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Amilcar Soares

Publications and source records attributed to Amilcar Soares.

24 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

Analyzing the Impact of Foursquare and Streetlight Data with Human Demographics on Future Crime Prediction

Finding the factors contributing to criminal activities and their consequences is essential to improve quantitative crime research. To respond to this concern, we examine an extensive set of features from different perspectives and explanations. Our study aims to build data-driven models for predicting future crime occurrences. In this paper, we propose the use of streetlight infrastructure and Foursquare data along with demographic characteristics for improving future crime incident prediction. We evaluate the classification performance based on various feature combinations as well as with the baseline model. Our proposed model was tested on each smallest geographic region in Halifax, Canada. Our findings demonstrate the effectiveness of integrating diverse sources of data to gain satisfactory classification performance.

cs.CY↗

Challenges in Vessel Behavior and Anomaly Detection: From Classical Machine Learning to Deep Learning

The global expansion of maritime activities and the development of the Automatic Identification System (AIS) have driven the advances in maritime monitoring systems in the last decade. Monitoring vessel behavior is fundamental to safeguard maritime operations, protecting other vessels sailing the ocean and the marine fauna and flora. Given the enormous volume of vessel data continually being generated, real-time analysis of vessel behaviors is only possible because of decision support systems provided with event and anomaly detection methods. However, current works on vessel event detection are ad-hoc methods able to handle only a single or a few predefined types of vessel behavior. Most of the existing approaches do not learn from the data and require the definition of queries and rules for describing each behavior. In this paper, we discuss challenges and opportunities in classical machine learning and deep learning for vessel event and anomaly detection. We hope to motivate the research of novel methods and tools, since addressing these challenges is an essential step towards actual intelligent maritime monitoring systems.

cs.LG↗

Wise Sliding Window Segmentation: A classification-aided approach for trajectory segmentation

Large amounts of mobility data are being generated from many different sources, and several data mining methods have been proposed for this data. One of the most critical steps for trajectory data mining is segmentation. This task can be seen as a pre-processing step in which a trajectory is divided into several meaningful consecutive sub-sequences. This process is necessary because trajectory patterns may not hold in the entire trajectory but on trajectory parts. In this work, we propose a supervised trajectory segmentation algorithm, called Wise Sliding Window Segmentation (WS-II). It processes the trajectory coordinates to find behavioral changes in space and time, generating an error signal that is further used to train a binary classifier for segmenting trajectory data. This algorithm is flexible and can be used in different domains. We evaluate our method over three real datasets from different domains (meteorology, fishing, and individuals movements), and compare it with four other trajectory segmentation algorithms: OWS, GRASP-UTS, CB-SMoT, and SPD. We observed that the proposed algorithm achieves the highest performance for all datasets with statistically significant differences in terms of the harmonic mean of purity and coverage.

cs.LG↗

Using Deep Reinforcement Learning Methods for Autonomous Vessels in 2D Environments

Unmanned Surface Vehicles technology (USVs) is an exciting topic that essentially deploys an algorithm to safely and efficiently performs a mission. Although reinforcement learning is a well-known approach to modeling such a task, instability and divergence may occur when combining off-policy and function approximation. In this work, we used deep reinforcement learning combining Q-learning with a neural representation to avoid instability. Our methodology uses deep q-learning and combines it with a rolling wave planning approach on agile methodology. Our method contains two critical parts in order to perform missions in an unknown environment. The first is a path planner that is responsible for generating a potential effective path to a destination without considering the details of the root. The latter is a decision-making module that is responsible for short-term decisions on avoiding obstacles during the near future steps of USV exploitation within the context of the value function. Simulations were performed using two algorithms: a basic vanilla vessel navigator (VVN) as a baseline and an improved one for the vessel navigator with a planner and local view (VNPLV). Experimental results show that the proposed method enhanced the performance of VVN by 55.31 on average for long-distance missions. Our model successfully demonstrated obstacle avoidance by means of deep reinforcement learning using planning adaptive paths in unknown environments.

cs.LG↗

Unsupervised Behavior Change Detection in Multidimensional Data Streams for Maritime Traffic Monitoring

The worldwide growth of maritime traffic and the development of the Automatic Identification System (AIS) has led to advances in monitoring systems for preventing vessel accidents and detecting illegal activities. In this work, we describe research gaps and challenges in machine learning for vessel behavior change and event detection, considering several constraints imposed by real-time data streams and the maritime monitoring domain. As a starting point, we investigate how unsupervised and semi-supervised change detection methods may be employed for identifying shifts in vessel behavior, aiming to detect and label unusual events.

cs.LG↗

Strategies for integrating uncertainty in iterative geostatistical seismic inversion

Iterative geostatistical seismic inversion integrates seismic and well data to infer the spatial distribution of subsurface elastic properties. These methods provide limited assessment to the spatial uncertainty of the inverted elastic properties, overlooking alternative sources of uncertainty such as those associated with poor well-log data, upscaling and noise within the seismic data. We express uncertain well-log samples, due to bad logging reads and upscaling, in terms of local probability distribution functions (PDFs). Local PDFs are used as conditioning data to a stochastic sequential simulation algorithm, included as the model perturbation within the inversion. The problem of noisy seismic and narrow exploration of the model parameter space, particularly at early steps of the inversion, is tackled by the introduction of a cap on local correlation coefficients responsible for the generation of the new set of models during the next iteration. A single geostatistical framework is proposed and illustrated with its application to a real case study. When compared against a conventional iterative geostatistical seismic inversion, the integration of additional sources of uncertainty increases the match between real and inverted seismic traces and the variability within the ensemble of models inverted at the last iteration. The selection of the local PDFs plays a central role in the reliability of the inverted elastic models. Avoiding high local correlation coefficients at early stages of the inversion increases convergence in terms of global correlation between synthetic and real seismic reflection data at the end of the inversion.

physics.geo-ph↗