arXiv subjects

Jessica R. Lu

Publications and source records attributed to Jessica R. Lu.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Absolute Motion of the Infrared Counterpart to Sagittarius A* in the Gaia Celestial Reference Frame 3 and Limits on an Intermediate-mass Black Hole Companion

We report the first proper motion and acceleration measurements of the infrared (IR) counterpart to Sagittarius A* (Sgr A*-IR), the supermassive black hole (SMBH) at the center of our Galaxy, in the Gaia-Celestial Reference Frame (Gaia-CRF3). This reference frame realizes the International Celestial Reference System (ICRS), which is an absolute reference coordinate system defined by quasars. A combination of Gaia and Hubble Space Telescope data was used to transform Keck adaptive optics (AO) observations into Gaia-CRF3. We developed a method for selecting reference stars that minimizes astrometric transformation errors (statistical error = $0.10-0.63$ mas) and drift of the coordinate system (systematic error $\sim 0.01$ mas/yr). We find the proper motion of Sgr A*-IR in Gaia-CRF3 to be $μ_{α^{*}} = -3.093 \pm 0.085$ mas yr$^{-1}$ and $μ_δ= -5.62 \pm 0.13$ mas yr$^{-1}$ with the initial position at $t_{0} = 2016.0$ of R.A. = 266.41680848 $\pm$ 0.00000029 deg and DEC = -29.00783947 $\pm$ 0.00000050 deg, which translates to a precision of 1.05 mas in R.A. and 1.79 mas DEC. This is consistent with the astrometric measurements of the radio counterpart to Sgr A* by \citet{Xu_2022}. We also place a $2σ$ upper constraint of the acceleration of Sgr A*-IR on the sky at 0.061 mas yr$^{-2}$. This acceleration limit on Sgr A*-IR excludes any intermediate-mass black hole companion with mass $\gtrsim 4\times 10^{4}$ $M_{\odot}$ within a distance of $\sim$0.01 pc, consistent with previous studies. With the release of Gaia Data Release 4, we predict these limits will be improved by at least a factor of two.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2026

Black hole astrometric binaries in the Roman Galactic Bulge Time Domain Survey

The Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope (Roman), NASA's next flagship mission, is currently scheduled to launch in August 2026. As part of its mission, Roman will conduct the Galactic Bulge Time Domain Survey (GBTDS), which will generate $\sim$50,000 epochs of high-precision photometric and astrometric data for $\sim 10^8$ sources across 1.7 deg$^2$ in the Galactic Bulge. Roman GBTDS astrometry is comparable to Gaia Data Release 4 in terms of number of stars, astrometric precision, and time baseline, and is highly complementary in terms of wavelength and sky location. In this paper, we investigate a synthetic population of GBTDS sources to characterize the detectability of unresolved astrometric binaries, in particular those with compact object companions. Assuming the occurrence rate of black holes (BHs) and neutron stars (NSs) in AU-scale orbits around stars is $10^{-7}$ and $10^{-6}$, respectively, and that Roman achieves an astrometric precision of $1\%$ of a pixel, $\mathcal{O}(10)$ BH+star and $\mathcal{O}(10)$ NS+star detached binaries will be detectable. The BHs will have median mass measurement uncertainties of $\sim 25\%$, increasing the existing sample of detached astrometric BH binaries by a factor of three. Together with the $\mathcal{O}(10^2)$ isolated BHs expected to be discovered by microlensing in the Roman GBTDS and an additional $\mathcal{O}(10)$ detached BH binaries in Gaia DR4, this will provide a representative view of the quiescent Galactic stellar-mass BH population.

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arXiv2026

Wavefront Profiling via correlation of GLAO open loop telemetry

Adaptive Optics (AO) used in ground based observatories can be strengthened in both design and algorithms by a more detailed understanding of the atmosphere they seek to correct. Nowhere is this more true than on Maunakea, where a clearer profile of the atmosphere informs AO system development from the small separations of Extreme AO (ExAO) to the wide field Ground Layer AO (GLAO). Employing telemetry obtained from the 'imaka GLAO demonstrator on the University of Hawaii 2.2-meter telescope, we apply a wind profiling method that identifies turbulent layer velocities through spatial-temporal cross correlations of multiple wavefront sensors (WFSs). We compare the derived layer velocities with nearby wind anemometer data and meteorological model predictions of the upper wind speeds and discuss similarities and differences. The strengths and limitations of this profiling method are evaluated through successful recovery of injected, simulated layers into real telemetry. We detail the profilers' results, including the percentage of data with viable estimates, on four characteristic 'imaka observing runs on open loop telemetry throughout both winter and summer targets. We report on how similar layers are to external measures, the confidence of these results, and the potential for future use of this technique on other multi conjugate AO systems.

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arXiv2026

Spectroscopic follow-up of compact object binary candidates from Gaia DR3: White dwarfs, neutron stars, black holes, and the parallax zeropoint

Astrometry and radial velocities (RVs) from Gaia DR3 yielded orbits for hundreds of thousands of binary systems, including several samples proposed to contain black holes (BHs), neutron stars (NSs), and white dwarfs (WDs). We present results of a systematic spectroscopic follow-up program targeting these objects. Beginning with a sample of 227 sources, we used a combination of archival data and many-epoch spectroscopic follow-up to characterize more than 200. We obtained 1292 high-quality RVs over a period of four years using the TRES and FEROS spectrographs, achieving a typical precision of 50 m/s and at least 10 RVs for 60 sources. We use these data to test the Gaia orbital solutions and tighten constraints on orbital parameters and component masses. Joint fitting of astrometry and RVs allows us to directly constrain flux ratios, verifying that undetected companions are genuinely dark. We find that ~60% of the astrometric candidates indeed host compact objects, including the two known Gaia BHs, 27 NS candidates, and a dozen massive WDs. We show that tight WD+WD binaries may masquerade as NSs within this sample. The spectroscopic candidates have lower purity: ~50% have spurious solutions, and a majority of the rest are post-mass-transfer binaries or hierarchical triples. Joint astrometry+RV fits of binaries with dark companions yield direct, parallax-independent distance measurements. Using 40 such systems, we measure the Gaia DR3 parallax zeropoint for astrometric orbital solutions. We find $Z=-0.0362\pm0.0053$ mas, consistent with the single-star zeropoint for sources of similar color and magnitude. These results will guide the selection of cleaner candidate samples from Gaia DR4, where a longer observing baseline will enable discovery of many more compact object binaries. RV follow-up will remain important for confirming individual systems, particularly those with extreme parameters.

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arXiv2026

An Updated SynthPop Model for Microlensing Simulations I: Model Description & Evaluation

The optimization and interpretation of microlensing surveys depends on having an accurate model of the Milky Way. However, existing population synthesis Galactic modeling tools often perform poorly in replicating the stellar contents of the inner Galactic bulge region and reproducing microlensing survey results. We present an updated Galactic model implementation within the \synthpop framework that has been tuned for simulating the upcoming {\it Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope}'s Galactic Bulge Time Domain Survey (RGBTDS). We evaluate the model against stellar catalogs and kinematics from optical and infrared surveys toward the Galactic bulge, finding good agreement in much of the bulge, including the RGBTDS' contiguous lower bulge fields. However, within Galactic latitudes of $b\lesssim0.5^\circ$ of the Galactic plane, some inconsistencies arise which may impact projections for the RGBTDS' Galactic center field. The model over-predicts optical microlensing event rate per star measurements by a $\sim20$\%, but detailed comparisons to near-infrared measurements are hampered by their lack of detection efficiencies. {\it Roman}'s GBTDS and Galactic Plane Survey will be instrumental in resolving the remaining model inconsistencies and improving our understanding of the structure of the central few degrees of our Galaxy.

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arXiv2026

A Kinematic Study of Wolf-Rayet Stars at the Galactic Center I: Binary Candidates and Constraints on the Binary Fraction

We report the binary fraction of Wolf-Rayet (WR) stars within 0.5~pc of the Galactic center obtained through the longest time-baseline (1994-2024) kinematic study of this population of stars. The new radial velocity ($v_{z}$) data we present is primarily from the W. M. Keck Observatory, with additional $v_{z}$ measurements from Gemini North Observatory. When combining our new $v_{z}$ measurements with literature measurements, we find $v_{z}$ variations suggesting the presence of a companion for five out of 27 WR stars, of which two are newly identified here (IRS~13E4, S8-181), along with three previously detected binaries (IRS~16SW, IRS~16NE, S4-258). Based on our experimental sensitivity and expected properties of the underlying population, we infer the binary fraction of the WR stars in the Galactic center to be 0.56$\pm$0.18. This is consistent with previous photometric studies of the young stars in the Galactic center, and with the binary fraction of field WR stars. When our results are combined with the results of previous photometric work, we find a binary fraction of 0.69$\pm$0.17 for the WR stars in the Galactic center.

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arXiv2026

An HST Wide Field Survey of the Galactic Bulge: Overview, Strategy, and First Results

We present an HST imaging survey of a 1.1 sq. degree sky area toward the Milky Way Galactic Bulge. This field significantly overlaps with the upcoming Nancy Grace Roman Galactic Bulge Time Domain Survey (GBTDS). High angular resolution imaging of this area with HST before the start of the Roman Galactic Exoplanet Survey (RGES) will greatly strengthen Roman's ability to characterize detected exoplanet systems, as well as provide a rich and wide-field archive for use as a legacy dataset toward the Galactic Bulge for the broader community. We conduct coordinated-parallel imaging with both wide-field cameras on HST, Wide-field Camera 3 (WFC3) and Advanced Camera for Surveys (ACS), utilizing the F606W and F814W passbands. Approximately 70% of the survey was conducted during HST Cycle 32, with the remaining 30% conducted during Cycle 33. In this paper, the first in a series, we give a general overview of the program and the observing strategy, and present early results. This campaign secures HST's lasting impact on the high-precision study of stellar populations, dynamics, exoplanet systems, interstellar extinction, metallicities, cluster associations, and more toward the center of our Galaxy.

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arXiv2026

Technique-agnostic exoplanet demography for the Roman era -- I. Testing a demography retrieval framework using simulated Kepler-like transit datasets

The Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope (Roman) will unveil for the first time the full architecture of planetary systems across Galactic distances through the discovery of up to 200,000 cool and hot exoplanets using microlensing and transit detection methods. Roman's huge exoplanet haul, and Galactic reach, will require new methods to leverage the full exoplanet demographic content of the combined microlensing and transit samples, given the different sensitivity bias of the techniques to planet and host properties and Galactic location. We present a framework for technique-agnostic exoplanet demography (TAED) that can allow large, multi-technique exoplanet samples distributed over Galactic distance scales to be combined for demographic studies. Our TAED forward modelling and retrieval framework uses parameterised model exoplanet demographic distributions to embed planetary systems within a stellar population synthesis model of the Galaxy, enabling internally consistent forecasts to be made for all detection methods that are based on spatio-kinematic system properties. In this paper, as a first test of the TAED framework, we apply it to simulated transit datasets based on the Kepler Data Release 25 to assess parameter recovery accuracy and method scalability for a single large homogeneous dataset. We find that optimisation using differential evolution provides a computationally scalable framework that gives a good balance between computational efficiency and accuracy of parameter recovery.

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arXiv2026

IRS 9: The Case for a Dynamically-Ejected Star from the Galactic Center

Measuring stellar motions at the Milky Way's Galactic center (GC) provides unique insight into the dynamical processes within galactic nuclei. We present proper motion measurements for 23 SiO-maser emitting stars within 45'' of SgrA*, including four previously reported to have velocities exceeding their local escape velocities (i.e., they are "locally unbound" from the GC). Derived from 14 epochs of HST WFC3-IR observations (2010 - 2023), our measurements have a median precision of 0.038 mas/yr - up to ~100x more precise then previous constraints for some sources. By combining these proper motions with published radial velocities, we derive updated 3D velocities for the masers and find that only one is locally unbound (IRS 9; v3d = 370 +/- 1.2 km/s). Orbit integrations place the first constraints on the orbit of IRS 9, which is bound to the GC at larger radii with r_peri >= 0.100 +/- 0.005 pc and r_apo >= 5.25 +/- 0.18 pc. IRS 9's high velocity relative to stars at similar radii in the Nuclear Star Cluster makes it a candidate to have experienced a strong dynamical interaction in order to place it on its orbit. We explore the Hills mechanism as a possible origin, but binary evaporation and ejection velocity limits indicate that IRS 9 is unlikely to have experienced such an event in the past 0.4 Myr (the timescale constrained by the orbit integrations). Alternative mechanisms that could produce IRS 9 include binary supernova disruption, two-body interactions, and stellar collisions. Identifying additional stars like IRS 9 will be essential for understanding these various dynamical processes.

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arXiv2025

Predictions of the Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope Galactic Exoplanet Survey. V. Detection Rates of Multiplanetary Systems in High Magnification Microlensing Events

The Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope will expand the reach of gravitational microlensing surveys by increasing the number of events monitored and the precision of their light curves. We investigate Roman's ability to detect triple-lens microlensing systems, cases where a foreground star with two bound exoplanets produces detectable anomalies in a microlensing event, using its planned high-cadence observations toward the Galactic bulge. We simulate a large set of high-magnification microlensing light curves based on Roman's expected survey characteristics. A detection criterion, based on a required $χ^2$ improvement for a two-planet model, is applied to determine whether the second planet can be reliably distinguished from a single-planet (binary-lens) model. Our simulations show that the majority of two-planet microlensing events would be detectable with Roman. Events in which both planets are relatively massive (planet-star mass ratios of order $10^{-3}$), or in which the more massive planet occupies a favorable resonant configuration, produce strong central perturbations, resulting in detection efficiencies of roughly 90\%. By contrast, systems with only low-mass planets ($q \sim 10^{-4}$) or with less favorable alignments generate much weaker signals, which often fall below the detection threshold. In general, the planetary mass ratios and the resulting caustic geometry (e.g., central caustic size in resonant versus wide/close orbits) are the dominant factors governing detectability. Taking into account the expected frequency of planetary systems and the fraction of high-magnification events, we estimate that Roman will detect a high-magnification triple-lens event in approximately 4.5\% of multi-planet microlensing events, corresponding to about 64 events over the course of the full survey.

astro-ph.EP↗

arXiv2025

Performance Simulations for Kola: Achieving High-Resolution, Visible-Light AO Correction Over a 1 Arcminute Field

We present performance simulations for a proposed visible-light, multi-conjugate adaptive optics system for the 10-meter W. M. Keck I telescope that aims to deliver near diffraction-limited angular resolution at optical wavelengths. Our proposed architecture, the Keck Optical Laser Guide Star Adaptive Optics System (KOLA), combines multiple laser guide stars (LGS) and deformable mirrors to enable wide-field correction across a 60 arcsecond field of view. Simulations were conducted using the open-source Multi-Threaded Adaptive Optics Simulator (MAOS), which we validated against on-sky data for the current Keck I adaptive optics system. We evaluated KOLA performance across a range of design parameters and report key point spread function metrics, including Strehl ratio, full width at half maximum, and encircled energy radius. Example science-driven requirements include resolving black hole spheres of influence, probing crowded stellar fields, and imaging protoplanetary disks. Trade studies on actuator count and laser guide star configuration help inform future design decisions. We present a nominal KOLA design (10 LGS, 3 tip-tilt natural guide stars (TTNGS), and 3600 actuators on the adaptive secondary mirror). Performance simulations show a 15 mas angular resolution with a Strehl ratio of 34% at 652 nm on-axis. More work is needed to explore alternative LGS/TTNGS asterisms, optimize conjugation heights for high-altitude deformable mirrors, and test performance under poorer seeing conditions.

astro-ph.IM↗

arXiv2025

Structure and Dynamics of the Young Massive Star Cluster Westerlund 1

We present a structural analysis of the young massive star cluster Westerlund 1 (Wd 1). With multi-epoch Hubble Space Telescope (HST) observations, we measure the proper motions of $10346$ stars and determine their kinematic memberships by fitting a Gaussian mixture model to their proper motions. After correcting for extinction and completeness, we model the stellar density distribution and confirm the presence of an elongation with an eccentricity of $0.71$. The eccentricity decreases slightly with increasing mass. We fit the radial profile with the Elson, Fall, and Freeman model, observing a decrease in the core radius with increasing mass, indicative of weak but detectable mass segregation. This finding is further supported by a measured mass segregation ratio of $Λ_\mathrm{\rm MSR}=1.11\pm0.11$, only above $1$ by $1σ$, and slightly shorter minimum spanning tree length for higher mass bins. The cluster has a 1D velocity dispersion of $3.42 \pm 0.10~\mathrm{km}\,\mathrm{s}^{-1}$, suggesting it is subvirial. The subvirial state implies either exceptionally high star formation efficiency or inefficient stellar feedback caused by local gas expulsion before stars reach the cluster. The crossing time is $0.30$ Myr and the relaxation time is $0.26$ Gyr. Given the age of Wd 1 of $10.7$ Myr, we expect evident mass segregation for stars more massive than $10~M_\odot$, which accounts for the minor mass segregation found in the mass range of $1.00\unicode{x2013}12.14~M_\odot$ in this work. This suggests the overall mass segregation in Wd 1 is not primordial.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2025

Predictions of the Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope Galactic Exoplanet Survey. IV. Lens Mass and Distance Measurements

As part of the Galactic Bulge Time Domain Survey (GBTDS), the Nancy Grace Roman Galactic Exoplanet Survey (RGES) will use microlensing to discover cold outer planets and free-floating planets unbound to stars. NASA has established several science requirements for the GBTDS to ensure RGES success. A key advantage of RGES is Roman's high angular resolution, which will allow detection of flux from many host stars. One requirement specifies that Roman must measure the masses and distances of 40% of detected planet hosts with 20% precision or better. To test this, we simulated microlensing events toward the GBTDS fields and used Fisher matrix analysis to estimate light curve parameter uncertainties. Combining these with Roman imaging observables (lens flux, relative lens-source proper motion), we estimated the achievable precision of lens mass and distance measurements. Using pyLIMASS, a publicly available code for estimating lens properties, we applied this analysis to 3,000 simulated events. Assuming the Cassan et al. (2012) exoplanet mass function, we find that >40% of host stars meet the required 20% precision threshold, confirming that the GBTDS can satisfy the mission requirement. We validated our approach by comparing our inferred lens masses and distances to empirical measurements from detailed image-constrained light curve modeling of historical microlensing events with Hubble and Keck follow-up imaging. Our results agree within roughly 1 sigma, demonstrating that both approaches yield consistent and reliable mass and distance estimates, and confirming the robustness of our simulations for Roman-era microlensing science.

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arXiv2025

The JWST Galactic Center Survey -- A White Paper

The inner hundred parsecs of the Milky Way hosts the nearest supermassive black hole, largest reservoir of dense gas, greatest stellar density, hundreds of massive main and post main sequence stars, and the highest volume density of supernovae in the Galaxy. As the nearest environment in which it is possible to simultaneously observe many of the extreme processes shaping the Universe, it is one of the most well-studied regions in astrophysics. Due to its proximity, we can study the center of our Galaxy on scales down to a few hundred AU, a hundred times better than in similar Local Group galaxies and thousands of times better than in the nearest active galaxies. The Galactic Center (GC) is therefore of outstanding astrophysical interest. However, in spite of intense observational work over the past decades, there are still fundamental things unknown about the GC. JWST has the unique capability to provide us with the necessary, game-changing data. In this White Paper, we advocate for a JWST NIRCam survey that aims at solving central questions, that we have identified as a community: i) the 3D structure and kinematics of gas and stars; ii) ancient star formation and its relation with the overall history of the Milky Way, as well as recent star formation and its implications for the overall energetics of our galaxy's nucleus; and iii) the (non-)universality of star formation and the stellar initial mass function. We advocate for a large-area, multi-epoch, multi-wavelength NIRCam survey of the inner 100\,pc of the Galaxy in the form of a Treasury GO JWST Large Program that is open to the community. We describe how this survey will derive the physical and kinematic properties of ~10,000,000 stars, how this will solve the key unknowns and provide a valuable resource for the community with long-lasting legacy value.

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arXiv2025

KMT-2018-BLG-0029Lb and OGLE-2019-BLG-0960Lb: Mass Measurements for Two Super-Earth Microlensing Planets

KMT-2018-BLG-0029Lb and OGLE-2019-BLG-0960Lb were the lowest mass-ratio microlensing planets at the time of discovery. For both events, microlensing parallax measurements from the Spitzer Space Telescope implied lens systems that were more distant and massive than those inferred from the ground-based parallax. Here, we report on the detection of excess flux aligned to the event locations using Keck Adaptive Optics imaging, which is consistent with the expected brightness of main-sequence hosts under the ground-based parallax, but inconsistent with that predicted by Spitzer. Based on the excess flux, ground-based parallax, and angular Einstein radius, we determine KMT-2018-BLG-0029Lb to be a $4.2\pm0.5 M_\oplus$ planet orbiting a $0.70\pm0.07 M_\odot$ host at a projected separation of $3.1\pm0.3$ au, and OGLE-2019-BLG-0960Lb to be a $2.0\pm0.2 M_\oplus$ planet orbiting a $0.40\pm0.03 M_\odot$ host at a projected separation of $1.7\pm0.1$ au. We report on additional light-curve models for KMT-2018-BLG-0029 under the generalized inner-outer (offset) degeneracy, which were not reported in the original analysis. We point out inconsistencies in the inner/outer labeling of the degenerate models in the lens and source planes, and advocate for the lens-plane convention, which refers to the planet being closer or further to the host star compared to the image it perturbs. Lastly, we discuss the possibility of breaking this degeneracy via ground concurrent observations with the Roman Space Telescope.

astro-ph.EP↗

arXiv2025

The HST-Gaia Near-Infrared Astrometric Reference Frame near the Milky Way Galactic Center

We present the first high-precision proper motion catalog, tied to the International Celestial Reference System (ICRS), of infrared astrometric reference stars within R $\leq$ 25" (1 pc) of the central supermassive black hole at the Galactic center (GC). This catalog contains $\sim$2,900 sources in a highly extinguished region that is inaccessible via Gaia. New astrometric measurements are extracted from HST observations (14 epochs, 2010 - 2023) and transformed into the ICRS using 40 stars in common with Gaia-DR3. We implement a new method for modeling proper motions via Gaussian Processes that accounts for systematic errors, greatly improving measurement accuracy. Proper motion and position measurements reach precisions of $\sim$0.03 mas/yr and $\sim$0.11 mas, respectively, representing a factor of $\sim$20x improvement over previous ICRS proper motion catalogs in the region. These measurements define a novel HST-Gaia reference frame that is consistent with Gaia-CRF3 to within 0.025 mas/yr in proper motion and 0.044 mas in position, making it the first ICRS-based reference frame precise enough to probe the distribution of extended mass within the orbits of stars near SgrA*. In addition, HST-Gaia provides an independent test of the radio measurements of stellar masers that form the basis of current GC reference frames. We find that the HST-Gaia and radio measurements are consistent to within 0.041 mas/yr in proper motion and 0.54 mas in position at 99.7% confidence. Gaia-DR4 is expected to reduce the HST-Gaia reference frame uncertainties by another factor of $\sim$2x, further improving the reference frame for dynamical studies.

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arXiv2025

The 3D Kinematics of the Orion Nebula Cluster II: Mass-dependent Kinematics of the Inner Cluster

We present the kinematic analysis of $246$ stars within $4\mbox{$^\prime$}$ from the center of Orion Nebula Cluster (ONC), the closest massive star cluster with active star formation across the full mass range, which provides valuable insights into the formation and evolution of star clusters on an individual-star basis. High-precision radial velocities and surface temperatures are retrieved from spectra acquired by the NIRSPEC instrument used with adaptive optics (NIRSPAO) on the Keck II 10-m telescope. A three-dimensional kinematic map is then constructed by combining with the proper motions previously measured by the Hubble Space Telescope (HST) ACS/WFPC2/WFC3IR and Keck II NIRC2. The measured root-mean-squared velocity dispersion is $2.26\pm0.08~\mathrm{km}\,\mathrm{s}^{-1}$, significantly higher than the virial equilibrium's requirement of $1.73~\mathrm{km}\,\mathrm{s}^{-1}$, suggesting that the ONC core is supervirial, consistent with previous findings. Energy equipartition is not detected in the cluster. Most notably, the velocity of each star relative to its neighbors is found to be negatively correlated with stellar mass. Low-mass stars moving faster than their surrounding stars in a supervirial cluster suggest that the initial masses of forming stars may be related to their initial kinematic states. Additionally, a clockwise rotation preference is detected. A weak sign of inverse mass segregation is also identified among stars, excluding the Trapezium stars, though it could be a sample bias. Finally, this study reports the discovery of four new candidate spectroscopic binary systems.

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arXiv2025

Hints of an Anomalous Lens Population towards the Galactic Bulge

The dark and dynamic parts of the Galaxy, including the bulk shape and movement of the Galactic Bulge and characteristics of dark compact object populations, such as a hypothetical population of primordial black holes (PBHs), are difficult to study directly by their very nature, but are critical to our understanding of the universe. Fortunately, all of these mysteries can be uniquely studied via gravitational microlensing, a method of astronomical detection that traces mass and dynamics as opposed to light. Using the OGLE-IV microlensing survey bulge fields, we apply a Bayesian hierarchical model to jointly infer properties of the Galaxy, the characteristics of compact objects, and and test PBHs with an extended mass distribution as a test PBHs as a viable explanation of dark matter, extending work focused on the Small and Large Magellanic Clouds, both with much lower event-rates. We infer a preference within the data for a lower patternspeed in the galactic model and a wider mass spectrum for compact objects. When adding a PBH component to the favored astrophysical model from our initial investigations, we find a Bayes factor of $\ln\mathcal{B} = 20.23$ preferring the PBH model. Upon further investigation of these results, we find the critical feature in the PBH model to be the velocity distribution, which is fundamentally different than the velocity distribution of astrophysical objects and uniquely able to explain a large number of low parallax, low timescale microlensing events. Noting that this effect is not unique to PBHs, we consider the implications of these results as applied to a hypothetical population of PBHs and discuss alternative explanations, including a variety of other possible astrophysical and survey or analysis systematics.

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