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arXiv · 2512.10876

Diversity in the haziness and chemistry of temperate sub-Neptunes

Abstract

Recent transit observations of K2-18b and TOI-270d revealed strong molecular absorption signatures, lending credence to the idea that temperate sub-Neptunes (T$_\mathrm{eq}$=250-400K) have upper atmospheres mostly free of aerosols. These observations also indicated higher-than-expected CO$_2$ abundances on both planets, implying bulk compositions with high water mass fractions. However, it remains unclear whether these findings hold true for all temperate sub-Neptunes. Here, we present the JWST NIRSpec/PRISM 0.7-5.4$\mathbf{\mu}$m transmission spectrum of a third temperate sub-Neptune, the 2.4R$_\oplus$ planet LP 791-18c (T$_\mathrm{eq}$=355K), which is even more favorable for atmospheric characterization thanks to its small M6 host star. Intriguingly, despite LP 791-18c's radius, mass, and equilibrium temperature being in between those of K2-18b and TOI-270d, we find a drastically different transmission spectrum. While we also detect methane on LP 791-18c, its transit spectrum is dominated by strong haze scattering and there is no discernible CO$_2$ absorption. Overall, we infer a deep metal-enriched atmosphere (246-415$\times$solar) for LP 791-18c, with a CO$_2$-to-CH$_4$ ratio smaller than 0.07 (at 2$\sigma$), indicating less H$_2$O in the deep envelope of LP 791-18c and implying a relatively dry formation inside the water ice-line. These results show that sub-Neptunes that are near-analogues in density and temperature can show drastically different aerosols and envelope chemistry, and are intrinsically diverse beyond a simple temperature dependence.

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Pierre-Alexis Roy, Björn Benneke, Marylou Fournier-Tondreau, Louis-Philippe Coulombe, Caroline Piaulet-Ghorayeb, David Lafrenière, Romain Allart, Nicolas B. Cowan, Lisa Dang, Doug Johnstone, Adam B. Langeveld, Stefan Pelletier, Michael Radica, Jake Taylor, Loïc Albert, René Doyon, Laura Flagg, Ray Jayawardhana, Ryan J. MacDonald, Jake D. Turner. 2025-12-11. Diversity in the haziness and chemistry of temperate sub-Neptunes. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41550-025-02723-3

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