arXiv subjects

Caroline Piaulet-Ghorayeb

Publications and source records attributed to Caroline Piaulet-Ghorayeb.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

C, N, O, S, and photochemistry in a temperate giant planet orbiting a late M dwarf

We report the JWST NIRSpec/PRISM transit spectrum of TOI-6894b, an exceptional 420 K sub-Saturn that is one of the rare giant planets transiting a late M dwarf. Remarkably, both the light curve and the transit spectrum exhibit almost no stellar contamination. The spectrum is dominated by prominent absorption features from CH4 and the photochemical product CS2. For the first time in a transit spectrum, NH3 is visually evident, while subtler features from H2O and CO2 can also be seen. We significantly improve upon state-of-the-art photochemical reaction networks, and use our new network to run radiative-convective photochemical ("RCP") models at different metallicities. These models show that the spectrum--in particular the size of the NH3 and CO2 features relative to the CH4 and H2O features--is most consistent with a metallicity of 3--10x solar. Using a semi-free retrieval framework that perturbs the RCP model's abundance and temperature profiles to fit the data, we find that the planet's C/O, N/O, and S/N ratios are consistent with solar values. A grid retrieval on 1D radiative-convective photochemical equilibrium (RCPE) models reveals a similar result: [M/H]=0.46 +- 0.08 and C/O=0.69 +- 0.06. The planet's atmospheric metallicity, abundance ratios, and bulk metal fraction are all strikingly similar to that of Jupiter, Saturn, and other gas giant exoplanets, despite orbiting a very low-mass star.

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arXiv2026

Radial velocity detection of the TRAPPIST-1 planetary system with SPIRou and NIRPS

The TRAPPIST-1 system is well-known for its seven transiting Earth-sized exoplanets. It has been extensively studied and characterized, notably with transit timing variations (TTVs) to precisely measure the mass of the planets. Using near-infrared spectroscopic observations obtained as part of the SPIRou Legacy Survey and the NIRPS Guaranteed Time Observation programs, we aimed to verify those values through radial velocity (RV) measurements of the system. Our RV analysis reveals that the current data do not have the precision required to individually detect the TRAPPIST-1 planets. However, we confidently detect ($Δ\ln\mathcal{Z}=7.53$, 1860:1 odds) the combined RV signature of the planets by informing their relative masses on the TTV analysis, with TRAPPIST-1 b as a proxy of the whole system. For the first time, the RV signal of the TRAPPIST-1 system is recovered: we find a RV semi-amplitude of $K_b=3.65^{+0.78}_{-0.83}$ m s$^{-1}$ corresponding to a planetary mass of $M_{p,\,b}=1.31\pm0.29$ M$_\oplus$, demonstrating that the RV measurements are consistent with the TTV model ($M_{p,\,b;\,\text{TTV}}=1.374\pm0.069$ M$_\oplus$). Additionally, the NIRPS RVs constrain the presence of giant planets beyond the snow line, excluding Saturn-mass planets out to 2.7-yr orbits and Neptune-mass objects out to 20 d. Through RV, we determined the stellar activity period to be of $3.22^{+0.22}_{-0.20}$ d. Its agreement with photometric measurements (K2 and TESS) confirms stellar rotation as the origin of the $\sim3.3$-d periodicity observed for TRAPPIST-1. We further investigated stellar activity with SPIRou polarimetric measurements, placing an upper limit on the longitudinal field ($|B_l|<40$ G, $3σ$). This limit is compatible with a weak multipolar large-scale magnetic geometry, as observed in some of the later-type rapidly rotating M dwarfs.

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arXiv2026

Atmospheric Reconnaissance of TRAPPIST-1 f with JWST NIRISS SOSS: No Evidence for the Transit Light Source Effect

In just over three years of operation, JWST has observed all seven planets of the TRAPPIST-1 system. The two innermost planets were found to have little to no atmosphere, barring the presence of high-altitude aerosols. Here we present the first JWST transit spectra of the habitable-zone exoplanet TRAPPIST-1 f, which were obtained with NIRISS SOSS over the course of five transits. At least one stellar flare occurred in each visit, but unlike observations of closer-in TRAPPIST-1 planets, no evidence for contamination of the transit spectra from unocculted stellar surface heterogeneities was found. This non-detection does not guarantee the absence of unocculted heterogeneities in all future transit observations of this planet, and it could be explained by the transit chord of TRAPPIST-1 f having properties similar to the average, out-of-transit, visible stellar hemisphere at the time of observation. The transit spectra exhibit slopes ranging from -365 ppm/um down to 15 ppm/um, which we attribute to stellar variability, that is, flares and/or smaller-scale events. The visits least affected by flares rule out H2/He-dominated atmospheres with surface pressures higher than about 20 mbar at 95% confidence. For high-mean-molecular-mass atmospheres, the exact upper limits on surface pressures depend on the reduction pipeline and on the treatment of the residual slopes in the transit spectra.

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arXiv2026

Photochemical Production of CS2 in Temperate-to-Warm Gas Giant Exoplanet Atmospheres

Sulfur chemistry has emerged as an important probe of exoplanet atmospheres in the JWST era, although observational constraints have thus far been largely limited to SO2 and H2S in warm and hot exoplanets. Recent JWST observations have revealed CS2 in several cooler gas-giant exoplanets, yielding a new tracer of sulfur chemistry. However, the detailed chemical pathways responsible for the formation of CS2 remain poorly understood. Here, we use TOI-6894 b, a temperate gas giant with evidence for CS2, as a test case for one-dimensional photochemical kinetic-transport modeling and sensitivity analyses of CS2 chemistry. We show that CS2 is produced through coupled thermochemical and photochemical processes involving CH4 and H2S as the primary carbon and sulfur reservoirs, with S2 photolysis driving disequilibrium sulfur chemistry. Our models provide a physically consistent explanation for the observed CS2 feature in TOI-6894 b. Extending our analysis to gas giant exoplanets spanning a wide range of Teq, we find that CS2 abundance peaks in temperate to warm atmospheres (Teq ~ 500 - 700 K), and declines toward both lower and higher temperatures. This temperature dependence provides a unified framework for interpreting current CS2 observations, accounting for reported detections in temperate to warm planets and the lack of detections in colder and hotter giant exoplanets. Our results establish CS2 as a complementary probe of sulfur inventories and atmospheric metallicity in cool gas giant exoplanets

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arXiv2026

The breaking of cold traps and onset of titanium in ultra-hot Jupiter atmospheres: WASP-189b in context

Condensates are ubiquitous to all Solar System planets with significant ($>$10mbar) atmospheres. The same is true for most exoplanets with characterised atmospheres, with even ultra-hot exoplanets being able to form clouds on their cooler nightsides. One high-interest condensate is titanium, a highly refractory element that as an oxide (TiO) is a potent optical absorber long believed to be a driver of thermal inversions in highly irradiated exoplanet atmospheres. Observations have shown that some ultra-hot Jupiters have strong thermal inversions despite being significantly Ti-depleted, likely due to cold trapping, raising doubts about whether TiO is the main cause of their inverted temperature structures. Our aim was to retrieve the titanium-to-iron ratio of the dayside atmosphere of the ultra-hot Jupiter WASP-189b to determine whether the full titanium budget is accounted for in the gas phase. We analysed thermal emission observations of WASP-189b taken with the HARPS and NIRPS spectrographs using different atmospheric retrieval prescriptions to infer the planet's atmospheric thermal structure and composition. We observed Fe and Ti signals in cross-correlation and measured a sub-solar Ti/Fe ratio for WASP-189b using both free and chemical equilibrium retrieval approaches. We find the Ti/Fe of the planetary atmosphere to be between 28% and 81% (1-$σ$ bounds) that of the stellar value. The slight underabundance of Ti with respect to Fe on the dayside atmosphere of WASP-189b suggests that some titanium is missing from the gas phase, potentially due to a partial nightside cold trap. In the context of the ultra-hot Jupiter population, the onset of titanium in exoplanetary atmospheres appears to occur progressively, coinciding not with when thermal inversions begin but rather when the vapourisation threshold of titanium is reached on the nightside.

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arXiv2026

Escape of Water- and Metal-enriched Atmospheres from compact Hot mini-Neptunes with CHAIN

Recent observations reveal that atmospheric compositions of close-in sub-Neptunes are diverse and can differ strongly from pure H/He-dominated. We assess the possibility of modelling metal-rich and water-rich atmospheres with CHAIN model. We evaluate the major differences between the upper atmosphere photochemistry of such atmospheres compared to H/He, and the impact on atmospheric mass loss rates. We employ CHAIN to model upper atmospheres of two warm and hot sub-Neptune-like planets which were suggested to host possibly water-/metal-rich atmospheres: GJ 9827 d and TOI-238 b. For each planet, we consider a range of compositions between H/He atmospheres with solar metallicities to highly metal- and/or water-rich atmospheres and evaluate how our predictions change with increasing metal/water fractions. We find that for considered sub-Neptunes (1) an increase in water/metal abundance leads both to the increase in atmospheric cooling rates (due to the metal line cooling and molecular cooling processes) and the increase in heating (metal line heating in dense atmospheric layers and metals' ions); (2) due to the increase in cooling and the mean particle weight of the atmosphere, the atmospheric mass loss drops significantly at high water/metal fractions (water mass fractions of >=50% or metal enrichment over 100 times solar), while at low enrichment levels mass loss rates are similar to those of H/He atmospheres with solar abundances or slightly higher; (3) for the same atmospheric mean particle weight, the escape from water-rich atmospheres is generally lower. In the context of atmospheric evolution, it implies that the atmospheres with initially high water fraction in the atmosphere are more stable. Furthermore, due to the preferential escape of H, the atmospheric metal/H ratio is expected to increase significantly with time, leading to the earlier cessation of the hydrodynamic escape.

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arXiv2026

The Days Drag On on WASP-121 b: Interpreting its NIRISS Spectroscopic Phase Curve with General Circulation Models

Ultra-hot Jupiters present extreme atmospheric phenomena not found in the Solar System. These planets' daysides experience strong temperature inversions, molecular species (including H2) dissociate, and magnetism disrupts their atmospheric circulation. On their nightsides H2 can recombine and clouds may form. Spectroscopic phase curves let us measure these spatially inhomogeneous conditions, which can then be interpreted with three-dimensional (3-D) models. In this work we compare the JWST/NIRISS spectroscopic phase curve of the ultra-hot Jupiter WASP-121 b to state-of-the-art 3-D models with varying modeling assumptions, including the aforementioned physical phenomena. We demonstrate the importance of accurately accounting for the planet's radius in comparison between data and models, as it changes the implied overall planetary emission. We find that the 3-D models predict planet emission $\sim$12% higher than observed, contributing to a continued tension between measured and predicted hot Jupiter albedos. We identify multiple pieces of evidence that confirm a strong source of drag operating in this planet's atmosphere. In addition, the nightside emission spectrum is devoid of strong absorption features, which may be best explained by nightside clouds. One feature of the dataset that is not matched by the 3-D models is a trend of increasing eastward phase offset with decreasing wavelength, for wavelengths shorter than $\sim$1.4 \textmu m. This result is not consistent with reflection from dayside clouds, nor can it be explained by removing atmospheric opacity sources. Our analysis highlights the complexities in generating 3-D models and interpreting observations of ultra-hot Jupiters in the JWST era.

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arXiv2026

A window for water-hydrogen demixing on warm metal-rich sub-Neptunes

Sub-Neptunes represent the largest exoplanet demographic, yet their bulk compositions remain poorly understood. Recent studies suggested that only very cold planets, such as Uranus and Neptune, could experience stratification of volatiles in their envelopes. Transiting warm sub-Neptunes, with $10^3$ to $10^4$ times more stellar irradiation, were therefore believed to have fully-miscible compositions. Here, we present ATHENAIA, an interior-atmosphere composition inference framework we leverage to assess the potential for water-hydrogen demixing on warm sub-Neptunes and for the 350 K planet TOI-270 d as a case study, using radiative-convective atmosphere models coupled to interior models. We find that the higher temperatures at which hydrogen and water demix in water-rich environments open a window for demixing on sub-Neptunes with bulk envelope metallicities of $\sim 150$ to $700\times$ solar, compatible with TOI-270 d. Demixing is easier to achieve on more massive and colder planets, but still broadly affects warm ($\simeq $330 to 450 K) metal-rich sub-Neptunes. Therefore, combining atmosphere metallicities with models of fully-miscible envelopes may lead to underestimated bulk envelope metallicities and mass fractions. Further, we find that considering the increased greenhouse effect in metal-rich atmospheres in concert with the composition-dependent adiabatic gradient in the convective envelope increases the range of compositions under which molten mantle conditions should be expected on sub-Neptunes. This work encourages a reconsideration of the current paradigm for linking sub-Neptune atmospheres to their interiors and motivates evolutionary modeling describing the onset of metallicity gradients in sub-Neptune envelopes.

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arXiv2026

Super-Earth masses and stellar abundances from NIRPS reveal tentative evidence for water-rich formation around M dwarfs

Tracing the compositional link between terrestrial super-Earths and their host stars provides clues to their dominant formation pathway. By constraining the stellar abundances of refractory elements, we can predict the core mass fractions (CMFs) of their super-Earths. The level of agreement between this prediction and the planetary CMF derived from their masses and radii can reveal past formation processes, like mantle stripping and water-rich formation plus sequestration in the planet's core. Here, we present the first results from the Near Infrared Planet Searcher (NIRPS) GTO CMF subprogram: an intensive radial velocity campaign to refine masses and compute host stellar abundances of three hot super- Earths around M dwarfs (GJ 1132 b, GJ 1252 b, and LTT 3780 b), calculating masses of $1.69 \pm 0.15M_\oplus$, $1.54 \pm 0.18M_\oplus$, and $2.34 \pm 0.10M_\oplus$ respectively. We measure the CMFs of these and six further hot super-Earths with precise masses already available in the literature to 10-15% precision. We compare these to CMF predictions made from measuring the Fe, Mg, and Si abundances of their host stars measured from the NIRPS spectra. We find that the CMFs of these planets are smaller than expected from their host stellar abundances, to a statistically significant degree. This discrepancy is suggestive of significant reservoirs of water, and while these planets are too hot to harbor surface water, they likely have interior water mass fractions of $\sim$1%.

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arXiv2025

TOI-3288 b and TOI-4666 b: two gas giants transiting low-mass stars characterised by NIRPS

Gas giant planets orbiting low-mass stars are uncommon outcomes of planet formation. Increasing the sample of well-characterised giants around early M dwarfs will enable population-level studies of their properties, offering valuable insights into their formation and evolutionary histories. We aim to characterise giant exoplanets transiting M dwarfs identified by TESS. High-resolution spectroscopic data are obtained in the optical and nIR, combining HARPS and NIRPS. We derive RVs via the cross-correlation function and implement a novel post-processing procedure to further mitigate telluric contamination in the nIR. The resulting RVs are jointly fit with TESS and ground-based photometry to derive the orbital and physical parameters of the systems. We confirm two gas giants transiting the low-mass stars TOI-3288 A (K9V) and TOI-4666 (M2.5V). TOI-3288 A hosts a Hot Jupiter with a mass of $2.11\pm0.08~M_{\rm Jup}$ and a radius of $1.00 \pm 0.03~R_{\rm Jup}$, with an orbital period of 1.43 days ($T_{\rm eq} = 1059 \pm 20~{\rm K}$). TOI-4666 hosts a $0.70_{-0.06}^{+0.05}~M_{\rm Jup}$ warm Jupiter ($T_{\rm eq} = 713 \pm 14~{\rm K}$) with a radius of $1.11 \pm 0.04~R_{\rm Jup}$, and an orbital period of 2.91 days. We identify a decrease in planetary mass with spectral type, where late M dwarfs host less massive giant planets than early M dwarfs. More massive gas giants that deviate from this trend are preferentially hosted by more metal-rich stars. Furthermore, we find an increased binarity fraction among low-mass stars hosting gas giants, which may play a role in enhancing giant planet formation around low-mass stars. The observed population trends agree with theoretical expectations, where higher metallicity can compensate for lower disk masses, and wide binary systems may influence planet formation and migration through Kozai-Lidov cycles or disk instabilities.

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arXiv2025

Diversity in the haziness and chemistry of temperate sub-Neptunes

Recent transit observations of K2-18b and TOI-270d revealed strong molecular absorption signatures, lending credence to the idea that temperate sub-Neptunes (T$_\mathrm{eq}$=250-400K) have upper atmospheres mostly free of aerosols. These observations also indicated higher-than-expected CO$_2$ abundances on both planets, implying bulk compositions with high water mass fractions. However, it remains unclear whether these findings hold true for all temperate sub-Neptunes. Here, we present the JWST NIRSpec/PRISM 0.7-5.4$\mathbfμ$m transmission spectrum of a third temperate sub-Neptune, the 2.4R$_\oplus$ planet LP 791-18c (T$_\mathrm{eq}$=355K), which is even more favorable for atmospheric characterization thanks to its small M6 host star. Intriguingly, despite LP 791-18c's radius, mass, and equilibrium temperature being in between those of K2-18b and TOI-270d, we find a drastically different transmission spectrum. While we also detect methane on LP 791-18c, its transit spectrum is dominated by strong haze scattering and there is no discernible CO$_2$ absorption. Overall, we infer a deep metal-enriched atmosphere (246-415$\times$solar) for LP 791-18c, with a CO$_2$-to-CH$_4$ ratio smaller than 0.07 (at 2$σ$), indicating less H$_2$O in the deep envelope of LP 791-18c and implying a relatively dry formation inside the water ice-line. These results show that sub-Neptunes that are near-analogues in density and temperature can show drastically different aerosols and envelope chemistry, and are intrinsically diverse beyond a simple temperature dependence.

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arXiv2025

Precise Constraints on the Energy Budget of WASP-121 b from its JWST NIRISS/SOSS Phase Curve

Ultra-hot Jupiters exhibit day-to-night temperature contrasts upwards of 1000 K due to competing effects of strong winds, short radiative timescales, magnetic drag, and H2 dissociation/recombination. Spectroscopic phase curves provide critical insights into these processes by mapping temperature distributions and constraining the planet's energy budget across different pressure levels. Here, we present the first NIRISS/SOSS phase curve of an ultra-hot Jupiter, WASP-121 b. The instrument's bandpass [0.6 - 2.85 micron] captures an estimated 50-83% of the planet's bolometric flux, depending on orbital phase, allowing for unprecedented constraints on the planet's global energy budget; previous measurements with HST/WFC3 and JWST/NIRSpec/G395H captured roughly 20% of the planetary flux. Accounting for the unobserved regions of the spectrum, we estimate effective day and nightside temperatures of T_day = 2717 +/- 17 K and T_night = 1562 +/- 19 K corresponding to a Bond albedo of A_B = 0.277 +/- 0.016 and a heat recirculation efficiency of epsilon = 0.246 +/- 0.014. Matching the phase-dependent effective temperature with energy balance models yields a similar Bond albedo of 0.3 and a mixed layer pressure of 1 bar consistent with photospheric pressures, but unexpectedly slow winds of 0.2 km/s, indicative of inefficient heat redistribution. The shorter optical wavelengths of the NIRISS/SOSS Order 2 yield a geometric albedo of A_g = 0.093 +/- 0.029 (3 sigma upper limit of 0.175), reinforcing the unexplained trend of hot Jupiters exhibiting larger Bond albedos than geometric albedos. We also detect near-zero phase curve offsets for wavelengths above 1.5 micron, consistent with inefficient heat transport, while shorter wavelengths potentially sensitive to reflected light show eastward offsets.

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arXiv2025

Enriched volatiles and refractories but deficient titanium on the dayside atmosphere of WASP-121b revealed by JWST/NIRISS

With dayside temperatures elevated enough for all atmospheric constituents to be present in gas form, ultra-hot Jupiters offer a unique opportunity to probe the composition of giant planets. We aim to infer the composition and thermal structure of the dayside atmosphere of the ultra-hot Jupiter WASP-121b from two NIRISS$/$SOSS secondary eclipses observed as part of a full phase curve. We extract the eclipse spectrum of WASP-121b with two independent data reduction pipelines and analyse it using different atmospheric retrieval prescriptions to explore the effects of thermal dissociation, reflected light, and titanium condensation on the inferred atmospheric properties. We find that the observed dayside spectrum of WASP-121b is best fit by atmosphere models possessing a stratospheric inversion with temperatures reaching over 3000K, with spectral contributions from H2O, CO, VO, H-, and either TiO or reflected light. We measure the atmosphere of WASP-121b to be metal enriched (~10x stellar) but comparatively titanium poor (~1x stellar), potentially due to partial cold-trapping. The inferred C/O depends on model assumptions such as whether reflected light is included, ranging from being consistent with stellar if a geometric albedo of zero is assumed to being super-stellar for a freely fitted Ag = 0.16 +/- 0.02. The volatile-to-refractory ratio is measured to be consistent with the stellar value. We infer that WASP-121b has an atmosphere enriched in both volatile and refractory metals, but not in ultra-refractory titanium, suggesting the presence of a nightside cold-trap. Considering H2O dissociation is critical in free retrieval analyses, leading to order-of-magnitude differences in retrieved abundances for WASP-121b if neglected. Simple chemical equilibrium retrievals assuming that all species are governed by a single metallicity parameter drastically overpredict the TiO abundance.

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arXiv2025

A complex structure of escaping helium spanning more than half the orbit of the ultra-hot Jupiter WASP-121\,b

Atmospheric escape of planets on short orbital periods, driven by the host star's irradiation, influences their evolution, composition, and atmospheric dynamics. Our main avenue to probe atmospheric escape is through the near-infrared metastable helium triplet, which has enabled mass loss rate measurements for tens of exoplanets. Among them, only a few studies show evidence for out-of-transit absorption, supporting the presence of a hydrodynamic outflow. However, none of these observations precisely identified the physical extent of the outflow, either due to non-continuous or short-duration observations. This limits our measurements of accurate mass loss rates. Here we present the first continuous, full-orbit helium phase curve monitoring of an exoplanet, the ultra-hot Jupiter WASP-121b, obtained with JWST/NIRISS. It reveals helium absorption for nearly 60% of the orbit at >3sigma significance. Our results show that WASP-121b sustains a strong outflow, separating into two tails trailing and leading the planet. The persistent absorption from these tails, together with their measured radial velocity shifts, suggests that they remain in a collisional fluid regime at large distances from the planet and display very different dynamics. The leading trail has a higher density and moves toward the star, whereas the trailing trail is being pushed away from the star, with the latter being blue-shifted due to stellar irradiation pressure. While qualitatively agreeing with theoretical expectations, the observed structure of helium is not self-consistently reproducible by current models, limiting constraints on the mass loss rate. Furthermore, we show that while ground-based observations of the helium triplet are essential to measure the outflow dynamics precisely, they ideally should be combined with continuous JWST phase curves to constrain the absolute level of helium absorption.

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arXiv2025

Mapping the SO2 Shoreline in Gas Giant Exoplanets

JWST has revealed sulfur chemistry in giant exoplanet atmospheres, where molecules such as SO2 trace photochemistry, metallicity, and formation and migration. To ascertain the conditions that determine whether (or how much) SO2, H2S, and other sulfur-bearing species are present in exoplanet atmospheres, we present a grid of planetary atmospheres covering metallicities from 0.3-1000x Solar and temperatures from 250-2050 K. These models map out the 'SO2 shoreline,' the region of metallicity and irradiation for which SO2 may be sufficiently abundant to be detectable. SO2 is a sensitive indicator of metallicity; expected SO2 abundances also depend strongly on overall temperature and C/O ratio; the SO2 abundance depends surprisingly weakly on XUV irradiation, also weakly on Kzz (for Teq > 600 K), and is essentially independent of internal temperature. Despite its detection in a growing number of giant planets, SO2 is never the dominant sulfur-bearing molecule: depending on temperature and metallicity, H2S, S2, NS, SO, SH, and even S8 or atomic S are frequently as common (or more so) as SO2. Nonetheless SO2 remains the most easily detectable sulfur-bearing species, followed by H2S, though perhaps SO and SH could be detectable in some gas giants. Aside from a pressing need for additional observational constraints on sulfur, we also identify the need for future work to account for the effects of clouds and hazes, fully self-consistent atmospheric models, 2D and 3D models, a wider range of planetary masses and radii, and studies to measure and refine reaction rates and molecular opacities of sulfur-bearing species

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arXiv2025

Possible Evidence for the Presence of Volatiles on the Warm Super-Earth TOI-270 b

The search for atmospheres on rocky exoplanets is a crucial step in understanding the processes driving atmosphere formation, retention, and loss. Past studies have revealed the existence of planets interior to the radius valley with densities lower than would be expected for pure-rock compositions, indicative of the presence of large volatile inventories which could facilitate atmosphere retention. Here we present an analysis of the JWST NIRSpec/G395H transmission spectrum of the warm ($T_\mathrm{eq,{A_B}=0}$ = 569 K) super-Earth TOI-270 b ($R_\mathrm{p}$ = 1.306 $R_\oplus$), captured alongside the transit of TOI-270 d. The JWST white light-curve transit depth updates TOI-270 b's density to $ρ_\mathrm{p}$ = 3.7 $\pm$ 0.5 g/cm$^3$, inconsistent at 4.4$σ$ with an Earth-like composition. Instead, the planet is best explained by a non-zero, percent-level water mass fraction, possibly residing on the surface or stored within the interior. The JWST transmission spectrum shows possible spectroscopic evidence for the presence of this water as part of an atmosphere on TOI-270 b, favoring a H$_2$O-rich steam atmosphere model over a flat spectrum ($\ln\mathcal{B}$ = $0.3-3.2$, inconclusive to moderate), with the exact significance depending on whether an offset parameter between the NIRSpec detectors is included. We leverage the transit of the twice-larger TOI-270 d crossing the stellar disk almost simultaneously to rule out the alternative hypothesis that the transit-light-source effect could have caused the water feature in TOI-270 b's observed transmission spectrum. Planetary evolution modeling furthermore shows that TOI-270 b could sustain a significant atmosphere on Gyr timescales, despite its high stellar irradiation, if it formed with a large initial volatile inventory.

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arXiv2025

STCTM: a forward modeling and retrieval framework for stellar contamination and stellar spectra

Transmission spectroscopy is a key avenue for the near-term study of small-planet atmospheres and the most promising method when it comes to searching for atmospheres on temperate rocky worlds, which are often too cold for planetary emission to be detectable. At the same time, the small planets that are most amenable for such atmospheric probes orbit small and cool M dwarf stars. As the field becomes increasingly ambitious in the search for signs of even thin atmospheres on small exoplanets, the transit light source effect (TLSE), caused by unocculted stellar surface heterogeneities, is becoming a limiting factor: it is imperative to develop robust inference methods to disentangle planetary and stellar contributions to the observed spectra. Here, I present STCTM, the STellar ConTamination Modeling framework, a flexible Bayesian retrieval framework to model the impact of the TLSE on any exoplanet transmission spectrum, and infer the range of stellar surface parameters that are compatible with the observations in the absence of any planetary contribution. With the "exotune" sub-module, users can also perform retrievals directly on out-of-transit stellar spectra in order to place data-driven priors on the extent to which the TLSE can impact any planet's transmission spectrum. The input data formats, stellar models, and fitted parameters are easily tunable using human-readable files and the code is fully parallelized to enable fast inferences. [shortened for arxiv; see full summary in the PDF]

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arXiv2025

The JWST Rocky Worlds DDT Program reveals GJ 3929b to likely be a bare rock

We report first results from the JWST Rocky Worlds Director's Discretionary Time program. Two secondary eclipses of the terrestrial exoplanet GJ 3929b were recently observed using MIRI photometric imaging at 15 um. We present a reduction of these data using the updated SPARTA pipeline. We also refine the planet mass, radius, and predicted time of secondary eclipse using a new sector of TESS data and new, high-precision radial velocities from the MAROON-X spectrograph. For the two JWST observations, we recover secondary eclipse depths of 177+47-45ppm and 143+34-35ppm at times consistent with a nearly circular orbit, as expected from the radial velocity data. A joint fit of the two visits yields a dayside brightness temperature Tp,dayside = 782+/-79K for GJ 3929b, which is consistent with the maximum brightness temperature Tmax = 737+/-14K for a bare, black rock (i.e., assuming zero Bond albedo and no heat redistribution). These results rule out CO2-rich atmospheres thicker than 100mbar at >3sigma, suggesting that GJ 3929b has lost any significant secondary atmosphere. The radial velocity data also indicate two additional non-transiting planets in the system: a previously-identified planet in a 15.0d orbit, and a newly-identified planet candidate in a 6.1d orbit.

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