arXiv subjects

Keito Inoshita

Publications and source records attributed to Keito Inoshita.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Bias-Corrected Ceilings of Emotion Predictability from Human Label Variation Based on Instance-Level Fano Bounds

Emotion recognition from text keeps improving on benchmarks, yet whether an accuracy ceiling has been reached is seldom asked with discipline. Our aim is not to pin this ceiling to a single number, but to quantify how far it depends on finite annotation, estimator choice, annotation noise, and the evaluation protocol, and thereby to discipline how confidently saturation can be claimed. We propose Bias-corrected Affective Ceiling Estimation (BACE), an analysis framework that estimates a bias-corrected ceiling, separates irreducible from reducible error, and disciplines the resulting claims. An anchored Dirichlet-mixture empirical Bayes estimator, bracketed between plug-in and NSB, recovers the human-consensus distribution; an annotator split, a noise deconvolution, and a fixed claim gate then attribute error without circularity. Methodologically, unconstrained point estimates place reachability anywhere from 0.38 to 1.03, so saturation cannot be decided by any single estimator. Substantively, the only assertion passing the claim gate is that at least about 33% of a representative classifier's error on GoEmotions is irreducible, with the same pattern recurring on offensiveness and irony.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2026

Who Determines the Meaning of an Emotion? Affective Sovereignty as an Epistemic Consequence of Measurement Limits

Emotion-sensing AI is rapidly becoming embedded in vehicles, home appliances, dialogue agents, and social infrastructure, giving rise to a sphere in which emotion is no longer confined to individual experience but is instead observed and computed at a societal scale, a domain we term the Affectosphere. Yet a central normative question in this domain has remained underexplored: who has the final authority to determine the meaning of one's own emotion? This study addresses the question from the epistemological side of measurement's structural limits. We define a meaning distribution as the distribution of labels assigned by annotators drawn from a population under a fixed annotation protocol, and decompose its uncertainty into reducible and irreducible components. We then demonstrate that, while emotion AI can assign high-confidence point labels and discriminate real differences at an aggregate level, the irreducible component of the meaning distribution for individual instances cannot be estimated with adequate coverage under realistic annotator counts, a systematic divergence we term the epistemic gap. The key finding is that high device confidence does not constitute evidence that irrecoverable meaning has been recovered. From this epistemic gap, together with an explicitly stated normative premise, namely that the output of a system which cannot recover a quantity in principle must not be treated as its authoritative determination, we derive the norm that the final interpretive authority over the meaning of one's emotion is procedurally reserved for the experiencing subject, the norm of affective sovereignty. These results suggest that the design, evaluation, and regulation of emotion AI should place explicit allocation of interpretive authority, rather than accuracy maximisation, at their core.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2026

Safety-Aware Evaluation of LLM-Generated Driver Intervention Messages through Multi-Task Risk Fusion

Existing driver intervention systems rely on auditory alerts and fixed templates, failing to leverage multi-task recognition outputs. General-purpose metrics such as BLEU and BERTScore cannot capture intervention-specific quality dimensions including risk-urgency alignment, cognitive load, and driver acceptability. In this paper, we propose the Driver Safety-Aware Intervention Score (DSAIS), a domain-specific metric evaluating five dimensions through a hybrid architecture combining lightweight rule-based computation with LLM Judge evaluation, together with an end-to-end framework integrating four-task recognition outputs into an LLM through risk fusion, state history management, and dynamic prompt construction. Experiments on the AIDE dataset with five models and seven conditions demonstrate that DSAIS achieves ICC 0.798-0.840 across three architecturally distinct judges and Cohen's d > 1.5 across all control conditions. Multi-dimensional sub-score analysis quantifies the contextual adaptability gap between rule-based and LLM-based systems, revealing that multi-task integration improves contextual relevance by 9.1% over rule-based baselines. Ablation experiments demonstrate that each framework component contributes to contextual relevance, with sub-score decomposition revealing gains that aggregate scoring masks. Driver emotion recognition is identified as the most critical upstream factor, and compact local LLMs (7B--9B parameters) achieve quality superior to API-based models, providing practical design guidelines for in-vehicle deployment.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2026

Interpretable Uncertainty Routing Separating Emotion Ambiguity from Distribution Shift in Facial Expression Recognition

Facial expression recognition (FER) is inherently ambiguous: human annotators frequently disagree, and models deployed in real environments face distribution shift. Crucially, these two conditions demand different downstream actions, as ambiguous in-distribution faces should be reported with their ambiguity whereas out-of-distribution inputs should be rejected. However, a single uncertainty score conflates the two. In this study, uncertainty decomposition into aleatoric and epistemic components for FER is investigated, and Uncertainty-Aware Routing (UAR), an inference-time routing mechanism that exploits the separation, is introduced. Specifically, aleatoric and epistemic uncertainties are obtained from a Deep Ensemble of fully fine-tuned DINOv2 models and are each validated against an independent external signal: aleatoric against human annotator disagreement, and epistemic against distribution shift induced by image corruptions. The proposed dual-validation protocol reveals that aleatoric recovers annotator disagreement with Spearman correlation 0.66 (95% CI: 0.64-0.68), and epistemic detects corruption-induced shifts, achieving average AUROC of 0.699 at the highest corruption severity. UAR retains approximately 1.8 times more ambiguous in-distribution faces than single-uncertainty routing at a matched out-of-distribution rejection rate. A strong label-distribution-learning baseline achieves comparable disagreement recovery but cannot separate ambiguity from shift and therefore cannot route, establishing that the value of decomposition lies in the separation enabling interpretable and differentiated action selection.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2026

Class-Structure Preservation Beats Diversity: A Comprehensive Benchmark of Text Augmentation Methods for Imbalanced Text Classification

With the rapid advancement of large language models (LLMs), generative data augmentation has attracted considerable attention for imbalanced text classification in natural language processing. However, no empirical benchmark to date has compared LLM-based augmentation against the embedding-space SMOTE-style retrieval (EmbSMOTE), a strong classical reference for imbalanced classification. In this study, a controlled benchmark of 11 augmentation methods, spanning classical perturbation, embedding-space retrieval, and LLM-based generation, is newly constructed on seven public text classification datasets covering class counts $K=2$-$28$ and imbalance ratios of 1.1 to over 500, evaluated with five random seeds per cell using macro F1, Welch's $t$-tests, five distributional metrics, and an LLM-family sensitivity analysis based on Qwen3-8B. The experimental results reveal that all LLM-based methods are statistically equivalent or inferior to EmbSMOTE, with the performance gap widening monotonically as imbalance increases and reaching $Δ\text{F1}_\text{macro}\!\approx\!0.063$ on GoEmotions-28. Furthermore, it is observed that surface-level uniqueness has negligible correlation with downstream performance, whereas LLM-specific artifacts, such as text elongation and label-distribution uniformization, are negatively associated with classification accuracy. Compared with six LLM-based and four classical augmentation baselines, these results demonstrate that the effective variable is not surface-level diversity but class-conditional structural fidelity, namely the degree to which augmented samples preserve the class-conditioned geometry of the training distribution. Accordingly, retrieval-based oversampling should be adopted as the default for imbalanced multi-class classification, and a higher empirical bar should be required before LLM-based augmentation is deployed in practice.

cs.CL↗

arXiv2026

Bayesian Spectral Emotion Transition Discovery from Multi-Annotator Disagreement

Emotions evolve through the dynamics of conversation, and understanding their transition structure is foundational to applications ranging from mental-health screening to dialogue systems. However, existing studies typically compress multi-rater judgments into a single hard label by majority voting, discarding the uncertainty signal needed to understand turn-to-turn transitions. In this article, we propose Bayesian Spectral Emotion Transition Discovery (BSETD), a two-stage framework that discovers emotion-transition structure from multi-rater soft labels. In the first stage, a hierarchical Dirichlet-Multinomial posterior is constructed through the outer product of soft labels, equipping each cell of the K x K transition matrix with a credible interval and Benjamini-Hochberg (BH) false discovery rate (FDR)-controlled significance. In the second stage, the symmetrized graph Laplacian is spectrally decomposed to separate a low-frequency (inertia) component from a high-frequency (contagion) component. On EmotionLines, BSETD simultaneously recovers the signatures of two distinct affective spaces: the Plutchik-adjacent transitions disgust to anger (log2 lift +0.94) and anger to disgust (+0.86) are over-represented, while the Russell-valence-reversed transitions joy to anger (-0.90) and anger to joy (-0.89) are under-represented. A five-source cross-corpus validation yields pairwise Pearson correlations in 0.91-0.98 within English, 0.79-0.85 against Chinese M3ED, and 0.979 between the human hard labels and the LLM virtual soft labels on the same utterance set, demonstrating that a pipeline preserving annotator uncertainty bridges the computational study of emotion dynamics with established psychological theory.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2026

Uncertainty Decomposition via Cyclical SG-MCMC and Soft-label Learning for Subjective NLP

Annotator disagreement in emotion classification reflects ambiguity intrinsic to emotion concepts and is essential for predictor-quality assessment in subjective NLP. Yet no prior work integrates soft-label learning with Bayesian deep learning to evaluate uncertainty along axes including annotator-distribution fidelity. We train a linear head on a frozen RoBERTa via cyclical stochastic gradient Markov chain Monte Carlo (cSG-MCMC), targeting the empirical annotator distribution with a soft-label objective under a five-axis evaluation. On the 28-emotion GoEmotions benchmark, the proposed method outperforms Monte Carlo Dropout and Deep Ensemble simultaneously on three axes -- Jensen-Shannon divergence (JSD) to the annotator distribution, Spearman correlation between per-emotion aleatoric uncertainty and disagreement, and selective-prediction Area Under the Risk-Coverage Curve (AURC) and Area Under the ROC Curve (AUROC) -- showing independent axes are jointly attainable from one posterior. Post-hoc temperature scaling exhibits a bidirectional effect, establishing hard-label calibration and annotator-JSD as independent dimensions and motivating joint reporting as an honest protocol.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2026

LLMs Capture Emotion Labels, Not Emotion Uncertainty: Distributional Analysis and Calibration of Human-LLM Judgment Gaps

Human annotators frequently disagree on emotion labels, yet most evaluations of Large Language Model (LLM) emotion annotation collapse these judgments into a single gold standard, discarding the distributional information that disagreement encodes. We ask whether LLMs capture the structure of this disagreement, not just majority labels, by comparing emotion judgment distributions between human annotators and four zero-shot LLMs, plus a fine-tuned RoBERTa baseline, across two complementary benchmarks: GoEmotions and EmoBank, totaling 640,000 LLM responses. Zero-shot models diverge substantially from human distributions, and in-domain fine-tuning, not model scale, is required to close the gap. We formalize a lexical-grounding gradient through a quantitative transparency score that predicts per-category human--LLM agreement: LLMs reliably capture emotions with explicit lexical markers but systematically fail on pragmatically complex emotions requiring contextual inference, a pattern that replicates across both categorical and continuous emotion frameworks. We further propose three lightweight post-hoc calibration methods that reduce the distributional gap by up to 14\%, and provide actionable guidelines for when LLM emotion annotations can, and cannot, substitute for human labeling.

cs.CL↗

arXiv2026

Cognitive-Causal Multi-Task Learning with Psychological State Conditioning for Assistive Driving Perception

Multi-task learning for advanced driver assistance systems requires modeling the complex interplay between driver internal states and external traffic environments. However, existing methods treat recognition tasks as flat and independent objectives, failing to exploit the cognitive causal structure underlying driving behavior. In this paper, we propose CauPsi, a cognitive science-grounded causal multi-task learning framework that explicitly models the hierarchical dependencies among Traffic Context Recognition (TCR), Vehicle Context Recognition (VCR), Driver Emotion Recognition (DER), and Driver Behavior Recognition (DBR). The proposed framework introduces two key mechanisms. First, a Causal Task Chain propagates upstream task predictions to downstream tasks via learnable prototype embeddings, realizing the cognitive cascade from environmental perception to behavioral regulation in a differentiable manner. Second, Cross-Task Psychological Conditioning (CTPC) estimates a psychological state signal from driver facial expressions and body posture and injects it as a conditioning input to all tasks including environmental recognition, thereby modeling the modulatory effect of driver internal states on cognitive and decision-making processes. Evaluated on the AIDE dataset, CauPsi achieves a mean accuracy of 82.71% with only 5.05M parameters, surpassing prior work by +1.0% overall, with notable improvements on DER (+3.65%) and DBR (+7.53%). Ablation studies validate the independent contribution of each component, and analysis of the psychological state signal confirms that it acquires systematic task-label-dependent patterns in a self-supervised manner without explicit psychological annotations.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Does AI Homogenize Student Thinking? A Multi-Dimensional Analysis of Structural Convergence in AI-Augmented Essays

While AI-assisted writing has been widely reported to improve essay quality, its impact on the structural diversity of student thinking remains unexplored. Analyzing 6,875 essays across five conditions (Human-only, AI-only, and three Human+AI prompt strategies), we provide the first empirical evidence of a Quality-Homogenization Tradeoff, in which substantial quality gains co-occur with significant homogenization. The effect is dimension-specific: cohesion architecture lost 70-78% of its variance, whereas perspective plurality was diversified. Convergence target analysis further revealed that AI-augmented essays were pulled toward AI structural patterns yet deviated significantly from the Human-AI axis, indicating simultaneous partial replacement and partial emergence. Crucially, prompt specificity reversed homogenization into diversification on argument depth, demonstrating that homogenization is not an intrinsic property of AI but a function of interaction design.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2026

Multi-Agent Large Language Model Based Emotional Detoxification Through Personalized Intensity Control for Consumer Protection

In the attention economy, sensational content exposes consumers to excessive emotional stimulation, hindering calm decision-making. This study proposes Multi-Agent LLM-based Emotional deToxification (MALLET), a multi-agent information sanitization system consisting of four agents: Emotion Analysis, Emotion Adjustment, Balance Monitoring, and Personal Guide. The Emotion Analysis Agent quantifies stimulus intensity using a 6-emotion BERT classifier, and the Emotion Adjustment Agent rewrites texts into two presentation modes, BALANCED (neutralized text) and COOL (neutralized text + supplementary text), using an LLM. The Balance Monitoring Agent aggregates weekly information consumption patterns and generates personalized advice, while the Personal Guide Agent recommends a presentation mode according to consumer sensitivity. Experiments on 800 AG News articles demonstrated significant stimulus score reduction (up to 19.3%) and improved emotion balance while maintaining semantic preservation. Near-zero correlation between stimulus reduction and semantic preservation confirmed that the two are independently controllable. Category-level analysis revealed substantial reduction (17.8-33.8%) in Sports, Business, and Sci/Tech, whereas the effect was limited in the World category, where facts themselves are inherently high-stimulus. The proposed system provides a framework for supporting calm information reception of consumers without restricting access to the original text.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2026

Argument Rarity-based Originality Assessment for AI-Assisted Writing

This study proposes Argument Rarity-based Originality Assessment (AROA), a framework for automatically evaluating argumentative originality in student essays. AROA defines originality as rarity within a reference corpus and evaluates it through four complementary components: structural rarity, claim rarity, evidence rarity, and cognitive depth, quantified via density estimation and integrated with quality adjustment. Experiments using 1,375 human essays and 1,000 AI-generated essays on two argumentative topics revealed three key findings. First, a strong negative correlation (r = -0.67) between text quality and claim rarity demonstrates a quality-originality trade-off. Second, while AI essays achieved near-perfect quality scores (Q = 0.998), their claim rarity was approximately one-fifth of human levels (AI: 0.037, human: 0.170), indicating that LLMs can reproduce argumentative structure but not semantic originality. Third, the four components showed low mutual correlations (r = 0.06--0.13 between structural and semantic dimensions), confirming that they capture genuinely independent aspects of originality. These results suggest that writing assessment in the AI era must shift from quality to originality.

cs.CL↗

arXiv2026

Who Does This Name Remind You of ? Nationality Prediction via Large Language Model Associative Memory

Large language models (LLMs) possess extensive world knowledge, yet methods for effectively eliciting this knowledge remain underexplored. Nationality and region prediction tasks require understanding of not only linguistic features but also cultural and historical background, making LLM world knowledge particularly valuable. However, conventional LLM prompting methods rely on direct reasoning approaches, which have limitations in applying abstract linguistic rules. We propose LLM Associative Memory Agents (LAMA), a novel framework that leverages LLM world knowledge as associative memory. Rather than directly inferring nationality from names, LAMA recalls famous individuals with the same name and aggregates their nationalities through indirect reasoning. A dual-agent architecture comprising a Person Agent and a Media Agent, specialized in different knowledge domains, recalls famous individuals in parallel, generating Top-1 predictions through voting and Top-K predictions through conditional completion. On a 99-country nationality prediction task, LAMA achieved 0.817 accuracy, substantially outperforming conventional LLM prompting methods and neural models. Our experiments reveal that LLMs exhibit higher reliability in recalling concrete examples than in abstract reasoning, that recall-based approaches are robust to low-frequency nationalities independent of data frequency distributions, and that the dual-agent architecture functions complementarily to produce synergistic effects. These results demonstrate the effectiveness of a new multi-agent system that retrieves and aggregates LLM knowledge rather than prompting reasoning.

cs.CL↗

arXiv2026

Nationality and Region Prediction from Names: A Comparative Study of Neural Models and Large Language Models

Predicting nationality from personal names has practical value in marketing, demographic research, and genealogical studies. Conventional neural models learn statistical correspondences between names and nationalities from task-specific training data, posing challenges in generalizing to low-frequency nationalities and distinguishing similar nationalities within the same region. Large language models (LLMs) have the potential to address these challenges by leveraging world knowledge acquired during pre-training. In this study, we comprehensively compare neural models and LLMs on nationality prediction, evaluating six neural models and six LLM prompting strategies across three granularity levels (nationality, region, and continent), with frequency-based stratified analysis and error analysis. Results show that LLMs outperform neural models at all granularity levels, with the gap narrowing as granularity becomes coarser. Simple machine learning methods exhibit the highest frequency robustness, while pre-trained models and LLMs show degradation for low-frequency nationalities. Error analysis reveals that LLMs tend to make ``near-miss'' errors, predicting the correct region even when nationality is incorrect, whereas neural models exhibit more cross-regional errors and bias toward high-frequency classes. These findings indicate that LLM superiority stems from world knowledge, model selection should consider required granularity, and evaluation should account for error quality beyond accuracy.

cs.CL↗

arXiv2026

Evaluation of the Automated Labeling Method for Taxonomic Nomenclature Through Prompt-Optimized Large Language Model

Scientific names of organisms consist of a genus name and a species epithet, with the latter often reflecting aspects such as morphology, ecology, distribution, and cultural background. Traditionally, researchers have manually labeled species names by carefully examining taxonomic descriptions, a process that demands substantial time and effort when dealing with large datasets. This study evaluates the feasibility of automatic species name labeling using large language model (LLM) by leveraging their text classification and semantic extraction capabilities. Using the spider name dataset compiled by Mammola et al., we compared LLM-based labeling results-enhanced through prompt engineering-with human annotations. The results indicate that LLM-based classification achieved high accuracy in Morphology, Geography, and People categories. However, classification accuracy was lower in Ecology & Behavior and Modern & Past Culture, revealing challenges in interpreting animal behavior and cultural contexts. Future research will focus on improving accuracy through optimized few-shot learning and retrieval-augmented generation techniques, while also expanding the applicability of LLM-based labeling to diverse biological taxa.

cs.CL↗

arXiv2026

Role-Playing LLM-Based Multi-Agent Support Framework for Detecting and Addressing Family Communication Bias

Well-being in family settings involves subtle psychological dynamics that conventional metrics often overlook. In particular, unconscious parental expectations, termed ideal parent bias, can suppress children's emotional expression and autonomy. This suppression, referred to as suppressed emotion, often stems from well-meaning but value-driven communication, which is difficult to detect or address from outside the family. Focusing on these latent dynamics, this study explores Large Language Model (LLM)-based support for psychologically safe family communication. We constructed a Japanese parent-child dialogue corpus of 30 scenarios, each annotated with metadata on ideal parent bias and suppressed emotion. Based on this corpus, we developed a Role-Playing LLM-based multi-agent dialogue support framework that analyzes dialogue and generates feedback. Specialized agents detect suppressed emotion, describe implicit ideal parent bias in parental speech, and infer contextual attributes such as the child's age and background. A meta-agent compiles these outputs into a structured report, which is then passed to five selected expert agents. These agents collaboratively generate empathetic and actionable feedback through a structured four-step discussion process. Experiments show that the system can detect categories of suppressed emotion with moderate accuracy and produce feedback rated highly in empathy and practicality. Moreover, simulated follow-up dialogues incorporating this feedback exhibited signs of improved emotional expression and mutual understanding, suggesting the framework's potential in supporting positive transformation in family interactions.

cs.HC↗

arXiv2026

Multi-Stage Evolutionary Model Merging with Meta Data Driven Curriculum Learning for Sentiment-Specialized Large Language Modeling

The emergence of large language models (LLMs) has significantly transformed natural language processing (NLP), enabling more generalized models to perform various tasks with minimal training. However, traditional sentiment analysis methods, which focus on individual tasks such as sentiment classification or aspect-based analysis, are not practical for real-world applications that usually require handling multiple tasks. While offering flexibility, LLMs in sentiment-specific tasks often fall short of the required accuracy. Techniques like fine-tuning and evolutionary model merging help integrate models into a unified framework, which can improve the learning performance while reducing computational costs. The use of task meta-data and curriculum learning to optimize learning processes remains underexplored, while sentiment analysis is a critical task in NLP that requires high accuracy and scalability across multiple subtasks. In this study, we propose a hybrid learning model called Multi-stage Evolutionary Model Merging with Meta data driven Curriculum Learning (MEM-MCL), to enhance the sentiment analysis in large language modeling. In particular, expert models are created through instruction tuning for specific sentiment tasks and then merged using evolutionary algorithms to form a unified model. The merging process is optimized with weak data to enhance performance across tasks. The curriculum learning is incorporated to provide a learning sequence based on task difficulty, improving knowledge extraction from LLMs. Experiment results demonstrate that the proposed MEM-MCL model outperforms conventional LLMs in a majority of sentiment analysis tasks, achieving superior results across various subtasks.

cs.CL↗

arXiv2025

World model inspired sarcasm reasoning with large language model agents

Sarcasm understanding is a challenging problem in natural language processing, as it requires capturing the discrepancy between the surface meaning of an utterance and the speaker's intentions as well as the surrounding social context. Although recent advances in deep learning and Large Language Models (LLMs) have substantially improved performance, most existing approaches still rely on black-box predictions of a single model, making it difficult to structurally explain the cognitive factors underlying sarcasm. Moreover, while sarcasm often emerges as a mismatch between semantic evaluation and normative expectations or intentions, frameworks that explicitly decompose and model these components remain limited. In this work, we reformulate sarcasm understanding as a world model inspired reasoning process and propose World Model inspired SArcasm Reasoning (WM-SAR), which decomposes literal meaning, context, normative expectation, and intention into specialized LLM-based agents. The discrepancy between literal evaluation and normative expectation is explicitly quantified as a deterministic inconsistency score, and together with an intention score, these signals are integrated by a lightweight Logistic Regression model to infer the final sarcasm probability. This design leverages the reasoning capability of LLMs while maintaining an interpretable numerical decision structure. Experiments on representative sarcasm detection benchmarks show that WM-SAR consistently outperforms existing deep learning and LLM-based methods. Ablation studies and case analyses further demonstrate that integrating semantic inconsistency and intention reasoning is essential for effective sarcasm detection, achieving both strong performance and high interpretability.

cs.CL↗