SearcharxivSearch

arXiv subjects

Lorenzo Pompili

Publications and source records attributed to Lorenzo Pompili.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Enabling gravitational-wave astronomy with spin-precessing black holes on generic orbits

Binary black holes (BBHs) formed in dense stellar environments or in hierarchical triples can coalesce on eccentric orbits and carry spins of arbitrary orientation, leaving distinctive imprints on their gravitational-wave (GW) emission. We present SEOBNRv6EPHM: the first generic-orbit, spin-precessing model in the effective-one-body SEOBNR family, whose waveforms have underpinned LIGO-Virgo GW analyses since 2011. The model describes the dynamics and multipolar GW signal of generic BBHs, covering the inspiral-merger-ringdown of coalescing binaries and extending to dynamical captures and scattering encounters. We perform the first systematic accuracy assessment of a generic-orbit model against numerical relativity (NR) waveforms of spin-precessing BBHs, using 1437 quasi-circular (QC) and 87 eccentric simulations: median waveform mismatches remain below $1 \%$, matching the accuracy of the QC model SEOBNRv5PHM, and improving on the state-of-the-art generic-orbit model TEOBResumS-Dal\'i by a median factor of $ 4 $. The model also reproduces the non-perturbative phenomenology observed in NR simulations of generic-spin BBH scattering. It is $\sim 2 - 3$ times faster than SEOBNRv5PHM in the QC limit, and up to an order of magnitude faster than TEOBResumS-Dal\'i, bringing eccentric inference to the cost of current QC analyses. As a proof of principle, we analyze eleven GW events and focus on GW200129, strengthening its evidence for eccentricity $-$ a result supported by injection-recovery studies with synthetic NR signals of eccentric, spin-precessing BBHs. SEOBNRv6EPHM thus enables, for the first time, accurate and efficient GW analyses that jointly account for eccentricity and spin precession.

gr-qc

Joint inference of line-of-sight acceleration and orbital eccentricity in neutron-star--black-hole binaries

A line-of-sight acceleration (LOSA) of a compact-binary center of mass, imparted for example by a nearby tertiary perturber, imprints a Doppler modulation on the gravitational-wave signal and provides a single-event diagnostic of dynamical formation environments. Waveform-modeling systematics -- missing higher-order modes, spin precession, or orbital eccentricity -- can mimic or mask a non-zero LOSA, making waveform accuracy a leading concern for LOSA inference. We implement LOSA corrections directly in the time domain as a remap of the strain: the treatment applies uniformly to all mode content, spin precession, and orbital eccentricity, and integrates naturally with time-domain inspiral-merger-ringdown models that best capture these effects. We deploy it in the SEOBNRv6EHM (aligned-spin eccentric) and SEOBNRv5PHM (precessing quasi-circular) models, and validate the implementation on simulated signals; we find that SEOBNRv6EHM recovers LOSA correctly on both eccentric and spin-precessing injections, while SEOBNRv5PHM yields a spurious LOSA measurement on eccentric signals. Motivated by the eccentricity hints in the neutron-star--black-hole (NSBH) event GW200105_162426 and the favorable low-mass regime of these sources, we jointly infer LOSA and orbital eccentricity for the five NSBH events in the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA catalog, reporting the first LOSA constraints on three of them. All five events are consistent with a vanishing LOSA, $\Gamma \equiv a_\parallel/c = 0$; for GW200105_162426, the joint $(\Gamma, e)$ posterior nonetheless disfavors both $\Gamma$ and $e$ being zero simultaneously at 90% credibility, supporting the eccentricity hints reported in previous analyses.

gr-qc

Accurate waveforms for generic planar-orbit binary black holes: The multipolar effective-one-body model SEOBNRv6EHM

Accurate and computationally efficient waveform models are required to infer the parameters of compact binaries from their gravitational wave (GW) emission. Among these parameters, orbital eccentricity serves as a smoking gun for dynamical formation channels and must be accounted for to avoid systematic errors in GW analyses. Here, we present SEOBNRv6EHM, a time-domain, multipolar waveform model for binaries on generic planar orbits, calibrated to quasi-circular (QC) numerical-relativity (NR) simulations from the SXS collaboration. In addition to the dominant $(2,2)$ mode, the model provides the $(2,1)$, $(3,3)$, $(3,2)$, $(4,4)$, and $(4,3)$ multipoles for the full inspiral-merger-ringdown process of coalescing binaries, as well as for dynamical captures and scattering encounters. The model is built within the effective-one-body (EOB) framework, and it employs novel resummations of the radiation-reaction force and waveform modes. We validate its accuracy through comparisons against 592 QC, 319 eccentric, one dynamical-capture, and two scattering SXS NR waveforms, and through scattering-angle comparisons against 61 SXS NR simulations. For QC and small-eccentricity binaries, its accuracy is comparable to previous-generation SEOBNRv5 models. For highly eccentric systems, however, SEOBNRv6EHM attains unprecedented accuracy, with waveform mismatches remaining below or close to $ 2\% $ across the total mass range $ 20-200\, \mathrm{M}_\odot $ for eccentricities up to $\sim 0.9$ at 14 periastron passages before merger. Additionally, SEOBNRv6EHM achieves waveform-generation walltimes that are $ 2 - 6 $ times faster than other state-of-the-art EOB eccentric models, enabling efficient and accurate applications in GW astronomy.

gr-qc

Eccentric and unbound compact binaries in the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA catalog: parameter estimation and waveform systematics with SEOBNRv6EHM

Orbital eccentricity encodes key information about compact-binary formation channels and astrophysical environments, making it a critical target for gravitational-wave (GW) inference. We present parameter-estimation (PE) analyses of GWs from eccentric compact binaries with the SEOBNRv6EHM waveform model. Using long, highly eccentric numerical-relativity waveforms as synthetic signals, we compare parameter recovery across state-of-the-art eccentric models. We find that SEOBNRv5EHM and TEOBResumS-Dal\'i can yield biased estimates of eccentricity, masses, and spins in the most challenging configurations, while SEOBNRv6EHM significantly reduces these biases. Applying SEOBNRv6EHM to 26 GW events from the O1--O4 LIGO--Virgo--KAGRA observing runs -- including binary black hole, neutron-star--black-hole, and binary neutron-star mergers -- we identify five events with mild support for eccentricity over the quasi-circular precessing-spin hypothesis, with Bayes factors $\log_{10} \mathcal{B}^{\text{EAS}}_{\text{QCP}} > 0.5$. Since SEOBNRv6EHM is applicable to generic planar binaries, we reanalyze five high-mass events allowing for unbound initial conditions. For three of them -- including GW190521, previously claimed to originate from a dynamical capture -- a direct-capture configuration is comparable to, or marginally favored over, both the eccentric aligned-spin and quasi-circular precessing-spin hypotheses ($\log_{10}\mathcal{B}^{\rm unbound}_{\rm QCP} \approx 0.2$--$0.6$ for GW190521). The recovered configurations are, however, astrophysically unrealistic and cannot be confidently discriminated from highly eccentric bound orbits, so these results do not, by themselves, support an unbound origin for these events. SEOBNRv6EHM is approximately three times faster in PE analyses than SEOBNRv5EHM, while improving waveform accuracy, enabling efficient, large-scale GW inference with eccentric waveforms.

gr-qc

Waveform Modelling for the Laser Interferometer Space Antenna

LISA, the Laser Interferometer Space Antenna, will usher in a new era in gravitational-wave astronomy. As the first anticipated space-based gravitational-wave detector, it will expand our view to the millihertz gravitational-wave sky, where a spectacular variety of interesting new sources abound: from millions of ultra-compact binaries in our Galaxy, to mergers of massive black holes at cosmological distances; from the beginnings of inspirals that will venture into the ground-based detectors' view to the death spiral of compact objects into massive black holes, and many sources in between. Central to realising LISA's discovery potential are waveform models, the theoretical and phenomenological predictions of the pattern of gravitational waves that these sources emit. This white paper is presented on behalf of the Waveform Working Group for the LISA Consortium. It provides a review of the current state of waveform models for LISA sources, and describes the significant challenges that must yet be overcome.

gr-qc

Eccentricity constraints disfavor single-single capture in nuclear star clusters as the origin of all LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA binary black holes

Multiple formation pathways have been proposed for the origin of binary black holes (BBHs). These include isolated binary evolution and dynamical assembly in dense stellar environments such as nuclear or globular star clusters. Yet, the fraction of BBHs originating from each channel remains uncertain. One way to constrain this fraction is by investigating the orbital eccentricities of the BH coalescences detected by the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA (LVK) Collaboration. We analyze 84 BBHs from the first part of the fourth LVK observing run (O4a) using a multipolar, eccentric, aligned-spin effective-one-body waveform model. We perform parameter inference with neural posterior estimation and nested sampling. After incorporating astrophysical prior odds and comparing to the quasicircular precessing-spin hypothesis, we find that no candidates reach a high enough significance to claim a confident detection of eccentricity. We use these upper limits to explore a model, in which all O4a BBHs originate from single-single gravitational wave (GW) captures. We perform hierarchical inference on the velocity dispersion of the host environment of the BBHs and find $\sigma$ < 19.7 km/s (95% credible upper bound). This disfavors single-single capture in nuclear star clusters (approximately 20-200 km/s) as the dominant source of all observed BBH mergers. Our analysis also jointly infers the mass, spin and redshift distributions and takes into account selection effects due to using quasi-circular templates for BBH detection. Our results place improved constraints on the number of eccentric BBHs and highlight the importance of eccentricity measurements in disentangling compact-binary formation channels in current and future GW detectors.

astro-ph.HE

Adding equatorial-asymmetric effects for spin-precessing binaries into the SEOBNRv5PHM waveform model

Gravitational waves from spin-precessing binaries exhibit equatorial asymmetries absent in non-precessing systems, leading to net linear momentum emission and contributing to the remnant's recoil. This effect, recently incorporated into only a few waveform models, is crucial for accurate recoil predictions and improved parameter estimation. We present an upgrade to the SEOBNRv5PHM model -- SEOBNRv5PHM_w/asym -- which includes equatorial asymmetric contributions to the l=m<=4 waveform modes in the co-precessing frame. The model combines post-Newtonian inputs with calibrated amplitude and phase corrections and a phenomenological merger-ringdown description, tuned against 1523 quasi-circular spin-precessing numerical relativity waveforms and single-spin precessing test-body plunging-geodesic waveforms. We find that SEOBNRv5PHM_w/asym improves the agreement with NR waveforms across inclinations, with median unfaithfulness reduced by up to 50% compared to SEOBNRv5PHM, and achieves 30-60% lower unfaithfulness than IMRPhenomXPNR and 76-80% lower than TEOBResumS_Dali. The model significantly improves the prediction of the recoil velocity, reducing the median relative error with numerical relativity from 70% to 1%. Bayesian inference on synthetic injections demonstrates improved recovery of spin orientations and mass parameters, and a reanalysis of GW200129 shows a threefold increase in the spin-precessing Bayes factor, highlighting the importance of these effects for interpreting spin-precessing events.

gr-qc

Plunge-Merger-Ringdown Tests of General Relativity with GW250114

The binary black hole signal GW250114, the clearest gravitational wave detected to date, offers a unique opportunity to test general relativity in the relativistic strong-gravity regime. How well does GW250114 agree with Einstein's predictions in the plunge-merger-ringdown stage? To address this point, we constrain deviations from general relativity across the plunge-merger-ringdown stage of spin-precessing binaries with a parametrized waveform model within the effective-one-body formalism. We find that deviations from the peak gravitational-wave amplitude and instantaneous frequency of the $(\ell, |m|)=(2,2)$ mode are constrained to about $10\%$ and $4\%$, respectively, at $90\%$ credible level. These constraints are, respectively, two and four times more stringent than those obtained by analyzing GW150914. We also constrain, for the first time, the instantaneous frequency of the $(\ell, |m|)=(4,4)$ mode at merger to about $6\%$, and the time at which the gravitational-wave amplitude peaks to about $5~\mathrm{ms}$. These results are the most precise tests of general relativity in the nonlinear regime to date, and can be employed to constrain extensions of Einsten's theory.

gr-qc

Systematic Biases in Estimating the Properties of Black Holes Due to Inaccurate Gravitational-Wave Models

Gravitational-wave (GW) observations of binary black-hole (BBH) coalescences are expected to address outstanding questions in astrophysics, cosmology, and fundamental physics. Realizing the full discovery potential of upcoming LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA (LVK) observing runs and new ground-based facilities hinges on accurate waveform models. Using linear-signal approximation methods and Bayesian analysis, we start to assess our readiness for what lies ahead using two state-of-the-art quasi-circular, spin-precessing models: \texttt{SEOBNRv5PHM} and \texttt{IMRPhenomXPHM}. We ascertain that current waveforms can accurately recover the distribution of masses in the LVK astrophysical population, but not spins. We find that systematic biases increase with detector-frame total mass, binary asymmetry, and spin-precession, with most such binaries incurring parameter biases, extending up to redshifts $\sim3$ in future detectors. Furthermore, we examine three ``golden'' events characterized by large mass ratios, significant spin magnitudes, and high precession, evaluating how systematic biases may affect their scientific outcomes. Our findings reveal that current waveforms fail to enable the unbiased measurement of the Hubble-Lemaître parameter from loud signals, even for current detectors. Moreover, highly asymmetric systems within the lower BH mass-gap exhibit biased measurements of the secondary-companion mass, which impacts the physics of both neutron stars and formation channels. Similarly, we deduce that the primary mass of massive binaries ($ > 60 M_\odot$) will also be biased, affecting supernova physics. Future progress in analytical calculations and numerical-relativity simulations, crucial for calibrating the models, must target regions of the parameter space with significant biases to develop more accurate models. Only then can precision GW astronomy fulfill the promise it holds.

gr-qc

Accounting for numerical-relativity calibration uncertainty in gravitational-wave modeling and inference

The increasing sensitivity of current and upcoming gravitational-wave (GW) detectors poses stringent requirements on the accuracy of the GW models used for data analysis. If these requirements are not met, systematic errors could dominate over statistical uncertainties, hindering our ability to extract astrophysical and cosmological information, and conduct precise tests of General Relativity. In this work, we present a novel method to mitigate the impact of waveform-systematic errors, by incorporating and marginalizing over waveform-uncertainty estimates, which are modeled as probability distributions for the numerical-relativity calibration parameters of effective-one-body waveform models. By analyzing simulated GW signals of loud ``golden'' binary-black-hole systems, we show that our method significantly reduces biases in the recovered parameters, highlighting its potential to improve the robustness of GW parameter estimation with upcoming observing runs and next-generation ground-based facilities, such as the Einstein Telescope and Cosmic Explorer.

gr-qc

Accurate waveforms for eccentric, aligned-spin binary black holes: The multipolar effective-one-body model SEOBNRv5EHM

The measurement of orbital eccentricity in gravitational-wave (GW) signals will provide unique insights into the astrophysical origin of binary systems, while ignoring eccentricity in waveform models could introduce significant biases in parameter estimation and tests of General Relativity. Upcoming LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA observing runs are expected to detect a subpopulation of eccentric signals, making it vital to develop accurate waveform models for eccentric orbits. Here, employing recent analytical results through the third post-Newtonian order, we develop SEOBNRv5EHM: a new time-domain, effective-one-body, multipolar waveform model for eccentric binary black holes with spins aligned (or antialigned) with the orbital angular momentum. Besides the dominant (2,2) mode, the model includes the (2,1), (3,3), (3,2), (4,4) and (4,3) modes. We validate the model's accuracy by computing its unfaithfulness against 99 (28 public and 71 private) eccentric numerical-relativity (NR) simulations, produced by the Simulating eXtreme Spacetimes Collaboration. Importantly, for NR waveforms with initial GW eccentricities below 0.5, the maximum (2,2)-mode unfaithfulness across the total mass range 20-200 $M_\odot$ is consistently below or close to $1 \%$, with a median value of $ \sim 0.02 \% $, reflecting an accuracy improvement of approximately an order of magnitude compared to the previous-generation SEOBNRv4EHM and the state-of-the-art TEOBResumS-Dalí eccentric model. In the quasi-circular-orbit limit, SEOBNRv5EHM is in excellent agreement with the highly accurate SEOBNRv5HM model. The accuracy, robustness, and speed of SEOBNRv5EHM make it suitable for data analysis and astrophysical studies. We demonstrate this by performing a set of recovery studies of synthetic NR-signal injections, and parameter-estimation analyses of the events GW150914 and GW190521, which we find to have no eccentricity signatures.

gr-qc

Impact of eccentricity and mean anomaly in numerical relativity mergers

Accurate modelling of black hole binaries is critical to achieve the science goals of gravitational-wave detectors. Modelling such configurations relies strongly on calibration to numerical-relativity (NR) simulations. Binaries on quasi-circular orbits have been widely explored in NR, however, coverage of the broader 9-dimensional parameter space, including orbital eccentricity, remains sparse. This article develops a new procedure to control orbital eccentricity of binary black hole simulations that enables choosing initial data parameters with precise control over eccentricity and mean anomaly of the subsequent evolution, as well as the coalescence time. We then calculate several sequences of NR simulations that nearly uniformly cover the 2-dimensional eccentricity--mean anomaly space for equal mass, non-spinning binary black holes. We demonstrate that, for fixed eccentricity, many quantities related to the merger dynamics of binary black holes show an oscillatory dependence on mean anomaly. The amplitude of these oscillations scales nearly linearly with the eccentricity of the system. We find that for the eccentricities explored in this work, the magnitude of deviations in various quantities such as the merger amplitude and peak luminosity can approach $\sim5\%$ of their quasi-circular value. We use our findings to explain eccentric phenomena reported in other studies. We also show that methods for estimating the remnant mass employed in the effective-one-body approach exhibit similar deviations, roughly matching the amplitude of the oscillations we find in NR simulations. This work is an important step towards a complete description of eccentric binary black hole mergers, and demonstrates the importance of considering the entire 2-dimensional parameter subspace related to eccentricity.

gr-qc

Parametrized spin-precessing inspiral-merger-ringdown waveform model for tests of general relativity

The coalescence of binary black holes (BBHs) provides a unique arena to test general relativity (GR) in the dynamical, strong-field regime. To this end, we present pSEOBNRv5PHM, a parametrized, multipolar, spin-precessing waveform model for BBHs in quasicircular orbits, built within the effective-one-body formalism. Compared to its predecessor, pSEOBNRv4HM, our model introduces parametrized deviations from GR not only in the plunge-merger-ringdown stages, but also in the inspiral phase through modifications to the conservative dynamics. Additionally, it incorporates, for the first time, spin-precession effects. The free deviation parameters can be used to perform null tests of GR using current and future gravitational-wave observations. We validate pSEOBNRv5PHM through Bayesian parameter estimation, focusing on the quasinormal-mode frequency and damping time of the $(\ell,m,n) = (2,2,0)$ mode. Our analysis of synthetic signals from numerical-relativity (NR) simulations of highly precessing BH mergers shows that, while pSEOBNRv5PHM correctly recovers consistency with GR, neglecting spin precession can lead to false detections of deviations from GR even at current detector sensitivity. Conversely, when analyzing a synthetic signal from a NR simulation of a binary boson-star merger, the model successfully identifies a deviation from a GR BBH signal. Finally, we reanalyze 12 events from the third Gravitational-Wave Transient Catalog. Using a hierarchical combination of these events, we constrain fractional deviations in the frequency and damping time of the $(2,2,0)$ quasinormal-mode to $δf_{220}=0.00_{-0.06}^{+0.06}$ and $δτ_{220}=0.15_{-0.24}^{+0.26}$ at 90% credibility. These results are consistent with those from the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA Collaboration, which did not account for spin-precession effects.

gr-qc

Black hole spectroscopy: from theory to experiment

The "ringdown" radiation emitted by oscillating black holes has great scientific potential. By carefully predicting the frequencies and amplitudes of black hole quasinormal modes and comparing them with gravitational-wave data from compact binary mergers we can advance our understanding of the two-body problem in general relativity, verify the predictions of the theory in the regime of strong and dynamical gravitational fields, and search for physics beyond the Standard Model or new gravitational degrees of freedom. We summarize the state of the art in our understanding of black hole quasinormal modes in general relativity and modified gravity, their excitation, and the modeling of ringdown waveforms. We also review the status of LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA ringdown observations, data analysis techniques, and the bright prospects of the field in the era of LISA and next-generation ground-based gravitational-wave detectors.

gr-qc

Possible Causes of False General Relativity Violations in Gravitational Wave Observations

General relativity (GR) has proven to be a highly successful theory of gravity since its inception. The theory has thrivingly passed numerous experimental tests, predominantly in weak gravity, low relative speeds, and linear regimes, but also in the strong-field and very low-speed regimes with binary pulsars. Observable gravitational waves (GWs) originate from regions of spacetime where gravity is extremely strong, making them a unique tool for testing GR, in previously inaccessible regions of large curvature, relativistic speeds, and strong gravity. Since their first detection, GWs have been extensively used to test GR, but no deviations have been found so far. Given GR's tremendous success in explaining current astronomical observations and laboratory experiments, accepting any deviation from it requires a very high level of statistical confidence and consistency of the deviation across GW sources. In this paper, we compile a comprehensive list of potential causes that can lead to a false identification of a GR violation in standard tests of GR on data from current and future ground-based GW detectors. These causes include detector noise, signal overlaps, gaps in the data, detector calibration, source model inaccuracy, missing physics in the source and in the underlying environment model, source misidentification, and mismodeling of the astrophysical population. We also provide a rough estimate of when each of these causes will become important for tests of GR for different detector sensitivities. We argue that each of these causes should be thoroughly investigated, quantified, and ruled out before claiming a GR violation in GW observations.

gr-qc

On the Bäcklund transform and the stability of the line soliton of the KP-II equation on $\mathbb R^2$

We study the Miura map of the KP-II equation on $\mathbb R^2$ and the resulting Bäcklund transform, which adds a line soliton to a given solution. This work aims to develop a complementary approach to T. Mizumachi's method for the $L^2$-stability of the line soliton, which the potential for generalization to multisolitons. We construct the Bäcklund transform by classifying solutions of the Miura map equation close to a modulated kink; this translates into studying eternal solutions of the forced viscous Burgers' equation under distinct boundary conditions at $\pm\infty$. We then show that its range, when intersected with a small ball in $|D_x|^{1/2} L^2(\mathbb R^2)\cap L^2(\mathbb R^2)\cap \langle{y}\rangle^{0-}\!L^1(\mathbb R^2)$, forms a codimension-1 manifold. We prove codimension-1 $L^2$-stability of the line soliton in the aforementioned weighted space as a corollary, providing the first stability result at sharp regularity. The codimension-1 condition in the range of the Bäcklund transform is an intrinsic property, and we conjecture that it corresponds to a known long time behavior of perturbed line solitons. The stability is expected to hold without this condition, as in Mizumachi's works. Finally, we show the construction of a multisoliton addition map for $(k,1)$-multisolitons, $k\geq 1$.

math.AP

Post-Minkowskian Theory Meets the Spinning Effective-One-Body Approach for Bound-Orbit Waveforms

Driven by advances in scattering amplitudes and worldline-based methods, recent years have seen significant progress in our ability to calculate gravitational two-body scattering observables. These observables effectively encapsulate the gravitational two-body problem in the weak-field and high-velocity regime (post-Minkowskian, PM), with applications to the bound two-body problem and gravitational-wave modeling. We leverage PM data to construct a complete inspiral-merger-ringdown waveform model for non-precessing spinning black holes within the effective-one-body (EOB) formalism: SEOBNR-PM. This model is closely based on the highly successful SEOBNRv5 model, used by the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA Collaboration, with its key new feature being an EOB Hamiltonian derived by matching the two-body scattering angle in a perturbative PM expansion. The model performs remarkably well, showing a median mismatch against 441 numerical-relativity (NR) simulations that is somewhat lower than a similarly calibrated version of SEOBNRv5. Comparisons of the binding energy with NR also demonstrate better agreement than SEOBNRv5, despite the latter containing additional calibration to NR simulations.

gr-qc

Measuring source properties and quasi-normal-mode frequencies of heavy massive black-hole binaries with LISA

The laser-interferometer space antenna (LISA) will be launched in the mid 2030s. It promises to observe the coalescence of massive black-hole (BH) binaries with signal-to-noise ratios (SNRs) reaching thousands. Crucially, it will detect some of these binaries with high SNR both in the inspiral and the merger-ringdown stages. Such signals are ideal for tests of General Relativity (GR) using information from the whole waveform. Here, we consider astrophysically motivated binary systems at the high-mass end of the population observable by LISA, and simulate their signals using the newly developed multipolar effective-one-body model: \texttt{pSEOBNRv5HM}. The merger-ringdown signal in this model depends on the binary properties, and also on parameters that describe fractional deviations from the GR quasi-normal-mode (complex) frequencies of the remnant BH. Performing full Bayesian analyses, we assess to which accuracy LISA will be able to constrain deviations from GR in the ringdown signal when using information from the whole signal. We find that these deviations can typically be constrained to within $10\%$ and in the best cases to within $1\%$. We also show that with this model we can measure the binary masses and spins with great accuracy even for very massive BH systems with low SNR in the inspiral. We also probe the accuracy of the \texttt{SEOBNRv5HM} waveform family by performing synthetic injections of GR numerical-relativity waveforms. Using a novel method that we develop here to quantify the impact of systematic errors, we show that already for sources with SNR $\mathcal{O}(100)$, we would measure erroneous deviations from GR due to waveform model inaccuracies. One of the main sources of error is the mismodelling of the relative alignment between harmonics. Our results confirm the need for improving waveform models to perform tests of GR with high SNR binary BHs observed by LISA.

gr-qc