arXiv subjects

Laurent Pueyo

Publications and source records attributed to Laurent Pueyo.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

The Science Potential of Characterizing Gas Giant Exoplanets with HWO

With the ability to directly image Earth-like exoplanets and search their atmospheres for biosignatures, the upcoming Habitable Worlds Observatory (HWO) will also collect high signal-to-noise ratio (S/N) reflected-light photometry and spectra of nearby gas giant exoplanets. Such high-quality data would allow novel investigations into gas giant atmospheric composition, formation, and kinematic properties, and could enable the detection of exomoons around these planets. We use the EXOSIMS direct imaging mission simulator to model HWO observations of Jupiter-radius gas giants at Earth-like and Jupiter-like instellations around the 164 stars in the ExEP target list. We find that HWO should be able to achieve S/N $\geq$ 5 broadband visible-light detections of gas giants in this instellation range within 5 minutes of integration. 10 hours of R=1000 near-IR spectroscopy with HWO should reveal water, methane, and ammonia absorption features in the atmospheres of Jupiter-like gas giants. HWO time-series photometry should exceed 1% flux precision in one hour for any Earth-instellation gas giants around ExEP stars, and for Jupiter-like gas giants at $d\leq$ 7 parsecs. Time-series light curves at this cadence and precision could, over tens of hours, reveal rotation-induced variability comparable to Jupiter's. Eclipses of Mars-sized exomoons may be detectable in high-cadence light curves of Jupiter sized planets in the habitable zones of ExEP stars at $d\leq$ 10 parsecs. For any hypothetical Earth-like exomoons with oxygen-rich atmospheres at $d\leq$ 7 parsecs from the Solar System, HWO might be able to detect the spectral signature of molecular oxygen amid the parent planet's photon noise in deep ($\sim$400 hour integration) spectroscopic HWO observations at R=1000. Such moons, if they exist, represent additional habitable worlds that HWO could investigate for biosignatures.

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arXiv2026

The JWST Sub-Jupiters Survey: Direct Imaging Discovery of a Giant Planet and a Debris Disk Around the Young M-dwarf RX J0534.0-0221

We present the discovery of RX J0534.0-0221 b, a giant planet orbiting an M-dwarf star in the $β$ Pictoris moving group. RX J0534 was originally observed with JWST/NIRCam in the F444W and F200W filters. Observations in F444W reveal a point source at signal-to-noise ratio $\sim17.5$ at $\sim0.41$ arcsec ($\sim14$ au) from the host star, with no detection of the source in F200W. A follow-up observation with LBTI/LMIRCam in $L'$ band re-detects the source 16 months after the JWST epoch, providing evidence for common proper motion over a chance alignment with a background interloper at the $6-7σ$ level. Atmospheric grid model fits to the available photometry yield bolometric luminosity log$_{10}(L/L_\odot) = -5.48^{+0.10}_{-0.19}$ dex. At an age of $18-26$ Myr, hot-start evolutionary models predict $M=2.8^{+0.5}_{-0.5}$ M$_{\text{Jup}}$ and $T_{\text{eff}}=674^{+57}_{-49}$ K. From the $L'-F444W$ color and magnitudes we find evidence for disequilibrium chemistry or enhanced metallicity in the planet atmosphere. Additionally, an extended structure is detected in the JWST F200W observation, consistent with a resolved debris disk with peak density radius of $79^{+3}_{-3}$ au and an inclination of $56.5^{+1.5}_{-1.5}$ deg. RX J0534 b is one of the lowest-mass planets imaged to date. After TWA 7 b, it is the second imaged planet around an M-dwarf orbiting at Solar System scales (the first within 50 au), and the first to be confirmed via common proper motion. Future orbital monitoring and atmospheric characterization will shed light on its formation history, a particularly interesting question given the challenging nature of giant planet formation around M-dwarfs.

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arXiv2026

An Updated Model for Epsilon Eridani b and Prospects for Imaging with the Roman Coronagraph

Epsilon Eridani b, the nearest known Jupiter analog, has its orbit and mass constrained from radial velocity (RV) and absolute astrometry, and its atmosphere from JWST/NIRCam imaging upper limits in Sanghi et al. 2026. Here we follow up that work with a self-consistent model of Epsilon Eridani b that treats all available data within a single Bayesian framework. We extend the RV data with new measurements, update the treatment of the astrometry data with a new model, and include the NIRCam observations with a grid of evolutionary and atmospheric models. We find a mass of 0.91+-0.06 M_Jup and an orbit consistent with previous work. The imaging data helps constrain planet effective temperature, atmospheric metallicity and surface gravity. The constraints are dependent on model assumptions: for an atmosphere in chemical equilibrium, an otherwise low statistically significant feature in one of the epochs is recovered as the planet at high confidence. When assuming chemical disequilibrium, the posteriors exhibit a bimodal distribution, with one mode consistent with zero flux and the other coinciding with the flux of the tentative feature. Consistent with previous work, the clear atmosphere models are found to be viable at very enhanced metallicity, whereas the cloudy models yield more moderate values. Applying these models to the Roman Coronagraph, we find that the predicted reflected-light fluxes place every cloudy atmosphere our fit allows within the instrument's expected sensitivity. A non-detection would be very constraining: a final contrast sensitivity of 2e-9 would rule out all cloudy atmospheres under our model assumptions.

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arXiv2026

The Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope Coronagraph Community Participation Program

In preparation for the operational phase of the Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope, NASA has created the Coronagraph Community Participation Program (CPP) to prepare for and execute Coronagraph Instrument technology demonstration observations. The CPP is composed of 7 small, US-based teams, selected competitively via the Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope Research and Support Participation Opportunity, members of the Roman Project Team, and international partner teams from ESA, JAXA, CNES, and the Max Planck Institute for Astronomy. The primary goals of the CPP are to prepare simulation tools, target databases, and data reduction software for the execution of the Coronagraph Instrument observation phase. Here, we present the current status of the CPP and its working groups, along with plans for future CPP activities up through Roman's launch. We also discuss plans to potentially enable future commissioning of currently-unsupported modes.

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arXiv2026

The Dyn-Atmo Survey: High-contrast Imaging Spectroscopy of the Substellar Companion HD 13724 B with the JWST NIRSpec IFU

We present the first spectral analysis from the JWST Cycle 3 GO Program #6362, the Dyn-Atmo Survey of dynamical-atmospheric benchmarks, characterizing the atmospheres of directly-imaged companions with dynamical masses and measured orbits. This program has obtained moderate-resolution spectra (R$\sim$2700, 3-5$μ$m) using the NIRSpec/G395H IFU. We observe the T4-dwarf companion, HD 13724 B, companion to a G-type star at a projected angular separation of 0''2. Updated orbital monitoring constrains the mass to $38.3\pm0.6~M_{\rm{Jup}}$, which we use as a Gaussian prior when inferring the atmospheric state. We fit the continuum-subtracted spectrum using the BT-SETTL, Sonora Diamondback, Sonora Flame Skimmer, and NEWERA-PHOENIX self-consistent model grids, together with petitRADTRANS atmospheric retrievals. We adopt bulk parameter values of $T_\mathrm{eff}$=$1150\pm$195 K, $\log g$=5.1$\pm0.3$ dex, [M/H]=0.4$\pm$0.4, $\log_{10}(K_{zz})$=6.33$_{-2.22}^{+2.59}$, and C/O=$0.50\pm0.13$ using a bayesian average across model grids. We find degeneracies in the models between surface gravity, metallicity, and $K_{zz}$ for Sonora Diamondback and Flame Skimmer. The Flame Skimmer and NEWERA-PHOENIX vertical mixing strengths are incompatible, with Flame Skimmer finding a systematically lower value. The retrievals favor an atmosphere in chemical equilibrium, with enhanced metallicity and a solar C/O ratio, but with no detection of disequilibrium chemistry, and no detection of trace gases other than CH$_4$, CO$_{2}$, $^{12}$CO and H$_{2}$O. Ultimately, we identify critical challenges in forward modeling continuum-subtracted G395H spectra in the low signal-to-noise regime. We find that including independent dynamical mass measurements better constrains atmospheric parameters, but degeneracies between self-consistent model parameters limit accurate atmospheric parameter inferences.

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arXiv2026

The Dyn-Atmo Survey: JWST/NIRSpec spectroscopy of dynamical benchmark GJ 758 B

We present new JWST/NIRSpec IFU high contrast spectroscopic observations of the brown dwarf companion GJ 758 B. Extensive radial velocity monitoring of the primary has enabled high-precision measurements of the companion mass through characterization of their joint orbital dynamics. The combination of prior space- and ground-based photometry and spectroscopic observations in concert with a spectral model-independent mass makes this target an ideal benchmark for calibrating evolutionary models with known mass-age-luminosity degeneracies. A template-matching analysis on the NIRSpec/IFU data (F290LP,G395H; $λ\in$ [2.87-5.27] $μ$m) detects the companion at the expected orbital position with incredible significance (265.2$σ$). Comprehensive spectral analysis including published datasets over a variety of different spectral model families reveal that an inference using a uniform radius prior is plagued by inaccurate posteriors. The atmospheric model degeneracy between metallicity, gravity, and clouds pull the inferred mass/gravity/radius to an unphysical portion of parameter space for all model families tested. A constrained inference with a gaussian prior on the mass can mitigate this issue but models without clouds still struggle to accurately reproduce the K-band photometry and result in mass inferences which are inconsistent with the dynamics. We explore modifying the spectral models with custom post-processed clouds and molecular abundance perturbations of ammonia and hydrogen sulfide. We find the best-fitting model includes clouds with no patchiness (hole fraction f$_\mathrm{hole}$ = 0), a small fractional depletion in ammonia and moderate enhancement in hydrogen sulfide.

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arXiv2026

The Lazuli Space Observatory: Architecture & Capabilities

The Lazuli Space Observatory is a 3-meter aperture astronomical facility designed for rapid-response observations and precision astrophysics across visible to near-infrared wavelengths (400-1700 nm bandpass). An off-axis, freeform telescope delivers diffraction-limited image quality (Strehl $>$0.8 at 633 nm) to three instruments across a wide, flat focal plane. The three instruments provide complementary capabilities: a Wide-field Context Camera (WCC) delivers multi-band imaging over a 35' $\times$ 12' footprint with high-cadence photometry; an Integral Field Spectrograph (IFS) provides continuous 400-1700 nm spectroscopy at R $\sim$ 100-500 for stable spectrophotometry; and an ExtraSolar Coronagraph (ESC) enables high-contrast imaging expected to reach raw contrasts of $10^{-8}$ and post-processed contrasts approaching $10^{-9}$. Operating from a 3:1 lunar-resonant orbit, Lazuli will respond to targets of opportunity in under four hours--a programmatic requirement designed to enable routine temporal responsiveness that is unprecedented for a space telescope of this size. Lazuli's technical capabilities are shaped around three broad science areas: (1) time-domain and multi-messenger astronomy, (2) stars and planets, and (3) cosmology. These capabilities enable a potent mix of science spanning gravitational wave counterpart characterization, fast-evolving transients, Type Ia supernova cosmology, high-contrast exoplanet imaging, and spectroscopy of exoplanet atmospheres. While these areas guide the observatory design, Lazuli is conceived as a general-purpose facility capable of supporting a wide range of astrophysical investigations, with open time for the global community. We describe the observatory architecture and capabilities in the preliminary design phase, with science operations anticipated following a rapid development cycle from concept to launch. [Abstract abridged]

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arXiv2026

Impacts of Correlated Noise on Retrievals of Exo-Earth Atmospheres

The Habitable Worlds Observatory (HWO) aims to accomplish high-contrast imaging and spectroscopy of true Earth analogs for the first time. However, high-contrast spectroscopy with HWO may be limited by residual speckles which persist after deformable mirror correction and post-processing, hindering atmospheric characterization. Previous studies of self-luminous giant planets showed that neglecting spectrally correlated errors due to speckles results in biased inferences of planetary parameters. Currently, HWO retrieval studies generate spectra without noise spectral correlations. We present a Gaussian Process model of correlated noise of known properties in simulated HWO exo-Earth spectra, and the integration of this noise source into the forward and inverse modeling tool \texttt{rfast}. We quantify the impact of correlated noise on inferred molecular abundances and planetary properties across the ultraviolet/visible/near-infrared bandpass, for varying spectral resolutions (R), signal-to-noise ratios (SNR), and noise correlation length-scales (L). We find that, at the fiducial UV/Vis/NIR R=7/140/70 and SNR=10, including spectrally correlated noise at L=200 nm and L=10 nm yields a 57\% and 161\% higher average uncertainty on log oxygen abundance, compared to uncorrelated noise. Consequently, it is critical for both instrument design and post-processing algorithms to minimize short length-scale chromaticity. Additionally, we find that a moderate resolution can constrain carbon dioxide (R$\geq 280$) and weakly detect methane (R$\geq2800$) abundances, demonstrating the benefit of a moderate resolution near-infrared spectrograph. These findings can aid the interpretation of future HWO reflectance spectra and set requirements on optical quality, instrument stability, and observing configurations.

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arXiv2026

The Roman Coronagraph Community Participation Program: early calibration plan and pilot observation of a companion

Roman is set to launch in weeks! The Coronagraph Instrument - technology pathfinder for future direct imaging missions - is ready to fly too. According to predictions, laboratory tests and high fidelity simulations, it will open a new contrast regime enabling the imaging of mature, giant planets in visible reflected light. The Community Participation Program is responsible for preparing a comprehensive observing program with associated data processing software and calibrations. We give a brief update about the on-going "baseline" calibration plan for the first months. Additionally, we describe a pilot program aiming for the stellar companion HD 29992 B at moderate ~1e-5 to ~1e-6 Band 1 (575 nm) contrast, to be carried out as soon as the instrument is operational. The idea is to generate a canonical data set with a self luminous companion that is easily recoverable. This functional checkout will be precious to best prepare our community, exercise our calibration plan and suite of tools.

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arXiv2026

The Roman Coronagraph Community Participation Program: Using the Zernike wavefront sensor for a full characterisation of the Roman Space Telescope and the Coronagraph Instrument

The Roman Space Telescope Coronagraph Instrument (CGI) will demonstrate a series of technologies and techniques to enable the direct detection of reflected-light planets with space-based observatories. Among the several available observing modes and coronagraphic devices embarked in CGI, there is the transmissive dual-path Zernike wavefront sensor (ZWFS) that could be used to directly measure optical aberrations in the system. The dual-path ZWFS is currently unsupported, but in this work we advocate for the commissioning of this unique observing mode. We investigate the sensitivity of the ZWFS using CGI simulator and other tools developed and supported by the Roman community participation program (CPP). This type of analysis is crucial for understanding the stability of the Roman observatory and to prepare the path towards HWO.

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arXiv2026

Tradeoff between segment density and IWA for high-contrast imaging of exoplanets with a large segmented space mission

Imaging Earth-like exoplanets with coronagraphs on future large segmented space telescopes such as the Habitable Worlds Observatory requires contrasts down to $10^{-10}$ at separations below 100 mas, imposing segment phasing control down to a few picometers. We evaluate how this constraint can be relaxed by optimizing telescope and instrument design, quantifying the impact on performance stability under segment phasing aberrations. We propose a system-level approach, adjusting the primary mirror segmentation and the focal-plane mask size (inner working angle). We compare the passive robustness to segment phasing errors across systems, and the ability of a Zernike low-order wavefront sensor to reconstruct aberrations and recover target performance. Increasing the focal-plane mask radius or decreasing segment count improves both passive robustness and sensor reconstruction: Increasing the mask radius from 3.5 to 6.5λ/D relaxes phasing constraints by up to a factor 4 near the IWA, and reducing the segment count from 85 (5 rings) to 7 (1 ring) relaxes them by up to a factor 2; The same mask radius increase also doubles, on average, the sensor's sensitivity to photon noise across segment piston, tip, and tilt modes. To conclude, jointly optimizing the segmentation scheme and mask size, so the low-order PSD envelope is blocked by the mask, can significantly relax phasing requirements, complementing active correction, with direct implications for HWO.

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arXiv2026

A Sulfur-Rich Atmosphere for the Young Jupiter Analog AF Lep b Reveals Significant Solid Accretion

AF Lep b is one of the closest analogs to Jupiter in terms of mass ($3-4~M_{\rm{Jup}}$) and semi-major axis ($9$ AU) amenable to spectroscopic characterization. We present JWST/NIRSpec high-contrast spectroscopy of the planet from $2.85-5.3~μ$m at $R\sim3000$, which provide detections of CO$_2$, H$_2$S, CH$_4$, $^{12}$CO (and $^{13}$CO), and H$_2$O, as well as complementary JWST/NIRCam imaging that captures the planet's continuum flux from $4.0-4.7~μ$m. Combining the JWST observations with spectra from VLTI/GRAVITY and VLT/SPHERE ($1.0-2.5~μ$m), we carry out atmospheric retrievals that include the effects of clouds and disequilibrium chemistry while allowing the C, O, and S abundances to vary independently. AF Lep b exhibits metal enrichment across C, O, and S with $\rm C/H=2.9\pm0.5$, $\rm O/H=3.7\pm0.6$, and $\rm S/H=4.7\pm0.7~\times$ solar (and stellar). The planet's slightly sub-solar C/O and C/S are consistent with formation near its observed location, and disfavor formation beyond the CO snowline. The sulfur enrichment in AF Lep b implies significant accretion of disk solids during formation, and we estimate the planet contains $56\pm7~M_{\oplus}$ of solids. The C, O, and S enrichment levels of AF Lep b are similar to those of Jupiter, and other super-Jupiters like HR 8799 bcde. We also show that the degree of atmospheric metal enrichment of these imaged planets is similar to the bulk metal enrichment of transiting gas giants with masses greater than $\sim1~M_{\rm{Jup}}$, suggesting that the process and efficiency of metal accretion for gas giants may not be strongly dependent on orbital distance or planet mass.

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arXiv2026

The JWST Early Release Science Program for Direct Observations of Exoplanetary Systems VIII: patchy forsterite and enstatite clouds in the atmosphere of VHS 1256 b, retrieval lessons learned and outlook to the future

JWST defines a new era for the data-driven approach of retrieval modelling, which has become a cornerstone tool for the statistical inference of exoplanetary and brown dwarf properties. The Early Release Science program #1386 observations of VHS 1256 b represent a huge jump in data quality, data quantity and spectral coverage for such objects. VHS 1256 b is a young, planetary mass and extremely variable companion that populates the enigmatic L/T cohort of substellar atmospheres. In this first retrieval analysis of the full 1 - 18 micron dataset, we apply the Brewster retrieval framework to the NIRSpec and MIRI spectroscopic observations of VHS 1256 b, exploring a variety of cloud species and structures. Using Delta(BIC) we find that the data is best described by a forsterite (Mg$_{2}$SiO$_{4}$) and enstatite (MgSiO$_{3}$) cloud combination. Our analysis shows a strong preference for patchy silicate cloud coverage, which aligns with VHS 1256 b's extensive and well documented spectral variability. Our retrieval is able to place constraints on the abundances of H$_{2}$O, CO, CO$_{2}$, CH$_{4}$ as well as NH$_{3}$. We also show that the retrieved parameters are sensitive to the data used and the relative signal-to-noise ratios between data from different instruments. We conclude with the next steps for the wider retrieval community to better understand young and cloudy exoplanetary atmospheres.

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arXiv2026

Calibration of MEMS DM actuator gains using a Zernike wavefront sensor on the HiCAT testbed and implications for Habitable Worlds Observatory operations

Deformable mirrors (DMs) are a key component of coronagraph instruments performing adaptive optics on the ground, and for future space observatories such as HWO and Roman CGI. Here, they will be used as part of the wavefront sensing and control system to "dig a dark zone'' - remove residual stellar light to create a high-contrast region in the focal plane where faint companions can be detected. To reach the deep contrasts needed to directly image cool or reflected light planets (<1e-8) accurate calibration of the DM actuator gain is essential as picometer differences between the expected and realized DM surface can significantly degrade dark zone (DZ) digging efficiency. This increases the overheads needed to achieve a DZ and critically places more stringent requirements on observatory stability. Furthermore, DM gain varies with actuator stroke, necessitating rapid, in situ gain map recalculations to maintain DZ digging efficiency over time. Zernike wavefront sensors (ZWFS) are well-suited for this task as they efficiently provide picometer-level sensitivity and will likely already be included on board as part of a low order wavefront sensor for HWO. Here we present results from the HiCAT testbed at STScI where we calibrated gain maps for our Boston Micromachines 952-actuator micro electromechanical (MEMS) DMs using both a Fizeau interferometer and a ZWFS to compare performance. With the ZWFS we compute a gain map using both local linear fits around a given DM solution, and present a formalism for deriving more complex quadratic solutions which are more computationally intensive, but accurate over most of the dynamic range of each actuator. We then use these techniques to calibrate the DMs on the HiCAT testbed and show increased DZ digging efficiency with the new gain map and better contrast performance moving from 14 to 16 bit control electronics as enabled by these calibrations.

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arXiv2026

Segment-level thermal sensitivity analysis for exo-Earth coronagraphy with segmented space telescopes

Direct imaging and characterization of Earth-like planets require ultra-stable wavefronts to achieve a starlight suppression level of 100 parts per trillion (ppt) in the coronagraphic dark region of the host star. Thermal drifts in the telescope may affect the wavefront stability. In this context, we present a segment-level thermal stability error budget for segmented space telescopes crucial to Earth-like planet detection and specify requirements for an ultra-stable telescope. Our study utilizes multiple segmented primary mirror architectures, each with their respective apodizer solution developed by the Segmented Coronagraph Design & Analysis research team at the Space Telescope Science Institute, tailored to an off-axis ~6 m-aperture space telescope design. Using a detailed finite element model provided by L3Harris Technologies, we relate the temperature gradient at the location of the primary mirror to wavefront variations on each segment. We allocate both static and dynamic thermal tolerances for each segment using the Pair-based Analytical model for Segmented Telescope Imaging from Space sensitivity approach, and a batch-estimation algorithm respectively. Our analysis shows a non-uniform tolerance allocation across all segments of the primary mirror, as a result of apodization, and generally, with an increase in segment numbers, the tolerances for outer segments become less stringent. We observe trade-offs between segment size, tolerance relaxation and optimal wavefront sensing time to achieve a desired dark-hole contrast.

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arXiv2026

Photometric Variability and Rotation of Beta Pictoris b from JWST NIRCam Coronagraphic Imaging

We report the detection of photometric variability in the directly imaged super-Jupiter $β$ Pictoris b. Using JWST NIRCam dual-band coronagraphic imaging, we conducted a 16-hour continuous photometric monitoring campaign in the F210M and F410M filters. We developed and validated a time-series photometry framework that combines PSF subtraction, principal component analysis for systematic noise removal, and injection-and-recovery tests to confirm signal fidelity. Both light curves show consistent sinusoidal variability at $\sim$5$σ$ and $\gg 5σ$ significance in the F210M and F410M bands, respectively. A joint sinusoidal fit yields a rotation period of $P_{\rm rot} = 9.00 \pm 0.13$ hr and variability amplitudes of $0.85 \pm 0.07\%$ and $0.89 \pm 0.04\%$ in F210M and F410M, respectively. The near-identical amplitudes and periods in both bands confirm a common astrophysical origin in a heterogeneous atmosphere. Combining $P_{\rm rot}$ with the previously measured projected rotational velocity, we constrain the line-of-sight spin axis inclination of $β$ Pic b. The result favors an equator-on viewing geometry, consistent with line-of-sight spin-orbit alignment: the planetary spin axis, orbital plane, debris disk, and stellar equator are all mutually aligned. This stands in sharp contrast to the large obliquities of wide-separation companions that are likely formed via gravitational fragmentation. Together with the system's young age, this observation provides independent dynamical evidence that $β$ Pic b formed via core accretion. This result constitutes the first detection of rotational modulation in a close-in, high-contrast exoplanet that likely formed via core accretion, demonstrating that time-series coronagraphic imaging with JWST opens a powerful new window onto the rotation, atmospheric dynamics, and spin-orbit architecture of this population.

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arXiv2026

Enhanced wavefront sensing for the Roman Coronagraph Instrument: Gaussian probes and compact model validation

The Coronagraph Instrument on the Roman Space Telescope will be the first space-based system to demonstrate closed-loop focal-plane wavefront sensing and control, a key step towards the Habitable Worlds Observatory. Beyond the baseline Hybrid Lyot Coronagraph, "enhanced modes" are being developed to improve efficiency and science yield. One such mode uses Gaussian probes for electric field estimation, extending the linear regime and allowing higher probe amplitudes. This may increase signal-to-noise, reduce exposure time, accelerate dark hole convergence, and extend operation to stars as faint as $V\sim5$. For those reasons, it was selected by the Coronagraph Community Participation Program's Hardware Working Group as the first technology demonstration carried out on Roman in early 2027. We present numerical simulations using a noise-free compact software model, which demonstrate the benefits of replacing the nominal probes with Gaussian probes.

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arXiv2026

The Architecture of the 14 Herculis System Suggests Primordial Ejection of a Massive Planet

The 14 Herculis system hosts two super-Jupiters on eccentric, significantly misaligned orbits. This orbital architecture represents a dynamical puzzle that demands explanation. In this work, we reproduce the system's dynamical history and current architecture using a large suite of N-body simulations of planet-planet scattering. Our results demonstrate that planet-planet scattering is able to reproduce 14 Her's peculiar orbital architecture, but only if additional massive bodies were initially present in the system that were subsequently ejected. The mass of any such ejected planet can in turn constrain the system's initial configuration. We also analyze the present-day secular evolution of the system and conclude that while there are most likely nontrivial eccentricity and inclination oscillations currently occurring, the magnitudes of these oscillations are not strong enough to allow tidal forces to meaningfully alter the system's architecture. Finally, we discuss how forthcoming observations from future Gaia data releases and the Roman mission may situate 14 Her's dynamical history within a broader, population-level framework.

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