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Eliza M. -R. Kempton

Publications and source records attributed to Eliza M. -R. Kempton.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

JWST MIRI reveals a potential atmosphere on the ultra-hot rocky planet TOI-431b

An open question in exoplanet science is whether rocky exoplanets extremely close in to their host stars, `lava worlds', can retain significant atmospheres. Thermal emission observations via secondary eclipse can be used to determine whether a rocky exoplanet possesses an atmosphere. It is expected that an atmosphere could increase the planet's albedo and/or redistribute heat away from the dayside, reducing the secondary eclipse depth measured. Recent eclipse observations of lava planets, rocky planets hot enough to have liquid magma surfaces, have suggested the presence of atmospheres. Here, we present a single JWST MIRI/LRS partial secondary eclipse of the lava planet TOI-431b. We measure an eclipse depth of 81 $\pm$ 16 ppm, which corresponds to a brightness temperature of $1967^{+237}_{-253}$ K and a brightness temperature ratio R = $0.81\pm0.10$, being 1.2 $\sigma$ higher than the value reported by Spitzer. The observed brightness temperature ratio is 1.8$\sigma$ below that of a zero-albedo, zero heat redistribution bare rock (R=1). Given that magma pools are expected to have low albedos, we find that our results are best explained by the presence of an atmosphere. Future work to measure the exact composition of TOI-431b's atmosphere and improve models of lava planet atmospheres would better constrain the nature and evolution of lava planets.

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Precise Determination of the Metallicity and C/O of WASP-39~b From a Single JWST Instrument Mode with Phase-Resolved Cross-Correlation Retrievals

Measuring atmospheric metallicities and C/O ratios is a key goal of JWST exoplanet science, given their proposed link to planet formation. Achieving this goal has previously been shown to require broad wavelength coverage ($\sim$1--5 $\mu$m), typically demanding multiple instrument modes to complete the molecular inventory. Here, we show that the multi-instrument requirement can be circumvented using phase-resolved cross-correlation retrievals at native pixel resolution -- an approach more typically applied to ground-based high-resolution spectroscopy. By applying this novel analysis technique to an archival single-mode transit of the hot Jupiter WASP-39~b obtained with NIRSpec/G395H, we detect and obtain bounded abundances for all of its major carbon- and oxygen-bearing molecules: H$_2$O ($\Delta \ln(Z) = 67$), CO ($\Delta \ln(Z) = 25$), CO$_2$ ($\Delta \ln(Z) = 475$), and SO$_2$ ($\Delta \ln(Z) = 10$). Notably, while standard retrieval methods fail to detect CO in these same data ($\Delta \ln(Z) = 0.2$), our approach detects it decisively, confirming it as the dominant carbon carrier in WASP-39 b's atmosphere. From these abundances, we robustly derive a metallicity of $\rm [(C + O) / H] = 1.2 \pm 0.2$ and a C/O ratio of $0.68^{+0.10}_{-0.14} $, generally consistent with previous multi-instrument analyses. In comparison, traditional retrievals performed on the G395H data alone produce biased and inaccurate values of both parameters, driven primarily by the non-detection of CO as well as incomplete water band coverage. Our results establish phase-resolved cross-correlation retrievals as a powerful tool for extracting maximum atmospheric information from existing and future JWST data sets.

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C, N, O, S, and photochemistry in a temperate giant planet orbiting a late M dwarf

We report the JWST NIRSpec/PRISM transit spectrum of TOI-6894b, an exceptional 420 K sub-Saturn that is the only known giant planet transiting a late M dwarf. Remarkably, both the light curve and the transit spectrum exhibit almost no stellar contamination. The spectrum is dominated by prominent absorption features from CH$_4$ and the photochemical product CS$_2$. For the first time in a transit spectrum, NH$_3$ is visually evident, while subtler features from H$_2$O, and CO$_2$ can also be seen. We significantly improve upon state-of-the-art photochemical reaction networks, and use our new network to run radiative-convective photochemical models at different metallicities. These models show that the spectrum--in particular the size of the NH$_3$ and CO$_2$ features relative to the CH$_4$ and H$_2$O features--is most consistent with a metallicity of 3--10$\times$ solar. Using a semi-free retrieval framework that perturbs the self-consistent model's abundance and temperature profiles to fit the data, we find that the planet's C/O, N/O, and S/O ratios are broadly consistent with solar values. A grid retrieval on 1D radiative-convective photochemical equilibrium (RCPE) models reveals a similar result: $[M/H]=0.46 \pm 0.08$ and C/O=$0.69 \pm 0.06$. The planet's atmospheric metallicity, abundance ratios, and bulk metal fraction are all strikingly similar to that of Jupiter, Saturn, and other gas giant exoplanets, despite orbiting a very low-mass star.

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Photochemical Production of CS2 in Temperate-to-Warm Gas Giant Exoplanet Atmospheres

Sulfur chemistry has emerged as an important probe of exoplanet atmospheres in the JWST era, although observational constraints have thus far been largely limited to SO2 and H2S in warm and hot exoplanets. Recent JWST observations have revealed CS2 in several cooler gas-giant exoplanets, yielding a new tracer of sulfur chemistry. However, the detailed chemical pathways responsible for the formation of CS2 remain poorly understood. Here, we use TOI-6894 b, a temperate gas giant with evidence for CS2, as a test case for one-dimensional photochemical kinetic-transport modeling and sensitivity analyses of CS2 chemistry. We show that CS2 is produced through coupled thermochemical and photochemical processes involving CH4 and H2S as the primary carbon and sulfur reservoirs, with S2 photolysis driving disequilibrium sulfur chemistry. Our models provide a physically consistent explanation for the observed CS2 feature in TOI-6894 b. Extending our analysis to gas giant exoplanets spanning a wide range of Teq, we find that CS2 abundance peaks in temperate to warm atmospheres (Teq ~ 500 - 700 K), and declines toward both lower and higher temperatures. This temperature dependence provides a unified framework for interpreting current CS2 observations, accounting for reported detections in temperate to warm planets and the lack of detections in colder and hotter giant exoplanets. Our results establish CS2 as a complementary probe of sulfur inventories and atmospheric metallicity in cool gas giant exoplanets

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Horizontal transport as a source of disequilibrium chemistry on the nightside of a hot exoplanet

Hot Jupiters have temperature gradients of several hundreds of degrees between their permanent day and nightsides. In equilibrium, the primary carbon reservoir is expected to transition from CO on the dayside to CH4 on the nightside. Theory predicts that the atmospheric circulation, characterised by km/s winds, can advect chemical species from the dayside to the nightside faster than the time needed for the CO-to-CH4 chemical reaction to reach equilibrium. However direct evidence of this process has, so far, remained elusive, partly because it is often degenerate with other processes, such as vertical mixing or non-stellar elemental abundances. Here, we present observational evidence for such day-to-night transport of chemical species by observing both the dayside and the nightside of the hot Jupiter NGTS-10A b with the JWST/NIRSpec instrument. We constrain the presence of H2O and CO with similar abundances on both the dayside and nightside. Our observations are compatible with a solar-composition atmosphere at chemical equilibrium on the dayside, but indicative of disequilibrium chemistry for the nightside as it is significantly depleted in CH4 compared to equilibrium chemistry predictions. We further show that the lack of CH4 on the planet's nightside cannot be attributed to non-solar elemental abundances or to vertical mixing mechanisms and must therefore be due to horizontal chemical quenching. Our study shows the fundamental role atmospheric transport plays in shaping the distribution of chemical species on exoplanet atmospheres.

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Sub-Neptunes as Soot Factories: Deep Atmosphere Hydrocarbon Formation and Quenching as the Origin of Sub-Neptune Aerosol Trends

Recent population-level studies of sub-Neptune atmospheres have identified a tentative parabolic trend in transmission spectrum amplitude for planets with Teq ~ 500-800 K. While the trend has been commonly attributed to hydrocarbon aerosols, we lack a first-principles explanation of its underlying chemical mechanism. Previous work has focused on the role of methane photolysis and subsequent polymerization, but with limited reaction networks that truncated at C2-species and couldn't reproduce the observed parabolic trend. In this work, enabled by a computer-automated, rate-based chemical network generator, we construct the most comprehensive carbon reaction network for exoplanet atmospheres to date. We explicitly model the formation of polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs), which are well established as soot precursors in combustion chemistry. We calculate the chemical timescales of hydrocarbon species through an eigenvalue timescale method and model their quenched abundances across a range of C/O, metallicities, and Teq. In this framework, the deep atmosphere acts as a "soot factory" analogous to a combustion engine, transporting the ingredients for hydrocarbon aerosol formation to the JWST-observable region of the atmosphere, where it may be further augmented by photochemistry. We find that the predicted abundances of PAHs peak near 600 K, and fall off toward higher and lower Teq, consistent with the observed muted-spectra regime suggested in observational studies by HST and JWST. We also show that PAH abundances are expected to vary with C/O and metallicity, thus providing a natural explanation for observed diversity among planets with similar Teq.

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A window for water-hydrogen demixing on warm metal-rich sub-Neptunes

Sub-Neptunes represent the largest exoplanet demographic, yet their bulk compositions remain poorly understood. Recent studies suggested that only very cold planets, such as Uranus and Neptune, could experience stratification of volatiles in their envelopes. Transiting warm sub-Neptunes, with $10^3$ to $10^4$ times more stellar irradiation, were therefore believed to have fully-miscible compositions. Here, we present ATHENAIA, an interior-atmosphere composition inference framework we leverage to assess the potential for water-hydrogen demixing on warm sub-Neptunes and for the 350 K planet TOI-270 d as a case study, using radiative-convective atmosphere models coupled to interior models. We find that the higher temperatures at which hydrogen and water demix in water-rich environments open a window for demixing on sub-Neptunes with bulk envelope metallicities of $\sim 150$ to $700\times$ solar, compatible with TOI-270 d. Demixing is easier to achieve on more massive and colder planets, but still broadly affects warm ($\simeq $330 to 450 K) metal-rich sub-Neptunes. Therefore, combining atmosphere metallicities with models of fully-miscible envelopes may lead to underestimated bulk envelope metallicities and mass fractions. Further, we find that considering the increased greenhouse effect in metal-rich atmospheres in concert with the composition-dependent adiabatic gradient in the convective envelope increases the range of compositions under which molten mantle conditions should be expected on sub-Neptunes. This work encourages a reconsideration of the current paradigm for linking sub-Neptune atmospheres to their interiors and motivates evolutionary modeling describing the onset of metallicity gradients in sub-Neptune envelopes.

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Magma ocean interactions can explain JWST observations of the sub-Neptune TOI-270 d

Sub-Neptunes with substantial atmospheres may possess magma oceans in contact with the overlying gas, with chemical interactions between the atmosphere and magma playing an important role in shaping atmospheric composition. Early JWST observations have found high abundances of carbon- and oxygen-bearing molecules in a number of sub-Neptune atmospheres, which may result from processes including accretion of icy material at formation or magma-atmosphere interactions. Previous work examining the effects of magma-atmosphere interactions on sub-Neptunes has mostly been limited to studying conditions at the atmosphere-mantle boundary, without considering implications for the upper atmosphere which is probed by spectroscopic observations. In this work, we present a modeling architecture to determine observable signatures of magma-atmosphere interactions. We combine an equilibrium chemistry code which models reactions between the core, mantle and atmosphere with a radiative-convective model that determines the composition and structure of the observable upper atmosphere. We examine how different conditions at the atmosphere-mantle boundary and different core and mantle compositions impact the upper atmospheric composition. We compare our models to JWST NIRISS+NIRSpec observations of the sub-Neptune TOI-270~d, finding that our models can provide a good fit to the observed transmission spectrum with little fine-tuning. This suggests that magma-atmosphere interactions may be sufficient to explain high abundances of molecules such as H$_2$O, CH$_4$ and CO$_2$ in sub-Neptune atmospheres, without additional accretion of icy material from the protoplanetary disk. Although other processes could lead to similar compositions, our work highlights the need to consider magma-atmosphere interactions when interpreting the observed atmospheric composition of a sub-Neptune.

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The MUSCLES Extension for Atmospheric Transmission Spectroscopy: Spectral energy distributions for 20 exoplanet host stars that JWST observed in Cycle 1

Correctly interpreting JWST spectra of close-in exoplanets requires a measurement of the X-ray and ultraviolet light that the planets receive from their host stars. Here we provide spectral energy distributions (SEDs) covering the range $\approx5-1\times10^7$A for 20 transiting exoplanet host stars observed in JWST Cycle 1. The SEDs are constructed out of new and archival Hubble Space Telescope, Chandra X-ray Observatory and/or XMM-Newton data combined with spectra from models or stars with similar properties (proxies) filling in unobserved gaps. We have also constructed SEDs of likely Habitable Worlds Observatory targets $κ^1$ Ceti, $τ$ Ceti, $ε$ Indi and 70 Oph B for use as proxies. We find that the JWST target planets almost all experience much stronger ultraviolet fluxes than the Earth, especially in the extreme ultraviolet, even for planets with similar overall instellation. Strong ongoing or past atmospheric escape is possible for a majority of these planets. We also assess the now considerable sample of panchromatic stellar SEDs and its applicability for current JWST observations and beyond.

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Soot Planets instead of Water Worlds

Some low-density exoplanets are thought to be water-rich worlds that formed beyond the snow line of their protoplanetary disc, possibly accreting coequal portions of rock and water. However, the compositions of bodies within the Solar System and the stability of volatile-rich solids in accretionary disks suggest that a planet rich in water should also acquire as much as 40% refractory organic carbon (``soot''). This would reduce the water mass fraction well below 50%, making the composition of these planets similar to those of Solar System comets. Here we show that soot-rich planets, with or without water, can account for the low average densities of exoplanets that were previously attributed to a binary combination of rock and water. Formed in locations beyond the soot and/or snow lines in disks, these planets are likely common in our galaxy and already observed by JWST. The surfaces and interiors of soot-rich planets will be influenced by the chemical and physical properties of carbonaceous phases, and the atmospheres of such planets may contain plentiful methane and other hydrocarbons, with implications for photochemical haze generation and habitability.

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Not All Sub-Neptune Exoplanets Have Magma Oceans

The evolution and structure of sub-Neptunes may be strongly influenced by interactions between the outer gaseous envelope of the planet and a surface magma ocean. However, given the wide variety of permissible interior structures of these planets, it is unclear whether conditions at the envelope-mantle boundary will always permit a molten silicate layer, or whether some sub-Neptunes might instead host a solid silicate surface. In this work, we use internal structure modeling to perform an extensive exploration of surface conditions within the sub-Neptune population across a range of bulk and atmospheric parameters. We find that a significant portion of the population may lack present-day magma oceans. In particular, planets with a high atmospheric mean molecular weight and large envelope mass fraction are likely to instead have a solid silicate surface, since the pressure at the envelope-mantle boundary is high enough that the silicates will be in solid post-perovskite phase. This result is particularly relevant given recent inferences of high-mean molecular weight atmospheres from JWST observations of several sub-Neptunes. We apply this approach to a number of sub-Neptunes with existing or upcoming JWST observations, and find that in almost all cases, a range of solutions exist which do not possess a present-day magma ocean. Our analysis provides critical context for interpreting sub-Neptunes and their atmospheres.

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Horizontal and vertical exoplanet thermal structure from a JWST spectroscopic eclipse map

Highly-irradiated giant exoplanets known as "ultra-hot Jupiters" are anticipated to exhibit large variations of atmospheric temperature and chemistry as a function of longitude, latitude, and altitude. Previous observations have hinted at these variations, but the existing data have been fundamentally restricted to probing hemisphere-integrated spectra, thereby providing only coarse information on atmospheric gradients. Here we present a spectroscopic eclipse map of an extrasolar planet, resolving the atmosphere in multiple dimensions simultaneously. We analyze a secondary eclipse of the ultra-hot Jupiter WASP-18b observed with the NIRISS instrument on JWST. The mapping reveals weaker longitudinal temperature gradients than were predicted by theoretical models, indicating the importance of hydrogen dissociation and/or nightside clouds in shaping global thermal emission. Additionally, we identify two thermally distinct regions of the planet's atmosphere: a "hotspot" surrounding the substellar point and a "ring" near the dayside limbs. The hotspot region shows a strongly inverted thermal structure due to the presence of optical absorbers and a water abundance marginally lower than the hemispheric average, in accordance with theoretical predictions. The ring region shows colder temperatures and poorly constrained chemical abundances. Similar future analyses will reveal three-dimensional thermal, chemical, and dynamical properties of a broad range of exoplanet atmospheres.

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Constraining exoplanet interiors using observations of their atmospheres

Astronomical surveys have identified numerous exoplanets with bulk compositions that are unlike the planets of the Solar System, including rocky super-Earths and gas-enveloped sub-Neptunes. Observing the atmospheres of these objects provides information on the geological processes that influence their climates and surfaces. In this Review, we summarize the current understanding of these planets, including insights into the interaction between the atmosphere and interior based on observations made with the James Webb Space Telescope (JWST). We describe the expected climatic and interior planetary regimes for planets with different density and stellar flux and how those regimes might be observationally distinguished. We also identify the observational, experimental, and theoretical innovations that will be required to characterize Earth-like exoplanets.

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Limb Asymmetries on WASP-39b: A Multi-GCM Comparison of Chemistry, Clouds, and Hazes

With JWST, observing separate spectra of the morning and evening limbs of hot Jupiters has finally become a reality. The first such observation was reported for WASP-39b, where the evening terminator was observed to have a larger transit radius by about 400 ppm and a stronger 4.3 $μ$m CO$_2$ feature than the morning terminator. Multiple factors, including temperature differences, photo/thermochemistry, clouds and hazes, could cause such limb asymmetries. To interpret these new limb asymmetry observations, a detailed understanding of how the relevant processes affect morning and evening spectra grounded in forward models is needed. Focusing on WASP-39b, we compare simulations from five different general circulation models (GCMs), including one simulating disequilibrium thermochemistry and one with cloud radiative feedback, to the recent WASP-39b limb asymmetry observations. We also post-process the temperature structures of all simulations with a 2D photochemical model and one simulation with a cloud microphysics model. Although the temperatures predicted by the different models vary considerably, the models are remarkably consistent in their predicted morning--evening temperature differences. Several equilibrium-chemistry simulations predict strong methane features in the morning spectrum, not seen in the observations. When including disequilibrium processes, horizontal transport homogenizes methane, and these methane features disappear. However, even after including photochemistry and clouds, our models still cannot reproduce the observed ${\sim}2000$ ppm asymmetry in the CO$_2$ feature. A combination of factors, such as varying metallicity and unexplored parameters in cloud models, may explain the discrepancy, emphasizing the need for future models integrating cloud microphysics and feedback across a broader parameter space.

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The JWST Rocky Worlds DDT Program reveals GJ 3929b to likely be a bare rock

We report first results from the JWST Rocky Worlds Director's Discretionary Time program. Two secondary eclipses of the terrestrial exoplanet GJ 3929b were recently observed using MIRI photometric imaging at 15 um. We present a reduction of these data using the updated SPARTA pipeline. We also refine the planet mass, radius, and predicted time of secondary eclipse using a new sector of TESS data and new, high-precision radial velocities from the MAROON-X spectrograph. For the two JWST observations, we recover secondary eclipse depths of 177+47-45ppm and 143+34-35ppm at times consistent with a nearly circular orbit, as expected from the radial velocity data. A joint fit of the two visits yields a dayside brightness temperature Tp,dayside = 782+/-79K for GJ 3929b, which is consistent with the maximum brightness temperature Tmax = 737+/-14K for a bare, black rock (i.e., assuming zero Bond albedo and no heat redistribution). These results rule out CO2-rich atmospheres thicker than 100mbar at >3sigma, suggesting that GJ 3929b has lost any significant secondary atmosphere. The radial velocity data also indicate two additional non-transiting planets in the system: a previously-identified planet in a 15.0d orbit, and a newly-identified planet candidate in a 6.1d orbit.

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Do Rocky Planets around M Stars Have Atmospheres? A Statistical Approach to the Cosmic Shoreline

Answering the question "do rocky exoplanets around M stars have atmospheres?" is a key science goal of the JWST mission, with 500 hours of Director's Discretionary Time (DDT) awarded to address it. Theoretically, the so-called "Cosmic Shoreline" may not hold around M stars due to their harsher XUV environment, possibly resulting in most rocky planets lacking significant atmospheres -- a hypothesis that remains to be statistically tested through judicious target selection. We identify target selection as a combinatorial optimization problem ("knapsack problem"). We develop a statistical framework to test population-level hypotheses from observations and combine a formation and evolution model, 1D-RCE atmosphere model, and genetic algorithm to simulate populations and find the optimal set of observations. We find that, firstly, if all rocky planets around M stars are indeed bare rocks, JWST can efficiently place an upper bound on the atmosphere occurrence rates to less than 1 in 8, even without optimized target selection, but further improvements to the constraint are cost-prohibitive. Secondly, if the Cosmic Shoreline hypothesis (XUV or bolometric) holds true for M stars, strong evidence ($Δ$BIC>5) can be found within ~500 observing hours using the optimal strategy of a "wide and shallow" approach. Our statistical framework can be directly applied to upcoming observations to robustly identify the Cosmic Shoreline and to optimize target selection for determining other trends in exoplanet atmosphere observations, including those from future missions.

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Assessing robustness and bias in 1D retrievals of 3D Global Circulation Models at high spectral resolution: a WASP-76 b simulation case study in emission

High-resolution spectroscopy (HRS) of exoplanet atmospheres has successfully detected many chemical species and is quickly moving toward detailed characterization of the chemical abundances and dynamics. HRS is highly sensitive to the line shape and position, thus, it can detect three-dimensional (3D) effects such as winds, rotation, and spatial variation of atmospheric conditions. At the same time, retrieval frameworks are increasingly deployed to constrain chemical abundances, pressure-temperature (P-T) structures, orbital parameters, and rotational broadening. To explore the multidimensional parameter space, they need computationally fast models that are consequently mostly one-dimensional (1D). However, this approach risks introducing interpretation bias since the planet's true nature is 3D. We investigate the robustness of this methodology at high spectral resolution by running 1D retrievals on simulated observations in emission within an observational framework using 3D Global Circulation Models of the quintessential HJ WASP-76 b. We find that the retrieval broadly recovers conditions present in the atmosphere, but that the retrieved P-T and chemical profiles are not a homogeneous average of all spatial and phase-dependent information. Instead, they are most sensitive to spatial regions with large thermal gradients, which do not necessarily coincide with the strongest emitting regions. Our results further suggest that the choice of parameterization for the P-T and chemical profiles, as well as Doppler offsets among opacity sources, impact retrieval results. These factors should be carefully considered in future retrieval analyses.

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Population-level Hypothesis Testing with Rocky Planet Emission Data: A Tentative Trend in the Brightness Temperatures of M-Earths

Determining which rocky exoplanets have atmospheres, and why, is a key goal for the James Webb Space Telescope. So far, emission observations of individual rocky exoplanets orbiting M stars (M-Earths) have not provided definitive evidence for atmospheres. Here, we synthesize emission data for M-Earths and find a trend in measured brightness temperatures (ratioed to its theoretical maximum value) as a function of instellation. However, the statistical evidence of this trend is dependent on the choice of stellar model, and we consider its identification tentative. We show that this trend can be explained by either the onset of thin/tenuous (<1 bar) CO2-rich atmospheres on colder worlds, or a population of bare rocks with stronger space weathering and/or coarser regolith on closer-in worlds. Such grain coarsening may be caused by sintering near the melting point of rock or frequent volcanic resurfacing. Furthermore, we highlight considerations when testing rocky planet hypotheses at the population level, including the choice of instrument, stellar modeling, and how brightness temperatures are derived. We also find that fresh (unweathered) fine-grained surfaces can serve as a false positive to the detection of moderate atmospheric heat redistribution through eclipse observations. However, we argue that such surfaces are unlikely given the ubiquity of space weathering in the Solar System, the low albedo of Solar System airless bodies, and the high stellar wind environments of M-Earths. Emission data from a larger sample of M-Earths will be able to confirm or reject this tentative trend and diagnose its cause through spectral characterization.

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