arXiv subjects

Ish Gupta

Publications and source records attributed to Ish Gupta.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Shape of U: Measuring the Curvature of the Universe with Gravitational Waves

Gravitational waves (GWs) from compact binary mergers are standard sirens that can measure distances across the Universe without external calibrators. When an electromagnetic counterpart enables an independent redshift measurement, such "bright sirens" can be used to probe the expansion history of the Universe and constrain cosmological models. In this work, we investigate the ability of future GW observatories to measure the spatial curvature parameter, $\Omega_{\rm k}$, in a non-flat $\Lambda$CDM cosmology. We focus on intermediate-mass binary black hole mergers (with masses similar to GW231123) as bright siren sources, motivated by their detectability to high redshifts with next-generation ground-based detectors and by the possibility that mergers in active galactic nucleus disks may produce electromagnetic counterparts. Using Fisher matrix forecasts, we find that a network consisting of two Cosmic Explorer detectors and Einstein Telescope can constrain $\Omega_{\rm k}$ to a $1\sigma$ uncertainty of $0.029$ with these bright sirens. We further show that multiband observations with LISA or the Lunar Gravitational Wave Antenna do not significantly improve these cosmological constraints, because the additional signal-to-noise ratios accumulated in their bands are modest. Further, a population of binary neutron stars as bright sirens provides substantially broader constraints on $\Omega_{\rm k}$, with $1\sigma$ error of $0.055$. Our results show that bright intermediate-mass binary black hole and binary neutron star mergers observed with next-generation GW detectors together can provide an independent and informative probe of spatial curvature, with systematics distinct from those of other cosmological observations.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2026

Distinguishing Kilonovae from Binary Neutron Star and Neutron Star-Black Hole Mergers

Kilonovae (KNe) are most informative when accompanied by a gravitational-wave signal, which can help identify the source as a binary neutron star (BNS) or a neutron star-black hole (NSBH) merger. However, future events will also be discovered serendipitously or through follow-up of other transients, without a confident identification of the progenitor. We ask whether the KN light curve alone can distinguish between these two progenitor channels. Using simulated BNS and NSBH populations together with semi-analytic light curve models, we compare their post-peak evolution across the optical $ugrizy$ bands, and quantify the separation between the two classes in each band with the area under the receiver-operating-characteristic curve (AUC). BNS and NSBH KNe populate distinct regions of the post-peak decline distribution, with BNS KNe fading faster in every band. The separation is cleanest in the blue $u$ and $g$ bands $5$ days after peak and in the redder $i$ band $10$ days after peak. Within $5$ days of peak, BNS KNe decline by $\gtrsim 6$ ($\gtrsim 4$) mag in $u$ ($g$) bands, whereas NSBH KNe fade by only $\sim 3$ ($\sim 1$) mag. Over $10$ days in $i$, NSBH KNe decline by $\sim 1$--$2$ mag against $\sim 3$--$6$ mag for BNS. We attribute this to the higher opacity of NSBH ejecta, which lengthens the photon-diffusion time and slows the decline in all bands, while a low opacity blue component drives the rapid early peak and decline of BNS KNe. Although the precise overlap is model-dependent, the qualitative separation persists across variations in the astrophysical population, the NS equation of state, and the controlled variation of ejecta model parameters, establishing the post-peak photometric decline as a viable EM-only diagnostic of whether a KN arose from a BNS or an NSBH merger.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2026

A Maximum Entropy Conjecture for Black Hole Mergers

The final state of a binary black hole merger is predicted with high precision by numerical relativity, but could there be a simple thermodynamic principle within general relativity that governs the selection of the remnant? Using post-Newtonian relations between the mass M (including the binding energy) and angular momentum J of quasi-circular, nonspinning binaries, we uncover a puzzling result: When the binary's instantaneous M and J are mapped to those of a hypothetical Kerr black hole, the corresponding entropy exhibits a maximum during the evolution. This maximum occurs at values of M and J strikingly close to those of the final remnant predicted by numerical relativity. Consistent behavior is observed when using the relation between M and J obtained from numerical relativity evolution. Although this procedure is somewhat ad hoc, the agreement between the masses and spins of the final state obtained from numerical relativity and the results of this maximum entropy procedure is remarkable, with agreement to within a few percent when using either post-Newtonian or numerical relativity results for M and J. These findings allow us to propose an entropy maximization conjecture for binary black hole mergers, hinting that thermodynamic principles may govern the selection of the final black hole state.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2025

Golden and Silver Dark Sirens for precise H0 measurement with HETDEX

Gravitational waves (GWs) from compact binary coalescences are standard sirens that provide a direct measure of the source's luminosity distance, enabling an independent measurement of the Hubble constant (H0). While a bright siren -- a GW event with an identified electromagnetic (EM) counterpart -- provided the first such constraint, most detections, currently dominated by black hole mergers, lack EM signatures. A measurement of H0 is still possible with these dark sirens by statistically associating GW events with galaxies in existing catalogs based on the sky localization. In this work, we explore the potential of two subsets of sirens: rare golden dark sirens, for which a single galaxy dominates the H0 posterior, and silver dark sirens, which are far more common but have a larger set of plausible host galaxies. Using the fifth internal data release of the Hobby-Eberly Telescope Dark Energy Experiment (HETDEX), we assess the suitability of the Visible Integral-field Replicable Unit Spectrograph (VIRUS) for spectroscopic follow-up of dark sirens. VIRUS exposures of the standard HETDEX depth provide precise redshifts and exquisite completeness within z = 0.2. After a single year of observations with the upgraded LIGO-A# network, the combined sample of golden and silver dark sirens with z < 0.2 and follow-up VIRUS observations can potentially yield a few-percent constraint on H0. Our predictions suggest that spectroscopic redshift surveys such as HETDEX can play a key role in realizing high-precision cosmology with dark sirens in the near future. Standard-siren distance measurements offer a critical, fully independent path to the local value of H0 to resolve the Hubble tension.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2025

Accelerating parameter estimation for parameterized tests of general relativity with gravitational-wave observations

Tests of general relativity (GR) with gravitational waves (GWs) introduce additional deviation parameters in the waveform model. The enlarged parameter space makes inference computationally costly, which has so far limited systematic, large-scale studies that are essential to quantify parameter degeneracies, check the effect of waveform systematics, and assess robustness across non-stationary and non-Gaussian noise effects. The need is even sharper for next-generation observatories where signals are longer, signal-to-noise ratios (SNRs) are higher, and likelihood evaluations increase substantially. We address this by applying relative binning to the TIGER framework for parameterized tests of GR. Relative binning replaces dense frequency waveform evaluations with evaluations on adaptively chosen frequency bins, reducing the cost per likelihood call while preserving posterior accuracy. Using simulated binary black hole signals, we demonstrate unbiased recovery for GR-consistent cases and targeted non-GR deviations, and we map how bin resolution controls accuracy, with finer binning primarily required for the $-1$ post-Newtonian term. A high-SNR simulated signal at next-generation sensitivity further shows accurate recovery with tight posteriors. Applied to GW150914 and GW250114, both single and multi-parameter TIGER analyses finish within a day, yielding bounds consistent with GR at 90\% credibility and in agreement with previous results. Across analyses, the method reduces wall time by factors of $\mathcal{O}(10)$ to $\mathcal{O}(100)$, depending on frequency range and binning scheme, without degrading parameter estimation accuracy.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2025

Implications of GW241011 for rotating exotic compact objects

A number of theoretical proposals have been made for horizonless compact objects with masses and spins similar to those of black holes. While gravitational wave signatures from their mergers can resemble those of black holes, features like the spin-induced quadrupole moment may reveal their distinct nature. Using the tight bounds on the spin-induced quadrupole moment of GW241011, we place gravitational wave constraints on the nature of its primary. We find that large classes of exotic compact objects (including rotating boson stars) cannot explain its nature, however, models of sufficiently large compactness of $C \gtrsim 0.24$ may still be viable contenders.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2025

Testing general relativity with amplitudes of subdominant gravitational-wave modes

We present an improved subdominant-mode amplitude (SMA) test of general relativity (GR), which probes amplitude-level deviations in the higher-order modes of gravitational-wave (GW) signals from binary black hole mergers while keeping the dominant quadrupole mode fixed. Using a comprehensive parameter-estimation campaign, we benchmark the test against Gaussian noise fluctuations, waveform modeling systematics, and physical effects such as spin precession and orbital eccentricity. When applied to numerical-relativity simulations, the SMA test performs reliably for aligned-spin and mildly precessing systems but exhibits measurable biases for strongly precessing or eccentric binaries. Although designed to detect amplitude deviations, the test also responds coherently to phase perturbations, yielding apparent GR violations when applied to phase-modified waveforms. Applied to recent GW detections, we report the strongest constraint on the hexadecapolar $(4,4)$ mode amplitude deviation, $\delta A_{44} = -0.30^{+1.16}_{-3.45}$, consistent with GR. With these results, this work establishes the SMA test as a robust and broadly sensitive null test of general relativity and demonstrates a systematic approach for assessing the robustness of GW tests of GR.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2025

Confronting general relativity with principal component analysis: Simulations and results from GWTC-3 events

We present a comprehensive assessment of multiparameter tests of general relativity (GR) in the inspiral regime of compact binary coalescences using principal component analysis (PCA). Our analysis is based on an extensive set of simulated gravitational-wave (GW) signals, including both general relativistic and non-GR sources, injected into zero-noise data colored by the noise power spectral densities of the LIGO and Virgo GW detectors at their designed sensitivities. We evaluate the performance of PCA-based methods in the context of two established frameworks: TIGER and FTI. For GR-consistent signals, we find that PCA enables stringent constraints on potential deviations from GR, even in the presence of multiple free parameters. Applying the method to simulated signals that explicitly violate GR, we demonstrate that PCA is effective at identifying such deviations. We further test the method using numerical relativity waveforms of eccentric binary black hole systems and show that missing physical effects--such as orbital eccentricity--can lead to apparent violations of GR if not properly included in the waveform models used for analysis. Finally, we apply our PCA-based test to selected real gravitational-wave events from GWTC-3, including GW190814 and GW190412. We present joint constraints from selected binary black hole events in GWTC-3, finding that the 90% credible bound on the most informative PCA parameter is $0.03^{+0.08}_{-0.08}$ in the TIGER framework and $-0.01^{+0.05}_{-0.04}$ in the FTI framework, both of which are consistent with GR. These results highlight the sensitivity and robustness of the PCA-based approach and demonstrate its readiness for application to future observational data from the fourth observing runs of LIGO, Virgo, and KAGRA.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2025

Parameter estimation of gravitational-wave signals with frequency-dependent antenna responses and higher modes

We implement frequency-dependent antenna responses and develop likelihood classes (standard likelihood, multibanded likelihood, and the relative binning (RB) likelihood) capable of handling the same within the framework of \texttt{Bilby}. We validate the approximate likelihoods by comparing them with the exact likelihood for a GW170817-like signal (signal-to-noise ratio ~ 1900) containing higher-order modes of radiation. We use the relative-binning likelihood to perform parameter estimation (PE) for a GW170817-like signal, including Earth-rotation effects, detector-size effects, and higher-order modes. We study the system in several detector networks consisting of a single 40 km Cosmic Explorer, a 20 km CE and a present-generation detector at A+ sensitivity. The PE runs with RB take around a day to complete on a typical cluster.

astro-ph.IM↗

arXiv2025

Optimizing Bayesian model selection for equation of state of cold neutron stars

We introduce a computational framework, Bayesian Evidence calculation fOr Model Selection (BEOMS) to evaluate multiple Bayesian model selection methods in the context of determining the equation of state (EOS) for cold neutron star (NS), focusing on their performance with current and next-generation gravitational wave (GW) observatories. We conduct a systematic comparison of various EOS models by using posterior distributions obtained from EOS-agnostic Bayesian inference of binary parameters applied to GWs from a population of binary neutron star (BNS) mergers. The cumulative evidence for each model is calculated in a multi-dimensional parameter space characterized by neutron star masses and tidal deformabilities. Our findings indicate that Bayesian model selection is most effective when performed in the two-dimensional subspace of component mass and tidal deformability, requiring fewer events to distinguish between EOS models with high confidence. Furthermore, we establish a relationship between the precision of tidal deformability measurements and the accuracy of model selection, taking into account the evolving sensitivities of current and planned GW observatories. BEOMS offers computational efficiency and can be adapted to execute model selection for gravitational wave data from other sources.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2025

Cosmic Calipers: Precise and Accurate Neutron Star Radius Measurements with Next-Generation Gravitational Wave Detectors

Gravitational waves from merging binary neutron stars carry characteristic information about their astrophysical properties, including masses and tidal deformabilities, that are needed to infer their radii. In this study, we use Bayesian inference to quantify the precision with which radius can inferred with upgrades in the current gravitational wave detectors and next-generation observatories such as the Einstein Telescope and Cosmic Explorer. We assign evidences for a set of plausible equations of state, which are then used as weights to obtain radius posteriors. We find that prior choices and the loudness of observed signals limit the precision and accuracy of inferred radii by current detectors. In contrast, next-generation observatories can resolve the radius precisely and accurately, across most of the mass range to within $\lesssim 5\%$ for both soft and stiff equations of state. We also explore how the choice of the neutron star mass prior can influence the inferred masses and potentially affect radii measurements, finding that choosing an astrophysically motivated prior does not notably impact an individual neutron star's radius measurements.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2024

The Critical Role of LIGO-India in the Era of Next-Generation Observatories

We examine the role of LIGO-India in facilitating multi-messenger astronomy in the era of next generation observatories. A network with two L-shaped Cosmic Explorer (CE) detectors and one triangular Einstein Telescope (ET) would precisely localize nearly the entire annual binary neutron star merger population up to a redshift of 0.5--over 10,000 events would be localized within $10\ \mathrm{deg}^2$, including approximately 150 events within $0.1\ \mathrm{deg}^2$. Luminosity distance would be measured to within 10% for over 9,000 events and within 1% for $\sim 100$ events. Surprisingly, replacing the 20 km CE detector with LIGO-India operating at A$^\sharp$ sensitivity (I$^\sharp$) yields nearly identical performance. The factor-of-five shorter arms are offset by a fourfold increase in baseline relative to a second CE in the U.S., preserving localization accuracy, with over 9,000 events within $10\ \mathrm{deg}^2$ and $\sim 90$ events within $0.1\ \mathrm{deg}^2$. This configuration detects $\sim 6,000$ events with luminosity distance uncertainties under 10%, including $\sim 50$ events with under 1%. Both networks provide $\mathcal{O}(100)$ early-warning detections up to 10 minutes before merger, with localization areas $\leq 10\ \mathrm{deg}^2$. While I$^\sharp$ enables excellent localization and early warnings, its shorter arms and narrower sensitivity band would limit its reach for other science goals, such as detecting population III binary black hole mergers at $z \gtrsim 10$, neutron star mergers at $z \sim 2$, or constraining cosmological parameters.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2024

Foreground signals minimally affect inference of high-mass binary black holes in next generation gravitational-wave detectors

Next-generation gravitational-wave observatories are expected to detect over a thousand compact binary coalescence signals daily, with some lasting from minutes to hours. Consequently, multiple signals will overlap in the time-frequency plane, generating a "foreground noise" that predominantly affects the low-frequency range, where binary neutron star inspiral evolution is gradual. This study investigates the impact of such foreground noise on parameter estimation for short-duration binary black hole signals, particularly those with high detector-frame masses and/or located at large redshifts. Our results show a reduction in detection sensitivity by approximately 25\% when the noise power spectrum deviates by up to 50\% from Gaussian noise due to foreground contamination. Despite this, using standard parameter estimation techniques without subtracting overlapping signals, we find that foreground noise has minimal impact, primarily affecting precision. These findings suggest that even in the presence of substantial foreground noise, global-fit techniques, and/or signal subtraction will not be necessary, as accurate recovery of system parameters is achievable with minimal loss in precision.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2024

Constraining possible $\gamma$-ray burst emission from GW230529 using Swift-BAT and Fermi-GBM

GW230529 is the first compact binary coalescence detected by the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA collaboration with at least one component mass confidently in the lower mass-gap, corresponding to the range 3-5$M_{\odot}$. If interpreted as a neutron star-black hole merger, this event has the most symmetric mass ratio detected so far and therefore has a relatively high probability of producing electromagnetic (EM) emission. However, no EM counterpart has been reported. At the merger time $t_0$, Swift-BAT and Fermi-GBM together covered 100$\%$ of the sky. Performing a targeted search in a time window $[t_0-20 \text{s},t_0+20 \text{s}]$, we report no detection by the Swift-BAT and the Fermi-GBM instruments. Combining the position-dependent $\gamma-$ray flux upper limits and the gravitational-wave posterior distribution of luminosity distance, sky localization and inclination angle of the binary, we derive constraints on the characteristic luminosity and structure of the jet possibly launched during the merger. Assuming a top-hat jet structure, we exclude at 90$\%$ credibility the presence of a jet which has at the same time an on-axis isotropic luminosity $\gtrsim 10^{48}$ erg s$^{-1}$, in the bolometric band 1 keV-10 MeV, and a jet opening angle $\gtrsim 15$ deg. Similar constraints are derived testing other assumptions about the jet structure profile. Excluding GRB 170817A, the luminosity upper limits derived here are below the luminosity of any GRB observed so far.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2024

Everything everywhere all at once: A detailed study of GW230529

This study investigates the origins of GW230529, delving into its formation from massive stars within isolated binary systems. Utilizing population synthesis models, we present compelling evidence that the neutron star component forms second. However, the event's low signal-to-noise ratio introduces complexities in identifying the underlying physical mechanisms driving its formation. Augmenting our analysis with insights from numerical relativity, we estimate the final black hole mass and spin to be approximately $5.3 M_\odot$ and $0.53$, respectively. Furthermore, we employ the obtained posterior samples to calculate the ejecta mass and kilonova light curves resulting from r-process nucleosynthesis. We find the ejecta mass to range within $0-0.06 M_{\odot}$, contingent on the neutron star equation of state. The peak brightness of the kilonovae light curves indicates that targeted follow-up observations with a Rubin-like observatory may have detected this emission.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2024

Possible Causes of False General Relativity Violations in Gravitational Wave Observations

General relativity (GR) has proven to be a highly successful theory of gravity since its inception. The theory has thrivingly passed numerous experimental tests, predominantly in weak gravity, low relative speeds, and linear regimes, but also in the strong-field and very low-speed regimes with binary pulsars. Observable gravitational waves (GWs) originate from regions of spacetime where gravity is extremely strong, making them a unique tool for testing GR, in previously inaccessible regions of large curvature, relativistic speeds, and strong gravity. Since their first detection, GWs have been extensively used to test GR, but no deviations have been found so far. Given GR's tremendous success in explaining current astronomical observations and laboratory experiments, accepting any deviation from it requires a very high level of statistical confidence and consistency of the deviation across GW sources. In this paper, we compile a comprehensive list of potential causes that can lead to a false identification of a GR violation in standard tests of GR on data from current and future ground-based GW detectors. These causes include detector noise, signal overlaps, gaps in the data, detector calibration, source model inaccuracy, missing physics in the source and in the underlying environment model, source misidentification, and mismodeling of the astrophysical population. We also provide a rough estimate of when each of these causes will become important for tests of GR for different detector sensitivities. We argue that each of these causes should be thoroughly investigated, quantified, and ruled out before claiming a GR violation in GW observations.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2024

Multi-messenger Astrophysics of Black Holes and Neutron Stars as Probed by Ground-based Gravitational Wave Detectors: From Present to Future

The ground-based gravitational wave (GW) detectors LIGO and Virgo have enabled the birth of multi-messenger GW astronomy via the detection of GWs from merging stellar-mass black holes (BHs) and neutron stars (NSs). GW170817, the first binary NS merger detected in GWs and all bands of the electromagnetic spectrum, is an outstanding example of the impact that GW discoveries can have on multi-messenger astronomy. Yet, GW170817 is only one of the many and varied multi-messenger sources that can be unveiled using ground-based GW detectors. In this contribution, we summarize key open questions in the astrophysics of stellar-mass BHs and NSs that can be answered using current and future-generation ground-based GW detectors, and highlight the potential for new multi-messenger discoveries ahead.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2024

Inferring small neutron star spins with neutron star-black hole mergers

The precise measurement of neutron star (NS) spins can provide important insight into the formation and evolution of compact binaries containing NS. While traditional methods of NS spin measurement rely on pulsar observations, gravitational wave detections offer a complementary avenue. However, determining component spins with gravitational waves is hindered by the small dimensionless spins of the NS and the degeneracy in the mass and spin parameters. This degeneracy can be addressed by the inclusion of higher-order modes in the waveform, which are important for systems with unequal masses. This study shows the suitability of neutron star-black hole mergers, which are naturally mass-asymmetric, for precise NS spin measurements. We explore the effects of the black hole masses and spins, higher-mode content, inclination angle, and detector sensitivity on the measurement of NS spin. We find that networks with next-generation observatories like the Cosmic Explorer and the Einstein Telescope can distinguish NS dimensionless spin of 0.04 (0.1) from zero at $1-\sigma$ confidence for events within $\sim 350$ $(\sim 1000)$ Mpc. Networks with A+ and A$^{\sharp}$ detectors achieve similar distinction within $\sim 30$ $(\sim 70)$ Mpc and $\sim 50$ $(\sim 110)$ Mpc, respectively.

astro-ph.HE↗