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David Parkinson

Publications and source records attributed to David Parkinson.

At least 37 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

The Galaxy Number Density Profile of Haloes

More precise measurements of galaxy clustering will be provided by the next generation of galaxy surveys such as DESI, WALLABY and SKA. To utilize this information to improve our understanding of the Universe, we need to accurately model the distribution of galaxies in their host dark matter halos. In this work we present a new galaxy number density profile of haloes, which makes predictions for the positions of galaxies in the host halo, different to the widely adopted Navarro-Frenk-White (NFW) profile, since galaxies tend to be found more in the outskirts of halos (nearer the virial radius) than an NFW profile. The parameterised galaxy number density profile model of haloes is fit and tested using the DARKSAGE semi-analytic model of galaxy formation. We find that our galaxy number density profile model of haloes can accurately reproduce the halo occupation distribution and galaxy two-point correlation function of the DARKSAGE simulation. We also derive the analytic expressions for the circular velocity and gravitational potential energy for this profile model. We use the SDSS DR10 galaxy group catalogue to validate this galaxy number density profile model of haloes. Compared to the NFW profile, we find that our model more accurately predicts the positions of galaxies in their host halo and the galaxy two-point correlation function.

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Reconstructing the cosmological density and velocity fields from redshifted galaxy distributions using V-net

The distribution of matter that is measured through galaxy redshift and peculiar velocity surveys can be harnessed to learn about the physics of dark matter, dark energy, and the nature of gravity. To improve our understanding of the matter of the Universe, we can reconstruct the full density and velocity fields from the galaxies that act as tracer particles. In this paper, we use the simulated halos as proxies for the galaxies. We use a convolutional neural network, a V-net, trained on numerical simulations of structure formation to reconstruct the density and velocity fields. We find that, with detailed tuning of the loss function, the V-net could produce better fits to the density field in the high-density and low-density regions, and improved predictions for the probability distribution of the amplitudes of the velocities. However, the weights will reduce the precision of the estimated $β$ parameter. We also find that the redshift-space distortions of the halo catalogue do not significantly contaminate the reconstructed real-space density and velocity field. We estimate the velocity field $β$ parameter by comparing the peculiar velocities of halo catalogues to the reconstructed velocity fields, and find the estimated $β$ values agree with the fiducial value at the 68\% confidence level.

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Identifying anomalous radio sources in the EMU Pilot Survey using a complexity-based approach

The Evolutionary Map of the Universe (EMU) large-area radio continuum survey will detect tens of millions of radio galaxies, giving an opportunity for the detection of previously unknown classes of objects. To maximise the scientific value and make new discoveries, the analysis of this data will need to go beyond simple visual inspection. We propose the coarse-grained complexity, a simple scalar quantity relating to the minimum description length of an image, that can be used to identify unusual structures. The complexity can be computed without reference to the broader sample or existing catalogue data, making the computation efficient on new surveys at very large scales (such as the full EMU survey). We apply our coarse-grained complexity measure to data from the EMU Pilot Survey to detect and confirm anomalous objects in this data set and produce an anomaly catalogue. Rather than work with existing catalogue data using a specific source detection algorithm, we perform a blind scan of the area, computing the complexity using a sliding square aperture. The effectiveness of the complexity measure for identifying anomalous objects is evaluated using crowd-sourced labels generated via the Zooniverse.org platform. We find that the complexity scan identifies unusual sources, such as odd radio circles, by partitioning on complexity. We achieve partitions where 5\% of the data is estimated to be 86\% complete, and 0.5\% is estimated to be 94\% pure, with respect to anomalies and use this to produce an anomaly catalogue.

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Constraining Cosmic Inflation with Observations: Prospects for 2030

The ability to test and constrain theories of cosmic inflation will advance substantially over the next decade. Key data sources include cosmic microwave background (CMB) measurements and observations of the distribution of matter at low-redshift from optical, near-infrared, and 21cm intensity surveys. A positive detection of a CMB B-mode consistent with a primordial stochastic gravitational wave background (SGWB) is widely viewed as a smoking gun for an inflationary phase. Still, a null result does not exclude inflation. However, in a significant class of inflationary scenarios, a low SGWB amplitude is correlated with a more significant running, $α_s$, in the primordial density perturbations than is seen with the simplest inflationary potentials. With this motivation, we forecast the precision with which the spectral index $n_{\rm{s}}$ and $α_{\rm{s}}$ can be constrained by currently envisaged observations, including CMB (Simons Observatory, CMB-S4 and LiteBIRD), optical/near infra-red (DESI and SPHEREx), and 21cm intensity mapping (Tianlai and CHIME) surveys. We identify optimal combinations of datasets for constraining the running and show that they may yield additional and informative constraints on the overall inflationary parameter space if the SGWB remains undetected.

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Detecting complex sources in large surveys using an apparent complexity measure

Large area astronomical surveys will almost certainly contain new objects of a type that have never been seen before. The detection of 'unknown unknowns' by an algorithm is a difficult problem to solve, as unusual things are often easier for a human to spot than a machine. We use the concept of apparent complexity, previously applied to detect multi-component radio sources, to scan the radio continuum Evolutionary Map of the Universe (EMU) Pilot Survey data for complex and interesting objects in a fully automated and blind manner. Here we describe how the complexity is defined and measured, how we applied it to the Pilot Survey data, and how we calibrated the completeness and purity of these interesting objects using a crowd-sourced 'zoo'. The results are also compared to unexpected and unusual sources already detected in the EMU Pilot Survey, including Odd Radio Circles, that were found by human inspection.

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Panel Discussion: Practical Problem Solving for Machine Learning

Machine Learning is a powerful tool for astrophysicists, which has already had significant uptake in the community. But there remain some barriers to entry, relating to proper understanding, the difficulty of interpretability, and the lack of cohesive training. In this discussion session we addressed some of these questions, and suggest how the field may move forward.

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Running primordial perturbations: Inflationary Dynamics and Observational Constraints

Inflationary cosmology proposes that the early Universe undergoes accelerated expansion, driven, in simple scenarios, by a single scalar field, or inflaton. The form of the inflaton potential determines the initial spectra of density perturbations and gravitational waves. We show that constraints on the duration of inflation together with the BICEP3/Keck bounds on the gravitational wave background imply that higher derivatives of the potential are nontrivial with a confidence of 99%. Such terms contribute to the scale-dependence, or running, of the density perturbation spectrum. We clarify the ``universality classes'' of inflation in this limit showing that a very small gravitational wave background can be correlated with a larger running. If pending experiments do not observe a gravitational wave background the running will be at the threshold of detectability if inflation is well-described at third-order in the slow roll expansion.

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HI HOD -- I. The Halo Occupation Distribution of HI Galaxies

The next generation of galaxy surveys will provide more precise measurements of galaxy clustering than have previously been possible. The 21-cm radio signals that are emitted from neutral atomic hydrogen (HI) gas will be detected by large-area radio surveys such as WALLABY and the SKA, and deliver galaxy positions and velocities that can be used to measure galaxy clustering statistics. But, to harness this information to improve our cosmological understanding, and learn about the physics of dark matter and dark energy, we need to accurately model the manner in which galaxies detected in HI trace the underlying matter distribution of the Universe. For this purpose, we develop a new HI-based Halo Occupation Distribution (HOD) model, which makes predictions for the number of galaxies present in dark matter halos conditional on their HI mass. The parameterised HOD model is fit and validated using the Dark Sage semi-analytic model, where we show that the HOD parameters can be modelled by simple linear and quadratic functions of HI mass. However, we also find that the clustering predicted by the HOD depends sensitively on the radial distributions of the HI galaxies within their host dark matter halos, which does not follow the NFW profile in the Dark Sage simulation. As such, this work enables -- for the first time -- a simple prescription for placing galaxies of different HI mass within dark matter halos in a way that is able to reproduce the HI mass-dependent galaxy clustering and HI mass function simultaneously and without requiring knowledge of the optical properties of the galaxies. Further efforts are required to demonstrate that this model can be used to produce large ensembles of mock galaxy catalogues for upcoming surveys.

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A measurement of the Integrated Sachs-Wolfe Effect with the Rapid ASKAP Continuum Survey

The evolution of the gravitational potentials on large scales due to the accelerated expansion of the Universe is an important and independent probe of dark energy, known as the integrated Sachs-Wolfe (ISW) effect. We measure this ISW effect through cross-correlating the cosmic microwave background maps from the Planck satellite with a radio continuum galaxy distribution map from the recent Rapid ASKAP Continuum Survey (RACS). We detect a positive cross-correlation at $\sim 2.8\,σ$ relative to the null hypothesis of no correlation. We parameterise the strength of the ISW effect through an amplitude parameter and find the constraints to be $A_{\mathrm{ISW}} = 0.94^{+0.42}_{-0.41}$, which is consistent with the prediction of an accelerating universe within the current concordance cosmological model, $Λ$CDM. The credible interval on this parameter is independent of the different bias models and redshift distributions that were considered when marginalising over the nuisance parameters. We also detect a power excess in the galaxy auto-correlation angular power spectrum on large scales ($\ell \leq 40$), and investigate possible systematic causes.

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Nested sampling for physical scientists

We review Skilling's nested sampling (NS) algorithm for Bayesian inference and more broadly multi-dimensional integration. After recapitulating the principles of NS, we survey developments in implementing efficient NS algorithms in practice in high-dimensions, including methods for sampling from the so-called constrained prior. We outline the ways in which NS may be applied and describe the application of NS in three scientific fields in which the algorithm has proved to be useful: cosmology, gravitational-wave astronomy, and materials science. We close by making recommendations for best practice when using NS and by summarizing potential limitations and optimizations of NS.

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STag: Supernova Tagging and Classification

Supernovae classes have been defined phenomenologically, based on spectral features and time series data, since the specific details of the physics of the different explosions remain unrevealed. However, the number of these classes is increasing as objects with new features are observed, and the next generation of large-surveys will only bring more variety to our attention. We apply the machine learning technique of multi-label classification to the spectra of supernovae. By measuring the probabilities of specific features or `tags' in the supernova spectra, we can compress the information from a specific object down to that suitable for a human or database scan, without the need to directly assign to a reductive `class'. We use logistic regression to assign tag probabilities, and then a feed-forward neural network to filter the objects into the standard set of classes, based solely on the tag probabilities. We present STag, a software package that can compute these tag probabilities and make spectral classifications.

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Cosmic Flow Measurement and Mock Sampling Algorithm of Cosmicflows-4 Tully-Fisher Catalogue

Measurements of cosmic flows enable us to test whether cosmological models can accurately describe the evolution of the density field in the nearby Universe. In this paper, we measure the low-order kinematic moments of the cosmic flow field, namely bulk flow and shear moments, using the Cosmicflows-4 Tully-Fisher catalogue (CF4TF). To make accurate cosmological inferences with the CF4TF sample, it is important to make realistic mock catalogues. We present the mock sampling algorithm of CF4TF. These mock can accurately realize the survey geometry and luminosity selection function, enabling researchers to explore how these systematics affect the measurements. These mocks can also be further used to estimate the covariance matrix and errors of power spectrum and two-point correlation function in future work. In this paper, we use the mocks to test the cosmic flow estimator and find that the measurements are unbiased. The measured bulk flow in the local Universe is 376 $\pm$ 23 (error) $\pm$ 183 (cosmic variance) km s$^{-1}$ at depth $d_{\text{MLE}}=35$ Mpc $h^{-1}$, to the Galactic direction of $(l,b)=(298\pm 3^{\circ}, -6\pm 3^{\circ})$. Both the measured bulk and shear moments are consistent with the concordance $Λ$ Cold Dark Matter cosmological model predictions.

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The Evolutionary Map of the Universe Pilot Survey

We present the data and initial results from the first Pilot Survey of the Evolutionary Map of the Universe (EMU), observed at 944 MHz with the Australian Square Kilometre Array Pathfinder (ASKAP) telescope. The survey covers 270 \sqdeg of an area covered by the Dark Energy Survey, reaching a depth of 25--30 \ujybm\ rms at a spatial resolution of $\sim$ 11--18 arcsec, resulting in a catalogue of $\sim$ 220,000 sources, of which $\sim$ 180,000 are single-component sources. Here we present the catalogue of single-component sources, together with (where available) optical and infrared cross-identifications, classifications, and redshifts. This survey explores a new region of parameter space compared to previous surveys. Specifically, the EMU Pilot Survey has a high density of sources, and also a high sensitivity to low surface-brightness emission. These properties result in the detection of types of sources that were rarely seen in or absent from previous surveys. We present some of these new results here.

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Future Radio Continuum Cosmology Clustering Surveys

The use of continuum emission radio galaxies as cosmological tracers of the large-scale structure will soon move into a new phase. Upcoming surveys from the Australian Square Kilometre Array Pathfinder (ASKAP), MeerKAT, and the Square Kilometre Array project (SKA) will survey the entire available sky down to an ~100uJy flux limit, increasing the number of detected extra-galactic radio sources by several orders of magnitude. External data and machine learning algorithms will also enable some low resolution radial selection (photometric redshift binning) of the sample, increasing the cosmological utility of the sample observed. In this paper, we discuss the flux limit required to detect enough galaxies to decrease the shot noise term in the error to be 10% of the total. We show how future surveys of this type will be limited by available technology. The confusion generated by the intrinsic sizes of galaxies may have the consequence that surveys of this type eventually reach a hard flux limit of ~100nJy, as is predicted by the current modelling of AGN sizes by simulations such as the Tiered Radio Extragalactic Continuum Simulation (T-RECS). Finally, when considering the multi-tracer approach, where galaxies are split by type to measure some bias ratio, we find that there are not enough AGN present to achieve a reasonable level of shot noise for this kind of measurement.

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KiDS-1000 Cosmology: constraints beyond flat $Λ$CDM

We present constraints on extensions to the flat $Λ$CDM cosmological model by varying the spatial curvature $Ω_K$, the sum of the neutrino masses $\sum m_ν$, the dark energy equation of state parameter $w$, and the Hu-Sawicki $f(R)$ gravity $f_{R0}$ parameter. With the combined $3\times2$pt measurements of cosmic shear from the Kilo-Degree Survey (KiDS-1000), galaxy clustering from the Baryon Oscillation Spectroscopic Survey (BOSS), and galaxy-galaxy lensing from the overlap between KiDS-1000, BOSS, and the spectroscopic 2-degree Field Lensing Survey (2dFLenS), we find results that are fully consistent with a flat $Λ$CDM model with $Ω_K=0.011^{+0.054}_{-0.057}$, $\sum m_ν<1.76$ eV (95% CL), and $w=-0.99^{+0.11}_{-0.13}$. The $f_{R0}$ parameter is unconstrained in our fully non-linear $f(R)$ cosmic shear analysis. Considering three different model selection criteria, we find no clear preference for either the fiducial flat $Λ$CDM model or any of the considered extensions. Besides extensions to the flat $Λ$CDM parameter space, we also explore restrictions to common subsets of the flat $Λ$CDM parameter space by fixing the amplitude of the primordial power spectrum to the Planck best-fit value, as well as adding external data from supernovae and lensing of the CMB. Neither the beyond-$Λ$CDM models nor the imposed restrictions explored in this analysis are able to resolve the $\sim 3σ$ tension in $S_8$ between the $3\times2$pt constraints and Planck, with the exception of $w$CDM, where the $S_8$ tension is resolved. The tension in the $w$CDM case persists, however, when considering the joint $S_8$-$w$ parameter space. The joint flat $Λ$CDM CMB lensing and $3\times2$pt analysis is found to yield tight constraints on $Ω_{\rm m}=0.307^{+0.008}_{-0.013}$, $σ_8=0.769^{+0.022}_{-0.010}$, and $S_8=0.779^{+0.013}_{-0.013}$.

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KiDS-1000 Cosmology: Multi-probe weak gravitational lensing and spectroscopic galaxy clustering constraints

We present a joint cosmological analysis of weak gravitational lensing observations from the Kilo-Degree Survey (KiDS-1000), with redshift-space galaxy clustering observations from the Baryon Oscillation Spectroscopic Survey (BOSS), and galaxy-galaxy lensing observations from the overlap between KiDS-1000, BOSS and the spectroscopic 2-degree Field Lensing Survey (2dFLenS). This combination of large-scale structure probes breaks the degeneracies between cosmological parameters for individual observables, resulting in a constraint on the structure growth parameter $S_8=σ_8 \sqrt{Ω_{\rm m}/0.3} = 0.766^{+0.020}_{-0.014}$, that has the same overall precision as that reported by the full-sky cosmic microwave background observations from Planck. The recovered $S_8$ amplitude is low, however, by $8.3 \pm 2.6$ % relative to Planck. This result builds from a series of KiDS-1000 analyses where we validate our methodology with variable depth mock galaxy surveys, our lensing calibration with image simulations and null-tests, and our optical-to-near-infrared redshift calibration with multi-band mock catalogues and a spectroscopic-photometric clustering analysis. The systematic uncertainties identified by these analyses are folded through as nuisance parameters in our cosmological analysis. Inspecting the offset between the marginalised posterior distributions, we find that the $S_8$-difference with Planck is driven by a tension in the matter fluctuation amplitude parameter, $σ_8$. We quantify the level of agreement between the CMB and our large-scale structure constraints using a series of different metrics, finding differences with a significance ranging between $\sim\! 3\,σ$, when considering the offset in $S_{8}$, and $\sim\! 2\,σ$, when considering the full multi-dimensional parameter space.

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HIR4: Cosmological signatures imprinted on the cross correlation between 21-cm map and galaxy clustering

We explore the cosmological multitracer synergies between an emission line galaxy distribution from the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument and a Tianlai Project 21-cm intensity map. We use simulated maps generated from a particle simulation in the light-cone volume (Horizon Run 4), sky-trimmed and including the effects of foreground contamination, its removal and instrument noise. We first validate how the foreground residual affects the recovered 21-cm signal by putting different levels of foreground contamination into the 21-cm maps. We find that the contamination cannot be ignored in the angular autocorrelation power spectra of HI even when it is small, but has no influence on the accuracy of the angular cross-power spectra between HI and galaxies. In the foreground-cleaned map case, as information is lost in the cleaning procedure, there is also a bias in the cross-correlation power spectrum. However, we found that the bias from the cross-correlation power spectrum is scale-independent, which is easily parameterized as part of the model, while the offset in the HI autocorrelation power spectrum is non-linear. In particular, we tested that the cross-correlation power also benefits from the cancellation of the bias in the power spectrum measurement that is induced by the instrument noise, which changes the shape of the autocorrelation power spectra but leaves the cross-correlation power unaffected. We then modelled the angular cross-correlation power spectra to fit the baryon acoustic oscillation feature in the broad-band shape of the angular cross-correlation power spectrum, including contamination from the residual foreground and the effect of instrument noise. We forecast a constraint on the angular diameter distance $D_\mathrm{A}$ for the Tianlai Pathfinder redshift $0.775<z<1.03$, giving a distance measurement with a precision of 2.7\% at that redshift.

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Cosmology with the Einstein Telescope: No Slip Gravity Model and Redshift Specifications

The Einstein Telescope and other third generation interferometric detectors of gravitational waves are projected to be operational post $2030$. The cosmological signatures of gravitational waves would undoubtedly shed light on any departure from the current gravitational framework. We here confront a specific modified gravity model, the No Slip Gravity model, with forecast observations of gravitational waves. We compare the predicted constraints on the dark energy equation of state parameters $w_0^{}-w_a^{}$, between the modified gravity model and that of Einstein gravity. We show that the No Slip Gravity model mimics closely the constraints from the standard gravitational theory, and that the cosmological constraints are very similar. The use of spectroscopic redshifts, especially in the low--redshift regime, lead to significant improvements in the inferred parameter constraints. We test how well such a prospective gravitational wave dataset would function at testing such models, and find that there are significant degeneracies between the modified gravity model parameters, and the cosmological parameters that determine the distance, due to the gravitational wave dimming effect of the modified theory.

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