arXiv subjects

Felipe Andrade-Oliveira

Publications and source records attributed to Felipe Andrade-Oliveira.

13 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Measurement of the Hubble constant using the Dark Energy Survey Year 6 Gold galaxy catalogue and the fourth Gravitational-Wave Transient Catalogue

Gravitational wave (GW) standard sirens enable independent measurements of the Hubble constant $H_0$. In the absence of electromagnetic counterparts, the 'dark siren' method statistically correlates GW events with potential host galaxies. We present a measurement of $H_0$ using GWTC-4.0 (the fourth Gravitational-Wave Transient Catalogue) combined with the Dark Energy Survey Year 6 Gold photometric galaxy catalogue. Using the gwcosmo pipeline, we jointly infer cosmological and GW population parameters. We analyse the impact of galaxy catalogue properties on the inference, identifying significant features in the galaxy redshift distribution which can introduce biases. By restricting the galaxy catalogue to $0.05<z<0.50$ to maintain consistency with a uniform in comoving volume galaxy distribution, we obtain a result of $H_0 = 71.7^{+22.7}_{-18.3}\;\text{km}\;\text{s}^{-1}\;\text{Mpc}^{-1}$ from dark sirens and $H_0=73.1^{+11.9}_{-8.5}\;\text{km}\;\text{s}^{-1}\;\text{Mpc}^{-1}$ when combined with the bright siren GW170817. This study demonstrates the adaptation of deep galaxy catalogues for GW cosmology, highlighting key challenges and methodologies essential for maximizing the potential of next-generation galaxy surveys.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2026

Characterizing robotic positioners under the influence of changing gravity vectors for future spectroscopic surveys

Future (Stage V) spectroscopic surveys intend to accurately map billions of galaxies. To accomplish this goal, these surveys will employ highly multiplexed focal planes composed of robotic fiber positioners to accurately place individual optical fibers on targets of interest. The ambitious science objectives place stringent requirements on the mechanical performance of these positioners. Experience from previous surveys has shown that testing positioners under conditions closely resembling those on the telescope is of utmost importance during the prototyping and quality assurance phases of construction. We present an automated telescope simulator test stand that characterizes the performance of these positioners at different orientations, reproducing the changing gravity vectors encountered during telescope operations. The test stand aims to verify position stability down to 1 um, focus stability down to 5 um, as well as tilt variations lower than 0.4 deg. We discuss the design of our setup, along with early characterization of image quality due to turbulence and the compensation of the enclosure deformation via calibration using fixed spots. Finally, we present initial results of positioning stability tests using a prototype module built by Orbray Co., Ltd. This test setup fulfills an important need for integrated testing of advanced focal plane prototypes under conditions similar to on-telescope conditions.

astro-ph.IM↗

arXiv2026

Prospects for multi-messenger discovery of the gravitational-wave background anisotropies via cross-correlation with galaxies

We present new empirically grounded forecasts for the detectability of the stochastic gravitational-wave background anisotropies assuming a population of stellar-mass compact binary coalescences as its source. We quantified the discovery potential using simulations based on the Euclid Flagship Galaxy Catalogue and LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA observational constraints in combination with detailed theoretical modelling. We considered the multi-messenger cross-correlation with galaxies as well as the gravitational wave-only cross-correlation across observation-time bins. For compact binaries up to redshift $z<3$, we found that an angular resolution of $θ= 4.1$ deg ($\ell \geq 44$) is required for discovery within five years of observation via cross-correlation with a galaxy catalogue that is complete up to limiting magnitude $i < 24.7$ and has redshift uncertainties $σ_z = 0.003 (1+z)$. Extending the time range to ten years alleviates that requirement to $θ= 6.5$ deg ($\ell \geq 28$). We also showed that binning the galaxies in redshift allows us to reconstruct the evolution of the kernel, which can be used to further constrain compact binary population models. Discovery without a multi-messenger tracer has proven significantly more challenging, requiring exclusion of the loudest events, $θ= 1.8$ deg ($\ell \geq 95$), and a favourable coalescence rate. In light of the plans being carried out in the community for ongoing and upcoming galaxy surveys, this work bodes well for the multi-messenger discovery and exploration of the stochastic gravitational-wave background in the era of next-generation observatories such as the Einstein Telescope and Cosmic Explorer.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2026

Dimensional reduction for sampled priors and application to photometric redshift distributions

A typical Bayesian inference on the values of some parameters of interest $\bf q$ from some data $D$ involves running a Markov Chain (MC) to sample from the posterior $p({\bf q},{\bf n} | D) \propto \mathcal{L}(D | {\bf q},{\bf n}) p({\bf q}) p({\bf n}),$ where $\bf n$ are some nuisance parameters with separable prior. In some cases, the nuisance parameters are high-dimensional, and their prior $p({\bf n})$ is itself defined only by a set of samples that have been drawn from some other MC. The MC for the posterior will typically require evaluation of $p({\bf n})$ at arbitrary values of ${\bf n},$ i.e.\ one needs to provide a density estimator over the full $\bf n$ space from the provided samples. But the high dimensionality of $\bf n$ hinders both the density estimation and the efficiency of the MC for the posterior. We describe a solution to this problem: a linear compression of the $\bf n$ space into a much lower-dimensional space $\bf u$ which projects away directions in $\bf n$ space that cannot appreciably alter $\mathcal{L}.$ The algorithm for doing so is a slight modification to principal components analysis, and is less restrictive on $p(\bf n)$ than other proposed solutions to this issue. We demonstrate this ``mode projection'' technique using the analysis of 2-point correlation functions of weak lensing fields and galaxy density in the \textit{Dark Energy Survey}, where $\bf n$ is a binned representation of the redshift distribution $n(z)$ of the galaxies.

astro-ph.IM↗

arXiv2026

Brightest Cluster Galaxy ellipticity as proxy for halo shape: Orientation bias, assembly bias, and potential selection effects in SZ-selected clusters

The orientation of triaxial galaxy clusters with respect to the line-of-sight is expected to be one of the prime sources of scatter and potential bias in optical observables (e.g., richness and weak-lensing signal) of galaxy clusters. In this work, we use the observed shape of the central Brightest Cluster Galaxy (BCG) as proxy for the orientation along the line-of-sight for clusters selected via the Sunyaev-Zel'dovich (SZ) effect from the South Pole Telescope (SPT) and Atacama Cosmology Telescope (ACT) surveys, matched to optically selected clusters from the Dark Energy Survey Year 3 (DES). We construct two samples of clusters that are designed to be identical in SZ mass estimate and redshift but with the roundest vs. the most elliptical BCGs, which we expect to correspond to BCGs (and clusters) with major axes aligned along the line-of-sight vs. in the plane of the sky, respectively. We find that the optical richness of round-BCG clusters is $\sim 10$\% larger than that of elliptical-BCG clusters, in agreement with the expectation from projection effects and presenting the first such detection in data. The density profiles, however, are not in agreement with the expectation from projection effects: the 1-halo term (below $6~h^{-1}\rm{Mpc}$) of both the weak-lensing and galaxy density profiles are the same for the subsamples, contrary to previous studies based on X-ray selected clusters. In the 2-halo regime (above $6~h^{-1}\rm{Mpc}$), we find a significant excess of the elliptical-BCG cluster profiles compared to the round-BCG cluster profiles, which is the opposite of the expectation from numerical simulations. We hypothesize that the intrinsic shape of the BCG reflects not just the orientation angle, but also intrinsic properties of the cluster which can affect both the SZ signal and the amplitude of the 2-halo term.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2026

Gravitational-wave and electromagnetic detections in the context of the CosmoDC2 LSST synthetic catalog

We release CosmoDC2_BCO, a synthetic catalog of gravitational-wave events and electromagnetic counterparts associated with galaxies from CosmoDC2. The catalog provides intrinsic and extrinsic source parameters, signal-to-noise ratios, parameter uncertainties, sky localization areas, and kilonova apparent magnitudes in LSST filters. Our results show that third-generation detector networks substantially increase detection rates and improve parameter estimation. Second-generation detectors, when combined with third-generation ones, significantly enhance sky localization and distance precision, particularly for BNS mergers. Assuming a simplified Target of Opportunity strategy, we estimate that an LSST-like survey, partnered with the CE+ET+LVK network at 70% duty cycle, could detect about 5000 kilonovae with GW counterparts over a 10-year period on a 16000 deg^2 footprint, predominantly from low-mass BNS mergers that produce long-lived supermassive neutron star remnants. While this is a substantial number, it represents only a small fraction of the total neutron star mergers expected to be observed by third-generation networks. These projections rely on several simplifying assumptions-including the adopted merger rate, the kilonova luminosity distribution, and the configuration and scheduling of future surveys-which introduce notable uncertainties. Therefore, the estimated detection numbers should be interpreted with appropriate caution.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2026

First measurement of the Hubble constant from a combined weak lensing and gravitational-wave standard siren analysis

We present a new measurement of the Hubble constant ($H_0$) resulting from the first joint analysis of standard sirens with weak gravitational lensing and galaxy clustering observables comprising three two-point correlation functions (3$\times$2pt). For the 3$\times$2pt component of the analysis, we use data from the Dark Energy Survey (DES) Year 3 release. For the standard sirens component, we use data from the Gravitational-Wave Transient Catalog 4.0 released by the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA (LVK) Collaboration. For GW170817, the only standard siren for which extensive electromagnetic follow-up observations exist, we also use measurements of the host galaxy redshift and inclination angle estimates derived from observations of a superluminal jet from its remnant. Our joint analysis yields $H_0 = 67.9^{+4.4}_{-4.3}$~km~s$^{-1}$~Mpc$^{-1}$, a $6.4\%$ measurement, while improving the DES constraint on the total abundance of matter $Ω_m$ by $22\%$. Removing the jet information degrades the $H_0$ precision to $9.9\%$. The measurement of $H_0$ remains a central problem in cosmology with a multitude of approaches being vigorously pursued in the community aiming to reconcile significantly discrepant measurements at the percent-level. In light of the impending new data releases from DES and LVK, and anticipating much more constraining power from 3$\times$2pt observables using newly commissioned survey instruments, we demonstrate that incorporating standard sirens into the cosmology framework of large cosmic surveys is a viable route towards that goal.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2025

Mitigation of nonlinear galaxy bias with a theoretical-error likelihood

Stage-IV galaxy surveys will measure correlations at small cosmological scales with high signal-to-noise ratio. One of the main challenges of extracting information from small scales is devising accurate models, as well as characterizing the theoretical uncertainties associated with any given model. In this work, we explore the mitigation of theoretical uncertainty due to nonlinear galaxy bias in the context of photometric 2$\times$2-pt analyses. We consider linear galaxy bias as the fiducial model and derive the contribution to the covariance matrix induced by neglected higher-order bias. We construct a covariance matrix for the theoretical error in galaxy clustering and galaxy-galaxy lensing using simulation-based relations that connect higher-order parameters to linear bias. We test the modified likelihood in 2$\times$2-pt analyses based on two sets of mock data vectors: (1) simulated data vectors, constructed from those same relations between bias parameters, and (2) data vectors based on the AbacusSummit simulation suite. We then compare the performance of the theoretical-error approach to the commonly employed scale cuts. We find most theoretical-error configurations yield results equivalent to the scale cuts in terms of precision and accuracy, in some cases producing significantly stronger bounds on cosmological parameters. These results are independent of the maximum scale $k_\mathrm{max}$ in the analysis with theoretical error. The scenarios where linear bias supplemented by theoretical error is unable to recover unbiased cosmology are connected to inadequate modeling of the $gg$-$gκ$ covariance of theoretical error. In view of its removing the ambiguity in the choice of $k_\mathrm{max}$, as well as the possibility of attaining higher precision than the usual scale cuts, we consider this method to be promising for analyses of LSS in upcoming photometric galaxy surveys.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2024

Compressed baryon acoustic oscillation analysis is robust to modified-gravity models

We study the robustness of the baryon acoustic oscillation (BAO) analysis to the underlying cosmological model. We focus on testing the standard BAO analysis that relies on the use of a template. These templates are constructed assuming a fixed fiducial cosmological model and used to extract the location of the acoustic peaks. Such "compressed analysis" had been shown to be unbiased when applied to the $Λ$CDM model and some of its extensions. However, it has not been known whether this type of analysis introduces biases in a wider range of cosmological models where the template may not fully capture relevant features in the BAO signal. In this study, we apply the compressed analysis to noiseless mock power spectra that are based on Horndeski models, a broad class of modified-gravity theories specified with eight additional free parameters. We study the precision and accuracy of the BAO peak-location extraction assuming DESI, DESI II, and MegaMapper survey specifications. We find that the bias in the extracted peak locations is negligible; for example, it is less than 10% of the statistical error for even the proposed future MegaMapper survey. Our findings indicate that the compressed BAO analysis is remarkably robust to the underlying cosmological model.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2022

Snowmass2021 Cosmic Frontier CF6 White Paper: Multi-Experiment Probes for Dark Energy -- Transients

This invited Snowmass 2021 White Paper highlights the power of joint-analysis of astronomical transients in advancing HEP Science and presents research activities that can realize the opportunities that come with current and upcoming projects. Transients of interest include gravitational wave events, neutrino events, strongly-lensed quasars and supernovae, and Type~Ia supernovae specifically. These transients can serve as probes of cosmological distances in the Universe and as cosmic laboratories of extreme strong-gravity, high-energy physics. Joint analysis refers to work that requires significant coordination from multiple experiments or facilities so encompasses Multi-Messenger Astronomy and optical transient discovery and distributed follow-up programs.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2022

Report of the Topical Group on Dark Energy and Cosmic Acceleration: Complementarity of Probes and New Facilities for Snowmass 2021

The mechanism(s) driving the early- and late-time accelerated expansion of the Universe represent one of the most compelling mysteries in fundamental physics today. The path to understanding the causes of early- and late-time acceleration depends on fully leveraging ongoing surveys, developing and demonstrating new technologies, and constructing and operating new instruments. This report presents a multi-faceted vision for the cosmic survey program in the 2030s and beyond that derives from these considerations. Cosmic surveys address a wide range of fundamental physics questions, and are thus a unique and powerful component of the HEP experimental portfolio.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2022

The Dark Energy Survey Supernova Program results: Type Ia Supernova brightness correlates with host galaxy dust

Cosmological analyses with type Ia supernovae (SNe Ia) often assume a single empirical relation between color and luminosity ($β$) and do not account for varying host-galaxy dust properties. However, from studies of dust in large samples of galaxies, it is known that dust attenuation can vary significantly. Here we take advantage of state-of-the-art modeling of galaxy properties to characterize dust parameters (dust attenuation $A_V$, and a parameter describing the dust law slope $R_V$) for the Dark Energy Survey (DES) SN Ia host galaxies using the publicly available \texttt{BAGPIPES} code. Utilizing optical and infrared data of the hosts alone, we find three key aspects of host dust that impact SN Ia cosmology: 1) there exists a large range ($\sim1-6$) of host $R_V$ 2) high stellar mass hosts have $R_V$ on average $\sim0.7$ lower than that of low-mass hosts 3) there is a significant ($>3σ$) correlation between the Hubble diagram residuals of red SNe Ia that when corrected for reduces scatter by $\sim13\%$ and the significance of the ``mass step'' to $\sim1σ$. These represent independent confirmations of recent predictions based on dust that attempted to explain the puzzling ``mass step'' and intrinsic scatter ($σ_{\rm int}$) in SN Ia analyses. We also find that red-sequence galaxies have both lower and more peaked dust law slope distributions on average in comparison to non red-sequence galaxies. We find that the SN Ia $β$ and $σ_{\rm int}$ both differ by $>3σ$ when determined separately for red-sequence galaxy and all other galaxy hosts. The agreement between fitted host-$R_V$ and SN Ia $β$ \& $σ_{\rm int}$ suggests that host dust properties play a major role in SN Ia color-luminosity standardization and supports the claim that SN Ia intrinsic scatter is driven by $R_V$ variation.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2021

Mitigating baryonic effects with a theoretical error covariance

One of the primary sources of uncertainties in modeling the cosmic-shear power spectrum on small scales is the effect of baryonic physics. Accurate cosmology for Stage-IV surveys requires knowledge of the matter power spectrum deep in the nonlinear regime at the percent level. Therefore, it is important to develop reliable mitigation techniques to take into account baryonic uncertainties if information from small scales is to be considered in the cosmological analysis. In this work, we develop a new mitigation method for dealing with baryonic physics for the case of the shear angular power spectrum. The method is based on an extended covariance matrix that incorporates baryonic uncertainties informed by hydrodynamical simulations. We use the results from 13 hydrodynamical simulations and the residual errors arising from a fit to a $Λ$CDM model using the extended halo model code {\tt HMCode} to account for baryonic physics. These residual errors are used to model a so-called theoretical error covariance matrix that is added to the original covariance matrix. In order to assess the performance of the method, we use the 2D tomographic shear from four hydrodynamical simulations that have different extremes of baryonic parameters as mock data and run a likelihood analysis comparing the residual bias on $Ω_m$ and $σ_8$ of our method and the HMCode for an LSST-like survey. We use different modelling of the theoretical error covariance matrix to test the robustness of the method. We show that it is possible to reduce the bias in the determination of the tested cosmological parameters at the price of a modest decrease in the precision.

astro-ph.CO↗