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Lizzie Neumann

Publications and source records attributed to Lizzie Neumann.

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Removal of Multivariate Environmental Influences in Structural Health Monitoring through Conditional Covariances and Supervised Learning

In structural health monitoring (SHM) systems, data is collected from a multitude of sensors measuring, for example, vibration or strain in the structure, along with additional features that capture environmental or operational information. It is well known that changes in the measured sensor outputs do not necessarily originate from structural damage but are often induced by environmental changes. One popular approach to account for these effects is regressing the system outputs on the confounding factors, also known as "response surface modeling". Afterward, the predicted values are subtracted from the observed ones to obtain corrected data with the environmental effects (supposedly) removed. However, the evaluation of real-world SHM data shows that environmental conditions may affect not only the expected output values but also higher-order statistical moments, particularly the variances of and the covariances and correlations between the output quantities, such as eigenfrequencies of different modes or strain sensors at different locations. By construction, the (supervised) machine learning techniques commonly used for response surface modeling cannot account for those higher-order effects. To address these issues, we present and discuss several approaches for identifying and quantifying multivariate confounding effects on output covariances and correlations: a nonparametric, kernel-based estimator, a random forest, a semiparametric additive model, and a deep learning approach. Furthermore, we show how the resulting conditional covariance matrices can be used in an SHM pipeline. We compare the competing methods on both artificial data and real-world load test data from the Vahrendorfer Stadtweg bridge in Hamburg, Germany, as well as eigenfrequency data from the railway bridge KW51 near Leuven, Belgium.

stat.ME

Feature Reconstruction and Monitoring of Load Test Data under Varying Environmental Conditions

System outputs in Structural Health Monitoring (SHM), such as sensor measurements or extracted features like eigenfrequencies, are influenced not only by (potential) damage but also by environmental and operational variables (EOV). Identifying these factors and removing their effects from the data is essential before proceeding with further analysis. Most existing methods for this task focus on the expected values of system outputs, e.g., using different types of response surface modeling. However, it has been shown that confounding variables can also affect the (co-)variance of and between system outputs. This is particularly important because the covariance matrix is an essential building block in many damage detection methods in SHM. Beyond standard response surface modeling, a nonparametric kernel approach can be used to estimate a conditional covariance matrix that can change depending on the identified confounding factor. This improves our understanding of how, e.g., temperature affects the system outputs. In this work, we present a new confounder-adjusted version of feature reconstruction. It uses the conditional covariance matrix as the basis for (conditional) principal component analysis. The resulting (conditional) principal component scores are then used to reconstruct system outputs with the confounding influences removed. In particular, the new approach eliminates the confounders effect on both the mean and the covariance. As will be shown on load test data from the Vahrendorfer Stadtweg bridge in Hamburg, Germany, the reconstructed features can then be employed for monitoring, e.g., using an appropriate control chart, resulting in fewer false alarms and a higher probability of detecting damage.

stat.AP

Higher-Order Multivariate Environmental Influences in Structural Health Monitoring

System outputs such as eigenfrequencies or strain data, often used in structural health monitoring (SHM), not only react to damage but also depend on environmental conditions. When trying to correct for these confounding effects, it is often (at least implicitly) assumed that only the expected, i.e., mean, output values are affected by environmental conditions. However, the evaluation of real-world SHM data indicates that environmental conditions may influence not only the mean output but also higher-order statistical moments, particularly the variances of and the covariances and correlations between the output quantities, such as eigenfrequencies of different modes or strain sensors at different locations. To address these issues, we discuss two approaches for identifying and quantifying multivariate confounding effects on output covariances and correlations: a random forest and a nonparametric, kernel-based approach. We compare the two competing methods on both artificial and real-world SHM data, finding that the kernel-based approach achieves higher accuracy, but the random forest produces estimates that are more robust and sometimes easier to interpret.

stat.AP

Covariate-Dependent Functional Principal Component Analysis for SHM

In Structural Health Monitoring (SHM), sensor measurements and derived features such as eigenfrequencies often exhibit systematic daily patterns and can therefore be naturally represented as functional data. Furthermore, these patterns are typically influenced by environmental factors, particularly temperature, which can substantially affect the observed system response. While most existing methods for removing environmental effects assume that confounding influences affect only the mean response, it has been shown that environmental and operational factors may also alter the covariance structure of the residual process. To address this limitation in a functional data monitoring framework, we incorporate so-called covariate-dependent functional principal component analysis (CD-FPCA), which allows eigenfunctions and eigenvalues of the residual process to vary smoothly with covariates such as temperature. The proposed methodology is illustrated using an extended version of the KW51 railway bridge eigenfrequency dataset. This case study suggests that accounting for covariate effects beyond the functional mean can improve the robustness of the monitoring procedure, in particular by reducing environmentally induced (false) alarms under challenging low-temperature conditions.

stat.ME

Confidence Intervals for Conditional Covariances of Natural Frequencies

In structural health monitoring (SHM), sensor measurements are collected, and damage-sensitive features such as natural frequencies are extracted for damage detection. However, these features depend not only on damage but are also influenced by various confounding factors, including environmental conditions and operational parameters. These factors must be identified, and their effects must be removed before further analysis. However, it has been shown that confounding variables may influence the mean and the covariance of the extracted features. This is particularly significant since the covariance is an essential building block in many damage detection tools. To account for the complex relationships resulting from the confounding factors, a nonparametric kernel approach can be used to estimate a conditional covariance matrix. By doing so, the covariance matrix is allowed to change depending on the identified confounding factor, thus providing a clearer understanding of how, for example, temperature influences the extracted features. This paper presents two bootstrap-based methods for obtaining confidence intervals for the conditional covariances, providing a way to quantify the uncertainty associated with the conditional covariance estimator. A proof-of-concept Monte Carlo study compares the two bootstrap versions proposed and evaluates their effectiveness. Finally, the methods are applied to the natural frequency data of the KW51 railway bridge near Leuven, Belgium. This real-world application highlights the practical implications of the findings. It underscores the importance of accurately accounting for confounding factors to generate more reliable diagnostic values with fewer false alarms.

stat.AP

Data Set of Load Tests and Structural Health Monitoring of a concrete Box Girder bridge

Static and dynamic load tests were conducted on an anonymized in-service prestressed concrete box girder bridge constructed in 1972 and designed for Bridge Class~30 according to DIN~1072. The bridge is instrumented as part of the DTEC-SHM research initiative with a permanent structural health monitoring system comprising 128 sensors, including accelerometers, strain sensors, inclinometers, displacement transducers, embedded temperature sensors, and weather stations. The test program includes long-term static loading with stepwise added masses of 680 kg, 1420 kg, and 2160 kg, short-term static truck parking positions, and repeated dynamic truck crossings under loaded and unloaded vehicle configurations. The short-term static tests used a loaded truck of 21250 kg parked at three bridge positions, while the dynamic tests used loaded and unloaded truck configurations of 21250 kg and 12340 kg at speeds up to 13.9 m/s. The published load-test data are available on Zenodo in HDF5 format and include synchronized measurements from the monitoring system, temporary laser sensors used for vehicle-position and passage-time validation, and derived tracked eigenfrequency time series from the reference and long-term static-load-test period. The bridge geometry, sensor layout, acquisition system, load cases, truck geometry, and data hierarchy are documented to support reuse of the data. Plausibility checks are presented for the main response quantities, including laser-based validation of parking positions and passage windows, vibration spectra and tracked modal parameters, and repeatable strain and displacement response profiles under crawl-speed truck passages. The data set addresses the scarcity of publicly available full-scale bridge load-test data and supports applications such as finite element model calibration, neutral-axis tracking, influence-line extraction, and data-driven anomaly detection.

stat.AP

Confounder-adjusted Covariances of System Outputs and Applications to Structural Health Monitoring

Automated damage detection is an integral component of each structural health monitoring (SHM) system. Typically, measurements from various sensors are collected and reduced to damage-sensitive features, and diagnostic values are generated by statistically evaluating the features. Since changes in data do not only result from damage, it is necessary to determine the confounding factors (environmental or operational variables) and to remove their effects from the measurements or features. Many existing methods for correcting confounding effects are based on different types of mean regression. This neglects potential changes in higher-order statistical moments, but in particular, the output covariances are essential for generating reliable diagnostics for damage detection. This article presents an approach to explicitly quantify the changes in the covariance, using conditional covariance matrices based on a non-parametric, kernel-based estimator. The method is applied to the Munich Test Bridge and the KW51 Railway Bridge in Leuven, covering both raw sensor measurements (acceleration, strain, inclination) and extracted damage-sensitive features (natural frequencies). The results show that covariances between different vibration or inclination sensors can significantly change due to temperature changes, and the same is true for natural frequencies. To highlight the advantages, it is explained how conditional covariances can be combined with standard approaches for damage detection, such as the Mahalanobis distance and principal component analysis. As a result, more reliable diagnostic values can be generated with fewer false alarms.

stat.AP

Covariate-Adjusted Functional Data Analysis for Structural Health Monitoring

Structural Health Monitoring (SHM) is increasingly applied in civil engineering. One of its primary purposes is detecting and assessing changes in structure conditions to increase safety and reduce potential maintenance downtime. Recent advancements, especially in sensor technology, facilitate data measurements, collection, and process automation, leading to large data streams. We propose a function-on-function regression framework for (nonlinear) modeling the sensor data and adjusting for covariate-induced variation. Our approach is particularly suited for long-term monitoring when several months or years of training data are available. It combines highly flexible yet interpretable semi-parametric modeling with functional principal component analysis and uses the corresponding out-of-sample Phase-II scores for monitoring. The method proposed can also be described as a combination of an ``input-output'' and an ``output-only'' method.

stat.AP