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David Parkinson

Publications and source records attributed to David Parkinson.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources
arXiv2026

3.5-meter Segmented-Mirror Robotic Space Telescope Mission White Paper IV. Key Scientific Mission: Solar-System Small Bodies and Planetary Defense

The baseline 0.2--1.5 $\mu$m observatory provides rapid-response astrometry, visible and near-infrared taxonomy, rotation and phase curves, recovery, and long-arc orbit improvement for near-Earth objects and other small bodies. The instrument study also evaluates calibrated throughput to 2.70 $\mu$m with a 3.0 $\mu$m operational band-edge goal. A reduction to 2.5 $\mu$m remains the formal engineering off-ramp if thermal, detector, cooling, mass, power, or cost constraints require it. The 3.5-meter Segmented-Mirror Robotic Space Telescope does not carry a mid-infrared channel. Coordinated ground-based mid-infrared telescopes provide the thermal fluxes required to infer diameter and albedo, while the space mission supplies contemporaneous reflected-light measurements and observing geometry. The program combines recovery, physical characterization, orbit refinement, and covariance-based hazard assessment. Its CODES dynamics system and OGFinder-to-OpenOrb processing path connect measured astrometry to reproducible orbit solutions and close-approach predictions.

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arXiv2026

3.5-meter Segmented-Mirror Robotic Space Telescope Mission White Paper V. Key Scientific Mission: Compact-Object Time-Domain Science

An isolated compact object retains the point-source resolving power of the space-based slitless spectrograph. The baseline wavelength range is 0.2--1.5 $\mu$m. The planning baseline uses $R \simeq 1000$ for broad and faint transient spectra and reserves selectable bands at $R \simeq 5000$ for accretion-disk profiles, velocity structure, and precision line ratios. Broad features can be measured after binning the native $R \simeq 5000$ data to lower resolution. Rapid-response spectroscopy follows gravitational-wave counterparts and kilonovae from hours to days. Repeated spectra of dwarf novae and compact binaries trace accretion state and orbital phase, while uninterrupted imaging of white dwarfs measures pulsation frequencies. The program combines mission-based monitoring with external alerts, including KGMT transient detections. The instrument study must preserve calibrated throughput to 2.70 $\mu$m and evaluate a 3.0 $\mu$m operational band edge, with 2.5 $\mu$m retained as the formal engineering off-ramp. Mid-infrared imaging is not part of the adopted compact-object baseline.

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arXiv2026

3.5-meter Segmented-Mirror Robotic Space Telescope Mission White Paper I. Overall Architecture and Scientific Mission

A 3.5-meter segmented-mirror robotic space telescope is under study as a space-based observatory for precision astrophysical observations and rapid-response transient astronomy in the 0.2-1.5 micron wavelength range. The telescope adopts a Cassegrain optical configuration optimized to deliver diffraction-limited performance across a wide, flat focal plane, achieving a Strehl ratio greater than 0.8 at 633 nm. The proposed scientific payload includes a Wide-field Camera (WC), a spectroscopic instrument, and an optional Exoplanet Imaging Coronagraph. The Wide-field Camera (WC) provides multi-wavelength imaging and high-cadence time-series photometry over a field of view ranging from 10'X10' to 30'X30'. The spectroscopic configuration and resolving power remain under study to accommodate the requirements of the principal science programs. An optional Exoplanet Imaging Coronagraph is being investigated for high-contrast imaging of nearby planetary systems, with performance goals extending toward raw contrasts of approximately 10^(-8) and improved post-processed performance. Candidate orbital configurations, including Earth orbit and the Sun-Earth L2 region, are currently being evaluated. Planned investigations include gravitational-wave counterparts, rapidly evolving transients, Type Ia supernova cosmology, direct imaging of exoplanets, and exoplanet atmospheric spectroscopy. Although driven by these core scientific objectives, the observatory is conceived as a general-purpose facility providing open-access observing time to the international scientific community. This paper presents the preliminary architecture, performance goals, and scientific mission of the proposed 3.5-meter space telescope.

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arXiv2026

3.5-meter Segmented-Mirror Robotic Space Telescope Mission White Paper II. Key Scientific Mission: Wide-Field Cosmology and Galaxy Evolution

The 3.5-meter Segmented-Mirror Robotic Space Telescope uses an image slicer for all spectroscopic observations. The planning baseline uses $R \simeq 1000$ for the wide survey and retains selectable $R \simeq 5000$ bands for precision line measurements. The central science case is a dense emission-line galaxy redshift survey for baryon acoustic oscillations and redshift-space distortions. Supernova and quasar programs exploit the stability, multiplexing, and repeatability of space operations. The supernova tier measures rest-frame U and near-ultraviolet magnitudes that separate optical twins at subgroup precision to $z \simeq 0.9$--$1.1$ in standard visits and to $z \simeq 1.3$--$1.5$ in ten-hour stacks. Every wide-survey tile receives three spectroscopic orientations, and a joint scene reconstruction uses their different overlap geometries to recover the spectra. The flagship survey covers 100--300 deg$^2$ and targets $10^6$--$3 \times 10^6$ emission-line galaxies. A deep pencil-beam tier and a supernova time-domain tier complement the wide survey. The same observations provide a census of ultra-diffuse and low-surface-brightness galaxies, map intracluster light, and test cold, self-interacting, and fuzzy dark matter through dwarf-galaxy structure and low-mass halo abundance.

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arXiv2026

3.5-meter Segmented-Mirror Robotic Space Telescope Mission White Paper III. Key Scientific Mission: Exoplanet Science with a Coronagraph

This volume defines the exoplanet science program enabled by the dedicated high-contrast coronagraph in the baseline science payload of the 3.5-meter Segmented-Mirror Robotic Space Telescope. The observatory architecture incorporates the optical interfaces, wavefront sensing and control, pointing stability, and operations software required for coronagraphic observations from the outset. The observing strategy gives priority to the nearest stellar systems because they provide the most accessible laboratories for planetary exploration and the most likely destinations of future interstellar missions. The diffraction limit sets a reflected-light horizon of roughly 10--15 pc for planets at 1 AU and roughly 50--80 pc for Jupiter analogs. Within those horizons, the telescope can image nearby giant planets, obtain reflected-light spectra of their atmospheres, survey young systems and circumstellar disks, and support the habitability and biosignature programs that larger future missions will pursue. The wide-field imager complements the coronagraph through transit photometry, occurrence-rate statistics, and long-term monitoring of stellar magnetic activity. A systematic census of the nearest stellar neighbors provides a lasting reference for exoplanet science and future space exploration.

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arXiv2026

A refined method for measuring cosmological distances using variability and proper motions in AGN with VLBI-detected counter-jets

In a previous paper, we described a `standard speed-gun' (SSG) distance that uses the speed of light to standardize a ruler under the assumption that the radio variability seen in blazars is causally limited. The apparent size is then measured with Very Long Baseline Interferometry in order to derive the angular diameter distance. A key limitation of this method is that it requires knowledge of the relativistic Doppler factor. Previously, we estimated the distance to the bright radio source, 3C 84 at the center of the Perseus cluster assuming a Doppler factor of \delta ~ 1. In this paper, we aim to describe how a detected counter-jet and approaching jet proper motions can be used to remove the need for knowledge of the Doppler factor when measuring cosmological distances in this way. Under the assumption of a disk (or spherical) geometry and parameterizing the relationship between the physical emitting region and the variability timescale via a causality correction factor (kappa), we estimate a refined angular diameter distance to 3C 84 (z=0.0178) with statistical errors. Assuming kappa=1, we derive distances of D_A,disk = 78.9(-9.8+11.0) Mpc (or D_A,sphere = 71.2(-8.8+9.7) Mpc). Comparing these results to literature benchmarks, we find that the spherical assumption yields a distance consistent with local Type Ia supernovae calibrated to the SH0ES H0, while a disk-like geometry aligns with expectations from a lower H0 cosmology. Ultimately, this demonstrates that utilizing jet and counter-jet kinematics successfully removes the Doppler-factor dependence from the standard speed-gun method, providing a viable independent distance estimate once the geometric structure of the jet is resolved.

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arXiv2026

Cosmology from Nx2pt Analyses of SKAO Wide-Area Surveys

SKAO surveys will provide an unprecedented window into the large-scale structure of the universe through HI 21cm galaxy and intensity mapping surveys, and radio continuum surveys. We present forecasts for the cosmological constraining power of ``$N\times2\mathrm{pt}$'' analyses -- which combine galaxy clustering, galaxy weak lensing, galaxy-galaxy lensing signals and 21cm Intensity Maps. By assuming cosmology surveys from an SKA-Mid AA4, we show that such an $N\times2\mathrm{pt}$ analysis will be able to deliver measurements of $\sim1\%$ precision on $\Lambda$CDM cosmological parameters. We also explore dynamical dark energy in the $w_0, w_a$ model, the sum of neutrino masses $\rm M_\nu$, and the background curvature $\Omega_{\rm k}$.

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arXiv2026

Cosmology from Clustering of Continuum Galaxies

The distribution of radio continuum galaxies is a useful, fast, and accessible probe of the matter distribution in the Universe, enlightening us about the Universe's initial conditions, the physics of dark matter, and the nature of the mysterious dark energy. However, radio continuum galaxies alone cannot easily be localised in the radial direction, and cross-identification of host sources from optical catalogues is challenging across wide area surveys. Moreover, there are several redshift-dependent properties of radio galaxy populations that all need accurate modelling to make reliable inferences about fundamental physics. These include accurate measurements of the redshift distribution of radio sources ($dN/dz$), the coupling between radio galaxies and the underlying matter distribution (quantified by the galaxy bias, $b(z)$), and the true flux distribution $N(S,z)$ of the radio sources (magnification bias). The amount of encoded cosmological information depends on the survey properties and the level of homogeneity across its footprint. In this chapter, we demonstrate the cosmological potential of a 20,000 sq. deg survey with the SKAO in AA4 configuration, using 10,000 hours of observations. Such a survey will reach $\mathcal{O}(\mu\mathrm{Jy/beam)}$ sensitivities and detect $\mathcal{O}$(300-400 million) radio sources, the largest sample of radio continuum galaxies to date. This surpasses the number of sources assumed for the previous SKA cosmology Red Book. We predict the angular clustering of such a survey, using mocks accounting for potential telescope systematics, and discuss which data corrections may be needed when these systematics cannot be accurately modelled.}

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arXiv2026

A Path to an All-Sky Survey with Roman

A deep, space-based, all-sky near-infrared survey carried out with the Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope would constitute a foundational astronomical infrastructure for decades to come. In this white paper, we present a concrete and feasible path to imaging the entire sky at $\sim0.1''$ resolution, beginning with high-impact fields in Cycle 1 and scaling to ultra-wide coverage within the nominal mission. This first-epoch survey will reach $\mathrm{H}\sim25.5$ AB mag (5$σ$) and maximize synergies with contemporaneous observatories, while preserving substantial time for other ambitious Roman programs. We outline representative scheduling scenarios and an example Cycle 1 program that triples early Roman-LSST overlap and delivers high-value community data products such as LSST forced photometry, joint \textit{Gaia}-Roman astrometry, and catalogs of Galactic substructure, stong lenses, and other rare systems. The Cycle 1 program will lay the foundation for an eventual all-sky survey, while also delivering high-impact early science. We invite broad community participation in shaping and carrying out both the initial program and the long-term vision of an all-sky Roman survey.

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arXiv2025

Generalized framework for likelihood-based field-level inference of growth rate from velocity and density fields

Measuring the growth rate of large-scale structures (f) as a function of redshift has the potential to break degeneracies between modified gravity and dark energy models, when combined with expansion-rate probes. Direct estimates of peculiar velocities of galaxies have attracted interest as a means of estimating $fσ_8$. In particular, field-level methods can be used to fit the field nuisance parameter along with cosmological parameters simultaneously. This article aims to provide the community with a unified framework for the theoretical modeling of the likelihood-based field-level inference by performing fast field covariance calculations for velocity and density fields. Our purpose is to lay the foundations for a nonlinear extension of the likelihood-based method at the field level. We have developed a generalized framework, implemented in the dedicated software flip to perform a likelihood-based inference of $fσ_8$. We derived a new field covariance model, which includes wide-angle corrections. We also included the models previously described in the literature inside our framework. We compared their performance against ours, and we validated our model by comparing it with the two-point statistics of a recent N-body simulation. The tests we performed have allowed us to validate our software and determine the appropriate wavenumber range to integrate our covariance model and its validity in terms of separation. Our framework allows for a wider wavenumber coverage to be used in our calculations than in previous works. Finally, our generalized framework allows us to efficiently perform a survey geometry-dependent Fisher forecast of the $fσ_8$ parameter. We show that the Fisher forecast method we developed gives an error bar that is 30 % closer to a full likelihood-based estimation than a standard volume Fisher forecast.

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arXiv2025

Generating all-sky radio continuum clustering simulations with GHOST

Techniques using multiple tracers of the large scale structure of the universe show great promise for examining the fundamentals of our Universe's cosmology. Such techniques rely on the different relationship between the overdensity of tracers and the broader matter overdensity, enabling cosmic-variance-free tests of primordial non-Gaussianity in the initial curvature perturbations. There is a great opportunity for current and future all-sky extra-galactic radio surveys to make use of this technique to test for non-Gaussianity at a precision greater than existing all-sky constraints from the cosmic microwave background. To realize this goal there is a need for accurate simulations. Previous radio galaxy simulations have either been realistic but covering only a small area (and so unhelpful for cosmological forecasts), or all-sky dark matter only cosmological simulations but having no connection to a real radio galaxy population. In this study, we use the FLAMINGO suite of cosmological surveys, as well as the matching of dark matter halos to radio galaxy population, to create an accurate sky simulation in order to examine the feasibility of multi-tracer techniques. We present an analysis of the clustering (with a bias model for the simulation), as well as redshift distributions, source counts and radio luminosity functions, and discuss future work on non-Gaussianity detection.

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arXiv2025

The Redshift-Space Momentum Power Spectrum III: measuring the growth rate from the SDSSv survey using auto- and cross- power spectrum of the galaxy density and momentum fields

The large-scale structure of the Universe and its evolution over time contains an abundance of cosmological information. One way to unlock this is by measuring the density and momentum power spectrum from the positions and peculiar velocities of galaxies, and fitting the cosmological parameters from these power spectrum. In this paper, we will explore the cross power spectrum between the density and momentum fields of galaxies. We derive the estimator of the density-momentum cross power spectrum multipoles. The growth rate of the large-scale-structure, $fσ_8$ is measured from fitting the combined density monopole, momentum monopole and cross dipole power spectrum. The estimators and models of power spectrum as well as our fitting method have been tested using mock catalogues, and we find that they perform well in recovering the fiducial values of the cosmological parameters of the simulations, and we also find that the errors of the parameters can be largely reduced by including the cross-power spectrum in the fit. We measure the auto-density, auto-momentum and cross power spectrum using the Sloan Digital Sky Survey Data Release 14 peculiar velocity catalogue. The fit result of the growth rate $fσ_8$ is $fσ_8=0.413^{+0.050}_{-0.058}$ at effective redshift $z_{\mathrm{eff}}=0.073$, and our measurement is consistent with the prediction of the $Λ$ Cold Dark Matter cosmological model assuming General Relativity.

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arXiv2025

Primordial non-Gaussianity systematics from redshift mismatch with SPHEREx

The ability to differentiate between different models of inflation through the imprint of primordial non-Gaussianity (PNG) requires stringent constraints on the local PNG parameter $f_{\text{NL}}^{\text{loc}}$. Upcoming data from the large scale structure surveys like \textit{Euclid}, Vera C. Rubin Observatory, and the Spectro-Photometer for the History of the Universe, Epoch of Reionization, and Ices Explorer (SPHEREx) will be instrumental in advancing our understanding of the inflationary epoch. In this context, we present forecasts on PNG with tomographic angular power spectra derived from simulations of SPHEREx. We put forward the effects of redshift bin mismatch of galaxies as a significant source of systematic uncertainty in the estimation of both $f_{\text{NL}}^{\text{loc}}$ and galaxy linear halo bias. We simulate $500$ SPHEREx-like galaxy density fields, and divide the galaxies into redshift bins assuming Gaussian photometric redshift errors. We show that the misclassification of galaxies in redshift bins can result in strong apparent tensions on $f_{\text{NL}}^{\text{loc}}$ up to $\sim 3-6σ$ and up to $\sim 9-12σ$ on galaxy bias. To address this, we propose a scattering matrix formalism that mitigates bin mismatch of galaxies and enables unbiased estimation of cosmological parameters from tomographic angular clustering measurements.

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arXiv2025

EMU: Cross-correlating EMU Pilot Survey 1 with Dark Energy Survey to validate the radio galaxy bias and redshift distribution

Radio continuum galaxy surveys can provide a relatively fast map of the projected distribution of structure in the Universe, at the cost of lacking information about the radial distribution. We can use these surveys to learn about the growth of structure and the fundamental physics of the Universe, but doing so requires extra information to be provided in the modelling of the redshift distribution, $dN/dz$. In this work, we show how the cross-correlation of the two-dimensional radio continuum map with another galaxy map (in this case a photometric optical extragalactic survey), with a known redshift distribution, can be used to determine the redshift distribution through statistical inference. We use data from the Evolutionary Map of the Universe (EMU) Pilot Survey 1 and cross-correlate it with optical data from the Dark Energy Survey to fit the parameters of our $dN/dz$ model. We show that the recovered distribution has a similar shape to the distribution predicted by the current state-of-the-art simulation, and can fit the angular power spectrum data from cross-correlations very well, validating this model. These results will have significance for future cosmological analyses with large-scale radio continuum surveys such as the full EMU, or with the SKAO.

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arXiv2024

The Angular Correlation Function as measured by the GLEAM-X Survey

The angular correlation is a method for measuring the distribution of structure in the Universe, through the statistical properties of the angular distribution of galaxies on the sky. We measure the angular correlation of galaxies from the second data release of the GaLactic and Extragalactic All-sky Murchison Widefield Array eXtended survey (GLEAM-X) survey, a low-frequency radio survey covering declinations below +30 degrees. We find an angular distribution consistent with the LambdaCDM cosmological model assuming the best fitting cosmological parameters from Planck Collaboration et al. (2020). We fit a bias function to the discrete tracers of the underlying matter distribution, finding a bias that evolves with redshift in either a linear or exponential fashion to be a better fit to the data than a constant bias. We perform a covariance analysis to obtain an estimation of the properties of the errors, by analytic, jackknife and sample variance means. Our results are consistent with previous studies on the topic, and also the predictions of the LambdaCDM cosmological model.

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arXiv2024

The MOST Hosts Survey: spectroscopic observation of the host galaxies of ~40,000 transients using DESI

We present the MOST Hosts survey (Multi-Object Spectroscopy of Transient Hosts). The survey is planned to run throughout the five years of operation of the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI) and will generate a spectroscopic catalog of the hosts of most transients observed to date, in particular all the supernovae observed by most public, untargeted, wide-field, optical surveys (PTF/iPTF, SDSS II, ZTF, DECAT, DESIRT). Scientific questions for which the MOST Hosts survey will be useful include Type Ia supernova cosmology, fundamental plane and peculiar velocity measurements, and the understanding of the correlations between transients and their host galaxy properties. Here, we present the first release of the MOST Hosts survey: 21,931 hosts of 20,235 transients. These numbers represent 36% of the final MOST Hosts sample, consisting of 60,212 potential host galaxies of 38,603 transients (a transient can be assigned multiple potential hosts). Of these galaxies, 40% do not appear in the DESI primary target list and therefore require a specific program like MOST Hosts. Of all the transients in the MOST Hosts list, only 26.7% have existing classifications, and so the survey will provide redshifts (and luminosities) for nearly 30,000 transients. A preliminary Hubble diagram and a transient luminosity-duration diagram are shown as examples of future potential uses of the MOST Hosts survey. The survey will also provide a training sample of spectroscopically observed transients for photometry-only classifiers, as we enter an era when most newly observed transients will lack spectroscopic classification. The MOST Hosts DESI survey data will be released through the Wiserep platform on a rolling cadence and updated to match the DESI releases. Dates of future releases and updates are available through the https://mosthosts.desi.lbl.gov website.

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arXiv2023

Planetary Complexity Revealed by the Joint Differential Entropy of Eigencolours

We propose a measure, the joint differential entropy of eigencolours, for determining the spatial complexity of exoplanets using only spatially unresolved light curve data. The measure can be used to search for habitable planets, based on the premise of a potential association between life and exoplanet complexity. We present an analysis using disk-integrated light curves from Earth, developed in previous studies, as a proxy for exoplanet data. We show that this quantity is distinct from previous measures of exoplanet complexity due to its sensitivity to spatial information that is masked by features with large mutual information between wavelengths, such as cloud cover. The measure has a natural upper limit and appears to avoid a strong bias toward specific planetary features. This makes it a candidate for being used as a generalisable measure of exoplanet habitability, since it is agnostic regarding the form that life could take.

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arXiv2023

Measurement of the matter-radiation equality scale using the extended Baryon Oscillation Spectroscopic Survey Quasar Sample

The position of the peak of the matter power spectrum, the so-called turnover scale, is set by the horizon size at the epoch of matter-radiation equality. It can easily be predicted in terms of the physics of the Universe in the relativistic era, and so can be used as a standard ruler, independent of other features present in the matter power spectrum, such as baryon acoustic oscillations (BAO). We use the distribution of quasars measured by the extended Baryon Oscillation Spectroscopic Survey (eBOSS) to determine the turnover scale in a model-independent fashion statistically. We avoid modelling the BAO by down-weighting affected scales in the covariance matrix using the mode deprojection technique. We measure the wavenumber of the peak to be $k_\mathrm{TO} = \left( 17.6^{+1.9}_{-1.8} \right) \times 10^{-3}h/\mathrm{Mpc}$, corresponding to a dilation scale of $ D_\mathrm{V}(z_\mathrm{eff} = 1.48) = \left({36.2^{+4.1}_{-4.4}}\right)r_\mathrm{H}$. This is not competitive with current BAO distance measures in terms of determining the expansion history but does provide a useful cross-check. We combine this measurement with low-redshift distance measurements from type-Ia supernova data from Pantheon and BAO data from eBOSS to make a sound-horizon free estimate of the Hubble-Lemaître parameter and find it to be $H_0=\left({74.7\pm 9.6}\right) \ \mathrm{km/s/Mpc}$ with Pantheon, and $H_0=\left({72.9^{+10.0}_{-8.6}}\right) \ \mathrm{km/s/Mpc}$ with eBOSS BAO. We make predictions for the measurement of the turnover scale by the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI) survey, the Maunakea Spectroscopic Explorer (MSE) and MegaMapper, which will make more precise and accurate distance determinations.

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