capturing the two-halo, one-halo, and shot statistics without relying on analytical decompositions. We further detail a signal-to-noise formalism, tailored to LIM surveys with highly anisotropic geometries and Fourier-space coverage. We demonstrate that galaxy cross-correlations will be the dominant discovery channel for current-generation surveys. These instruments will detect the auto-spectra for CO and HI 21 cm and the CO $\times$ 21 cm cross-spectrum at modest S/N $\sim 1-10$, while placing upper limits on the [CII]-158$μ$m signals. [CII], CO, and HI LIM will be $\sim3-30\times$ ($0.5-1.5$ dex) more sensitive to cross-correlation with the Euclid survey, however, than their respective auto-correlations, constraining all three models of line emission at high significance (S/N $\sim 10-40$) within this decade. Finally, we formulate a staged instrumental trajectory with planned or reasonable improvements, including the as-proposed SKA-Mid. We forecast advancing the per-$k$-mode sensitivities of each auto-, galaxy-line, and line-line spectrum by several orders of magnitude, enabling new percent- and sub-percent level constraints on cosmology and the redshift evolution of star formation and the baryon cycle.

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Forecasting the cross correlation of Terahertz Intensity Mapper [CII] line intensity maps with Euclid galaxies

We forecast that the Terahertz Intensity Mapper (TIM) cross-correlated with Euclid's Fornax deep field (EDF-F), TIM$\times$EDF-F, will detect the [CII]-galaxy cross-power spectrum at a median redshift of 1.1 with $\gtrsim 7 σ$ confidence. The Poisson component of the cross-power spectrum at $0.1 \leq k \leq 10$ hMpc$^{-1}$ (i.e. cross-shot noise) will be detected at $\gtrsim 3 σ$ in 4 bins spanning $0.5 < z< 1.7$. This measurement will constrain the mean [CII] specific intensity over half of cosmic history and assess the degree to which Euclid-selected galaxies account for the [CII] intensity observed by TIM. We find that TIM can detect the cross-power spectrum across a wide range of [CII] intensity models.

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Squared-field cross-correlation between kinetic Sunyaev-Zel'dovich effect and 21-cm intensity mapping

Neutral hydrogen (HI) 21-cm intensity mapping is an effective method to track the distribution of baryonic matter, and extract astrophysical and cosmological information. The 21-cm intensity field has a nonvanishing cross-correlation with the kinetic Sunyaev-Zel'dovich (kSZ) effect that traces the velocity and density perturbations of free electrons. By using the linear perturbation theory, in this paper we calculate analytically, for the first time, the cross-correlation between the squared kSZ field and the projection of the squared HI intensity mapping field with the flat-sky approximation. This statistic remains nonvanishing even after the long-wavelength line-of-sight modes ($k_{\parallel}$) are removed due to foreground contamination. We further forecast for the prospects of detection with the SKA-MID 21-cm intensity mapping experiments (redshifts in range of $0.3 < z < 1$), and the kSZ maps measured by the Atacama Cosmology Telescope (ACT) and Simons Observatory (SO). The predicted cumulative signal-to-noise ratio is $1.92$ for SKA-ACT and $3.99$ for SKA-SO. These results show a possible on-the-edge detection on the cross-correlation signal at low redshifts, which in turn could serve as a validation step toward using it for the Epoch of Reionization studies.

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The THESAN project: Lyman-alpha intensity mapping of cosmic reionization

Line Intensity Mapping (LIM) has garnered attention as a powerful cosmological probe, with next-generation instruments such as SPHEREx preparing to map the evolution of large-scale structure during the Epoch of Reionization (EoR). Lyman-alpha emission in the EoR is strongly shaped by resonant absorption from neutral hydrogen in the diffuse intergalactic medium (IGM), which transforms galactic sources into a low surface-brightness background. In this work, we leverage the state-of-the-art THESAN cosmological simulations to produce high-resolution theoretical predictions for future Lyman-alpha LIM studies, constructing continuous light cones for line-of-sight cosmological integrations. We assess the contributions of recombination, collisional excitation, and unresolved HII regions to the total Lyman-alpha spectral intensity. In addition, we explore the IGM in absorption at different redshifts using damping wing analysis. We produce channel maps exploring spatial fluctuations across redshift bands probe-able by LIM instruments. We find that the slope of the absorption-included Lyman-alpha fluctuation power spectrum at smaller scales (k > 10^(-2) 1/arcsec) steepens toward lower redshift, and that our emission-only Lyman-alpha power spectrum lies above the SPHEREx sensitivity, whereas the absorption-included signal is ~4 orders of magnitude lower--providing a conservative lower limit on inhomogeneity signatures and highlighting the importance of including resonant scattering in our model in the future. We also find that including outflows in a simple toy model boosts power by four orders of magnitude. We identify limitations in our analysis and propose next steps, including incorporating the effects of resonant Lyman-alpha scattering and line interlopers, as well as larger simulation volumes.

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