arXiv subjects

Ibrahim Ekren

Publications and source records attributed to Ibrahim Ekren.

At least 37 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

arXiv2025

Convergence Rate of Particle System for Second-order PDEs On Wasserstein Space

In this paper, we provide a convergence rate for particle approximations of a class of second-order PDEs on Wasserstein space. We show that, up to some error term, the infinite-dimensional inf(sup)-convolution of the finite-dimensional value function yields a super (sub)-viscosity solution to the PDEs on Wasserstein space. Hence, we obtain a convergence rate using a comparison principle of such PDEs on Wasserstein space. Our argument is purely analytic and relies on the regularity of value functions established in \cite{DaJaSe23}.

math.AP↗

arXiv2025

Viscosity Solutions of Fully second-order HJB Equations in the Wasserstein Space

In this paper, we show that the value functions of mean field control problems with common noise are the unique viscosity solutions to fully second-order Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equations, in a Crandall-Lions-like framework. We allow the second-order derivative in measure to be state-dependent and thus infinite-dimensional, rather than derived from a finite-dimensional operator, hence the term ''fully''. Our argument leverages the construction of smooth approximations from particle systems developed by Cosso, Gozzi, Kharroubi, Pham, and Rosestolato [Trans. Amer. Math. Soc., 2023], and the compactness argument via penalization of measure moments in Soner and Yan [Appl. Math. Optim., 2024]. Our work addresses unbounded dynamics and state-dependent common noise volatility, and to our knowledge, this is the first result of its kind in the literature.

math.OC↗

arXiv2024

Neural Operators Can Play Dynamic Stackelberg Games

Dynamic Stackelberg games are a broad class of two-player games in which the leader acts first, and the follower chooses a response strategy to the leader's strategy. Unfortunately, only stylized Stackelberg games are explicitly solvable since the follower's best-response operator (as a function of the control of the leader) is typically analytically intractable. This paper addresses this issue by showing that the \textit{follower's best-response operator} can be approximately implemented by an \textit{attention-based neural operator}, uniformly on compact subsets of adapted open-loop controls for the leader. We further show that the value of the Stackelberg game where the follower uses the approximate best-response operator approximates the value of the original Stackelberg game. Our main result is obtained using our universal approximation theorem for attention-based neural operators between spaces of square-integrable adapted stochastic processes, as well as stability results for a general class of Stackelberg games.

math.OC↗

arXiv2024

Sequential optimal contracting in continuous time

In this paper we study a principal-agent problem in continuous time with multiple lump-sum payments (contracts) paid at different deterministic times. We reduce the non-zero sum Stackelberg game between the principal and agent to a standard stochastic optimal control problem. We apply our result to a benchmark model for which we investigate how different inputs (payment frequencies, payments' distribution, discounting factors, agent's reservation utility) affect the principal's value and agent's optimal compensations.

math.OC↗

arXiv2024

Comparison of viscosity solutions for a class of second order PDEs on the Wasserstein space

We prove a comparison result for viscosity solutions of second order parabolic partial differential equations in the Wasserstein space. The comparison is valid for semisolutions that are Lipschitz continuous in the measure in a Fourier-Wasserstein metric and uniformly continuous in time. The class of equations we consider is motivated by Mckean-Vlasov control problems with common noise and filtering problems. The proof of comparison relies on a novel version of Ishii's lemma, which is tailor-made for the class of equations we consider.

math.AP↗

arXiv2022

A smooth variational principle on Wasserstein space

In this note, we provide a smooth variational principle on Wasserstein space by constructing a smooth gauge-type function using the sliced Wasserstein distance. This function is a crucial tool for optimization problems and in viscosity theory of PDEs on Wasserstein space.

math.OC↗

arXiv2022

A unified approach to informed trading via Monge-Kantorovich duality

We solve a generalized Kyle model type problem using Monge-Kantorovich duality and backward stochastic partial differential equations. First, we show that the the generalized Kyle model with dynamic information can be recast into a terminal optimization problem with distributional constraints. Therefore, the theory of optimal transport between spaces of unequal dimension comes as a natural tool. Second, the pricing rule of the market maker and an optimality criterion for the problem of the informed trader are established using the Kantorovich potentials and transport maps. Finally, we completely characterize the optimal strategies by analyzing the filtering problem from the market maker's point of view. In this context, the Kushner-Zakai filtering SPDE yields to an interesting backward stochastic partial differential equation whose measure-valued terminal condition comes from the optimal coupling of measures.

math.PR↗

arXiv2022

Kyle-Back Models with risk aversion and non-Gaussian Beliefs

We show that the problem of existence of equilibrium in Kyle's continuous time insider trading model can be tackled by considering a forward-backward system coupled via an optimal transport type constraint at maturity. The forward component is a stochastic differential equation representing an endogenously determined state variable and the backward component is a quasilinear parabolic equation representing the pricing function. By obtaining a stochastic representation for the solution of such a system, we show the well-posedness of solutions and study the properties of the equilibrium obtained for small enough risk aversion parameter. In our model, the insider has exponential type utility and the belief of the market maker on the distribution of the price at final time can be non-Gaussian.

math.PR↗

arXiv2022

A PDE approach for regret bounds under partial monitoring

In this paper, we study a learning problem in which a forecaster only observes partial information. By properly rescaling the problem, we heuristically derive a limiting PDE on Wasserstein space which characterizes the asymptotic behavior of the regret of the forecaster. Using a verification type argument, we show that the problem of obtaining regret bounds and efficient algorithms can be tackled by finding appropriate smooth sub/supersolutions of this parabolic PDE.

math.PR↗

arXiv2022

Kyle's Model with Stochastic Liquidity

We construct an equilibrium for the continuous time Kyle's model with stochastic liquidity, a general distribution of the fundamental price, and correlated stock and volatility dynamics. For distributions with positive support, our equilibrium allows us to study the impact of the stochastic volatility of noise trading on the volatility of the asset. In particular, when the fundamental price is log-normally distributed, informed trading forces the log-return up to maturity to be Gaussian for any choice of noise-trading volatility even though the price process itself comes with stochastic volatility. Surprisingly, we find that in equilibrium both Kyle's Lambda and its inverse (the market depth) are submartingales.

q-fin.TR↗

arXiv2021

Multidimensional Kyle-Back model with a risk averse informed trader

We study the continuous time Kyle-Back model with a risk averse informed trader.We show that in a market with multiple assets and non-Gaussian prices an equilibrium exists. The equilibrium is constructed by considering a Fokker-Planck equation and a system of partial differential equations that are coupled with an optimal transport type constraint at maturity.

math.PR↗

arXiv2021

Optimal Transport and Risk Aversion in Kyle's Model of Informed Trading

We establish connections between optimal transport theory and the dynamic version of the Kyle model, including new characterizations of informed trading profits via conjugate duality and Monge-Kantorovich duality. We use these connections to extend the model to multiple assets, general distributions, and risk-averse market makers. With risk-averse market makers, liquidity is lower, assets exhibit short-term reversals, and risk premia depend on market maker inventories, which are mean reverting. We illustrate the model by showing that implied volatilities predict stock returns when there is informed trading in stocks and options and market makers are risk averse.

q-fin.TR↗

arXiv2021

Liquidity in Competitive Dealer Markets

We study a continuous-time version of the intermediation model of Grossman and Miller (1988). To wit, we solve for the competitive equilibrium prices at which liquidity takers' demands are absorbed by dealers with quadratic inventory costs, who can in turn gradually transfer these positions to an exogenous open market with finite liquidity. This endogenously leads to transient price impact in the dealer market. Smooth, diffusive, and discrete trades all incur finite but nontrivial liquidity costs, and can arise naturally from the liquidity takers' optimization.

q-fin.TR↗

arXiv2021

Prediction against a limited adversary

We study the problem of prediction with expert advice with adversarial corruption where the adversary can at most corrupt one expert. Using tools from viscosity theory, we characterize the long-time behavior of the value function of the game between the forecaster and the adversary. We provide lower and upper bounds for the growth rate of regret without relying on a comparison result. We show that depending on the description of regret, the limiting behavior of the game can significantly differ.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2020

Asymptotics for Small Nonlinear Price Impact: a PDE Approach to the Multidimensional Case

We provide an asymptotic expansion of the value function of a multidimensional utility maximization problem from consumption with small non-linear price impact. In our model cross-impacts between assets are allowed. In the limit for small price impact, we determine the asymptotic expansion of the value function around its frictionless version. The leading order correction is characterized by a nonlinear second order PDE related to an ergodic control problem and a linear parabolic PDE. We illustrate our result on a multivariate geometric Brownian motion price model.

math.AP↗

arXiv2020

Utility-based pricing and hedging of contingent claims in Almgren-Chriss model with temporary price impact

In this paper, we construct the utility-based optimal hedging strategy for a European-type option in the Almgren-Chriss model with temporary price impact. The main mathematical challenge of this work stems from the degeneracy of the second order terms and the quadratic growth of the first order terms in the associated HJB equation, which makes it difficult to establish sufficient regularity of the value function needed to construct the optimal strategy in a feedback form. By combining the analytic and probabilistic tools for describing the value function and the optimal strategy, we establish the feedback representation of the latter. We use this representation to derive an explicit asymptotic expansion of the utility indifference price of the option, which allows us to quantify the price impact in options' market via the price impact coefficient in the underlying market.

q-fin.PR↗

arXiv2020

Portfolio Choice with Small Temporary and Transient Price Impact

We study portfolio selection in a model with both temporary and transient price impact introduced by Garleanu and Pedersen (2016). In the large-liquidity limit where both frictions are small, we derive explicit formulas for the asymptotically optimal trading rate and the corresponding minimal leading-order performance loss. We find that the losses are governed by the volatility of the frictionless target strategy, like in models with only temporary price impact. In contrast, the corresponding optimal portfolio not only tracks the frictionless optimizer, but also exploits the displacement of the market price from its unaffected level.

q-fin.PM↗

arXiv2020

On the asymptotic optimality of the comb strategy for prediction with expert advice

For the problem of prediction with expert advice in the adversarial setting with geometric stopping, we compute the exact leading order expansion for the long time behavior of the value function. Then, we use this expansion to prove that as conjectured in Gravin et al. [12], the comb strategies are indeed asymptotically optimal for the adversary in the case of 4 experts.

math.PR↗