arXiv subjects

Kevin B. Stevenson

Publications and source records attributed to Kevin B. Stevenson.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

A Binary Flux Calibrator Reveals the Scientific Potential of Short-integration JWST MIRI Imaging to Directly Detect sub-Jupiter Exoplanets

We report the direct imaging detection of a stellar companion to HD 101452 (HIP 56925; Gaia DR3 5384905720847544192), an A star historically used as an infrared flux calibrator. The companion was identified from an asymmetry in the stellar PSF using short-integration (<1 min), noncoronagraphic JWST MIRI imaging from 15 - 25.5$μ$m that was obtained as part of the absolute flux calibration program CAL 4496. We detect the stellar companion in four MIRI imaging filters at a projected separation of 1.3 arcsec with a mid-infrared flux ratio of approximately $27\times$ warranting its removal from the ensemble of JWST flux calibrator systems. This detection also demonstrates that noncoronagraphic MIRI imaging can recover companions at separations below $3λ/D$ when a reference star with a closely matched flux level to the science target is available. Using the measured contrast curves from the calibration data, we evaluate the predicted sensitivity achievable with similar short MIRI observations for nearby stars (<30 pc) that are of interest to the direct-imaging community with comparable brightness to HD 101452 (W4 ~ 6.8 mag). We find that integrations of only 17-42 s are be capable of detecting sub-Jupiter-mass planets at solar system-like separations around a subset of neighboring systems if the PSF subtraction is conducted with closely flux-matched references. These results demonstrate that minutes-length, noncoronagraphic MIRI observations can provide a powerful and efficient new avenue for exploring the cold giant planet population around nearby stars.

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arXiv2026

C, N, O, S, and photochemistry in a temperate giant planet orbiting a late M dwarf

We report the JWST NIRSpec/PRISM transit spectrum of TOI-6894b, an exceptional 420 K sub-Saturn that is one of the rare giant planets transiting a late M dwarf. Remarkably, both the light curve and the transit spectrum exhibit almost no stellar contamination. The spectrum is dominated by prominent absorption features from CH4 and the photochemical product CS2. For the first time in a transit spectrum, NH3 is visually evident, while subtler features from H2O and CO2 can also be seen. We significantly improve upon state-of-the-art photochemical reaction networks, and use our new network to run radiative-convective photochemical ("RCP") models at different metallicities. These models show that the spectrum--in particular the size of the NH3 and CO2 features relative to the CH4 and H2O features--is most consistent with a metallicity of 3--10x solar. Using a semi-free retrieval framework that perturbs the RCP model's abundance and temperature profiles to fit the data, we find that the planet's C/O, N/O, and S/N ratios are consistent with solar values. A grid retrieval on 1D radiative-convective photochemical equilibrium (RCPE) models reveals a similar result: [M/H]=0.46 +- 0.08 and C/O=0.69 +- 0.06. The planet's atmospheric metallicity, abundance ratios, and bulk metal fraction are all strikingly similar to that of Jupiter, Saturn, and other gas giant exoplanets, despite orbiting a very low-mass star.

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arXiv2026

Inhomogeneous Cloud Coverage and Altitude-Dependent Heat Transport on the Hot-Jupiter NGTS-10 Ab from its Optical-to-Infrared Phase Curve

Hot-Jupiters, gas giant planets with equilibrium temperatures above 1,000 K, host large temperature gradients between their permanent day- and nightsides, resulting in circulation regimes that have no Solar System analogs. Past Kepler and Spitzer measurements show that the phase curves of these objects typically peak westward of the substellar point at optical wavelengths and eastward in the infrared, indicative of an interaction between circulation and cloud coverage. However, few hot-Jupiters have joint reflected light and thermal emission measurements, preventing a definitive statement as to the link between these phenomena. Here, we present the first phase curve of a hot-Jupiter that separates thermal emission and reflected light through JWST observations of NGTS-10 Ab with the NIRSpec PRISM instrument ($λ$=0.5-5.5 $μ$m). Using the spectrally-resolved phase curve, we jointly retrieve the planet's thermal and reflected light maps. We show that the temperature and reflectance distributions are anti-correlated, best explained by clouds evaporating from the eastern substellar region ($φ\approx$-17 to 48$^\circ$) where temperatures are highest. This is confirmed by comparisons of the phase-resolved spectra with three-dimensional circulation models, which show that NGTS-10 Ab's atmosphere hosts inhomogeneous cloud coverage, likely made-up of $μ$m-sized silicate particles, and weak atmospheric drag ($τ_\mathrm{drag}\gt 10^6$ s). Finally, by measuring the spectral variation of the thermal phase curve offsets, we infer a slope of 7.1$\pm$1.9 degrees per pressure dex, indicative of heat transport that becomes more efficient at depth. Future optical and infrared hot-Jupiter phase curve measurements over a wide range of equilibrium temperatures will enable a complete mapping of the interplay between heat transport and cloud formation in highly-irradiated exoplanet atmospheres.

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arXiv2026

Leveraging Impact Parameter to Mitigate the Transit Light Source Effect: Early Insights from TRAPPIST-1

Stellar activity complicates exoplanet transmission spectra, particularly for smaller planets around M dwarfs with JWST. The transit light source (TLS) effect, the imprinting of spectral differences between the average stellar disk and the occulted transit chord onto the transmission spectrum, makes it challenging to directly use the out-of-transit spectrum to correct for stellar contamination. Theory and observations suggest that spots may concentrate towards higher latitudes when the Coriolis force is substantial relative to buoyancy, leaving the equatorial region relatively quiet. Here, we evaluate how the latitudinal distribution of active regions shapes the strength of the TLS effect for planets spanning a range of impact parameters ($b$), using TRAPPIST-1 as a testbed. We first construct a fiducial model to illustrate two distribution regimes. With our model, the moderate-$b$ outer TRAPPIST-1 planets (f, g, h) occult a more typical region of the stellar disk than the inner planets and are thereby less affected by the TLS effect, though their bias may vary more from visit-to-visit as these active regions evolve with time. More generally, our results imply an impact parameter "sweet spot" for atmospheric characterization, independent of the sign of the active region temperature contrast, whose location depends on the distribution of active regions. The distribution may be revealed by transit residuals as multiple planets probe different latitudes, while longitudes are sampled in time, such that the variance and frequency of the correlated scatter could constrain active-region filling factors, sizes, and separations.

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arXiv2026

Evidence for LP 890-9d via Transit Timing Variations

LP 890-9, also known as SPECULOOS-2 and TOI-4306, is a nearby late-M dwarf hosting two confirmed transiting rocky exoplanets. We analyze 20 JWST/NIRSpec PRISM transits of LP 890-9b and LP 890-9c obtained as part of GO program 7073 and detect statistically significant transit timing variations (TTVs), with peak-to-peak amplitudes of ~17 s and ~35 s, respectively. Using analytic linear TTV theory, we find that the known two-planet configuration cannot reproduce the measured TTV amplitudes or super-period, whereas three-planet models provide substantially better fits. The best-fit configuration places the candidate third planet, LP 890-9d, between planets b and c, with an orbital period of ~4.4 days; however, the current data do not uniquely determine its orbital architecture, and periods spanning 4.0-6.9 days remain plausible. TESS is insensitive to transits of LP 890-9d and we find no evidence for the candidate in JWST observations, although the phase coverage (ranging from ~50% to ~80%) depends strongly on the candidate orbital period. Additional high-precision transit observations of LP 890-9b and LP 890-9c are needed to refine their TTV solutions and further constrain the orbital properties of the third planet.

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arXiv2026

A JWST transiting survey of FGK stellar limb darkening: empirical evidence for quadratic laws and atmospheric model comparisons

We present a study of stellar limb-darkening using JWST transit observations of seven exoplanets orbiting FGK host stars, spanning 4200-6800 K. The wide wavelength coverage and high S/N of NIRISS/SOSS and NIRSpec/PRISM enable precise constraints on the wavelength-dependent limb-darkening. Using Bayesian model selection, we find that the quadratic limb-darkening law is statistically preferred over higher-order laws for most FGK stars, recovers consistent intensity profiles for $>$95% of the stellar disk area, and introduces a minimal bias in the derived transit depths of only $\sim$14 ppm (1$σ$) for 6/7 targets. This contrasts with previous studies relying on stellar models. We compare the empirically derived quadratic coefficients to predictions from the PHOENIX, MPS-ATLAS, MURaM, and Stagger stellar atmosphere grids. We introduce a quadratic limb-darkening parameterization in terms of limb intensity ($\ell$) and curvature at mid-$μ$ ($δ$), finding that empirical FGK limb darkening is generally more linear than models predict ($δ\lesssim 0.1$). We identify wavelength-independent offsets between data and model quadratic coefficients, minimized by adopting $μ_{\rm min} = 0.2$ in intensity calculations; we attribute this in part to models overpredicting limb-darkening near the limb where the plane-parallel approximation breaks down. For spherical PHOENIX models, we derive a $μ$ rescaling method using a $τ= 1$ photospheric radius. With these corrections, residual offsets are minimized and all stellar models achieve statistically acceptable fits. We provide recommended limb-darkening offset priors for use in JWST transit analyses, enabling more accurate constraints on exoplanet transmission spectra while accounting for residual stellar model uncertainties.

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arXiv2026

Photochemical Production of CS2 in Temperate-to-Warm Gas Giant Exoplanet Atmospheres

Sulfur chemistry has emerged as an important probe of exoplanet atmospheres in the JWST era, although observational constraints have thus far been largely limited to SO2 and H2S in warm and hot exoplanets. Recent JWST observations have revealed CS2 in several cooler gas-giant exoplanets, yielding a new tracer of sulfur chemistry. However, the detailed chemical pathways responsible for the formation of CS2 remain poorly understood. Here, we use TOI-6894 b, a temperate gas giant with evidence for CS2, as a test case for one-dimensional photochemical kinetic-transport modeling and sensitivity analyses of CS2 chemistry. We show that CS2 is produced through coupled thermochemical and photochemical processes involving CH4 and H2S as the primary carbon and sulfur reservoirs, with S2 photolysis driving disequilibrium sulfur chemistry. Our models provide a physically consistent explanation for the observed CS2 feature in TOI-6894 b. Extending our analysis to gas giant exoplanets spanning a wide range of Teq, we find that CS2 abundance peaks in temperate to warm atmospheres (Teq ~ 500 - 700 K), and declines toward both lower and higher temperatures. This temperature dependence provides a unified framework for interpreting current CS2 observations, accounting for reported detections in temperate to warm planets and the lack of detections in colder and hotter giant exoplanets. Our results establish CS2 as a complementary probe of sulfur inventories and atmospheric metallicity in cool gas giant exoplanets

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arXiv2026

A Clearer View of HAT-P-1 b: JWST NIRSpec G395H Reveals Water, Carbon Dioxide, and Possibly Hydrogen Sulfide

As part of JWST's Exoplanet Grand Tour Survey, we use panchromatic transmission spectroscopy to connect HAT-P-1 b's previously studied optical and near-infrared atmosphere to the longer-wavelength molecular bands accessible with JWST. We present JWST NIRSpec G395H transmission spectroscopy of the hot Jupiter HAT-P-1 b over 2.7--5.3~$μ$m, and combine the new spectrum with archival HST STIS and WFC3 observations for a 0.3--5.3~$μ$m atmospheric analysis. We independently reduce the JWST data with the Eureka!, FIREFLy, and Tswift pipelines, finding mutually consistent transmission spectra across the G395H bandpass. Atmospheric retrievals yield strong evidence for H$_2$O and CO$_2$ with Bayes factors of $\log_{10}B_{\mathrm{H_2O}}=8.9$ and $\log_{10}B_{\mathrm{CO_2}}=52.3$, while providing tentative evidence for H$_2$S ($\log_{10}B_{\mathrm{H_2S}}=1.4$). The joint H$_2$O and CO$_2$ constraints favor an atmosphere near chemical equilibrium, with $\log_{10} \text{M/H}=0.99^{+0.19}_{-0.14}$, corresponding to $\sim10\times$ Solar or $\sim9\times$ relative to the near-solar metallicity host star, and a 3$σ$ upper limit of C/O $<0.52$. Because H$_2$O and CO$_2$ provide a metallicity comparatively insensitive to vertical mixing in this temperature regime, their combined detection suggests the composition is dominated by bulk enrichment rather than strong disequilibrium transport. We find no significant evidence for clouds; instead, the persistence of molecular structure across the spectrum argues against strong cloud muting. The tentative H$_2$S signal, if confirmed, would further suggest limited photochemical processing at the pressures probed. Together, the molecular inventory, enriched metallicity, and low C/O ratio point to an oxygen-rich atmosphere and establish HAT-P-1 b as a benchmark for comparative studies of hot-Jupiter atmospheric composition.

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arXiv2026

JWST color sequence of transiting exoplanets and directly imaged substellar objects

Color-magnitude diagrams (CMDs) have been foundational across astrophysics, from galaxies and stars to brown dwarfs, and JWST now extends them to transiting exoplanets and self-luminous substellar objects at overlapping temperatures. We compile JWST dayside emission spectra for 13 transiting giant planets, 57 self-luminous objects, and the irradiated brown dwarf ZTF J0038+2030 B, spanning ~350-2600 K and log g = 2.5-5.5, plus ~2150 SPHEREx ultracool dwarfs, converted to synthetic photometry in 2MASS J/Ks and five NIRCam medium bands isolating H2O, CH4, CO2, and CO. Low gravity and inflated radii make transiting planets resemble young substellar objects, with shallower features and redder colors from high-altitude clouds that raise the photosphere. Transiting planets follow the L-dwarf sequence on the J versus J-K CMD, with WASP-80 b (T_eq~800 K) showing no T-dwarf-like blueward turn, suggesting a delayed or suppressed L/T transition in irradiated, low-gravity atmospheres. Methane onset is delayed from substellar to transiting-planet atmospheres, and cloudy radiative-convective models indicate that lower gravity and cloud back-warming shift atmospheres toward CO-dominated chemistry, suppressing photospheric CH4. The irradiated but old, high-gravity brown dwarf ZTF J0038+2030 B (T_day = 1049 K, log g = 5.4) shows a deep, field-T-dwarf-like dayside methane band, implicating gravity rather than irradiation as the dominant control. CO2-to-CO diagnostics place transiting and directly imaged planetary-mass companions at stronger relative CO2 absorption than field brown dwarfs, consistent with metallicity enhancement from planetesimal accretion. These CMD sequences provide a unified, model-testable map for self-luminous and irradiated atmospheres.

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arXiv2026

Asymmetric Aerosol Distribution on the Terminators of the Warm Saturn WASP-69 b Revealed by JWST NIRISS/SOSS

How aerosols form, are transported, and cycle between condensation and evaporation across exoplanet temperature regimes remains poorly understood. Recent models and observations suggest that warm giant planets near $800$--$1000$ K may span a transition between homogeneous and longitudinally heterogeneous aerosol distributions. We present a robust detection of aerosol asymmetry in a giant planet with $T_{\rm eq}\lesssim1000$ K, using the $0.86$--$2.82~μ$m JWST NIRISS/SOSS transmission spectrum of WASP-69 b. The evening limb shows prominent 1.4 $μ$m H$_2$O absorption ($Δ\mathrm{BIC}_{\rm H_2O}=+22.7$), whereas H$_2$O is not detected on the morning limb ($Δ\mathrm{BIC}_{\rm H_2O}=-8.7$). Atmospheric retrievals reveal significant aerosol opacity on both limbs, with high-altitude, optically thick clouds muting molecular features on the morning limb and lower cloud opacity allowing H$_2$O to emerge on the evening limb. The evening terminator is hotter by $304^{+62}_{-91}$ K, consistent with morning-limb condensates partially evaporating during transport toward the evening limb. This mechanism is independently verified with 3D general circulation models. Stellar contamination or aerosols dominated by photochemical haze do not readily explain the asymmetry. From a limb-resolved analysis, we infer a stellar-to-superstellar atmospheric metallicity, with $\rm[M/H]=0.11^{+0.40}_{-0.46}$ from the equilibrium retrieval and [O/H]$=1.38^{+0.44}_{-0.79}$ from the free retrieval. We also detect an escaping metastable-helium tail extending to $3.08^{+0.50}_{-0.45}\,R_p$. WASP-69 b anchors the cooler edge of the emerging population of planets with asymmetric aerosol distributions and suggests that substantial aerosol opacity may persist on both limbs across this transition.

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arXiv2026

GEMS JWST: Hold on to your HATS(-6 b), a sub-solar metallicity giant planet with water, methane and ammonia in its atmosphere

HATS-6 b is one of several recently discovered Giant Exoplanets orbiting M-dwarf Stars (GEMS) and is part of a JWST survey that aims to compare bulk and atmospheric properties of these rare planets against their FGK star counterparts. HATS-6 b is a warm ($\mathrm{T_{eq}}\sim700$ K), Saturn-mass ($M_p\sim0.3~\mathrm{M_J}$), Jupiter-radius ($R_p\sim1~\mathrm{R_J}$) planet that transits its star every $\sim$ 3 days. In this study, we present the transmission spectrum of HATS-6 b obtained with two transits using the PRISM mode of JWST Near Infrared Spectrograph (NIRSpec), spanning a wavelength range of $0.6-5.3$ um. Analyzing these JWST observations using an iterative approach between forward modeling and free chemistry retrievals, we derive a low metallicity ($\log\mathrm{[M/H]}=-1.99^{+0.2}_{-0.2}$) sub-solar C/O ($\log\mathrm{[C/O]=-0.46^{+0.2}_{-0.2}}$) atmosphere, and find strong evidence for H$_2$O, CH$_4$, and NH$_3$ at volume mixing ratios (in $\log[X]$) of $-4.88_{-0.24}^{+0.25}$, $-5.38_{-0.19}^{+0.18}$, and $-6.03_{-0.19}^{+0.18}$, respectively. We consistently retrieve a significantly lower $\mathrm{T_{eq}}$ than predicted from the orbital configuration of HATS-6 b, which was impervious to any data reduction and retrieval choices, suggesting a non-zero bond albedo. Our planetary interior models retrieve bulk metallicities three orders of magnitude larger than our retrieved atmospheric metallicity, also suggesting that the atmosphere is not well-mixed. We find an excess feature around 3 um, and expand on possible explanations for this, such as the presence of HCN or hydrocarbons like C$_2$H$_4$. Yet, due to the degeneracies present for hydrocarbon features in this wavelength region, we do not draw any conclusions about the excess feature and instead encourage further observations and follow-up of this intriguing target.

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arXiv2026

No Helium Detected in LHS 1140 b from Four JWST NIRISS/SOSS Transits

In the effort to determine which low-mass exoplanets have atmospheres, LHS 1140 b remains one of the most favorable targets. Its large size (5.6 $\rm M_{\oplus}$ and 1.7 $\rm R_{\oplus}$) and relatively long orbital period (24.7 days) imply an atmosphere may be likely, and notably, recent interior models favor either a hydrogen-dominated "mini-Neptune" or a "water world" over a true terrestrial planet. Another possibility is that it has a helium-rich atmosphere. This hypothesis is supported by recent ground-based observations that detected the metastable helium triplet during transit. These observations indicated there may be current helium escape from the planet's upper atmosphere, yet the signal was not detected during a subsequent observation, suggesting time-variable escape. Here we present four observations of LHS 1140 b with JWST NIRISS/SOSS, which covers the metastable helium triplet, obtained between 2023 and 2026. These observations span the epoch of the ground-based measurements, and although none were contemporaneous with the ground-based transits, all four are sensitive to helium absorption at the previously reported level. However, we detect no helium absorption in any visit. We reject the best-fit ground-based model at $>3σ$ in each visit, and find no clear trend in mass-loss with time. Our results suggest the reported ground-based detection may be spurious, although variability cannot be excluded if detectable helium absorption occurs in $\lesssim50\%$ of transits. The nature of LHS 1140 b thus remains a mystery until future transmission and emission analyses are complete.

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arXiv2026

On the Detectability of Volcanic Exo-Ios That May Fuel Auroras on Super-Jupiters

Studies suggest Jupiter's aurorae are supplied with plasma from volcanic outflows on the planet's innermost moon, Io. Repeating bursts of radio emission thought to trace massively scaled-up analogs of Jupiter's aurorae have been detected around nearly a dozen isolated substellar worlds, yet the source of the electrons fueling the aurorae remains unknown. Volcanism from tidally heated exosatellites may provide the plasma that fuel the aurora on these worlds. We assess whether transit observations provide a viable means of detecting exosatellites around aurorally active substellar worlds, thereby enabling future tests of this hypothesis. Specifically, we analyze JWST near- and mid-infrared light curves of SIMP 0136+0933, a $12.7 M_J$ "super-Jupiter", known to exhibit auroral emission. We demonstrate the capability to detect exosatellites in the SIMP 0136+0933 system with satellite-to-host mass ratios comparable to those of Jupiter's Galilean moons, achieving detection success rates of 66% for Io-to-Jupiter mass ratio satellites and 93% for Ganymede-to-Jupiter mass ratio satellites. Although the existing light curve is sufficient to demonstrate that this technique is capable of detecting transiting exosatellites, the available archival data are too short in duration to place meaningful constraints on the presence of a transiting satellite in this system. We conclude that JWST light curves spanning $\sim$1.5 days for 4-12 known aurorally active super-Jupiters would be sufficient to yield evidence for or against this hypothesis. A small target sample may suffice, as short satellite periods boost transit probabilities and aurorally active worlds may be preferentially observed near edge-on inclinations.

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arXiv2026

Glossy Silicate Clouds on the Scorched Dayside of LTT9779b

Discovered deep within the "Neptunian desert", LTT9779b remains the only known ultra-hot Neptune, prompting significant speculation regarding its unique formation and evolutionary history. Its exceptionally high geometric albedo has previously been attributed either to the presence of clouds or to an extremely metal-rich atmosphere. Here, we present a comprehensive panchromatic analysis of its dayside atmosphere using JWST NIRISS and NIRSpec/G395H observations to characterize its atmospheric structure and composition. Leveraging the exceptional signal-to-noise ratio (S/N) in the observed spectra, we report a 3-to-5$σ$ detection of dayside clouds, with strong evidence for Mg$_2$SiO$_4$(s) (silicate) condensation. This constitutes the first statistically significant detection of clouds on the dayside of a Neptunian-mass exoplanet. We demonstrate that a highly reflective cloud deck, rather than an extremely high-metallicity atmosphere, is the most likely explanation for the planet's anomalously high optical albedo. Furthermore, our atmospheric retrievals yield robust detections of both CO ($\sim$4.88$σ$) and CO$_2$ ($\sim$8.76$σ$), while providing tentative constraints on the H$_2$O abundance and upper limits on SiO, TiO, and VO. Finally, our analysis places a robust constraint on the C/O ratio of 0.984 $\pm$ 0.019. This aligns LTT9779b with other known ultra-hot Jupiters exhibiting super-solar C/O ratios, suggesting a broader trend driven by the sequestration of oxygen-bearing condensates in ultra-hot atmospheres.

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arXiv2026

Magnetic field strengths of hot giant exoplanets consistent with Solar System values

Magnetic fields are ubiquitous in the universe. They play a key role in shaping the activity of stars, the habitability of rocky planets, and the long-term retention of planetary atmospheres. Theoretical scaling laws are largely constrained by the limited set of stars and Solar System planets, leading to a wide range of possible values for hot giant planets outside of the Solar System from fractions of the Jovian field to orders of magnitude larger. Ultra-hot Jupiters, with their highly ionised atmospheres, provide a new avenue to probe magnetic effects, as their atmospheric circulation could be directly sensitive to atmospheric magnetic field strength. Using high-spectral resolution observations targeting the iron lines of ultra-hot Jupiters we measure the Doppler shift and thus the wind speed of seven transiting ultra-hot Jupiters. We find a clear decrease of wind speed with increasing planetary temperature, a trend inconsistent with purely hydrodynamic mechanisms but naturally reproduced by magnetic drag. From this relation we estimate the possible strength of magnetic fields of hot giant planets to at most a few gauss - comparable to the Jovian equatorial field. Our results support the idea that magnetic fields affect the atmospheric circulation of ultra-hot Jupiters and could provide a crucial benchmark for scaling laws used to predict magnetic fields in exoplanets, from hot Jupiters to rocky Earths with additional implications for future direct observations.

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arXiv2026

A Search for Wide-orbit Planets Around M-dwarfs using Deep MIRI 15-micron Images

Wide-orbit ($>$10 AU) gas giant planets shape the architecture of planetary systems, yet their occurrence rate remains poorly constrained. JWST has obtained the deepest mid-infrared images of nearby stars to date through substantial MIRI time-series observations of transiting planets, providing sensitive probes for wide-orbit companions. Here we leverage 15 micron observations from four programs targeting ten M-dwarf systems to search for such planets. By applying reference differential imaging for precise PSF subtraction, we achieve a 5$σ$ contrast of $8.9 \times 10^{-4} - 6.2 \times 10^{-3}$ (sensitivity in apparent magnitude of 14.8-15.8 mag) at a separation of 1" and $1.2 -9.1 \times 10^{-4}$ (16.5-17.9 mag) at separations $\gtrsim$3". The sensitivity is converted to planet detection probability for each system as a function of planet mass versus semimajor axis. Assuming solar metallicity and a clear atmosphere, we are sensitive to Jupiter-sized planets with an effective temperature of ${\sim}$233 K at separations beyond 20 AU in systems at 12.5 pc. Additionally, we catalog the nearby sources and estimate their possible impact on future observations assuming they are background sources. Our results demonstrate that archival MIRI time-series imaging data is a powerful window into the population of wide-orbit gas giants around M-dwarfs.

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arXiv2026

Magnesium Silicate Clouds in the Atmosphere of HD 209458b from a Rule-Based Tree-Structured Data Reduction

HD 209458b is the canonical hot Jupiter: the first to have its atmosphere measured and the first to hint at the role of aerosols in exoplanet atmospheres through the muting of Na absorption signatures in the optical. Here we present JWST MIRI/LRS transmission observations of HD 209458b from 5-12 microns, directly measuring the absorption signatures of its clouds for the first time. The observations indicate the presence of magnesium silicates, most likely Mg2SiO4 or a mixture of Mg2SiO4 and MgSiO3. We also present a new methodology to reduce observational data, whereby the analysis is formulated as a rule-based model with a tree structure, enabling key decisions to be identified and uncertain decisions to be incorporated into subsequent modeling. With this data reduction, and using a combination of ARCiS free retrievals and PICASO+Virga self consistent forward models, we are able to show that amorphous Mg2SiO4 clouds explain the LRS data to high significance over either a clear (Delta ln(Z)=16.63) or gray cloud atmosphere (Delta ln(Z)=22.26). By combining the LRS dataset with archival JWST NIRCam and HST optical and near-infrared observations, we are able to more robustly constrain the properties of the magnesium silicate condensates, finding particle sizes of approximately 0.1 microns and atmospheric pressures of the clouds of roughly 1-10 millibar. Our results add to the growing detections of silicate clouds as a dominant atmospheric component of hot Jupiters, with the exact silicate species contextualizing the atmospheric chemistry and potentially formation conditions of these planets.

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arXiv2026

Cloudy mornings and clear evenings on a gas giant exoplanet

The spectra of exoplanet atmospheres are affected by aerosols (clouds and hazes) of uncertain origin. Proposed aerosol formation mechanisms include gas condensation or photochemical reactions. We measure the transmission spectrum of the tidally locked gas giant exoplanet WASP-94A b and identify asymmetry in its atmosphere. The morning limb is cooler and cloudy, while the evening limb is hotter and exhibits gaseous H$_2$O absorption features. We interpret this difference as due to the formation of cloud droplets near the morning limb, which evaporate during circulation to the evening limb. The dominant aerosols are clouds cycling between the day and night sides of the atmosphere, not photochemical hazes. The resulting asymmetry can severely bias chemical abundance measurements, unless limb-resolved spectroscopy is available.

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