arXiv subjects

Guang Cheng

Publications and source records attributed to Guang Cheng.

At least 145 records · Page 8Linked to original sources

arXiv2020

Finite Time Analysis of Vector Autoregressive Models under Linear Restrictions

This paper develops a unified finite-time theory for the ordinary least squares estimation of possibly unstable and even slightly explosive vector autoregressive models under linear restrictions, with the applicable region $ρ(A)\leq 1+c/n$, where $ρ(A)$ is the spectral radius of the transition matrix $A$ in the \VAR(1) representation, $n$ is the time horizon and $c>0$ is a universal constant. The linear restriction framework encompasses various existing models such as banded/network vector autoregressive models. We show that the restrictions reduce the error bounds via not only the reduced dimensionality but also a scale factor resembling the asymptotic covariance matrix of the estimator in the fixed-dimensional setup: as long as the model is correctly specified, this scale factor is decreasing in the number of restrictions. It is revealed that the phase transition from slow to fast error rate regimes is determined by the smallest singular value of $A$, a measure of the least excitable mode of the system. The minimax lower bounds are derived across different regimes. The developed non-asymptotic theory not only bridges the theoretical gap between stable and unstable regimes but precisely characterizes the effect of restrictions and its interplay with model parameters. Simulations support our theoretical results.

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arXiv2020

On Deep Instrumental Variables Estimate

The endogeneity issue is fundamentally important as many empirical applications may suffer from the omission of explanatory variables, measurement error, or simultaneous causality. Recently, \cite{hllt17} propose a "Deep Instrumental Variable (IV)" framework based on deep neural networks to address endogeneity, demonstrating superior performances than existing approaches. The aim of this paper is to theoretically understand the empirical success of the Deep IV. Specifically, we consider a two-stage estimator using deep neural networks in the linear instrumental variables model. By imposing a latent structural assumption on the reduced form equation between endogenous variables and instrumental variables, the first-stage estimator can automatically capture this latent structure and converge to the optimal instruments at the minimax optimal rate, which is free of the dimension of instrumental variables and thus mitigates the curse of dimensionality. Additionally, in comparison with classical methods, due to the faster convergence rate of the first-stage estimator, the second-stage estimator has {a smaller (second order) estimation error} and requires a weaker condition on the smoothness of the optimal instruments. Given that the depth and width of the employed deep neural network are well chosen, we further show that the second-stage estimator achieves the semiparametric efficiency bound. Simulation studies on synthetic data and application to automobile market data confirm our theory.

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arXiv2020

Building an Efficient Intrusion Detection System Based on Feature Selection and Ensemble Classifier

Intrusion detection system (IDS) is one of extensively used techniques in a network topology to safeguard the integrity and availability of sensitive assets in the protected systems. Although many supervised and unsupervised learning approaches from the field of machine learning have been used to increase the efficacy of IDSs, it is still a problem for existing intrusion detection algorithms to achieve good performance. First, lots of redundant and irrelevant data in high-dimensional datasets interfere with the classification process of an IDS. Second, an individual classifier may not perform well in the detection of each type of attacks. Third, many models are built for stale datasets, making them less adaptable for novel attacks. Thus, we propose a new intrusion detection framework in this paper, and this framework is based on the feature selection and ensemble learning techniques. In the first step, a heuristic algorithm called CFS-BA is proposed for dimensionality reduction, which selects the optimal subset based on the correlation between features. Then, we introduce an ensemble approach that combines C4.5, Random Forest (RF), and Forest by Penalizing Attributes (Forest PA) algorithms. Finally, voting technique is used to combine the probability distributions of the base learners for attack recognition. The experimental results, using NSL-KDD, AWID, and CIC-IDS2017 datasets, reveal that the proposed CFS-BA-Ensemble method is able to exhibit better performance than other related and state of the art approaches under several metrics.

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arXiv2020

Sparse and Low-rank Tensor Estimation via Cubic Sketchings

In this paper, we propose a general framework for sparse and low-rank tensor estimation from cubic sketchings. A two-stage non-convex implementation is developed based on sparse tensor decomposition and thresholded gradient descent, which ensures exact recovery in the noiseless case and stable recovery in the noisy case with high probability. The non-asymptotic analysis sheds light on an interplay between optimization error and statistical error. The proposed procedure is shown to be rate-optimal under certain conditions. As a technical by-product, novel high-order concentration inequalities are derived for studying high-moment sub-Gaussian tensors. An interesting tensor formulation illustrates the potential application to high-order interaction pursuit in high-dimensional linear regression.

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arXiv2020

Online Batch Decision-Making with High-Dimensional Covariates

We propose and investigate a class of new algorithms for sequential decision making that interacts with \textit{a batch of users} simultaneously instead of \textit{a user} at each decision epoch. This type of batch models is motivated by interactive marketing and clinical trial, where a group of people are treated simultaneously and the outcomes of the whole group are collected before the next stage of decision. In such a scenario, our goal is to allocate a batch of treatments to maximize treatment efficacy based on observed high-dimensional user covariates. We deliver a solution, named \textit{Teamwork LASSO Bandit algorithm}, that resolves a batch version of explore-exploit dilemma via switching between teamwork stage and selfish stage during the whole decision process. This is made possible based on statistical properties of LASSO estimate of treatment efficacy that adapts to a sequence of batch observations. In general, a rate of optimal allocation condition is proposed to delineate the exploration and exploitation trade-off on the data collection scheme, which is sufficient for LASSO to identify the optimal treatment for observed user covariates. An upper bound on expected cumulative regret of the proposed algorithm is provided.

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arXiv2020

Residual Bootstrap Exploration for Bandit Algorithms

In this paper, we propose a novel perturbation-based exploration method in bandit algorithms with bounded or unbounded rewards, called residual bootstrap exploration (\texttt{ReBoot}). The \texttt{ReBoot} enforces exploration by injecting data-driven randomness through a residual-based perturbation mechanism. This novel mechanism captures the underlying distributional properties of fitting errors, and more importantly boosts exploration to escape from suboptimal solutions (for small sample sizes) by inflating variance level in an \textit{unconventional} way. In theory, with appropriate variance inflation level, \texttt{ReBoot} provably secures instance-dependent logarithmic regret in Gaussian multi-armed bandits. We evaluate the \texttt{ReBoot} in different synthetic multi-armed bandits problems and observe that the \texttt{ReBoot} performs better for unbounded rewards and more robustly than \texttt{Giro} \cite{kveton2018garbage} and \texttt{PHE} \cite{kveton2019perturbed}, with comparable computational efficiency to the Thompson sampling method.

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arXiv2020

Simultaneous Inference for Massive Data: Distributed Bootstrap

In this paper, we propose a bootstrap method applied to massive data processed distributedly in a large number of machines. This new method is computationally efficient in that we bootstrap on the master machine without over-resampling, typically required by existing methods \cite{kleiner2014scalable,sengupta2016subsampled}, while provably achieving optimal statistical efficiency with minimal communication. Our method does not require repeatedly re-fitting the model but only applies multiplier bootstrap in the master machine on the gradients received from the worker machines. Simulations validate our theory.

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arXiv2020

Predictive Power of Nearest Neighbors Algorithm under Random Perturbation

We consider a data corruption scenario in the classical $k$ Nearest Neighbors ($k$-NN) algorithm, that is, the testing data are randomly perturbed. Under such a scenario, the impact of corruption level on the asymptotic regret is carefully characterized. In particular, our theoretical analysis reveals a phase transition phenomenon that, when the corruption level $ω$ is below a critical order (i.e., small-$ω$ regime), the asymptotic regret remains the same; when it is beyond that order (i.e., large-$ω$ regime), the asymptotic regret deteriorates polynomially. Surprisingly, we obtain a negative result that the classical noise-injection approach will not help improve the testing performance in the beginning stage of the large-$ω$ regime, even in the level of the multiplicative constant of asymptotic regret. As a technical by-product, we prove that under different model assumptions, the pre-processed 1-NN proposed in \cite{xue2017achieving} will at most achieve a sub-optimal rate when the data dimension $d>4$ even if $k$ is chosen optimally in the pre-processing step.

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arXiv2020

Sharp Rate of Convergence for Deep Neural Network Classifiers under the Teacher-Student Setting

Classifiers built with neural networks handle large-scale high dimensional data, such as facial images from computer vision, extremely well while traditional statistical methods often fail miserably. In this paper, we attempt to understand this empirical success in high dimensional classification by deriving the convergence rates of excess risk. In particular, a teacher-student framework is proposed that assumes the Bayes classifier to be expressed as ReLU neural networks. In this setup, we obtain a sharp rate of convergence, i.e., $\tilde{O}_d(n^{-2/3})$, for classifiers trained using either 0-1 loss or hinge loss. This rate can be further improved to $\tilde{O}_d(n^{-1})$ when the data distribution is separable. Here, $n$ denotes the sample size. An interesting observation is that the data dimension only contributes to the $\log(n)$ term in the above rates. This may provide one theoretical explanation for the empirical successes of deep neural networks in high dimensional classification, particularly for structured data.

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arXiv2019

Bootstrapping Upper Confidence Bound

Upper Confidence Bound (UCB) method is arguably the most celebrated one used in online decision making with partial information feedback. Existing techniques for constructing confidence bounds are typically built upon various concentration inequalities, which thus lead to over-exploration. In this paper, we propose a non-parametric and data-dependent UCB algorithm based on the multiplier bootstrap. To improve its finite sample performance, we further incorporate second-order correction into the above construction. In theory, we derive both problem-dependent and problem-independent regret bounds for multi-armed bandits under a much weaker tail assumption than the standard sub-Gaussianity. Numerical results demonstrate significant regret reductions by our method, in comparison with several baselines in a range of multi-armed and linear bandit problems.

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arXiv2019

Rates of Convergence for Large-scale Nearest Neighbor Classification

Nearest neighbor is a popular class of classification methods with many desirable properties. For a large data set which cannot be loaded into the memory of a single machine due to computation, communication, privacy, or ownership limitations, we consider the divide and conquer scheme: the entire data set is divided into small subsamples, on which nearest neighbor predictions are made, and then a final decision is reached by aggregating the predictions on subsamples by majority voting. We name this method the big Nearest Neighbor (bigNN) classifier, and provide its rates of convergence under minimal assumptions, in terms of both the excess risk and the classification instability, which are proven to be the same rates as the oracle nearest neighbor classifier and cannot be improved. To significantly reduce the prediction time that is required for achieving the optimal rate, we also consider the pre-training acceleration technique applied to the bigNN method, with proven convergence rate. We find that in the distributed setting, the optimal choice of the neighbor $k$ should scale with both the total sample size and the number of partitions, and there is a theoretical upper limit for the latter. Numerical studies have verified the theoretical findings.

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arXiv2019

Benefit of Interpolation in Nearest Neighbor Algorithms

The over-parameterized models attract much attention in the era of data science and deep learning. It is empirically observed that although these models, e.g. deep neural networks, over-fit the training data, they can still achieve small testing error, and sometimes even {\em outperform} traditional algorithms which are designed to avoid over-fitting. The major goal of this work is to sharply quantify the benefit of data interpolation in the context of nearest neighbors (NN) algorithm. Specifically, we consider a class of interpolated weighting schemes and then carefully characterize their asymptotic performances. Our analysis reveals a U-shaped performance curve with respect to the level of data interpolation, and proves that a mild degree of data interpolation {\em strictly} improves the prediction accuracy and statistical stability over those of the (un-interpolated) optimal $k$NN algorithm. This theoretically justifies (predicts) the existence of the second U-shaped curve in the recently discovered double descent phenomenon. Note that our goal in this study is not to promote the use of interpolated-NN method, but to obtain theoretical insights on data interpolation inspired by the aforementioned phenomenon.

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arXiv2019

A generalization of regularized dual averaging and its dynamics

Excessive computational cost for learning large data and streaming data can be alleviated by using stochastic algorithms, such as stochastic gradient descent and its variants. Recent advances improve stochastic algorithms on convergence speed, adaptivity and structural awareness. However, distributional aspects of these new algorithms are poorly understood, especially for structured parameters. To develop statistical inference in this case, we propose a class of generalized regularized dual averaging (gRDA) algorithms with constant step size, which improves RDA (Xiao, 2010; Flammarion and Bach, 2017). Weak convergence of gRDA trajectories are studied, and as a consequence, for the first time in the literature, the asymptotic distributions for online l1 penalized problems become available. These general results apply to both convex and non-convex differentiable loss functions, and in particular, recover the existing regret bound for convex losses (Nemirovski et al., 2009). As important applications, statistical inferential theory on online sparse linear regression and online sparse principal component analysis are developed, and are supported by extensive numerical analysis. Interestingly, when gRDA is properly tuned, support recovery and central limiting distribution (with mean zero) hold simultaneously in the online setting, which is in contrast with the biased central limiting distribution of batch Lasso (Knight and Fu, 2000). Technical devices, including weak convergence of stochastic mirror descent, are developed as by-products with independent interest. Preliminary empirical analysis of modern image data shows that learning very sparse deep neural networks by gRDA does not necessarily sacrifice testing accuracy.

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arXiv2019

A Cost-effective Shuffling Method against DDoS Attacks using Moving Target Defense

Moving Target Defense (MTD) has emerged as a newcomer into the asymmetric field of attack and defense, and shuffling-based MTD has been regarded as one of the most effective ways to mitigate DDoS attacks. However, previous work does not acknowledge that frequent shuffles would significantly intensify the overhead. MTD requires a quantitative measure to compare the cost and effectiveness of available adaptations and explore the best trade-off between them. In this paper, therefore, we propose a new cost-effective shuffling method against DDoS attacks using MTD. By exploiting Multi-Objective Markov Decision Processes to model the interaction between the attacker and the defender, and designing a cost-effective shuffling algorithm, we study the best trade-off between the effectiveness and cost of shuffling in a given shuffling scenario. Finally, simulation and experimentation on an experimental software defined network (SDN) indicate that our approach imposes an acceptable shuffling overload and is effective in mitigating DDoS attacks.

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arXiv2019

Nonparametric Bayesian Aggregation for Massive Data

We develop a set of scalable Bayesian inference procedures for a general class of nonparametric regression models. Specifically, nonparametric Bayesian inferences are separately performed on each subset randomly split from a massive dataset, and then the obtained local results are aggregated into global counterparts. This aggregation step is explicit without involving any additional computation cost. By a careful partition, we show that our aggregated inference results obtain an oracle rule in the sense that they are equivalent to those obtained directly from the entire data (which are computationally prohibitive). For example, an aggregated credible ball achieves desirable credibility level and also frequentist coverage while possessing the same radius as the oracle ball.

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arXiv2019

Enhancing Multi-model Inference with Natural Selection

Multi-model inference covers a wide range of modern statistical applications such as variable selection, model confidence set, model averaging and variable importance. The performance of multi-model inference depends on the availability of candidate models, whose quality has been rarely studied in literature. In this paper, we study genetic algorithm (GA) in order to obtain high-quality candidate models. Inspired by the process of natural selection, GA performs genetic operations such as selection, crossover and mutation iteratively to update a collection of potential solutions (models) until convergence. The convergence properties are studied based on the Markov chain theory and used to design an adaptive termination criterion that vastly reduces the computational cost. In addition, a new schema theory is established to characterize how the current model set is improved through evolutionary process. Extensive numerical experiments are carried out to verify our theory and demonstrate the empirical power of GA, and new findings are obtained for two real data examples.

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arXiv2019

Tensor Graphical Model: Non-convex Optimization and Statistical Inference

We consider the estimation and inference of graphical models that characterize the dependency structure of high-dimensional tensor-valued data. To facilitate the estimation of the precision matrix corresponding to each way of the tensor, we assume the data follow a tensor normal distribution whose covariance has a Kronecker product structure. A critical challenge in the estimation and inference of this model is the fact that its penalized maximum likelihood estimation involves minimizing a non-convex objective function. To address it, this paper makes two contributions: (i) In spite of the non-convexity of this estimation problem, we prove that an alternating minimization algorithm, which iteratively estimates each sparse precision matrix while fixing the others, attains an estimator with an optimal statistical rate of convergence. (ii) We propose a de-biased statistical inference procedure for testing hypotheses on the true support of the sparse precision matrices, and employ it for testing a growing number of hypothesis with false discovery rate (FDR) control. The asymptotic normality of our test statistic and the consistency of FDR control procedure are established. Our theoretical results are backed up by thorough numerical studies and our real applications on neuroimaging studies of Autism spectrum disorder and users' advertising click analysis bring new scientific findings and business insights. The proposed methods are encoded into a publicly available R package Tlasso.

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arXiv2019

How Many Machines Can We Use in Parallel Computing for Kernel Ridge Regression?

This paper aims to solve a basic problem in distributed statistical inference: how many machines can we use in parallel computing? In kernel ridge regression, we address this question in two important settings: nonparametric estimation and hypothesis testing. Specifically, we find a range for the number of machines under which optimal estimation/testing is achievable. The employed empirical processes method provides a unified framework, that allows us to handle various regression problems (such as thin-plate splines and nonparametric additive regression) under different settings (such as univariate, multivariate and diverging-dimensional designs). It is worth noting that the upper bounds of the number of machines are proven to be un-improvable (upto a logarithmic factor) in two important cases: smoothing spline regression and Gaussian RKHS regression. Our theoretical findings are backed by thorough numerical studies.

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