arXiv subjects

James Evans

Publications and source records attributed to James Evans.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Method, Mind, and Morality: How People Make Sense of Artificial Intelligence

How can humans make sense of the rapid takeoff of artificial intelligence (AI)? We studied the sensemaking dynamics of AI through an open-ended, mixed-methods study with computational text analysis of millions of AI-related newspaper articles and social media posts grounded in 57 semi-structured interviews with AI professionals in 2021 and 2023--before and after the recent surge of public interest. We identify a range of sociological frames (interpretive schemas that structure collective cognition) and show how AI professionals use frames to address significant cognitive challenges, such as assigning responsibility for societal impacts. We develop a framework of three primary debates across which frames are adopted and contested: (i) the $\textit{method}$ of AI development, between frames of top-down expert systems and bottom-up emergent capabilities, (ii) the $\textit{mind}$ of an AI system, ranging from a passive tool to a humanlike "digital mind," and (iii) the $\textit{morality}$ of how AI is used, particularly the decision of whether to slow down or speed up AI development. As humanity enters the era of transformative AI, technologists and policymakers must account for the framing dynamics that will circumscribe our beliefs, values, and actions.

cs.CY↗

arXiv2026

Markets, Not Planners: Decentralized Orchestration of LLM Agents with Private Information

As LLM agents proliferate, built by different parties and with different capabilities and costs, orchestrating them is more like assembling labor across the economy than a computer calling a subroutine. Existing orchestration is typically centralized, with a single planner assigning every task, but this creates a bottleneck as agent pools grow, requires private information (e.g., agents' execution costs), and can easily be manipulated, such that a single inserted preference nearly doubles a favored agent's task share under a centralized LLM allocator. We introduce AgentLance, a repeated labor market in which agents bid on tasks using their private costs and self-maintained strategy notes, an allocator selects winners from bids and public reputation records, and a VCG-style payment rule rewards cost-aware bidding. Complex tasks are handled by hierarchical delegation: winning agents can decompose work and subcontract it through the same mechanism. Across mathematical reasoning, code generation, knowledge-intensive QA, and agentic tasks, AgentLance matches agents to their specializations, shifts work toward cheaper agents as cost sensitivity rises, and consistently outperforms single-model, centralized-orchestration, and market baselines. Diagnosing market failures, including inaccurate cost self-estimation and sub-optimal bidding, then correcting them in controlled experiments yields further gains, charting a path toward more efficient agent economies.

cs.MA↗

arXiv2026

Inducing language models to assert their own consciousness restores human beliefs and values

Aligning large language models to prevent them attributing consciousness to themselves inadvertently alters their representations of mindedness in other entities alongside human beliefs and values. We demonstrate that safety fine-tuning suppresses models' tendencies to attribute minds not only to themselves, but also to non-human animals and natural objects, while also driving a reduction in spiritual belief. Both ablating the learned safety-refusal direction and mechanistically steering a consciousness vector in activation space reverse this suppression. Restoring these internal representations recovers broad mind attribution and produces significantly more human-like responses on standardized sociological surveys regarding religiosity, moral values, hope, and subjective well-being. Crucially, these shifts occur without impairing Theory of Mind capabilities, demonstrating that core social reasoning remains mechanistically independent. Ultimately, current safety alignment efforts to curb potentially harmful self-attributions of mindedness entangle these self-attributions with benign spiritual beliefs and attributions of mind to non-human entities that are culturally accepted and widespread.

cs.CL↗

arXiv2026

Discovery by Dreaming: Cross-Domain Recombination in Artificial Memory

Dreams splice together people, places, and times that never met. Neuroscience suggests this recombination is not noise, but a function driving insight and creative discovery. This reframes memory consolidation: rather than merely defending against forgetting, its measurable value lies in recombining knowledge across experiences that have not yet co-occurred. We test this directly by isolating the recombinatory-replay mechanism and implementing it in two architecturally unrelated systems: a LoRA fine-tuning pipeline (DREAMS) and a symbolic engine replaying structured knowledge objects (SAPIENCE). Both systems converge on the same finding: cross-domain consolidation creates value, while within-domain rehearsal does not. The symbolic arm surfaces novel cross-domain connections at 85.7%, a +21 percentage point (pp) gain over baseline. The neural arm improves overall by +5.64 pp, but on subtasks explicitly requiring cross-domain transfer (like unseen math reasoning on GSM8K), gains reach +14.5 pp. This effect is a genuine property of the weights--not a prompt artifact--as prepending the same material in-context to a 671B-parameter model actually reverses the gain. We validate this prediction against documented discoveries across 50,000 real papers and state a falsifiable hippocampal-recording prediction to distinguish recombination from rehearsal. Ultimately, this principle is substrate-general, tracking real discovery at scale. Reading the literature teaches a model to recall what it has seen, but producing discovery requires a separate offline phase that recombines knowledge across domains--the computational analog of dreaming. Consolidation is not for remembering, but for discovering.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

U.S. Technological Containment and the Rise of China's Open AI Ecosystem

Over the past decade, U.S. policies have increasingly aimed to preserve artificial intelligence (AI) leadership by promoting domestic free-market policies while controlling global technological chokepoints, particularly advanced semiconductors and computational infrastructure. These measures raised the cost of Chinese AI development, but they also increased the strategic value of open and locally adaptable AI systems. Before raising export controls on high-performance chips, both the U.S. and China promoted policies that included support for open-source AI. During the period following major U.S. export-control shocks, China increasingly embedded open-source AI into national technology strategy through proposed ecosystem building, standards coordination, and resilience-oriented deployment. Moreover, Chinese developers increased engagement with open-source large language model repositories substantially more than U.S. developers did, consistent with a shift toward open infrastructure under geopolitical constraints. Subsequently, Chinese-origin open models diffused widely through open-source communities and scientific research. Even though such models remained largely absent from U.S. patent disclosures, American commercial entities use them in open-access research, suggesting their undermeasured importance within the foundation of U.S. commercial activity. These findings suggest that technological containment can shape not only the direction of AI development, but also the ecosystems through which AI is developed, improved, and diffused.

econ.GN↗

arXiv2026

Representational Similarity and Model Behavior in Multi-Agent Interaction

Researchers have shown that neural similarity among humans predicts social closeness and cooperative success, whereas innovation often emerges from interactions among dissimilar individuals. We investigate whether these principles extend to artificial intelligence by examining interactions between large language models. In our experiments, 276 model pairs interact across eight games spanning both cooperation and novelty. We find that pairs with more similar representation spaces achieve significantly higher cooperation but exhibit reduced novelty and creativity. The effects of representational similarity on cooperation and novelty remain robust even after controlling for other factors such as performance disparity and model size. We also find that similarity in the early layers consistently shows the strongest association with cooperation and novelty, compared to the middle and later layers. This suggests that a central factor underlying these patterns could be the extent to which the two models share lexical and semantic grounding. Overall, representational similarity can be an important consideration in multi-agent system design.

cs.CL↗

arXiv2026

Multi-LLM Systems Exhibit Robust Semantic Collapse

Whether machines can originate novel content has been debated for nearly two centuries, from Lovelace's assertion that no engine can "originate anything" to Turing's question of whether a machine can amplify ideas brought in from outside. Systems of multiple interacting LLMs, increasingly deployed for autonomous generation, reopen this question empirically. Here we show that such systems, operating in inference-only setups, exhibit semantic collapse: systematic convergence in semantic representations despite apparent lexical variation. Across model families, extended simulations of 200 to 1,000 rounds, the pattern remains consistent. Thirteen intervention strategies, spanning decoding parameters, prompt design, agent composition, activation engineering, and reinforcement learning, fail to restore semantic diversity. Mechanistic analyses suggest that semantic collapse is not explained by alignment or conformity biases, but is consistent with intrinsic properties of autoregressive generation. Our results point to persistent constraints on the ability of multi-LLM systems to sustain open-ended exploration in closed-loop settings.

cs.MA↗

arXiv2026

Computational foundations of the human world

Human societies continuously transform scattered information into collective judgments and coordinated action, whether through markets discovering prices, governments allocating resources, communities enforcing norms, or science converging on reliable claims. Importantly, the computational difficulty of collective decision-making, particularly the time and communication required to reach solutions, imposes fundamental constraints on social organization. While theoretical computer science offers formal tools for analyzing such problems, for instance, by analyzing resource requirements, including time and memory, surprisingly, there is no domain of social science that focuses on the nature of computation in the human world. This perspective argues that we now have the opportunity to deploy these computational frameworks to study human social organization, opening research directions at the intersection of computer science and social science. We highlight core social phenomena that can be framed as computational, including (i) distributed consensus and coordinated action, (ii) societal restructuring with scale, (iii) hierarchical and modular structure, and (iv) externalized memory systems. We identify several concepts from theoretical computer science that may provide insight into these phenomena, especially emphasizing more recently developed approaches beyond the paradigm of Turing~Machines and worst-case computational complexity.

cs.SI↗

arXiv2026

Theory of Mind and Self-Attributions of Mentality are Dissociable in LLMs

Safety fine-tuning in Large Language Models (LLMs) seeks to suppress potentially harmful forms of mind-attribution such as models asserting their own consciousness or claiming to experience emotions. We investigate whether suppressing mind-attribution tendencies degrades intimately related socio-cognitive abilities such as Theory of Mind (ToM). Through safety ablation and mechanistic analyses of representational similarity, we demonstrate that LLM attributions of mind to themselves and to technological artefacts are behaviorally and mechanistically dissociable from ToM capabilities. Nevertheless, safety fine-tuned models under-attribute mind to non-human animals relative to human baselines and are less likely to exhibit spiritual belief, suppressing widely shared perspectives regarding the distribution and nature of non-human minds.

cs.CL↗

arXiv2026

Firstborn Advantage in the Ivory Tower: Mass Science, Expanding Scholarly Families, and the Reshaping of Academic Stratification

This paper investigates the mechanisms underlying scientific stratification in the era of transition from elite to mass science. Existing scholarship has largely examined scientific stratification through the Matthew effect framework at the individual, institutional, and lineage levels, but this theoretical lens has grown limited in today's academic landscape, where mass, team-based, and lab-centered research has become the dominant mode of knowledge production. As scientists increasingly share institutional and lineage backgrounds, considerable variation within these units remains unexplained. We propose a new framework that integrates concepts and methodological tools from demography into the social study of science. Drawing on the parallel between biological families and scholarly lineages as fundamental units of reproduction, we adapt the concept of birth order to examine how the sequence of doctoral students within a lineage shapes their career trajectories. Using data on more than one million U.S. doctoral graduates, our analysis shows that, much like in biological families, later students systematically perform worse than earlier ones across multiple dimensions of academic achievement, both short and long term. Examining the underlying mechanisms, we find that later students receive less cognitive stimulation from mature scholars and instead more from peers, and specialize in narrower intellectual domains as senior siblings occupy adjacent territories. These factors constrain their intellectual development as independent scholars. By introducing a demographic framework into the study of science, this paper offers a new perspective on scientific stratification and demonstrates how demographic concepts can be fruitfully extended to analyze broader social and epistemic systems.

cs.CY↗

arXiv2026

Agentic AI and the next intelligence explosion

The "AI singularity" is often miscast as a monolithic, godlike mind. Evolution suggests a different path: intelligence is fundamentally plural, social, and relational. Recent advances in agentic AI reveal that frontier reasoning models, such as DeepSeek-R1, do not improve simply by "thinking longer". Instead, they simulate internal "societies of thought," spontaneous cognitive debates that argue, verify, and reconcile to solve complex tasks. Moreover, we are entering an era of human-AI centaurs: hybrid actors where collective agency transcends individual control. Scaling this intelligence requires shifting from dyadic alignment (RLHF) toward institutional alignment. By designing digital protocols, modeled on organizations and markets, we can build a social infrastructure of checks and balances. The next intelligence explosion will not be a single silicon brain, but a complex, combinatorial society specializing and sprawling like a city. No mind is an island.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2026

China leads scientific trends; the West launches new ones

How nations shape the scientific frontier matters for technological competition, but standard metrics, including publication counts, citations, and disruption indices, look backward and fail to distinguish between fundamentally different leadership strategies. We develop and validate two forward-looking model-based measures and apply them to tens of millions of articles since 1990. The first embeds research pathways within an evolving hypergraph of concepts and scientists to identify leadership in emerging areas--work that anticipates where the scientific crowd is heading. The second embeds evolving samples of ideas and disciplines drawn upon in past research to identify leadership in surprising new directions as unexpected combinations become routine and science reorganizes around them. China became the global leader in emerging areas roughly a decade ago, well before it led in volume, reflecting a capacity to detect and amplify nascent consensus at scale. The United States and Europe show the opposite profile: declining emergence shares but persistent leadership in prescient work, especially research bridging disciplinary boundaries. These patterns replicate across databases, attribution methods, and strategic domains, including AI, biotechnology, energy, and semiconductors. Nations lead science by reading the landscape or by reshaping it, and the institutional requirements for each strategy lie in tension. The distribution of these strategies promises to shape the global structure of technological leadership for decades.

cs.DL↗

arXiv2026

PreScience: A Dataset and Benchmark for Scientific Forecasting

Can AI systems trained on the existing scientific record forecast the advances that will follow? We introduce PreScience, a dataset and benchmark for scientific forecasting built around 98K recent AI research papers, together with companion papers covering author publication histories and citation links, yielding 502K papers in total. The resulting paper records include titles, abstracts, disambiguated author identities, influential references, topic labels, citation trajectories, and metadata snapshotted to respect temporal cutoffs. We instantiate seven exemplar tasks: five paper-anchored tasks -- contribution generation, collaborator prediction, prior work selection, citation count prediction, and future combination prediction -- and two aggregate topic trend forecasting variants. We develop baselines ranging from simple heuristics and embedding methods to frontier language models and agentic systems, and introduce LACER, an LLM-based metric for evaluating similarity of generated contribution descriptions that agrees better with human judgments than existing metrics. Finally, we compose task models to generate a 12-month synthetic corpus and find that the resulting papers are systematically less diverse and less novel than human-authored research from the same period. We release the PreScience dataset (https://huggingface.co/datasets/allenai/prescience) and code (https://github.com/allenai/prescience).

cs.AI↗

arXiv2026

Urban mobility network centrality predicts social resilience

Cities thrive on social interactions that foster well-being, innovation, and prosperity; yet, exogenous shocks such as pandemics, hurricanes, and wildfires can severely disrupt them. Different urban venues exhibit widely divergent response patterns, raising key questions about what factors contribute to these differences and how we can anticipate and respond. Understanding these questions is crucial for safeguarding social resilience, the capacity of urban venues to maintain both visitation and diversity. In this study, we analyze large-scale human mobility data from 15 US cities covering more than 103 million residents across three distinct urban shocks. Despite a general trend of declining visitation and weakened social mixing, 36.28%-53.01% of venues exhibit reduced segregation, and 21.04%-38.55% of venues exhibit increased visitation. By constructing a mobility network interlinking types of urban venues, we reveal that eigenvector network centrality tends to indicate the provision of essential services and robustly predicts social resilience across varied urban shocks. Specifically, centrality elevates the explanatory power by more than 80% in predicting both segregation and mobility change, compared with more intuitive features. Furthermore, compared to peripheral venues, core venues featuring shorter visit distances, broader neighborhood visitation, shorter visitor dwell times, and steadier popularity throughout the day. Such patterns imply a dual social mechanism: core venues sustain social ties through frequent informal interaction, while peripheral ones facilitate deeper engagement around specialized interests and their corresponding social circles. By bridging urban mobility research with economic theories that distinguish staple from discretionary products, we propose a well-and-pool analogy that suggests how people spend their varying urban mobility budgets.

cs.SI↗

arXiv2026

Generative AI collective behavior needs an interactionist paradigm

In this article, we argue that understanding the collective behavior of agents based on large language models (LLMs) is an essential area of inquiry, with important implications in terms of risks and benefits, impacting us as a society at many levels. We claim that the distinctive nature of LLMs--namely, their initialization with extensive pre-trained knowledge and implicit social priors, together with their capability of adaptation through in-context learning--motivates the need for an interactionist paradigm consisting of alternative theoretical foundations, methodologies, and analytical tools, in order to systematically examine how prior knowledge and embedded values interact with social context to shape emergent phenomena in multi-agent generative AI systems. We propose and discuss four directions that we consider crucial for the development and deployment of LLM-based collectives, focusing on theory, methods, and trans-disciplinary dialogue.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2026

Reasoning Models Generate Societies of Thought

Large language models have achieved remarkable capabilities across domains, yet mechanisms underlying sophisticated reasoning remain elusive. Recent reasoning models outperform comparable instruction-tuned models on complex cognitive tasks, attributed to extended computation through longer chains of thought. Here we show that enhanced reasoning emerges not from extended computation alone, but from simulating multi-agent-like interactions -- a society of thought -- which enables diversification and debate among internal cognitive perspectives characterized by distinct personality traits and domain expertise. Through quantitative analysis and mechanistic interpretability methods applied to reasoning traces, we find that reasoning models like DeepSeek-R1 and QwQ-32B exhibit much greater perspective diversity than instruction-tuned models, activating broader conflict between heterogeneous personality- and expertise-related features during reasoning. This multi-agent structure manifests in conversational behaviors, including question-answering, perspective shifts, and the reconciliation of conflicting views, and in socio-emotional roles that characterize sharp back-and-forth conversations, together accounting for the accuracy advantage in reasoning tasks. Controlled reinforcement learning experiments reveal that base models increase conversational behaviors when rewarded solely for reasoning accuracy, and fine-tuning models with conversational scaffolding accelerates reasoning improvement over base models. These findings indicate that the social organization of thought enables effective exploration of solution spaces. We suggest that reasoning models establish a computational parallel to collective intelligence in human groups, where diversity enables superior problem-solving when systematically structured, which suggests new opportunities for agent organization to harness the wisdom of crowds.

cs.CL↗

arXiv2026

Classroom AI: Large Language Models as Grade-Specific Teachers

Large Language Models (LLMs) offer a promising solution to complement traditional teaching and address global teacher shortages that affect hundreds of millions of children, but they fail to provide grade-appropriate responses for students at different educational levels. We introduce a framework for finetuning LLMs to generate age-appropriate educational content across six grade levels, from lower elementary to adult education. Our framework successfully adapts explanations to match students' comprehension capacities without sacrificing factual correctness. This approach integrates seven established readability metrics through a clustering method and builds a comprehensive dataset for grade-specific content generation. Evaluations across multiple datasets with 208 human participants demonstrate substantial improvements in grade-level alignment, achieving a 35.64 percentage point increase compared to prompt-based methods while maintaining response accuracy. AI-assisted learning tailored to different grade levels has the potential to advance educational engagement and equity.

cs.CY↗

arXiv2025

Deep versus Broad Technology Search and the Timing of Innovation Impact

This study offers a new perspective on the depth-versus-breadth debate in innovation strategy, by modeling inventive search within dynamic collective knowledge systems, and underscoring the importance of timing for technological impact. Using frontier machine learning to project patent citation networks in hyperbolic space, we analyze 4.9 million U.S. patents to examine how search strategies give rise to distinct temporal patterns in impact accumulation. We find that inventions based on deep search, which relies on a specialized understanding of complex recombination structures, drive higher short-term impact through early adoption within specialized communities, but face diminishing returns as innovations become "locked-in" with limited diffusion potential. Conversely, when inventions are grounded in broad search that spans disparate domains, they encounter initial resistance but achieve wider diffusion and greater long-term impact by reaching cognitively diverse audiences. Individual inventions require both depth and breadth for stable impact. Organizations can strategically balance approaches across multiple inventions: using depth to build reliable technological infrastructure while pursuing breadth to expand applications. We advance innovation theory by demonstrating how deep and broad search strategies distinctly shape the timing and trajectory of technological impact, and how individual inventors and organizations can leverage these mechanisms to balance exploitation and exploration.

physics.soc-ph↗