arXiv subjects

Jorge A. Restrepo

Publications and source records attributed to Jorge A. Restrepo.

2 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2009

Ultrametric Wavelet Regression of Multivariate Time Series: Application to Colombian Conflict Analysis

We first pursue the study of how hierarchy provides a well-adapted tool for the analysis of change. Then, using a time sequence-constrained hierarchical clustering, we develop the practical aspects of a new approach to wavelet regression. This provides a new way to link hierarchical relationships in a multivariate time series data set with external signals. Violence data from the Colombian conflict in the years 1990 to 2004 is used throughout. We conclude with some proposals for further study on the relationship between social violence and market forces, viz. between the Colombian conflict and the US narcotics market.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2006

Universal patterns underlying ongoing wars and terrorism

We report a remarkable universality in the patterns of violence arising in three high-profile ongoing wars, and in global terrorism. Our results suggest that these quite different conflict arenas currently feature a common type of enemy, i.e. the various insurgent forces are beginning to operate in a similar way regardless of their underlying ideologies, motivations and the terrain in which they operate. We provide a microscopic theory to explain our main observations. This theory treats the insurgent force as a generic, self-organizing system which is dynamically evolving through the continual coalescence and fragmentation of its constituent groups.

physics.soc-ph↗