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Arnab Rai Choudhuri

Publications and source records attributed to Arnab Rai Choudhuri.

At least 55 records · Page 3Linked to original sources
arXiv2011

Is meridional circulation important in modelling irregularities of the solar cycle?

We explore the importance of meridional circulation variations in modelling the irregularities of the solar cycle by using the flux transport dynamo model. We show that a fluctuating meridional circulation can reproduce some features of the solar cycle like the Waldmeier effect and the grand minimum. However, we get all these results only if the value of the turbulent diffusivity in the convection zone is reasonably high.

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arXiv2011

Dynamo models of grand minima

Since a universally accepted dynamo model of grand minima does not exist at the present time, we concentrate on the physical processes which may be behind the grand minima. After summarizing the relevant observational data, we make the point that, while the usual sources of irregularities of solar cycles may be sufficient to cause a grand minimum, the solar dynamo has to operate somewhat differently from the normal to bring the Sun out of the grand minimum. We then consider three possible sources of irregularities in the solar dynamo: (i) nonlinear effects; (ii) fluctuations in the poloidal field generation process; (iii) fluctuations in the meridional circulation. We conclude that (i) is unlikely to be the cause behind grand minima, but a combination of (ii) and (iii) may cause them. If fluctuations make the poloidal field fall much below the average or make the meridional circulation significantly weaker, then the Sun may be pushed into a grand minimum.

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arXiv2011

The origin of the solar magnetic cycle

After summarizing the relevant observational data, we discuss how a study of flux tube dynamics in the solar convection zone helps us to understand the formation of sunspots. Then we introduce the flux transport dynamo model and assess its success in modelling both the solar cycle and its departures from strictly periodic behaviour.

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arXiv2011

Correlation Between The Rise Rate And The Amplitude Of The Solar Magnetic Cycles

We discuss one important aspect of Waldmeier effect which says that the stronger cycles rise rapidly than weaker cycles. We studied four different data set of solar activity indices, and find strong linear correlation between rise rates and amplitudes of solar activity. We study this effect theoretically by introducing suitable stochastic fluctuations in our regular solar dynamo model.

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arXiv2011

Possible explanations of the Maunder minimum from a flux transport dynamo model

We propose that at the beginning of the Maunder minimum the poloidal field or amplitude of meridional circulation or both fell abruptly to low values. With this proposition, a flux transport dynamo model is able to reproduce various important aspects of the historical records of the Maunder minimum remarkably well.

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arXiv2010

Origin of solar magnetism

The most promising model for explaining the origin of solar magnetism is the flux transport dynamo model, in which the toroidal field is produced by differential rotation in the tachocline, the poloidal field is produced by the Babcock--Leighton mechanism at the solar surface and the meridional circulation plays a crucial role. After discussing how this model explains the regular periodic features of the solar cycle, we come to the questions of what causes irregularities of solar cycles and whether we can predict future cycles. Only if the diffusivity within the convection zone is sufficiently high, the polar field at the sunspot minimum is correlated with strength of the next cycle. This is in conformity with the limited available observational data.

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arXiv2010

The Waldmeier effect and the flux transport solar dynamo

We confirm that the evidence for the Waldmeier effect WE1 (the anti-correlation between rise times of sunspot cycles and their strengths) and the related effect WE2 (the correlation between rise rates of cycles and their strengths) is found in different kinds of sunspot data. We explore whether these effects can be explained theoretically on the basis of the flux transport dynamo models of sunspot cycles. Two sources of irregularities of sunspot cycles are included in our model: fluctuations in the poloidal field generation process and fluctuations in the meridional circulation. We find WE2 to be a robust result which is produced in different kinds of theoretical models for different sources of irregularities. The Waldmeier effect WE1, on the other hand, arises from fluctuations in the meridional circulation and is found only in the theoretical models with reasonably high turbulent diffusivity which ensures that the diffusion time is not more than a few years.

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arXiv2009

Why does the Sun's torsional oscillation begin before the sunspot cycle?

Although the Sun's torsional oscillation is believed to be driven by the Lorentz force associated with the sunspot cycle, this oscillation begins 2--3 yr before the sunspot cycle. We provide a theoretical explanation of this with the help of a solar dynamo model having a meridional circulation penetrating slightly below the bottom of the convection zone, because only in such dynamo models the strong toroidal field forms a few years before the sunspot cycle and at a higher latitude.

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arXiv2009

A possible explanation of the Maunder minimum from a flux transport dynamo model

We propose that the poloidal field at the end of the last sunspot cycle before the Maunder minimum fell to a very low value due to fluctuations in the Babcock--Leighton process. With this assumption, a flux transport dynamo model is able to explain various aspects of the historical records of the Maunder minimum remarkably well on choosing the parameters of the model suitably to give the correct growth time.

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arXiv2007

The Hemispheric Asymmetry of Solar Activity During the Twentieth Century and the Solar Dynamo

We believe the Babcock--Leighton process of poloidal field generation to be the main source of irregularity in the solar cycle. The random nature of this process may make the poloidal field in one hemisphere stronger than that in the other hemisphere at the end of a cycle. We expect this to induce an asymmetry in the next sunspot cycle. We look for evidence of this in the observational data and then model it theoretically with our dynamo code. Since actual polar field measurements exist only from 1970s, we use the polar faculae number data recorded by Sheeley (1991) as a proxy of the polar field and estimate the hemispheric asymmetry of the polar field in different solar minima during the major part of the twentieth century. This asymmetry is found to have a reasonable correlation with the asymmetry of the next cycle. We then run our dynamo code by feeding information about this asymmetry at the successive minima and compare with observational data. We find that the theoretically computed asymmetries of different cycles compare favourably with the observational data, the correlation coefficient being 0.73. Due to the coupling between the two hemispheres, any hemispheric asymmetry tends to get attenuated with time. The hemispheric asymmetry of a cycle either from observational data or from theoretical calculation statistically tends to be less than the asymmetry in the polar field (as inferred from the faculae data) in the preceding minimum. This reduction factor turns out to be 0.38 and 0.60 respectively in observational data and theoretical simulation.

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arXiv2007

Solar activity forecast with a dynamo model

Although systematic measurements of the solar polar magnetic field exist only from mid 1970s, other proxies can be used to infer the polar field at earlier times. The observational data indicate a strong correlation between the polar field at a sunspot minimum and the strength of the next cycle, although the strength of the cycle is not correlated well with the polar field produced at its end. This suggests that the Babcock Leighton mechanism of poloidal field generation from decaying sunspots involves randomness, whereas the other aspects of the dynamo process must be reasonably ordered and deterministic. Only if the magnetic diffusivity within the convection zone is assumed to be high, we can explain the correlation between the polar field at a minimum and the next cycle. We give several independent arguments that the diffusivity must be of this order. In a dynamo model with diffusivity like this, the poloidal field generated at the mid latitudes is advected toward the poles by the meridional circulation and simultaneously diffuses towards the tachocline, where the toroidal field for the next cycle is produced. To model actual solar cycles with a dynamo model having such high diffusivity, we have to feed the observational data of the poloidal field at the minimum into the theoretical model. We develop a method of doing this in a systematic way. Our model predicts that cycle 24 will be a very weak cycle. Hemispheric asymmetry of solar activity is also calculated with our model and compared with observational data.

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arXiv2007

Predicting solar cycle 24 with a solar dynamo model

Whether the upcoming cycle 24 of solar activity will be strong or not is being hotly debated. The solar cycle is produced by a complex dynamo mechanism. We model the last few solar cycles by `feeding' observational data of the Sun's polar magnetic field into our solar dynamo model. Our results fit the observed sunspot numbers of cycles 21-23 extremely well and predict that cycle~24 will be about 35% weaker than cycle~23.

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arXiv2004

Full--Sphere Simulations of a Circulation--Dominated Solar Dynamo: Exploring the Parity Issue

We explore a two-dimensional kinematic solar dynamo model in a full sphere, based on the helioseismically determined solar rotation profile and with an $α$ effect concentrated near the solar surface, which captures the Babcock--Leighton idea that the poloidal field is created from the decay of tilted bipolar active regions. The meridional circulation, assumed to penetrate slightly below the tachocline, plays an important role. Some doubts have recently been raised regarding the ability of such a model to reproduce solar-like dipolar parity. We specifically address the parity issue and show that the dipolar mode is preferred when certain reasonable conditions are satisfied, the most important condition being the requirement that the poloidal field should diffuse efficiently to get coupled across the equator. Our model is shown to reproduce various aspects of observational data, including the phase relation between sunspots and the weak, diffuse field.

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arXiv2003

On Solar Radius Variation with Magnetic Field

In response to the claim by Dziembowski et al. (2001) that the solar radius decreases with magnetic activity at the rate of 1.5 km/yr, we consider the theoretical question whether a radius variation is expected with the solar cycle. If the radius variation is caused by the magnetic pressure of toroidal flux tubes at the bottom of the convection zone, then the dynamo model of Nandy and Choudhuri (2002) would suggest a radius decrease with magnetic activity, in contrast to other dynamo models which would suggest a radius increase. However, the radius decrease is estimated to be only of the order of hundreds of metres.

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arXiv2003

Why do millisecond pulsars have weaker magnetic fields compared to ordinary pulsars?

Millisecond pulsars, with magnetic fields weaker by three to four orders compared to those of ordinary pulsars, are presumed to be neutron stars spun up by binary accretion. We expect the magnetic field to get screened by the accreted material. Our simulation of this screening mechanism shows, for the first time, that the field decreases by a purely geometric factor $\sin^{-7/2} θ_{\rm P,i}$ before freezing to an asymptotic value, where $ θ_{\rm P,i}$ is the initial angular width of the polar cap. If $ θ_{\rm P,i}$ lies in the range $5^o$--$10^o$, then the magnetic field diminution factor turns out to be $\sim 10^3$--$10^4$ in conformity with observational data.

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