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Francesco Gaffi

Publications and source records attributed to Francesco Gaffi.

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Exchangeable random permutations with an application to Bayesian graph matching

We introduce a general Bayesian framework for graph matching grounded in a new theory of exchangeable random permutations. Leveraging the cycle representation of permutations and the literature on exchangeable random partitions, we define, characterize, and study the structural and predictive properties of these probabilistic objects. A novel sequential metaphor, the position-aware generalized Chinese restaurant process, provides a constructive foundation for this theory and supports practical algorithmic design. Exchangeable random permutations offer flexible priors for a wide range of inferential problems centered on permutations. As an application, we develop a Bayesian model for graph matching that integrates a correlated stochastic block model with our novel class of priors. The cycle structure of the matching is linked to latent node partitions that explain connectivity patterns, an assumption consistent with the homogeneity requirement underlying the graph matching task itself. Posterior inference is performed through a node-wise blocked Gibbs sampler directly enabled by the proposed sequential construction. To summarize posterior uncertainty, we introduce perSALSO, an adaptation of SALSO to the permutation domain that provides principled point estimation and interpretable posterior summaries. Together, these contributions establish a unified probabilistic framework for modeling, inference, and uncertainty quantification over permutations.

stat.ME

Complexity bounds for Dirichlet process slice samplers

Slice sampling is a standard Monte Carlo technique for Dirichlet process (DP)-based models, widely used in posterior simulation. However, formal assessments of the scalability of posterior slice samplers have remained largely unexplored, primarily because the computational cost of a slice-sampling iteration is random and potentially unbounded. In this work, we obtain high-probability bounds on the computational complexity of DP slice samplers. Our main results show that, uniformly across posterior cluster-growth regimes, the overhead induced by slice variables, relatively to the number of clusters supported by the posterior, is $O_{\mathbb P}(\log n)$. As a consequence, even in worst-case configurations, superlinear blow-ups in per-iteration computational cost occur with vanishing probability. Our analysis applies broadly to DP-based models without any likelihood-specific assumptions, still providing complexity guarantees for posterior sampling on arbitrary datasets. These results establish a theoretical foundation for assessing the practical scalability of slice sampling in DP-based models.

stat.CO

Partially exchangeable stochastic block models for (node-colored) multilayer networks

Multilayer networks generalize single-layered connectivity data in several directions. These generalizations include, among others, settings where multiple types of edges are observed among the same set of nodes (edge-colored networks) or where a single notion of connectivity is measured between nodes belonging to different pre-specified layers (node-colored networks). While progress has been made in statistical modeling of edge-colored networks, principled approaches that flexibly account for both within and across layer block-connectivity structures while incorporating layer information through a rigorous probabilistic construction are still lacking for node-colored multilayer networks. We fill this gap by introducing a novel class of partially exchangeable stochastic block models specified in terms of a hierarchical random partition prior for the allocation of nodes to groups, whose number is learned by the model. This goal is achieved without jeopardizing probabilistic coherence, uncertainty quantification and derivation of closed-form predictive within- and across-layer co-clustering probabilities. Our approach facilitates prior elicitation, the understanding of theoretical properties and the development of yet-unexplored predictive strategies for both the connections and the allocations of future incoming nodes. Posterior inference proceeds via a tractable collapsed Gibbs sampler, while performance is illustrated in simulations and in a real-world criminal network application. The notable gains achieved over competitors clarify the importance of developing general stochastic block models based on suitable node-exchangeability structures coherent with the type of multilayer network being analyzed.

stat.ME