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Alfred O. Hero

Publications and source records attributed to Alfred O. Hero.

At least 37 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

Parity Queries for Binary Classification

Consider a query-based data acquisition problem that aims to recover the values of $k$ binary variables from parity (XOR) measurements of chosen subsets of the variables. Assume the response model where only a randomly selected subset of the measurements is received. We propose a method for designing a sequence of queries so that the variables can be identified with high probability using as few ($n$) measurements as possible. We define the query difficulty $\bar{d}$ as the average size of the query subsets and the sample complexity $n$ as the minimum number of measurements required to attain a given recovery accuracy. We obtain fundamental trade-offs between recovery accuracy, query difficulty, and sample complexity. In particular, the necessary and sufficient sample complexity required for recovering all $k$ variables with high probability is $n = c_0 \max\{k, (k \log k)/\bar{d}\}$ and the sample complexity for recovering a fixed proportion $(1-δ)k$ of the variables for $δ=o(1)$ is $n = c_1\max\{k, (k \log(1/δ))/\bar{d}\}$, where $c_0, c_1>0$.

cs.IT↗

Identifying Solar Flare Precursors Using Time Series of SDO/HMI Images and SHARP Parameters

We present several methods towards construction of precursors, which show great promise towards early predictions, of solar flare events in this paper. A data pre-processing pipeline is built to extract useful data from multiple sources, Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellites (GOES) and Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO)/Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager (HMI), to prepare inputs for machine learning algorithms. Two classification models are presented: classification of flares from quiet times for active regions and classification of strong versus weak flare events. We adopt deep learning algorithms to capture both the spatial and temporal information from HMI magnetogram data. Effective feature extraction and feature selection with raw magnetogram data using deep learning and statistical algorithms enable us to train classification models to achieve almost as good performance as using active region parameters provided in HMI/Space-Weather HMI-Active Region Patch (SHARP) data files. Case studies show a significant increase in the prediction score around 20 hours before strong solar flare events.

astro-ph.SR↗

Geometric Estimation of Multivariate Dependency

This paper proposes a geometric estimator of dependency between a pair of multivariate samples. The proposed estimator of dependency is based on a randomly permuted geometric graph (the minimal spanning tree) over the two multivariate samples. This estimator converges to a quantity that we call the geometric mutual information (GMI), which is equivalent to the Henze-Penrose divergence [1] between the joint distribution of the multivariate samples and the product of the marginals. The GMI has many of the same properties as standard MI but can be estimated from empirical data without density estimation; making it scalable to large datasets. The proposed empirical estimator of GMI is simple to implement, involving the construction of an MST spanning over both the original data and a randomly permuted version of this data. We establish asymptotic convergence of the estimator and convergence rates of the bias and variance for smooth multivariate density functions belonging to a Hölder class. We demonstrate the advantages of our proposed geometric dependency estimator in a series of experiments.

cs.LG↗

Feature Selection for multi-labeled variables via Dependency Maximization

Feature selection and reducing the dimensionality of data is an essential step in data analysis. In this work, we propose a new criterion for feature selection that is formulated as conditional information between features given the labeled variable. Instead of using the standard mutual information measure based on Kullback-Leibler divergence, we use our proposed criterion to filter out redundant features for the purpose of multiclass classification. This approach results in an efficient and fast non-parametric implementation of feature selection as it can be directly estimated using a geometric measure of dependency, the global Friedman-Rafsky (FR) multivariate run test statistic constructed by a global minimal spanning tree (MST). We demonstrate the advantages of our proposed feature selection approach through simulation. In addition the proposed feature selection method is applied to the MNIST data set.

stat.ML↗

An unsupervised transfer learning algorithm for sleep monitoring

Objective: To develop multisensor-wearable-device sleep monitoring algorithms that are robust to health disruptions affecting sleep patterns. Methods: We develop an unsupervised transfer learning algorithm based on a multivariate hidden Markov model and Fisher's linear discriminant analysis, adaptively adjusting to sleep pattern shift by training on dynamics of sleep/wake states. The proposed algorithm operates, without requiring a priori information about true sleep/wake states, by establishing an initial training set with hidden Markov model and leveraging a taper window mechanism to learn the sleep pattern in an incremental fashion. Our domain-adaptation algorithm is applied to a dataset collected in a human viral challenge study to identify sleep/wake periods of both uninfected and infected participants. Results: The algorithm successfully detects sleep/wake sessions in subjects whose sleep patterns are disrupted by respiratory infection (H3N2 flu virus). Pre-symptomatic features based on the detected periods are found to be strongly predictive of both infection status (AUC = 0.844) and infection onset time (AUC = 0.885), indicating the effectiveness and usefulness of the algorithm. Conclusion: Our method can effectively detect sleep/wake states in the presence of sleep pattern shift. Significance: Utilizing integrated multisensor signal processing and adaptive training schemes, our algorithm is able to capture key sleep patterns in ambulatory monitoring, leading to better automated sleep assessment and prediction.

stat.AP↗

A New Data-Driven Sparse-Learning Approach to Study Chemical Reaction Networks

Chemical kinetic mechanisms can be represented by sets of elementary reactions that are easily translated into mathematical terms using physicochemical relationships. The schematic representation of reactions captures the interactions between reacting species and products. Determining the minimal chemical interactions underlying the dynamic behavior of systems is a major task. In this paper, we introduce a novel approach for the identification of the influential reactions in chemical reaction networks for combustion applications, using a data-driven sparse-learning technique. The proposed approach identifies a set of influential reactions using species concentrations and reaction rates, with minimal computational cost without requiring additional data or simulations. The new approach is applied to analyze the combustion chemistry of H2 and C3H8 in a constant-volume homogeneous reactor. The influential reactions identified by the sparse-learning method are consistent with the current kinetics knowledge of chemical mechanisms. Additionally, we show that a reduced version of the parent mechanism can be generated as a combination of the influential reactions identified at different times and conditions and that for both H2 and C3H8 this reduced mechanism performs closely to the parent mechanism as a function of ignition delay over a wide range of conditions. Our results demonstrate the potential of the sparse-learning approach as an effective and efficient tool for mechanism analysis and mechanism reduction.

math.OC↗

Convergence Rates for Empirical Estimation of Binary Classification Bounds

Bounding the best achievable error probability for binary classification problems is relevant to many applications including machine learning, signal processing, and information theory. Many bounds on the Bayes binary classification error rate depend on information divergences between the pair of class distributions. Recently, the Henze-Penrose (HP) divergence has been proposed for bounding classification error probability. We consider the problem of empirically estimating the HP-divergence from random samples. We derive a bound on the convergence rate for the Friedman-Rafsky (FR) estimator of the HP-divergence, which is related to a multivariate runs statistic for testing between two distributions. The FR estimator is derived from a multicolored Euclidean minimal spanning tree (MST) that spans the merged samples. We obtain a concentration inequality for the Friedman-Rafsky estimator of the Henze-Penrose divergence. We validate our results experimentally and illustrate their application to real datasets.

cs.IT↗

Phase Transitions and a Model Order Selection Criterion for Spectral Graph Clustering

One of the longstanding open problems in spectral graph clustering (SGC) is the so-called model order selection problem: automated selection of the correct number of clusters. This is equivalent to the problem of finding the number of connected components or communities in an undirected graph. We propose automated model order selection (AMOS), a solution to the SGC model selection problem under a random interconnection model (RIM) using a novel selection criterion that is based on an asymptotic phase transition analysis. AMOS can more generally be applied to discovering hidden block diagonal structure in symmetric non-negative matrices. Numerical experiments on simulated graphs validate the phase transition analysis, and real-world network data is used to validate the performance of the proposed model selection procedure.

cs.SI↗

Sequential Maximum Margin Classifiers for Partially Labeled Data

In many real-world applications, data is not collected as one batch, but sequentially over time, and often it is not possible or desirable to wait until the data is completely gathered before analyzing it. Thus, we propose a framework to sequentially update a maximum margin classifier by taking advantage of the Maximum Entropy Discrimination principle. Our maximum margin classifier allows for a kernel representation to represent large numbers of features and can also be regularized with respect to a smooth sub-manifold, allowing it to incorporate unlabeled observations. We compare the performance of our classifier to its non-sequential equivalents in both simulated and real datasets.

stat.ML↗

Zeroth-Order Online Alternating Direction Method of Multipliers: Convergence Analysis and Applications

In this paper, we design and analyze a new zeroth-order online algorithm, namely, the zeroth-order online alternating direction method of multipliers (ZOO-ADMM), which enjoys dual advantages of being gradient-free operation and employing the ADMM to accommodate complex structured regularizers. Compared to the first-order gradient-based online algorithm, we show that ZOO-ADMM requires $\sqrt{m}$ times more iterations, leading to a convergence rate of $O(\sqrt{m}/\sqrt{T})$, where $m$ is the number of optimization variables, and $T$ is the number of iterations. To accelerate ZOO-ADMM, we propose two minibatch strategies: gradient sample averaging and observation averaging, resulting in an improved convergence rate of $O(\sqrt{1+q^{-1}m}/\sqrt{T})$, where $q$ is the minibatch size. In addition to convergence analysis, we also demonstrate ZOO-ADMM to applications in signal processing, statistics, and machine learning.

stat.ML↗

A Dimension-Independent discriminant between distributions

Henze-Penrose divergence is a non-parametric divergence measure that can be used to estimate a bound on the Bayes error in a binary classification problem. In this paper, we show that a cross-match statistic based on optimal weighted matching can be used to directly estimate Henze-Penrose divergence. Unlike an earlier approach based on the Friedman-Rafsky minimal spanning tree statistic, the proposed method is dimension-independent. The new approach is evaluated using simulation and applied to real datasets to obtain Bayes error estimates.

cs.IT↗

Accelerated Distributed Dual Averaging over Evolving Networks of Growing Connectivity

We consider the problem of accelerating distributed optimization in multi-agent networks by sequentially adding edges. Specifically, we extend the distributed dual averaging (DDA) subgradient algorithm to evolving networks of growing connectivity and analyze the corresponding improvement in convergence rate. It is known that the convergence rate of DDA is influenced by the algebraic connectivity of the underlying network, where better connectivity leads to faster convergence. However, the impact of network topology design on the convergence rate of DDA has not been fully understood. In this paper, we begin by designing network topologies via edge selection and scheduling. For edge selection, we determine the best set of candidate edges that achieves the optimal tradeoff between the growth of network connectivity and the usage of network resources. The dynamics of network evolution is then incurred by edge scheduling. Further, we provide a tractable approach to analyze the improvement in the convergence rate of DDA induced by the growth of network connectivity. Our analysis reveals the connection between network topology design and the convergence rate of DDA, and provides quantitative evaluation of DDA acceleration for distributed optimization that is absent in the existing analysis. Lastly, numerical experiments show that DDA can be significantly accelerated using a sequence of well-designed networks, and our theoretical predictions are well matched to its empirical convergence behavior.

stat.ML↗

Fundamental Limits on Data Acquisition: Trade-offs between Sample Complexity and Query Difficulty

We consider query-based data acquisition and the corresponding information recovery problem, where the goal is to recover $k$ binary variables (information bits) from parity measurements of those variables. The queries and the corresponding parity measurements are designed using the encoding rule of Fountain codes. By using Fountain codes, we can design potentially limitless number of queries, and corresponding parity measurements, and guarantee that the original $k$ information bits can be recovered with high probability from any sufficiently large set of measurements of size $n$. In the query design, the average number of information bits that is associated with one parity measurement is called query difficulty ($\bar{d}$) and the minimum number of measurements required to recover the $k$ information bits for a fixed $\bar{d}$ is called sample complexity ($n$). We analyze the fundamental trade-offs between the query difficulty and the sample complexity, and show that the sample complexity of $n=c\max\{k,(k\log k)/\bar{d}\}$ for some constant $c>0$ is necessary and sufficient to recover $k$ information bits with high probability as $k\to\infty$.

cs.IT↗

Latent Laplacian Maximum Entropy Discrimination for Detection of High-Utility Anomalies

Data-driven anomaly detection methods suffer from the drawback of detecting all instances that are statistically rare, irrespective of whether the detected instances have real-world significance or not. In this paper, we are interested in the problem of specifically detecting anomalous instances that are known to have high real-world utility, while ignoring the low-utility statistically anomalous instances. To this end, we propose a novel method called Latent Laplacian Maximum Entropy Discrimination (LatLapMED) as a potential solution. This method uses the EM algorithm to simultaneously incorporate the Geometric Entropy Minimization principle for identifying statistical anomalies, and the Maximum Entropy Discrimination principle to incorporate utility labels, in order to detect high-utility anomalies. We apply our method in both simulated and real datasets to demonstrate that it has superior performance over existing alternatives that independently pre-process with unsupervised anomaly detection algorithms before classifying.

stat.ML↗

A Data-Driven Sparse-Learning Approach to Model Reduction in Chemical Reaction Networks

In this paper, we propose an optimization-based sparse learning approach to identify the set of most influential reactions in a chemical reaction network. This reduced set of reactions is then employed to construct a reduced chemical reaction mechanism, which is relevant to chemical interaction network modeling. The problem of identifying influential reactions is first formulated as a mixed-integer quadratic program, and then a relaxation method is leveraged to reduce the computational complexity of our approach. Qualitative and quantitative validation of the sparse encoding approach demonstrates that the model captures important network structural properties with moderate computational load.

math.OC↗

Direct estimation of density functionals using a polynomial basis

A number of fundamental quantities in statistical signal processing and information theory can be expressed as integral functions of two probability density functions. Such quantities are called density functionals as they map density functions onto the real line. For example, information divergence functions measure the dissimilarity between two probability density functions and are useful in a number of applications. Typically, estimating these quantities requires complete knowledge of the underlying distribution followed by multi-dimensional integration. Existing methods make parametric assumptions about the data distribution or use non-parametric density estimation followed by high-dimensional integration. In this paper, we propose a new alternative. We introduce the concept of "data-driven basis functions" - functions of distributions whose value we can estimate given only samples from the underlying distributions without requiring distribution fitting or direct integration. We derive a new data-driven complete basis that is similar to the deterministic Bernstein polynomial basis and develop two methods for performing basis expansions of functionals of two distributions. We also show that the new basis set allows us to approximate functions of distributions as closely as desired. Finally, we evaluate the methodology by developing data driven estimators for the Kullback-Leibler divergences and the Hellinger distance and by constructing empirical estimates of tight bounds on the Bayes error rate.

cs.IT↗

Fast Meta-Learning for Adaptive Hierarchical Classifier Design

We propose a new splitting criterion for a meta-learning approach to multiclass classifier design that adaptively merges the classes into a tree-structured hierarchy of increasingly difficult binary classification problems. The classification tree is constructed from empirical estimates of the Henze-Penrose bounds on the pairwise Bayes misclassification rates that rank the binary subproblems in terms of difficulty of classification. The proposed empirical estimates of the Bayes error rate are computed from the minimal spanning tree (MST) of the samples from each pair of classes. Moreover, a meta-learning technique is presented for quantifying the one-vs-rest Bayes error rate for each individual class from a single MST on the entire dataset. Extensive simulations on benchmark datasets show that the proposed hierarchical method can often be learned much faster than competing methods, while achieving competitive accuracy.

cs.LG↗

Unequal Error Protection Querying Policies for the Noisy 20 Questions Problem

In this paper, we propose an open-loop unequal-error-protection querying policy based on superposition coding for the noisy 20 questions problem. In this problem, a player wishes to successively refine an estimate of the value of a continuous random variable by posing binary queries and receiving noisy responses. When the queries are designed non-adaptively as a single block and the noisy responses are modeled as the output of a binary symmetric channel the 20 questions problem can be mapped to an equivalent problem of channel coding with unequal error protection (UEP). A new non-adaptive querying strategy based on UEP superposition coding is introduced whose estimation error decreases with an exponential rate of convergence that is significantly better than that of the UEP repetition coding introduced by Variani et al. (2015). With the proposed querying strategy, the rate of exponential decrease in the number of queries matches the rate of a closed-loop adaptive scheme where queries are sequentially designed with the benefit of feedback. Furthermore, the achievable error exponent is significantly better than that of random block codes employing equal error protection.

cs.IT↗