arXiv subjects

Filippo Radicchi

Publications and source records attributed to Filippo Radicchi.

At least 55 records · Page 3Linked to original sources

arXiv2021

Systematic comparison of graph embedding methods in practical tasks

Network embedding techniques aim at representing structural properties of graphs in geometric space. Those representations are considered useful in downstream tasks such as link prediction and clustering. However, the number of graph embedding methods available on the market is large, and practitioners face the non-trivial choice of selecting the proper approach for a given application. The present work attempts to close this gap of knowledge through a systematic comparison of eleven different methods for graph embedding. We consider methods for embedding networks in the hyperbolic and Euclidean metric spaces, as well as non-metric community-based embedding methods. We apply these methods to embed more than one hundred real-world and synthetic networks. Three common downstream tasks -- mapping accuracy, greedy routing, and link prediction -- are considered to evaluate the quality of the various embedding methods. Our results show that some Euclidean embedding methods excel in greedy routing. As for link prediction, community-based and hyperbolic embedding methods yield overall performance superior than that of Euclidean-space-based approaches. We compare the running time for different methods and further analyze the impact of different network characteristics such as degree distribution, modularity, and clustering coefficients on the quality of the different embedding methods. We release our evaluation framework to provide a standardized benchmark for arbitrary embedding methods.

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arXiv2021

Who is the best coach of all time? A network-based assessment of the career performance of professional sports coaches

We consider two large datasets consisting of all games played among top-tier European soccer clubs in the last 60 years, and among professional American basketball teams in the past 70 years. We leverage game data to build networks of pairwise interactions between the head coaches of the teams, and measure their career performance in terms of network centrality metrics. We identify Arsene Wenger, Sir Alex Ferguson, Jupp Heynckes, Carlo Ancelotti, and Jose Mourinho as the top 5 European soccer coaches of all time. In American basketball, the first 5 positions of the all-time ranking are occupied by Red Auerbach, Gregg Popovich, Phil Jackson, Don Nelson, and Lenny Wilkens. We further establish rankings by decade and season. We develop a simple methodology to monitor performance throughout a coach's career, and to dynamically compare the performance of two or more coaches at a given time. The manuscript is accompanied by the website coachscore.luddy.indiana.edu where complete results of our analysis are accessible to the interested readers.

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arXiv2021

Community detection in networks using graph embeddings

Graph embedding methods are becoming increasingly popular in the machine learning community, where they are widely used for tasks such as node classification and link prediction. Embedding graphs in geometric spaces should aid the identification of network communities as well, because nodes in the same community should be projected close to each other in the geometric space, where they can be detected via standard data clustering algorithms. In this paper, we test the ability of several graph embedding techniques to detect communities on benchmark graphs. We compare their performance against that of traditional community detection algorithms. We find that the performance is comparable, if the parameters of the embedding techniques are suitably chosen. However, the optimal parameter set varies with the specific features of the benchmark graphs, like their size, whereas popular community detection algorithms do not require any parameter. So it is not possible to indicate beforehand good parameter sets for the analysis of real networks. This finding, along with the high computational cost of embedding a network and grouping the points, suggests that, for community detection, current embedding techniques do not represent an improvement over network clustering algorithms.

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arXiv2021

Percolation theory of self-exciting temporal processes

We investigate how the properties of inhomogeneous patterns of activity, appearing in many natural and social phenomena, depend on the temporal resolution used to define individual bursts of activity. To this end, we consider time series of microscopic events produced by a self-exciting Hawkes process, and leverage a percolation framework to study the formation of macroscopic bursts of activity as a function of the resolution parameter. We find that the very same process may result in different distributions of avalanche size and duration, which are understood in terms of the competition between the 1D percolation and the branching process universality class. Pure regimes for the individual classes are observed at specific values of the resolution parameter corresponding to the critical points of the percolation diagram. A regime of crossover characterized by a mixture of the two universal behaviors is observed in a wide region of the diagram. The hybrid scaling appears to be a likely outcome for an analysis of the time series based on a reasonably chosen, but not precisely adjusted, value of the resolution parameter.

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arXiv2021

Model-free hidden geometry of complex networks

The fundamental idea of embedding a network in a metric space is rooted in the principle of proximity preservation. Nodes are mapped into points of the space with pairwise distance that reflects their proximity in the network. Popular methods employed in network embedding either rely on implicit approximations of the principle of proximity preservation or implement it by enforcing the geometry of the embedding space, thus hindering geometric properties that networks may spontaneously exhibit. Here, we take advantage of a model-free embedding method explicitly devised for preserving pairwise proximity, and characterize the geometry emerging from the mapping of several networks, both real and synthetic. We show that the learned embedding has simple and intuitive interpretations: the distance of a node from the geometric center is representative for its closeness centrality, and the relative positions of nodes reflect the community structure of the network. Proximity can be preserved in relatively low-dimensional embedding spaces, and the hidden geometry displays optimal performance in guiding greedy navigation regardless of the specific network topology. We finally show that the mapping provides a natural description of contagion processes on networks, with complex spatiotemporal patterns represented by waves propagating from the geometric center to the periphery. The findings deepen our understanding of the model-free hidden geometry of complex networks.

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arXiv2021

Combinatorial approach to spreading processes on networks

Stochastic spreading models defined on complex network topologies are used to mimic the diffusion of diseases, information, and opinions in real-world systems. Existing theoretical approaches to the characterization of the models in terms of microscopic configurations rely on some approximation of independence among dynamical variables, thus introducing a systematic bias in the prediction of the ground-truth dynamics. Here, we develop a combinatorial framework based on the approximation that spreading may occur only along the shortest paths connecting pairs of nodes. The approximation overestimates dynamical correlations among node states and leads to biased predictions. Systematic bias is, however, pointing in the opposite direction of existing approximations. We show that the combination of the two biased approaches generates predictions of the ground-truth dynamics that are more accurate than the ones given by the two approximations if used in isolation. We further take advantage of the combinatorial approximation to characterize theoretical properties of some inference problems, and show that the reconstruction of microscopic configurations is very sensitive to both the place where and the time when partial knowledge of the system is acquired.

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arXiv2020

Epidemic plateau in critical SIR dynamics with non-trivial initial conditions

Containment measures implemented by some countries to suppress the spread of COVID-19 have resulted in a slowdown of the epidemic characterized by time series of daily infections plateauing over extended periods of time. We prove that such a dynamical pattern is compatible with critical Susceptible-Infected-Removed (SIR) dynamics. In traditional analyses of the critical SIR model, the critical dynamical regime is started from a single infected node. The application of containment measures to an ongoing epidemic, however, has the effect to make the system enter in its critical regime with a number of infected individuals potentially large. We describe how such non-trivial starting conditions affect the critical behavior of the SIR model. We perform a theoretical and large-scale numerical investigation of the model. We show that the expected outbreak size is an increasing function of the initial number of infected individuals, while the expected duration of the outbreak is a non-monotonic function of the initial number of infected individuals. Also, we precisely characterize the magnitude of the fluctuations associated with the size and duration of the outbreak in critical SIR dynamics with non-trivial initial conditions. Far from heard immunity, fluctuations are much larger than average values, thus indicating that predictions of plateauing time series may be particularly challenging.

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arXiv2020

Influence maximization on temporal networks

We consider the optimization problem of seeding a spreading process on a temporal network so that the expected size of the resulting outbreak is maximized. We frame the problem for a spreading process following the rules of the susceptible-infected-recovered model with temporal scale equal to the one characterizing the evolution of the network topology. We perform a systematic analysis based on a corpus of 12 real-world temporal networks and quantify the performance of solutions to the influence maximization problem obtained using different level of information about network topology and dynamics. We find that having perfect knowledge of the network topology but in a static and/or aggregated form is not helpful in solving the influence maximization problem effectively. Knowledge, even if partial, of the early stages of the network dynamics appears instead essential for the identification of quasioptimal sets of influential spreaders.

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arXiv2020

Classes of critical avalanche dynamics in complex networks

Dynamical processes exhibiting absorbing states are essential in the modeling of a large variety of situations from material science to epidemiology and social sciences. Such processes exhibit the possibility of avalanching behavior upon slow driving. Here, we study the distribution of sizes and durations of avalanches for well-known dynamical processes on complex networks. We find that all analyzed models display a similar critical behavior, characterized by the presence of two distinct regimes. At small scales, sizes and durations of avalanches exhibit distributions that are dependent on the network topology and the model dynamics. At asymptotically large scales instead -- irrespective of the type of dynamics and of the topology of the underlying network -- sizes and durations of avalanches are characterized by power-law distributions with the exponents of the standard mean-field critical branching process.

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arXiv2020

k-core structure of real multiplex networks

Multiplex networks are convenient mathematical representations for many real-world -- biological, social, and technological -- systems of interacting elements, where pairwise interactions among elements have different flavors. Previous studies pointed out that real-world multiplex networks display significant inter-layer correlations -- degree-degree correlation, edge overlap, node similarities -- able to make them robust against random and targeted failures of their individual components. Here, we show that inter-layer correlations are important also in the characterization of their $\mathbf{k}$-core structure, namely the organization in shells of nodes with increasingly high degree. Understanding $k$-core structures is important in the study of spreading processes taking place on networks, as for example in the identification of influential spreaders and the emergence of localization phenomena. We find that, if the degree distribution of the network is heterogeneous, then a strong $\mathbf{k}$-core structure is well predicted by significantly positive degree-degree correlations. However, if the network degree distribution is homogeneous, then strong $\mathbf{k}$-core structure is due to positive correlations at the level of node similarities. We reach our conclusions by analyzing different real-world multiplex networks, introducing novel techniques for controlling inter-layer correlations of networks without changing their structure, and taking advantage of synthetic network models with tunable levels of inter-layer correlations.

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arXiv2020

Classical Information Theory of Networks

Existing information-theoretic frameworks based on maximum entropy network ensembles are not able to explain the emergence of heterogeneity in complex networks. Here, we fill this gap of knowledge by developing a classical framework for networks based on finding an optimal trade-off between the information content of a compressed representation of the ensemble and the information content of the actual network ensemble. In this way not only we introduce a novel classical network ensemble satisfying a set of soft constraints but we are also able to calculate the optimal distribution of the constraints. We show that for the classical network ensemble in which the only constraints are the expected degrees a power-law degree distribution is optimal. Also, we study spatially embedded networks finding that the interactions between nodes naturally lead to non-uniform spread of nodes in the space, with pairs of nodes at a given distance not necessarily obeying a power-law distribution. The pertinent features of real-world air transportation networks are well described by the proposed framework.

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arXiv2019

Systematic comparison between methods for the detection of influential spreaders in complex networks

Influence maximization is the problem of finding the set of nodes of a network that maximizes the size of the outbreak of a spreading process occurring on the network. Solutions to this problem are important for strategic decisions in marketing and political campaigns. The typical setting consists in the identification of small sets of initial spreaders in very large networks. This setting makes the optimization problem computationally infeasible for standard greedy optimization algorithms that account simultaneously for information about network topology and spreading dynamics, leaving space only to heuristic methods based on the drastic approximation of relying on the geometry of the network alone. The literature on the subject is plenty of purely topological methods for the identification of influential spreaders in networks. However, it is unclear how far these methods are from being optimal. Here, we perform a systematic test of the performance of a multitude of heuristic methods for the identification of influential spreaders. We quantify the performance of the various methods on a corpus of 100 real-world networks; the corpus consists of networks small enough for the application of greedy optimization so that results from this algorithm are used as the baseline needed for the analysis of the performance of the other methods on the same corpus of networks. We find that relatively simple network metrics, such as adaptive degree or closeness centralities, are able to achieve performances very close to the baseline value, thus providing good support for the use of these metrics in large-scale problem settings....

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arXiv2019

Error-Correcting Decoders for Communities in Networks

As recent work demonstrated, the task of identifying communities in networks can be considered analogous to the classical problem of decoding messages transmitted along a noisy channel. We leverage this analogy to develop a community detection method directly inspired by a standard and widely-used decoding technique. We further simplify the algorithm to reduce the time complexity from quadratic to linear. We test the performance of the original and reduced versions of the algorithm on artificial benchmarks with pre-imposed community structure, and on real networks with annotated community structure. Results of our systematic analysis indicate that the proposed techniques are able to provide satisfactory results.

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arXiv2018

Weight Thresholding on Complex Networks

Weight thresholding is a simple technique that aims at reducing the number of edges in weighted networks that are otherwise too dense for the application of standard graph theoretical methods. We show that the group structure of real weighted networks is very robust under weight thresholding, as it is maintained even when most of the edges are removed. This appears to be related to the correlation between topology and weight that characterizes real networks. On the other hand, the behavior of other properties is generally system dependent.

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arXiv2018

Influence maximization in noisy networks

We consider the problem of identifying the most influential nodes for a spreading process on a network when prior knowledge about structure and dynamics of the system is incomplete or erroneous. Specifically, we perform a numerical analysis where the set of top spreaders is determined on the basis of prior information that is artificially altered by a certain level of noise. We then measure the optimality of the chosen set by measuring its spreading impact in the true system. Whereas we find that the identification of top spreaders is optimal when prior knowledge is complete and free of mistakes, we also find that the quality of the top spreaders identified using noisy information doesn't necessarily decrease as the noise level increases. For instance, we show that it is generally possible to compensate for erroneous information about dynamical parameters by adding synthetic errors in the structure of the network. Further, we show that, in some dynamical regimes, even completely losing prior knowledge on network structure may be better than relying on certain but incomplete information.

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arXiv2018

Controlling the uncertain response of real multiplex networks to random damage

We reveal large fluctuations in the response of real multiplex networks to random damage of nodes. These results indicate that the average response to random damage, traditionally considered in mean-field approaches to percolation, is a poor metric of system robustness. We show instead that a large deviation approach to percolation provides a more accurate characterization of system robustness. We identify an effective percolation threshold at which we observe a clear abrupt transition separating two distinct regimes in which the most likely response to damage is either a functional or a dismantled multiplex network. We leverage our findings to propose a new metric, named safeguard centrality, able to single out the nodes that control the response of the entire multiplex network to random damage. We show that safeguarding the function of top-scoring nodes is sufficient to prevent system collapse.

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arXiv2018

Characterizing the analogy between hyperbolic embedding and community structure of complex networks

We show that the community structure of a network can be used as a coarse version of its embedding in a hidden space with hyperbolic geometry. The finding emerges from a systematic analysis of several real-world and synthetic networks. We take advantage of the analogy for reinterpreting results originally obtained through network hyperbolic embedding in terms of community structure only. First, we show that the robustness of a multiplex network can be controlled by tuning the correlation between the community structures across different layers. Second, we deploy an efficient greedy protocol for network navigability that makes use of routing tables based on community structure.

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arXiv2018

Uncertainty Reduction for Stochastic Processes on Complex Networks

Many real-world systems are characterized by stochastic dynamical rules where a complex network of interactions among individual elements probabilistically determines their state. Even with full knowledge of the network structure and of the stochastic rules, the ability to predict system configurations is generally characterized by a large uncertainty. Selecting a fraction of the nodes and observing their state may help to reduce the uncertainty about the unobserved nodes. However, choosing these points of observation in an optimal way is a highly nontrivial task, depending on the nature of the stochastic process and on the structure of the underlying interaction pattern. In this paper, we introduce a computationally efficient algorithm to determine quasioptimal solutions to the problem. The method leverages network sparsity to reduce computational complexity from exponential to almost quadratic, thus allowing the straightforward application of the method to mid-to-large-size systems. Although the method is exact only for equilibrium stochastic processes defined on trees, it turns out to be effective also for out-of-equilibrium processes on sparse loopy networks.

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