arXiv subjects

Liang Sun

Publications and source records attributed to Liang Sun.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Pushing the Limits of High-Resolution Weather Forecasting through Data Scaling

The development of 0.1$^{\circ}$ global weather forecasting models based on machine learning (ML) is constrained by the limited availability of high-resolution data, as decades of reanalysis are only available at 0.25$^{\circ}$ resolution. While existing approaches fine-tune 0.25$^{\circ}$ forecast models on limited 0.1$^{\circ}$ samples, we show that this transfer is hindered by the irreversible information loss inherent in coarse-resolution forecasting. Therefore, we propose BaguanHR, a framework that shifts the focus from transferring models to transferring data. We first show that super-resolution (SR) has lower conditional entropy and input amplification than forecasting, making it a more robust vehicle for resolution transfer. By leveraging this advantage through variable-wise SR, we synthesize extensive 0.1$^{\circ}$ data from ERA5. BaguanHR's performance on the synthetic-plus-real dataset exceeds both ML-based methods and IFS-HRES, achieving superior performance across over 85% of the lead times within 72 hours. Furthermore, our findings highlight a power-law scaling effect, as a twofold increase in data reduces RMSE by 4.6% for 72-hour forecasting and 4.9% for 120-hour forecasting. Our results demonstrate that scaling high resolution ML-based forecasting is primarily a data bottleneck, and that variable-wise super-resolution provides a simple yet general solution to unlock long coarse-resolution reanalyses for high-resolution training.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

GPU-accelerated spectrum reweighting for new-physics searches in solar neutrino--electron scattering

Precision measurements of neutrino--electron elastic scattering provide low-energy tests of weak interactions and beyond-the-Standard-Model effects. Non-standard interactions (NSIs) and an anomalous neutrino magnetic moment modify the differential cross section through different kinematic terms, but both can alter the normalization and shape of the recoil-electron spectrum. Likelihood tests are computationally costly when each parameter point requires the recoil spectrum to be propagated through a detector response obtained from Monte Carlo (MC) simulation. We present a GPU-accelerated spectrum-reweighting framework that avoids regenerating detector MC samples for each new-physics parameter point. Bin-to-bin weights are applied at the recoil-spectrum level and folded with a fixed two-dimensional response model in recoil and reconstructed energy. This keeps the detector response inside the likelihood calculation while reducing each parameter update to operations on precomputed spectra and response kernels. The implementation uses NVIDIA Thrust transformation--reduction primitives and is compiled from a common source for CUDA and OpenMP back ends. In the benchmarks considered here, one likelihood evaluation takes ${\sim}87$ ms on an NVIDIA RTX 3080Ti and ${\sim}52$ ms on an NVIDIA A30X; the latter gives a $58\times$ speedup over a single CPU thread and ${\sim}2.5\times$ over a fully loaded 64-thread CPU. The consumer-GPU result demonstrates that interactive parameter scans are feasible on a single workstation. The main acceleration, however, comes from avoiding detector-MC regeneration at each parameter point rather than from GPU execution alone. The framework applies to neutrino--electron scattering analyses in which the new-physics dependence can be represented by reweighting an existing recoil spectrum, including flavor NSI and magnetic-moment cases studied here.

hep-ex↗

arXiv2026

Learning Video Dynamics with Predictive Differentiable Rendering

How to accurately predict a high-fidelity future world? While the visual world is inherently continuous, existing deterministic video prediction models operate in discrete pixel space and are mainly optimized with pixel-wise mean squared error (MSE), which often leads to over-smoothed predictions and a lack of fine-grained visual details. To address these limitations, we propose Predictive Differentiable Rendering (PDR), a novel end-to-end video prediction paradigm that bridges the gap between discrete and continuous representations. Inspired by recent progress in 3D reconstruction with 3D Gaussian Splatting, we introduce PredGS, a lightweight and plug-and-play adapter based on 2D Gaussian representation, which could be seamlessly integrated with existing pixel space predictors, significantly improving spatial detail preservation with negligible computational overhead. Furthermore, we develop predgsplat, a CUDA-accelerated differentiable 2D Gaussian renderer supporting arbitrary channels. Each Gaussian is defined by 5 + C learnable parameters (position, scale, rotation, and C channel amplitudes) and achieves up to 10x faster rendering than the baseline. Optimized by a combined L1 and SSIM loss, PDR overcomes the inherent blurring tendencies of MSE Loss, significantly enhancing the prediction performance. Extensive experiments on diverse real-world benchmarks, including TaxiBJ, WeatherBench, KTH, and Human3.6M, demonstrate that PDR consistently surpasses existing methods, delivering superior detail preservation, visual fidelity, and predictive accuracy.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2026

LLM-Oriented Information Retrieval: A Denoising-First Perspective

Modern information retrieval (IR) is no longer consumed primarily by humans but increasingly by large language models (LLMs) via retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) and agentic search. Unlike human users, LLMs are constrained by limited attention budgets and are uniquely vulnerable to noise; misleading or irrelevant information is no longer just a nuisance, but a direct cause of hallucinations and reasoning failures. In this perspective paper, we argue that denoising-maximizing usable evidence density and verifiability within a context window-is becoming the primary bottleneck across the full information access pipeline. We conceptualize this paradigm shift through a four-stage framework of IR challenges: from inaccessible to undiscoverable, to misaligned, and finally to unverifiable. Furthermore, we provide a pipeline-organized taxonomy of signal-to-noise optimization techniques, spanning indexing, retrieval, context engineering, verification, and agentic workflow. We also present research works on information denoising in domains that rely heavily on retrieval such as lifelong assistant, coding agent, deep research, and multimodal understanding.

cs.IR↗

arXiv2026

Sensitivity study of $\bar{K}_1(1270)$ decay dynamics using four $D\to \bar{K}_1(1270)(\to \bar K\pi\pi)e^+\nu$ decay channels

A sensitivity study for the measurement of $\bar{K}_1(1270)$ decay modes is performed using semileptonic $D$-meson decays. The BESIII experiment is taken as a case study, where a simultaneous analysis of $\bar{K}_1(1270)$ decays to the four thee-body final states $K^-\pi^+\pi^-$, $K^-\pi^+\pi^0$, $K_S^0\pi^+\pi^-$, and $K_S^0\pi^-\pi^0$ is presented and a model-independent determination of \mbox{$\mathcal{B}(\bar{K}_1(1270)\to \bar K\pi\pi)$}, without requiring detailed knowledge of intermediate resonant contributions, is proposed.

hep-ex↗

arXiv2026

Object Detection Based on Distributed Convolutional Neural Networks

Based on the Distributed Convolutional Neural Network(DisCNN), a straightforward object detection method is proposed. The modules of the output vector of a DisCNN with respect to a specific positive class are positively monotonic with the presence probabilities of the positive features. So, by identifying all high-scoring patches across all possible scales, the positive object can be detected by overlapping them to form a bounding box. The essential idea is that the object is detected by detecting its features on multiple scales, ranging from specific sub-features to abstract features composed of these sub-features. Training DisCNN requires only object-centered image data with positive and negative class labels. The detection process for multiple positive classes can be conducted in parallel to significantly accelerate it, and also faster for single-object detection because of its lightweight model architecture.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2026

Skillful Kilometer-Scale Regional Weather Forecasting via Global and Regional Coupling

Data-driven weather models have advanced global medium-range forecasting, yet high-resolution regional prediction remains challenging due to unresolved multiscale interactions between large-scale dynamics and small-scale processes such as terrain-induced circulations and coastal effects. This paper presents a global-regional coupling framework for kilometer-scale regional weather forecasting that synergistically couples a pretrained Transformer-based global model with a high-resolution regional network via a novel bidirectional coupling module, ScaleMixer. ScaleMixer dynamically identifies meteorologically critical regions through adaptive key-position sampling and enables cross-scale feature interaction through dedicated attention mechanisms. The framework produces forecasts at $0.05^\circ$ ($\sim 5 \mathrm{km}$ ) and 1-hour resolution over China, significantly outperforming operational NWP and AI baselines on both gridded reanalysis data and real-time weather station observations. It exhibits exceptional skill in capturing fine-grained phenomena such as orographic wind patterns and Foehn warming, demonstrating effective global-scale coherence with high-resolution fidelity. The code is available at https://anonymous.4open.science/r/ScaleMixer-6B66.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Enhancing AI-Based Tropical Cyclone Track and Intensity Forecasting via Systematic Bias Correction

Tropical cyclones (TCs) pose severe threats to life, infrastructure, and economies in tropical and subtropical regions, underscoring the critical need for accurate and timely forecasts of both track and intensity. Recent advances in AI-based weather forecasting have shown promise in improving TC track forecasts. However, these systems are typically trained on coarse-resolution reanalysis data (e.g., ERA5 at 0.25 degree), which constrains predicted TC positions to a fixed grid and introduces significant discretization errors. Moreover, intensity forecasting remains limited especially for strong TCs by the smoothing effect of coarse meteorological fields and the use of regression losses that bias predictions toward conditional means. To address these limitations, we propose BaguanCyclone, a novel, unified framework that integrates two key innovations: (1) a probabilistic center refinement module that models the continuous spatial distribution of TC centers, enabling finer track precision; and (2) a region-aware intensity forecasting module that leverages high-resolution internal representations within dynamically defined sub-grid zones around the TC core to better capture localized extremes. Evaluated on the global IBTrACS dataset across six major TC basins, our system consistently outperforms both operational numerical weather prediction (NWP) models and most AI-based baselines, delivering a substantial enhancement in forecast accuracy. Remarkably, BaguanCyclone excels in navigating meteorological complexities, consistently delivering accurate forecasts for re-intensification, sweeping arcs, twin cyclones, and meandering events. Our code is available at https://github.com/DAMO-DI-ML/Baguan-cyclone.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Baguan-TS: A Sequence-Native In-Context Learning Model for Time Series Forecasting with Covariates

Transformers enable in-context learning (ICL) for rapid, gradient-free adaptation in time series forecasting, yet most ICL-style approaches rely on tabularized, hand-crafted features, while end-to-end sequence models lack inference-time adaptation. We bridge this gap with a unified framework, Baguan-TS, which integrates the raw-sequence representation learning with ICL, instantiated by a 3D Transformer that attends jointly over temporal, variable, and context axes. To make this high-capacity model practical, we tackle two key hurdles: (i) calibration and training stability, improved with a feature-agnostic, target-space retrieval-based local calibration; and (ii) output oversmoothing, mitigated via context-overfitting strategy. On public benchmark with covariates, Baguan-TS consistently outperforms established baselines, achieving the highest win rate and significant reductions in both point and probabilistic forecasting metrics. Further evaluations across diverse real-world energy datasets demonstrate its robustness, yielding substantial improvements.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Target Concept Tuning Improves Extreme Weather Forecasting

Deep learning models for meteorological forecasting often fail in rare but high-impact events such as typhoons, where relevant data is scarce. Existing fine-tuning methods typically face a trade-off between overlooking these extreme events and overfitting them at the expense of overall performance. We propose TaCT, an interpretable concept-gated fine-tuning framework that solves the aforementioned issue by selective model improvement: models are adapted specifically for failure cases while preserving performance in common scenarios. To this end, TaCT automatically discovers failure-related internal concepts using Sparse Autoencoders and counterfactual analysis, and updates parameters only when the corresponding concepts are activated, rather than applying uniform adaptation. Experiments show consistent improvements in typhoon forecasting across different regions without degrading other meteorological variables. The identified concepts correspond to physically meaningful circulation patterns, revealing model biases and supporting trustworthy adaptation in scientific forecasting tasks. The code is available at https://anonymous.4open.science/r/Concept-Gated-Fine-tune-62AC.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Integrating Weather Foundation Model and Satellite to Enable Fine-Grained Solar Irradiance Forecasting

Accurate day-ahead solar irradiance forecasting is essential for integrating solar energy into the power grid. However, it remains challenging due to the pronounced diurnal cycle and inherently complex cloud dynamics. Current methods either lack fine-scale resolution (e.g., numerical weather prediction, weather foundation models) or degrade at longer lead times (e.g., satellite extrapolation). We propose Baguan-solar, a two-stage multimodal framework that fuses forecasts from Baguan, a global weather foundation model, with high-resolution geostationary satellite imagery to produce 24-hour irradiance forecasts at kilometer scale. Its decoupled two-stage design first forecasts day-night continuous intermediates (e.g., cloud cover) and then infers irradiance, while its modality fusion jointly preserves fine-scale cloud structures from satellite and large-scale constraints from Baguan forecasts. Evaluated over East Asia using CLDAS as ground truth, Baguan-solar outperforms strong baselines (including ECMWF IFS, vanilla Baguan, and SolarSeer), reducing RMSE by 16.08% and better resolving cloud-induced transients. An operational deployment of Baguan-solar has supported solar power forecasting in an eastern province in China, since July 2025. Our code is accessible at https://github.com/DAMO-DI-ML/Baguan-solar.git.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Distributed Convolutional Neural Networks for Object Recognition

This paper proposes a novel loss function for training a distributed convolutional neural network (DisCNN) to recognize only a specific positive class. By mapping positive samples to a compact set in high-dimensional space and negative samples to Origin, the DisCNN extracts only the features of the positive class. An experiment is given to prove this. Thus, the features of the positive class are disentangled from those of the negative classes. The model has a lightweight architecture because only a few positive-class features need to be extracted. The model demonstrates excellent generalization on the test data and remains effective even for unseen classes. Finally, using DisCNN, object detection of positive samples embedded in a large and complex background is straightforward.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2025

SpinalSAM-R1: A Vision-Language Multimodal Interactive System for Spine CT Segmentation

The anatomical structure segmentation of the spine and adjacent structures from computed tomography (CT) images is a key step for spinal disease diagnosis and treatment. However, the segmentation of CT images is impeded by low contrast and complex vertebral boundaries. Although advanced models such as the Segment Anything Model (SAM) have shown promise in various segmentation tasks, their performance in spinal CT imaging is limited by high annotation requirements and poor domain adaptability. To address these limitations, we propose SpinalSAM-R1, a multimodal vision-language interactive system that integrates a fine-tuned SAM with DeepSeek-R1, for spine CT image segmentation. Specifically, our SpinalSAM-R1 introduces an anatomy-guided attention mechanism to improve spine segmentation performance, and a semantics-driven interaction protocol powered by DeepSeek-R1, enabling natural language-guided refinement. The SpinalSAM-R1 is fine-tuned using Low-Rank Adaptation (LoRA) for efficient adaptation. We validate our SpinalSAM-R1 on the spine anatomical structure with CT images. Experimental results suggest that our method achieves superior segmentation performance. Meanwhile, we develop a PyQt5-based interactive software, which supports point, box, and text-based prompts. The system supports 11 clinical operations with 94.3\% parsing accuracy and sub-800 ms response times. The software is released on https://github.com/6jm233333/spinalsam-r1.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2025

SolarBoost: Distributed Photovoltaic Power Forecasting Amid Time-varying Grid Capacity

This paper presents SolarBoost, a novel approach for forecasting power output in distributed photovoltaic (DPV) systems. While existing centralized photovoltaic (CPV) methods are able to precisely model output dependencies due to uniformity, it is difficult to apply such techniques to DPV systems, as DPVs face challenges such as missing grid-level data, temporal shifts in installed capacity, geographic variability, and panel diversity. SolarBoost overcomes these challenges by modeling aggregated power output as a composite of output from small grids, where each grid output is modeled using a unit output function multiplied by its capacity. This approach decouples the homogeneous unit output function from dynamic capacity for accurate prediction. Efficient algorithms over an upper-bound approximation are proposed to overcome computational bottlenecks in loss functions. We demonstrate the superiority of grid-level modeling via theoretical analysis and experiments. SolarBoost has been validated through deployment across various cities in China, significantly reducing potential losses and provides valuable insights for the operation of power grids. The code for this work is available at https://github.com/DAMO-DI-ML/SolarBoost.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

ProtoTS: Learning Hierarchical Prototypes for Explainable Time Series Forecasting

While deep learning has achieved impressive performance in time series forecasting, it becomes increasingly crucial to understand its decision-making process for building trust in high-stakes scenarios. Existing interpretable models often provide only local and partial explanations, lacking the capability to reveal how heterogeneous and interacting input variables jointly shape the overall temporal patterns in the forecast curve. We propose ProtoTS, a novel interpretable forecasting framework that achieves both high accuracy and transparent decision-making through modeling prototypical temporal patterns. ProtoTS computes instance-prototype similarity based on a denoised representation that preserves abundant heterogeneous information. The prototypes are organized hierarchically to capture global temporal patterns with coarse prototypes while capturing finer-grained local variations with detailed prototypes, enabling expert steering and multi-level interpretability. Experiments on multiple realistic benchmarks, including a newly released LOF dataset, show that ProtoTS not only exceeds existing methods in forecast accuracy but also delivers expert-steerable interpretations for better model understanding and decision support.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

Bridging Past and Future: Distribution-Aware Alignment for Time Series Forecasting

Although contrastive and other representation-learning methods have long been explored in vision and NLP, their adoption in modern time series forecasters remains limited. We believe they hold strong promise for this domain. To unlock this potential, we explicitly align past and future representations, thereby bridging the distributional gap between input histories and future targets. To this end, we introduce TimeAlign, a lightweight, plug-and-play framework that establishes a new representation paradigm, distinct from contrastive learning, by aligning auxiliary features via a simple reconstruction task and feeding them back into any base forecaster. Extensive experiments across eight benchmarks verify its superior performance. Further studies indicate that the gains arise primarily from correcting frequency mismatches between historical inputs and future outputs. Additionally, we provide two theoretical justifications for how reconstruction improves forecasting generalization and how alignment increases the mutual information between learned representations and predicted targets. The code is available at https://github.com/TROUBADOUR000/TimeAlign.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

First determination of $V_{cs,cd}$ from inclusive $D$ meson decays

We report the first determination of the Cabibbo-Kobayashi-Maskawa matrix elements $|V_{cs}|$ and $|V_{cd}|$ from a global fit to data from inclusive and sum-of-exclusive charm decays. Simultaneously, the heavy quark expansion parameters are determined, and they are in good agreement with results from the literature, validating the robustness of this work. With the current precision, our determined value for $|V_{cs}|$ is consistent with the world-average value extracted from exclusive charm decay processes, while a tension of approximately $3\sigma$ is observed for $|V_{cd}|$ when compared to its exclusive world-average counterpart.

hep-ph↗

arXiv2025

TriForecaster: A Mixture of Experts Framework for Multi-Region Electric Load Forecasting with Tri-dimensional Specialization

Electric load forecasting is pivotal for power system operation, planning and decision-making. The rise of smart grids and meters has provided more detailed and high-quality load data at multiple levels of granularity, from home to bus and cities. Motivated by similar patterns of loads across different cities in a province in eastern China, in this paper we focus on the Multi-Region Electric Load Forecasting (MRELF) problem, targeting accurate short-term load forecasting for multiple sub-regions within a large region. We identify three challenges for MRELF, including regional variation, contextual variation, and temporal variation. To address them, we propose TriForecaster, a new framework leveraging the Mixture of Experts (MoE) approach within a Multi-Task Learning (MTL) paradigm to overcome these challenges. TriForecaster features RegionMixer and Context-Time Specializer (CTSpecializer) layers, enabling dynamic cooperation and specialization of expert models across regional, contextual, and temporal dimensions. Based on evaluation on four real-world MRELF datasets with varied granularity, TriForecaster outperforms state-of-the-art models by achieving an average forecast error reduction of 22.4\%, thereby demonstrating its flexibility and broad applicability. In particular, the deployment of TriForecaster on the eForecaster platform in eastern China exemplifies its practical utility, effectively providing city-level, short-term load forecasts for 17 cities, supporting a population exceeding 110 million and daily electricity usage over 100 gigawatt-hours.

cs.LG↗