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Giulia Giordano

Publications and source records attributed to Giulia Giordano.

29 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

Data-driven identification of reaction-diffusion dynamics from finitely many non-local noisy measurements by exponential fitting

Given a reaction-diffusion equation with unknown right-hand side, we consider a nonlinear inverse problem of estimating the associated leading eigenvalues and initial condition modes from a finite number of non-local noisy measurements. We define a reconstruction criterion and, for a small enough noise, we prove the existence and uniqueness of the desired approximation and derive closed-form expressions for the first-order condition numbers, as well as bounds for their asymptotic behavior in a regime when the number of measured samples is fixed and the inter-sampling interval length tends to infinity. When computing the sought estimates numerically, our simulations show that the exponential fitting algorithm ESPRIT is first-order optimal, as its first-order condition numbers have the same asymptotic behavior as the analytic condition numbers in the considered regime.

math.OC↗

Controlling identical linear multi-agent systems over directed graphs

We consider the problem of synchronizing a multi-agent system (MAS) composed of several identical linear systems connected through a directed graph.To design a suitable controller, we construct conditions based on Bilinear Matrix Inequalities (BMIs) that ensure state synchronization.Since these conditions are non-convex, we propose an iterative algorithm based on a suitable relaxation that allows us to formulate Linear Matrix Inequality (LMI) conditions.As a result, the algorithm yields a common static state-feedback matrix for the controller that satisfies general linear performance constraints.Our results are achieved under the mild assumption that the graph is time-invariant and connected.

cs.MA↗

Robust microphase separation through chemical reaction networks

The interaction of phase-separating systems with chemical reactions is of great interest in various contexts, from biology to material science. In biology, phase separation is thought to be the driving force behind the formation of biomolecular condensates, i.e. organelles without a membrane that are associated with cellular metabolism, stress response, and development. RNA, proteins, and small molecules participating in the formation of condensates are also involved in a variety of biochemical reactions: how do the chemical reaction dynamics influence the process of phase separation? Here we are interested in finding chemical reactions that can arrest the growth of condensates, generating stable spatial patterns of finite size (microphase separation), in contrast with the otherwise spontaneous (unstable) growth of condensates. We consider a classical continuum model for phase separation coupled to a chemical reaction network (CRN), and we seek conditions for the emergence of stable oscillations of the solution in space. Given reaction dynamics with uncertain rate constants, but known structure, we derive easily computable conditions to assess whether microphase separation is impossible, possible for some parameter values, or robustly guaranteed for all parameter values within given bounds. Our results establish a framework to evaluate which classes of CRNs favor the emergence of condensates with finite size, a question that is broadly relevant to understanding and engineering life.

cond-mat.soft↗

Classification-Based Opinion Formation Model Embedding Agents' Psychological Traits

We propose an agent-based opinion formation model characterised by a two-fold novelty. First, we realistically assume that each agent cannot measure the opinion of its neighbours with infinite resolution and accuracy, and hence it can only classify the opinion of others as agreeing much more, or more, or comparably, or less, or much less (than itself) with a given statement. This leads to a classification-based rule for opinion update. Second, we consider three complementary agent traits suggested by significant sociological and psychological research: conformism, radicalism and stubbornness. We rely on World Values Survey data to show that the proposed model has the potential to predict the evolution of opinions in real life: the classification-based approach and complementary agent traits produce rich collective behaviours, such as polarisation, consensus, and clustering, which can yield predicted opinions similar to survey results.

cs.SI↗

Structural polyhedral stability of a biochemical network is equivalent to finiteness of the associated generalised Petri net

We consider biochemical systems associated with a generalised class of Petri nets with possibly negative token numbers. We show that the existence of a structural polyhedral Lyapunov function for the biochemical system is equivalent to the boundedness of the associated Petri net evolution or, equivalently, to the finiteness of the number of states reachable from each initial condition. For networks that do not admit a polyhedral Lyapunov function, we investigate whether it is possible to enforce polyhedral structural stability by applying a strong negative feedback on some pinned nodes: in terms of the Petri net, this is equivalent to turning pinned nodes into black holes that clear any positive or negative incoming token. If such nodes are chosen so that the transformed Petri net has bounded discrete trajectories, then there exists a stabilising pinning control: the biochemical network becomes Lyapunov stable if a sufficiently strong local negative feedback is applied to the pinned nodes. These results allow us to structurally identify the critical nodes to be locally controlled so as to ensure the stability of the whole network.

eess.SY↗

Data-Driven Methods for Present and Future Pandemics: Monitoring, Modelling and Managing

This survey analyses the role of data-driven methodologies for pandemic modelling and control. We provide a roadmap from the access to epidemiological data sources to the control of epidemic phenomena. We review the available methodologies and discuss the challenges in the development of data-driven strategies to combat the spreading of infectious diseases. Our aim is to bring together several different disciplines required to provide a holistic approach to epidemic analysis, such as data science, epidemiology, and systems-and-control theory. A 3M-analysis is presented, whose three pillars are: Monitoring, Modelling and Managing. The focus is on the potential of data-driven schemes to address three different challenges raised by a pandemic: (i) monitoring the epidemic evolution and assessing the effectiveness of the adopted countermeasures; (ii) modelling and forecasting the spread of the epidemic; (iii) making timely decisions to manage, mitigate and suppress the contagion. For each step of this roadmap, we review consolidated theoretical approaches (including data-driven methodologies that have been shown to be successful in other contexts) and discuss their application to past or present epidemics, such as Covid-19, as well as their potential application to future epidemics.

eess.SY↗

Preemptive periodic epidemic control reduces life and healthcare system costs without aggravation of social and economic losses

Many countries are managing COVID-19 epidemic by switching between lighter and heavier restrictions. While an open-close and a close-open cycle have comparable socio-economic costs, the former leads to a much heavier burden in terms of deaths and pressure on the healthcare system. An empirical demonstration of the toll ensuing from procrastination was recently observed in Israel, where both cycles were enforced from late August to mid-December 2020, yielding some 1,600 deaths with open-close compared to 440 with close-open.

eess.SY↗

Flexible MPC-based Conflict Resolution Using Online Adaptive ADMM

Decentralized conflict resolution for autonomous vehicles is needed in many places where a centralized method is not feasible, e.g., parking lots, rural roads, merge lanes, etc. However, existing methods generally do not fully utilize optimization in decentralized conflict resolution. We propose a decentralized conflict resolution method for autonomous vehicles based on a novel extension to the Alternating Directions Method of Multipliers (ADMM), called Online Adaptive ADMM (OA-ADMM), and on Model Predictive Control (MPC). OA-ADMM is tailored to online systems, where fast and adaptive real-time optimization is crucial, and allows the use of safety information about the physical system to improve safety in real-time control. We prove convergence in the static case and give requirements for online convergence. Combining OA-ADMM and MPC allows for robust decentralized motion planning and control that seamlessly integrates decentralized conflict resolution. The effectiveness of our proposed method is shown through simulations in CARLA, an open-source vehicle simulator, resulting in a reduction of 47.93% in mean added delay compared with the next best method.

eess.SY↗

Vaccination and SARS-CoV-2 variants: how much containment is still needed? A quantitative assessment

Despite the progress in medical care, combined population-wide interventions (such as physical distancing, testing and contact tracing) are still crucial to manage the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic, aggravated by the emergence of new highly transmissible variants. We combine the compartmental SIDARTHE model, predicting the course of COVID-19 infections, with a new data-based model that projects new cases onto casualties and healthcare system costs. Based on the Italian case study, we outline several scenarios: mass vaccination campaigns with different paces, different transmission rates due to new variants, and different enforced countermeasures, including the alternation of opening and closure phases. Our results demonstrate that non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) have a higher impact on the epidemic evolution than vaccination, which advocates for the need to keep containment measures in place throughout the vaccination campaign. We also show that, if intermittent open-close strategies are adopted, deaths and healthcare system costs can be drastically reduced, without any aggravation of socioeconomic losses, as long as one has the foresight to start with a closing phase rather than an opening one.

q-bio.PE↗

Lightning optimizes: a threshold mechanism ensures minimum-path flow

A well-known property of linear resistive electrical networks is that the current distribution minimizes the total dissipated energy. When the circuit includes resistors with nonlinear monotonic characteristic, the current distribution minimizes in general a different functional. We show that, if the nonlinear characteristic is a threshold-like function and the energy generator is concentrated in a single point, as in the case of lightning or dielectric discharge, then the current flow is concentrated along a single path, which is a minimum path to the ground with respect to the threshold. We also propose a dynamic model that explains and qualitatively reproduces the lightning transient behaviour: initial generation of several plasma branches and subsequent dismissal of all branches but the one reaching the ground first, which is the optimal one.

math.OC↗

A SIDARTHE Model of COVID-19 Epidemic in Italy

In late December 2019, a novel strand of Coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) causing a severe, potentially fatal respiratory syndrome (COVID-19) was identified in Wuhan, Hubei Province, China and is causing outbreaks in multiple world countries, soon becoming a pandemic. Italy has now become the most hit country outside of Asia: on March 16, 2020, the Italian Civil Protection documented a total of 27980 confirmed cases and 2158 deaths of people tested positive for SARS-CoV-2. In the context of an emerging infectious disease outbreak, it is of paramount importance to predict the trend of the epidemic in order to plan an effective control strategy and to determine its impact. This paper proposes a new epidemic model that discriminates between infected individuals depending on whether they have been diagnosed and on the severity of their symptoms. The distinction between diagnosed and non-diagnosed is important because non-diagnosed individuals are more likely to spread the infection than diagnosed ones, since the latter are typically isolated, and can explain misperceptions of the case fatality rate and of the seriousness of the epidemic phenomenon. Being able to predict the amount of patients that will develop life-threatening symptoms is important since the disease frequently requires hospitalisation (and even Intensive Care Unit admission) and challenges the healthcare system capacity. We show how the basic reproduction number can be redefined in the new framework, thus capturing the potential for epidemic containment. Simulation results are compared with real data on the COVID-19 epidemic in Italy, to show the validity of the model and compare different possible predicted scenarios depending on the adopted countermeasures.

q-bio.PE↗