arXiv subjects

Jesse Read

Publications and source records attributed to Jesse Read.

At least 37 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

arXiv2023

Uncovering the Spatial and Temporal Variability of Wind Resources in Europe: A Web-Based Data-Mining Tool

We introduce REmap-eu.app, a web-based data-mining visualization tool of the spatial and temporal variability of wind resources. It uses the latest open-access dataset of the daily wind capacity factor in 28 European countries between 1979 and 2019 and proposes several user-configurable visualizations of the temporal and spatial variations of the wind power capacity factor. The platform allows for a deep analysis of the distribution, the crosscountry correlation, and the drivers of low wind power events. It offers an easy-to-use interface that makes it suitable for the needs of researchers and stakeholders. The tool is expected to be useful in identifying areas of high wind potential and possible challenges that may impact the large-scale deployment of wind turbines in Europe. Particular importance is given to the visualization of low wind power events and to the potential of cross-border cooperations in mitigating the variability of wind in the context of increasing reliance on weather-sensitive renewable energy sources.

stat.AP↗

arXiv2023

An Improved Yaw Control Algorithm for Wind Turbines via Reinforcement Learning

Yaw misalignment, measured as the difference between the wind direction and the nacelle position of a wind turbine, has consequences on the power output, the safety and the lifetime of the turbine and its wind park as a whole. We use reinforcement learning to develop a yaw control agent to minimise yaw misalignment and optimally reallocate yaw resources, prioritising high-speed segments, while keeping yaw usage low. To achieve this, we carefully crafted and tested the reward metric to trade-off yaw usage versus yaw alignment (as proportional to power production), and created a novel simulator (environment) based on real-world wind logs obtained from a REpower MM82 2MW turbine. The resulting algorithm decreased the yaw misalignment by 5.5% and 11.2% on two simulations of 2.7 hours each, compared to the conventional active yaw control algorithm. The average net energy gain obtained was 0.31% and 0.33% respectively, compared to the traditional yaw control algorithm. On a single 2MW turbine, this amounts to a 1.5k-2.5k euros annual gain, which sums up to very significant profits over an entire wind park.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2023

Shapley Chains: Extending Shapley Values to Classifier Chains

In spite of increased attention on explainable machine learning models, explaining multi-output predictions has not yet been extensively addressed. Methods that use Shapley values to attribute feature contributions to the decision making are one of the most popular approaches to explain local individual and global predictions. By considering each output separately in multi-output tasks, these methods fail to provide complete feature explanations. We propose Shapley Chains to overcome this issue by including label interdependencies in the explanation design process. Shapley Chains assign Shapley values as feature importance scores in multi-output classification using classifier chains, by separating the direct and indirect influence of these feature scores. Compared to existing methods, this approach allows to attribute a more complete feature contribution to the predictions of multi-output classification tasks. We provide a mechanism to distribute the hidden contributions of the outputs with respect to a given chaining order of these outputs. Moreover, we show how our approach can reveal indirect feature contributions missed by existing approaches. Shapley Chains help to emphasize the real learning factors in multi-output applications and allows a better understanding of the flow of information through output interdependencies in synthetic and real-world datasets.

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arXiv2023

CAMEO: Curiosity Augmented Metropolis for Exploratory Optimal Policies

Reinforcement Learning has drawn huge interest as a tool for solving optimal control problems. Solving a given problem (task or environment) involves converging towards an optimal policy. However, there might exist multiple optimal policies that can dramatically differ in their behaviour; for example, some may be faster than the others but at the expense of greater risk. We consider and study a distribution of optimal policies. We design a curiosity-augmented Metropolis algorithm (CAMEO), such that we can sample optimal policies, and such that these policies effectively adopt diverse behaviours, since this implies greater coverage of the different possible optimal policies. In experimental simulations we show that CAMEO indeed obtains policies that all solve classic control problems, and even in the challenging case of environments that provide sparse rewards. We further show that the different policies we sample present different risk profiles, corresponding to interesting practical applications in interpretability, and represents a first step towards learning the distribution of optimal policies itself.

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arXiv2023

Transferable Deep Metric Learning for Clustering

Clustering in high dimension spaces is a difficult task; the usual distance metrics may no longer be appropriate under the curse of dimensionality. Indeed, the choice of the metric is crucial, and it is highly dependent on the dataset characteristics. However a single metric could be used to correctly perform clustering on multiple datasets of different domains. We propose to do so, providing a framework for learning a transferable metric. We show that we can learn a metric on a labelled dataset, then apply it to cluster a different dataset, using an embedding space that characterises a desired clustering in the generic sense. We learn and test such metrics on several datasets of variable complexity (synthetic, MNIST, SVHN, omniglot) and achieve results competitive with the state-of-the-art while using only a small number of labelled training datasets and shallow networks.

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arXiv2023

Conv-NILM-Net, a causal and multi-appliance model for energy source separation

Non-Intrusive Load Monitoring (NILM) seeks to save energy by estimating individual appliance power usage from a single aggregate measurement. Deep neural networks have become increasingly popular in attempting to solve NILM problems. However most used models are used for Load Identification rather than online Source Separation. Among source separation models, most use a single-task learning approach in which a neural network is trained exclusively for each appliance. This strategy is computationally expensive and ignores the fact that multiple appliances can be active simultaneously and dependencies between them. The rest of models are not causal, which is important for real-time application. Inspired by Convtas-Net, a model for speech separation, we propose Conv-NILM-net, a fully convolutional framework for end-to-end NILM. Conv-NILM-net is a causal model for multi appliance source separation. Our model is tested on two real datasets REDD and UK-DALE and clearly outperforms the state of the art while keeping a significantly smaller size than the competing models.

eess.SP↗

arXiv2023

Linear TreeShap

Decision trees are well-known due to their ease of interpretability. To improve accuracy, we need to grow deep trees or ensembles of trees. These are hard to interpret, offsetting their original benefits. Shapley values have recently become a popular way to explain the predictions of tree-based machine learning models. It provides a linear weighting to features independent of the tree structure. The rise in popularity is mainly due to TreeShap, which solves a general exponential complexity problem in polynomial time. Following extensive adoption in the industry, more efficient algorithms are required. This paper presents a more efficient and straightforward algorithm: Linear TreeShap. Like TreeShap, Linear TreeShap is exact and requires the same amount of memory.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2023

Chains of Autoreplicative Random Forests for missing value imputation in high-dimensional datasets

Missing values are a common problem in data science and machine learning. Removing instances with missing values can adversely affect the quality of further data analysis. This is exacerbated when there are relatively many more features than instances, and thus the proportion of affected instances is high. Such a scenario is common in many important domains, for example, single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) datasets provide a large number of features over a genome for a relatively small number of individuals. To preserve as much information as possible prior to modeling, a rigorous imputation scheme is acutely needed. While Denoising Autoencoders is a state-of-the-art method for imputation in high-dimensional data, they still require enough complete cases to be trained on which is often not available in real-world problems. In this paper, we consider missing value imputation as a multi-label classification problem and propose Chains of Autoreplicative Random Forests. Using multi-label Random Forests instead of neural networks works well for low-sampled data as there are fewer parameters to optimize. Experiments on several SNP datasets show that our algorithm effectively imputes missing values based only on information from the dataset and exhibits better performance than standard algorithms that do not require any additional information. In this paper, the algorithm is implemented specifically for SNP data, but it can easily be adapted for other cases of missing value imputation.

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arXiv2022

Estimating Multi-label Accuracy using Labelset Distributions

A multi-label classifier estimates the binary label state (relevant vs irrelevant) for each of a set of concept labels, for any given instance. Probabilistic multi-label classifiers provide a predictive posterior distribution over all possible labelset combinations of such label states (the powerset of labels) from which we can provide the best estimate, simply by selecting the labelset corresponding to the largest expected accuracy, over that distribution. For example, in maximizing exact match accuracy, we provide the mode of the distribution. But how does this relate to the confidence we may have in such an estimate? Confidence is an important element of real-world applications of multi-label classifiers (as in machine learning in general) and is an important ingredient in explainability and interpretability. However, it is not obvious how to provide confidence in the multi-label context and relating to a particular accuracy metric, and nor is it clear how to provide a confidence which correlates well with the expected accuracy, which would be most valuable in real-world decision making. In this article we estimate the expected accuracy as a surrogate for confidence, for a given accuracy metric. We hypothesise that the expected accuracy can be estimated from the multi-label predictive distribution. We examine seven candidate functions for their ability to estimate expected accuracy from the predictive distribution. We found three of these to correlate to expected accuracy and are robust. Further, we determined that each candidate function can be used separately to estimate Hamming similarity, but a combination of the candidates was best for expected Jaccard index and exact match.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2022

From Multi-label Learning to Cross-Domain Transfer: A Model-Agnostic Approach

In multi-label learning, a particular case of multi-task learning where a single data point is associated with multiple target labels, it was widely assumed in the literature that, to obtain best accuracy, the dependence among the labels should be explicitly modeled. This premise led to a proliferation of methods offering techniques to learn and predict labels together, for example where the prediction for one label influences predictions for other labels. Even though it is now acknowledged that in many contexts a model of dependence is not required for optimal performance, such models continue to outperform independent models in some of those very contexts, suggesting alternative explanations for their performance beyond label dependence, which the literature is only recently beginning to unravel. Leveraging and extending recent discoveries, we turn the original premise of multi-label learning on its head, and approach the problem of joint-modeling specifically under the absence of any measurable dependence among task labels; for example, when task labels come from separate problem domains. We shift insights from this study towards building an approach for transfer learning that challenges the long-held assumption that transferability of tasks comes from measurements of similarity between the source and target domains or models. This allows us to design and test a method for transfer learning, which is model driven rather than purely data driven, and furthermore it is black box and model-agnostic (any base model class can be considered). We show that essentially we can create task-dependence based on source-model capacity. The results we obtain have important implications and provide clear directions for future work, both in the areas of multi-label and transfer learning.

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arXiv2022

On Merging Feature Engineering and Deep Learning for Diagnosis, Risk-Prediction and Age Estimation Based on the 12-Lead ECG

Objective: Machine learning techniques have been used extensively for 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) analysis. For physiological time series, deep learning (DL) superiority to feature engineering (FE) approaches based on domain knowledge is still an open question. Moreover, it remains unclear whether combining DL with FE may improve performance. Methods: We considered three tasks intending to address these research gaps: cardiac arrhythmia diagnosis (multiclass-multilabel classification), atrial fibrillation risk prediction (binary classification), and age estimation (regression). We used an overall dataset of 2.3M 12-lead ECG recordings to train the following models for each task: i) a random forest taking the FE as input was trained as a classical machine learning approach; ii) an end-to-end DL model; and iii) a merged model of FE+DL. Results: FE yielded comparable results to DL while necessitating significantly less data for the two classification tasks and it was outperformed by DL for the regression task. For all tasks, merging FE with DL did not improve performance over DL alone. Conclusion: We found that for traditional 12-lead ECG based diagnosis tasks DL did not yield a meaningful improvement over FE, while it improved significantly the nontraditional regression task. We also found that combining FE with DL did not improve over DL alone which suggests that the FE were redundant with the features learned by DL. Significance: Our findings provides important recommendations on what machine learning strategy and data regime to chose with respect to the task at hand for the development of new machine learning models based on the 12-lead ECG.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2022

Isomorphic Cross-lingual Embeddings for Low-Resource Languages

Cross-Lingual Word Embeddings (CLWEs) are a key component to transfer linguistic information learnt from higher-resource settings into lower-resource ones. Recent research in cross-lingual representation learning has focused on offline mapping approaches due to their simplicity, computational efficacy, and ability to work with minimal parallel resources. However, they crucially depend on the assumption of embedding spaces being approximately isomorphic i.e. sharing similar geometric structure, which does not hold in practice, leading to poorer performance on low-resource and distant language pairs. In this paper, we introduce a framework to learn CLWEs, without assuming isometry, for low-resource pairs via joint exploitation of a related higher-resource language. In our work, we first pre-align the low-resource and related language embedding spaces using offline methods to mitigate the assumption of isometry. Following this, we use joint training methods to develops CLWEs for the related language and the target embed-ding space. Finally, we remap the pre-aligned low-resource space and the target space to generate the final CLWEs. We show consistent gains over current methods in both quality and degree of isomorphism, as measured by bilingual lexicon induction (BLI) and eigenvalue similarity respectively, across several language pairs: {Nepali, Finnish, Romanian, Gujarati, Hungarian}-English. Lastly, our analysis also points to the relatedness as well as the amount of related language data available as being key factors in determining the quality of embeddings achieved.

cs.CL↗

arXiv2022

Optimality in Noisy Importance Sampling

In this work, we analyze the noisy importance sampling (IS), i.e., IS working with noisy evaluations of the target density. We present the general framework and derive optimal proposal densities for noisy IS estimators. The optimal proposals incorporate the information of the variance of the noisy realizations, proposing points in regions where the noise power is higher. We also compare the use of the optimal proposals with previous optimality approaches considered in a noisy IS framework.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2021

A Joint introduction to Gaussian Processes and Relevance Vector Machines with Connections to Kalman filtering and other Kernel Smoothers

The expressive power of Bayesian kernel-based methods has led them to become an important tool across many different facets of artificial intelligence, and useful to a plethora of modern application domains, providing both power and interpretability via uncertainty analysis. This article introduces and discusses two methods which straddle the areas of probabilistic Bayesian schemes and kernel methods for regression: Gaussian Processes and Relevance Vector Machines. Our focus is on developing a common framework with which to view these methods, via intermediate methods a probabilistic version of the well-known kernel ridge regression, and drawing connections among them, via dual formulations, and discussion of their application in the context of major tasks: regression, smoothing, interpolation, and filtering. Overall, we provide understanding of the mathematical concepts behind these models, and we summarize and discuss in depth different interpretations and highlight the relationship to other methods, such as linear kernel smoothers, Kalman filtering and Fourier approximations. Throughout, we provide numerous figures to promote understanding, and we make numerous recommendations to practitioners. Benefits and drawbacks of the different techniques are highlighted. To our knowledge, this is the most in-depth study of its kind to date focused on these two methods, and will be relevant to theoretical understanding and practitioners throughout the domains of data-science, signal processing, machine learning, and artificial intelligence in general.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2021

A Survey on Semi-Supervised Learning for Delayed Partially Labelled Data Streams

Unlabelled data appear in many domains and are particularly relevant to streaming applications, where even though data is abundant, labelled data is rare. To address the learning problems associated with such data, one can ignore the unlabelled data and focus only on the labelled data (supervised learning); use the labelled data and attempt to leverage the unlabelled data (semi-supervised learning); or assume some labels will be available on request (active learning). The first approach is the simplest, yet the amount of labelled data available will limit the predictive performance. The second relies on finding and exploiting the underlying characteristics of the data distribution. The third depends on an external agent to provide the required labels in a timely fashion. This survey pays special attention to methods that leverage unlabelled data in a semi-supervised setting. We also discuss the delayed labelling issue, which impacts both fully supervised and semi-supervised methods. We propose a unified problem setting, discuss the learning guarantees and existing methods, explain the differences between related problem settings. Finally, we review the current benchmarking practices and propose adaptations to enhance them.

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arXiv2020

River: machine learning for streaming data in Python

River is a machine learning library for dynamic data streams and continual learning. It provides multiple state-of-the-art learning methods, data generators/transformers, performance metrics and evaluators for different stream learning problems. It is the result from the merger of the two most popular packages for stream learning in Python: Creme and scikit-multiflow. River introduces a revamped architecture based on the lessons learnt from the seminal packages. River's ambition is to be the go-to library for doing machine learning on streaming data. Additionally, this open source package brings under the same umbrella a large community of practitioners and researchers. The source code is available at https://github.com/online-ml/river.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2020

Better Sign Language Translation with STMC-Transformer

Sign Language Translation (SLT) first uses a Sign Language Recognition (SLR) system to extract sign language glosses from videos. Then, a translation system generates spoken language translations from the sign language glosses. This paper focuses on the translation system and introduces the STMC-Transformer which improves on the current state-of-the-art by over 5 and 7 BLEU respectively on gloss-to-text and video-to-text translation of the PHOENIX-Weather 2014T dataset. On the ASLG-PC12 corpus, we report an increase of over 16 BLEU. We also demonstrate the problem in current methods that rely on gloss supervision. The video-to-text translation of our STMC-Transformer outperforms translation of GT glosses. This contradicts previous claims that GT gloss translation acts as an upper bound for SLT performance and reveals that glosses are an inefficient representation of sign language. For future SLT research, we therefore suggest an end-to-end training of the recognition and translation models, or using a different sign language annotation scheme.

cs.CL↗

arXiv2020

Classifier Chains: A Review and Perspectives

The family of methods collectively known as classifier chains has become a popular approach to multi-label learning problems. This approach involves linking together off-the-shelf binary classifiers in a chain structure, such that class label predictions become features for other classifiers. Such methods have proved flexible and effective and have obtained state-of-the-art empirical performance across many datasets and multi-label evaluation metrics. This performance led to further studies of how exactly it works, and how it could be improved, and in the recent decade numerous studies have explored classifier chains mechanisms on a theoretical level, and many improvements have been made to the training and inference procedures, such that this method remains among the state-of-the-art options for multi-label learning. Given this past and ongoing interest, which covers a broad range of applications and research themes, the goal of this work is to provide a review of classifier chains, a survey of the techniques and extensions provided in the literature, as well as perspectives for this approach in the domain of multi-label classification in the future. We conclude positively, with a number of recommendations for researchers and practitioners, as well as outlining a number of areas for future research.

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