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Luka C. Popovic

Publications and source records attributed to Luka C. Popovic.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

AGN STORM 2. XII. Ground-Based Optical Photometry and Lag Measurements of Mrk 817

We present the ground-based imaging campaign and light curves of Markarian 817 as part of the multiwavelength monitoring program AGN STORM\,2. Observations were carried out over 1.4 years in \emph{uBgVriz} filters, with a median cadence of 0.4 days in \emph{g}. Reverberation lags are measured using three methods (ICCF, JAVELIN, and PyROA) with the Swift UVW2 band (1928 Å) as the reference light curve. The ICCF centroid lags range from $3.0\pm0.8$ days for the $u$ band up to $7.9\pm1.5$ days for $z$, and are consistent with a $τ\propto λ^{4/3}$ dependence, the relation expected for lamp-post reprocessing by a Shakura-Sunyaev disk. Lags measured with the other methods are systematically shorter, and deviate from a $λ^{4/3}$ power-law spectrum at long wavelengths. The lags exceed thin-disk reprocessing predictions by factors of $\sim$3-6, similar to the ``disk size discrepancy'' seen in other Seyfert galaxies. We divide the campaign into three epochs with different levels of mean luminosity and X-ray obscuring column density and find that the lags vary by as much as a factor of 2 between epochs. The intrinsic spectral energy distribution is bluer and brighter during the first third of the campaign, and the longest continuum reverberation lags are obtained during that period. These results suggest that changes in ionizing luminosity can produce large variations in continuum lags on short timescales by altering the diffuse continuum luminosity emitted by the broad-line region and/or obscuring outflow, although changes in obscuration between the central engine and broad-line region may also contribute to the lag variations.

astro-ph.GA

AGN STORM 2: X. The origin of the interband continuum delays in Mrk 817

The local (z=0.0315) AGN Mrk 817, was monitored over more than 500 days with space-borne and ground-based instruments as part of a large international campaign AGN STORM 2. Here, we present a comprehensive analysis of the broad-band continuum variations using detailed modeling of the broad line region (BLR), several types of disk winds classified by their optical depth, and new numerical simulations. We find that diffuse continuum (DC) emission, with additional contributions from strong and broad emission lines, can explain the continuum lags observed in this source during high and low luminosity phases. Disk illumination by the variable X-ray corona contributes only a small fraction of the observed continuum lags. Our BLR models assume radiation pressure-confined clouds distributed over a distance of 2-122 light days. We present calculated mean-emissivity radii of many emission lines, and DC emission, and suggest a simple, transfer-function-dependent method that ties them to cross-correlation lag determinations. We do not find clear indications for large optical depth winds but identify the signature of lower column density winds. In particular, we associate the shortest observed continuum lags with a combination of tau(1 Ryd) approx. 2 wind and a partly shielded BLR. Even smaller optical depth winds may be associated with X-ray absorption features and with noticeable variations in the width and lags of several high ionization lines like HeII and CIV. Finally, we demonstrate the effect of torus dust emission on the observed lags in the i and z bands.

astro-ph.GA

AGN STORM 2: VIII. Investigating the Narrow Absorption Lines in Mrk 817 Using HST-COS Observations

We observed the Seyfert 1 galaxy Mrk817 during an intensive multi-wavelength reverberation mapping campaign for 16 months. Here, we examine the behavior of narrow UV absorption lines seen in HST/COS spectra, both during the campaign and in other epochs extending over 14 years. We conclude that while the narrow absorption outflow system (at -3750 km/s with FWHM=177 km/s) responds to the variations of the UV continuum as modified by the X-ray obscurer, its total column density (logNH =19.5 cm-2) did not change across all epochs. The adjusted ionization parameter (scaled with respect to the variations in the Hydrogen ionizing continuum flux) is log UH =-1.0. The outflow is located at a distance smaller than 38 parsecs from the central source, which implies a hydrogen density of nH > 3000 cm-3. The absorption outflow system only covers the continuum emission source and not the broad emission line region, which suggests that its transverse size is small (< 1e16 cm), with potential cloud geometries ranging from spherical to elongated along the line of sight.

astro-ph.GA

Bayesian synthesis of astrometric wobble and total light curves in close binary supermassive black holes

We test the potential of Bayesian synthesis of upcoming multi-instrument data to extract orbital parameters and individual light curves of close binary supermassive black holes (CB-SMBH) with subparsec separations. Next generation (ng) interferometers, will make possible the observation of astrometric wobbles in CB-SMBH. Combining them with periodic variable time-domain data from surveys like the Vera C. Rubin Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST), allows for a more information on CB-SMBH candidates compared to standalone observational methods. Our method reliably determines binary parameters and component fluxes from binary total flux across long-term, intermediate and short-term binary dynamics and observational configurations, assuming ten annual observations, even in short period "q-accrete" objects. Expected CB-SMBH astrometric wobbles constructed from binary dynamical parameters, might serve in refining observational strategies for CB-SMBH. Combination of inferred mass ratio, light curves of binary components, and observed photocenter wobbles can be a proxy for the activity states of CB-SMBH components.

astro-ph.IM

AGN STORM 2: V. Anomalous Behavior of the CIV Light Curve in Mrk 817

An intensive reverberation mapping campaign on the Seyfert 1 galaxy Mrk817 using the Cosmic Origins Spectrograph (COS) on the Hubble Space Telescope (HST) revealed significant variations in the response of the broad UV emission lines to fluctuations in the continuum emission. The response of the prominent UV emission lines changes over a $\sim$60-day duration, resulting in distinctly different time lags in the various segments of the light curve over the 14 months observing campaign. One-dimensional echo-mapping models fit these variations if a slowly varying background is included for each emission line. These variations are more evident in the CIV light curve, which is the line least affected by intrinsic absorption in Mrk817 and least blended with neighboring emission lines. We identify five temporal windows with distinct emission line response, and measure their corresponding time delays, which range from 2 to 13 days. These temporal windows are plausibly linked to changes in the UV and X-ray obscuration occurring during these same intervals. The shortest time lags occur during periods with diminishing obscuration, whereas the longest lags occur during periods with rising obscuration. We propose that the obscuring outflow shields the ultraviolet broad lines from the ionizing continuum. The resulting change in the spectral energy distribution of the ionizing continuum, as seen by clouds at a range of distances from the nucleus, is responsible for the changes in the line response.

astro-ph.GA

AGN STORM 2. VI. Mapping Temperature Fluctuations in the Accretion Disk of Mrk 817

We fit the UV/optical lightcurves of the Seyfert 1 galaxy Mrk 817 to produce maps of the accretion disk temperature fluctuations $δT$ resolved in time and radius. The $δT$ maps are dominated by coherent radial structures that move slowly ($v \ll c$) inwards and outwards, which conflicts with the idea that disk variability is driven only by reverberation. Instead, these slow-moving temperature fluctuations are likely due to variability intrinsic to the disk. We test how modifying the input lightcurves by smoothing and subtracting them changes the resulting $δT$ maps and find that most of the temperature fluctuations exist over relatively long timescales ($\sim$100s of days). We show how detrending AGN lightcurves can be used to separate the flux variations driven by the slow-moving temperature fluctuations from those driven by reverberation. We also simulate contamination of the continuum emission from the disk by continuum emission from the broad line region (BLR), which is expected to have spectral features localized in wavelength, such as the Balmer break contaminating the $U$ band. We find that a disk with a smooth temperature profile cannot produce a signal localized in wavelength and that any BLR contamination should appear as residuals in our model lightcurves. Given the observed residuals, we estimate that only $\sim$20% of the variable flux in the $U$ and $u$ lightcurves can be due to BLR contamination. Finally, we discus how these maps not only describe the data, but can make predictions about other aspects of AGN variability.

astro-ph.HE

AGN STORM 2. IV. Swift X-ray and ultraviolet/optical monitoring of Mrk 817

The AGN STORM 2 campaign is a large, multiwavelength reverberation mapping project designed to trace out the structure of Mrk 817 from the inner accretion disk to the broad emission line region and out to the dusty torus. As part of this campaign, Swift performed daily monitoring of Mrk 817 for approximately 15 months, obtaining observations in X-rays and six UV/optical filters. The X-ray monitoring shows that Mrk 817 was in a significantly fainter state than in previous observations, with only a brief flare where it reached prior flux levels. The X-ray spectrum is heavily obscured. The UV/optical light curves show significant variability throughout the campaign and are well correlated with one another, but uncorrelated with the X-rays. Combining the Swift UV/optical light curves with Hubble UV continuum light curves, we measure interband continuum lags, $τ(λ)$, that increase with increasing wavelength roughly following $τ(λ) \propto λ^{4/3}$, the dependence expected for a geometrically thin, optically thick, centrally illuminated disk. Modeling of the light curves reveals a period at the beginning of the campaign where the response of the continuum is suppressed compared to later in the light curve - the light curves are not simple shifted and scaled versions of each other. The interval of suppressed response corresponds to a period of high UV line and X-ray absorption, and reduced emission line variability amplitudes. We suggest that this indicates a significant contribution to the continuum from the broad line region gas that sees an absorbed ionizing continuum.

astro-ph.HE

The LSST AGN Data Challenge: Selection methods

Development of the Rubin Observatory Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) includes a series of Data Challenges (DC) arranged by various LSST Scientific Collaborations (SC) that are taking place during the projects preoperational phase. The AGN Science Collaboration Data Challenge (AGNSCDC) is a partial prototype of the expected LSST AGN data, aimed at validating machine learning approaches for AGN selection and characterization in large surveys like LSST. The AGNSC-DC took part in 2021 focusing on accuracy, robustness, and scalability. The training and the blinded datasets were constructed to mimic the future LSST release catalogs using the data from the Sloan Digital Sky Survey Stripe 82 region and the XMM-Newton Large Scale Structure Survey region. Data features were divided into astrometry, photometry, color, morphology, redshift and class label with the addition of variability features and images. We present the results of four DC submitted solutions using both classical and machine learning methods. We systematically test the performance of supervised (support vector machine, random forest, extreme gradient boosting, artificial neural network, convolutional neural network) and unsupervised (deep embedding clustering) models when applied to the problem of classifying/clustering sources as stars, galaxies or AGNs. We obtained classification accuracy 97.5% for supervised and clustering accuracy 96.0% for unsupervised models and 95.0% with a classic approach for a blinded dataset. We find that variability features significantly improve the accuracy of the trained models and correlation analysis among different bands enables a fast and inexpensive first order selection of quasar candidates

astro-ph.GA

Fantastic Fits with fantasy of Active Galactic Nuclei Spectra -- Exploring the Fe II emission near the H$α$ line

In this study, a refined approach for multicomponent fitting of active galactic nuclei (AGN) spectra is presented utilizing the newly developed Python code $fantasy$ (fully automated python tool for AGN spectra analysis). AGN spectra are modeled by simultaneously considering the underlying broken power-law continuum, predefined emission line lists, and an Fe II model, which is here extended to cover the wavelength range 3700 - 11000 A. The Fe II model, founded solely on atomic data, effectively describes the extensive emission of the complex iron ion in the vicinity of the H$γ$ and H$β$ lines, as well as near the H$α$ line, which was previously rarely studied. The proposed spectral fitting approach is tested on a sample of high-quality AGN spectra from the Sloan Digital Sky Survey (SDSS) Data Release 17. The results indicate that when Fe II emission is present near H$β$, it is also detected redward from H$α$, potentially contaminating the broad H$α$ line wings and thus affecting the measurements of its flux and width. The production of Fe II emission is found to be strongly correlated with Eddington luminosity and appears to be controlled by the similar mechanism as the hydrogen Balmer lines. The study highlights the benefits of fitting AGN type 1 spectra with the $fantasy$ code, pointing that it may be used as a robust tool for analyzing a large number of AGN spectra in the coming spectral surveys.

astro-ph.GA

Expectations for time-delay measurements in active galactic nuclei with the Vera Rubin Observatory

The Vera Rubin Observatory will provide an unprecedented set of time-dependent observations of the sky. The planned Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) operating for 10 years will provide dense lightcurves for thousands of active galactic nuclei (AGN) in Deep Drilling Fields (DDFs) and less dense lightcurves for millions of AGN. We model the prospects for measuring time delays for emission lines with respect to the continuum, using these data. We model the artificial lightcurves using Timmer-Koenig algorithm, we use the exemplary cadence to sample them, we supplement lightcurves with the expected contamination by the strong emission lines (Hbeta, Mg II and CIV as well as with Fe II pseudo-continuum and the starlight). We choose the suitable photometric bands appropriate for the redshift and compare the assumed line time delay with the recovered time delay for 100 statistical realizations of the light curves. We show that time delays for emission lines can be well measured from the Main Survey for the bright tail of the quasar distribution (about 15% of all sources) with the accuracy within 1 sigma error, for DDFs results for fainter quasars are also reliable when all 10 years of data are used. There are also some prospects to measure the time delays for the faintest quasars at the smallest redshifts from the first two years of data, and eventually even from the first season. The entire quasar population will allow obtaining results of apparently high accuracy but in our simulations, we see a systematic offset between the assumed and recovered time delay depending on the redshift and source luminosity which will not disappear even in the case of large statistics. Such a problem might affect the slope of the radius-luminosity relation and cosmological applications of quasars if simulations correcting for such effects are not performed.

astro-ph.GA

Deep learning of quasar lightcurves in the LSST era

Deep learning techniques are required for the analysis of synoptic (multi-band and multi-epoch) light curves in massive data of quasars, as expected from the Vera C. Rubin Observatory Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST). In this follow-up study, we introduced an upgraded version of a conditional neural process (CNP) embedded in a multistep approach for analysis of large data of quasars in the LSST Active Galactic Nuclei Scientific Collaboration data challenge database. We present a case study of a stratified set of the u-band light curves for 283 quasars with very low variability $\sim 0.03$. In this sample, CNP average mean square error is found to be $\sim 5\% $($\sim 0.5$ mag). Interestingly, beside similar level of variability there are indications that individual light curves show flare like features. According to preliminary structure function analysis, these occurrences may be associated to microlensing events with larger time scales $5-10$ years.

astro-ph.IM

AGN STORM 2. III. A NICER view of the variable X-ray obscurer in Mrk 817

The AGN STORM 2 collaboration targeted the Seyfert 1 galaxy Mrk 817 for a year-long multiwavelength, coordinated reverberation mapping campaign including HST, Swift, XMM-Newton, NICER, and ground-based observatories. Early observations with NICER and XMM revealed an X-ray state ten times fainter than historical observations, consistent with the presence of a new dust-free, ionized obscurer. The following analysis of NICER spectra attributes variability in the observed X-ray flux to changes in both the column density of the obscurer by at least one order of magnitude ($N_\mathrm{H}$ ranges from $2.85\substack{+0.48\\ -0.33} \times 10^{22}\text{ cm}^{-2}$ to $25.6\substack{+3.0\\ -3.5} \times 10^{22} \text{ cm}^{-2}$) and the intrinsic continuum brightness (the unobscured flux ranges from $10^{-11.8}$ to $10^{-10.5}$ erg s$^{-1}$ cm$^{-2}$ ). While the X-ray flux generally remains in a faint state, there is one large flare during which Mrk 817 returns to its historical mean flux. The obscuring gas is still present at lower column density during the flare but it also becomes highly ionized, increasing its transparency. Correlation between the column density of the X-ray obscurer and the strength of UV broad absorption lines suggests that the X-ray and UV continua are both affected by the same obscuration, consistent with a clumpy disk wind launched from the inner broad line region.

astro-ph.HE

AGN STORM 2: II. Ultraviolet Observations of Mrk817 with the Cosmic Origins Spectrograph on the Hubble Space Telescope

We present reverberation mapping measurements for the prominent ultraviolet broad emission lines of the active galactic nucleus Mrk817 using 165 spectra obtained with the Cosmic Origins Spectrograph on the Hubble Space Telescope. Our ultraviolet observations are accompanied by X-ray, optical, and near-infrared observations as part of the AGN Space Telescope and Optical Reverberation Mapping Program 2 (AGN STORM 2). Using the cross-correlation lag analysis method, we find significant correlated variations in the continuum and emission-line light curves. We measure rest-frame delayed responses between the far-ultraviolet continuum at 1180 A and Ly$α$ $\lambda1215$ A ($10.4_{-1.4}^{+1.6}$ days), N V $\lambda1240$ A ($15.5_{-4.8}^{+1.0}$days), SiIV + OIV] $\lambda1397$ A ($8.2_{-1.4}^{+1.4}$ days), CIV $\lambda1549$ A ($11.8_{-2.8}^{+3.0}$ days), and HeII $\lambda1640$ A ($9.0_{-1.9}^{+4.5}$ days) using segments of the emission-line profile that are unaffected by absorption and blending, which results in sampling different velocity ranges for each line. However, we find that the emission-line responses to continuum variations are more complex than a simple smoothed, shifted, and scaled version of the continuum light curve. We also measure velocity-resolved lags for the Ly$α$, and CIV emission lines. The lag profile in the blue wing of Ly$α$ is consistent with virial motion, with longer lags dominating at lower velocities, and shorter lags at higher velocities. The CIV lag profile shows the signature of a thick rotating disk, with the shortest lags in the wings, local peaks at $\pm$ 1500 $\rm km\,s^{-1}$, and a local minimum at line center. The other emission lines are dominated by broad absorption lines and blending with adjacent emission lines. These require detailed models, and will be presented in future work.

astro-ph.GA

2D Hybrid method:Case of VLF signal amplitude variations in the time vicinity of an earthquake

Extraction of information in the form of oscillations from noisy data of natural phenomena such as sounds, earthquakes, ionospheric and brain activity, and various emissions from cosmic objects is extremely difficult. As a method for finding periodicity in such challenging data sets, the 2D Hybrid approach, which employs wavelets, is presented. Our technique produces a wavelet transform correlation intensity contour map for two (or one) time series on a period plane defined by two independent period axes. Notably, by spreading peaks across the second dimension, our method improves apparent resolution of detected oscillations in the period plane and identifies the direction of signal changes using correlation coefficients. We demonstrate the performance of the 2D Hybrid technique on a very low frequency (VLF) signal emitted in Italy and recorded in Serbia in time vicinity of the occurrence of an earthquake on November 3, 2010, near Kraljevo, Serbia. We identified a distinct signal in the range 120-130 s that appears only in association with the considered earthquake. Other wavelets, such as Superlets, which may detect fast transient oscillations, will be employed in the future analysis.

physics.geo-ph

The LSST era of supermassive black holes accretion-disk reverberation mapping

The Vera C. Rubin Observatory Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) will detect an unprecedentedly large sample of actively accreting supermassive black holes with typical accretion disk (AD) sizes of a few light days. This brings us to face challenges in the reverberation mapping (RM) measurement of AD sizes in active galactic nuclei (AGNs) using interband continuum delays. We examine the effect of LSST cadence strategies on AD RM using our metric AGNTimeLagMetric. It accounts for redshift, cadence, the magnitude limit, and magnitude corrections for dust extinction. Running our metric on different LSST cadence strategies, we produce an atlas of the performance estimations for LSST photometric RM measurements. We provide an upper limit on the estimated number of quasars for which the AD time lag can be computed within 0 1000 sources in each Deep Drilling field (DDF, 10 sq. deg) in any filter, with the redshift distribution of these sources peaking at z~1. We find the LSST observation strategies with a good cadence (~ 5 days) and a long cumulative season (~9 yr), as proposed for LSST DDF, are favored for the AD size measurement. We create synthetic LSST light curves for the most suitable DDF cadences and determine RM time lags to demonstrate the impact of the best cadences based on the proposed metric.

astro-ph.IM

Detection of eccentric close-binary supermassive black holes with incomplete interferometric data

Recent studies have proposed that GRAVITY+ instrument is able to trace the circular orbit of the subparsec close-binary supermassive black holes (CB-SMBHs) by measuring the photocentre variation of the hot dust emission. However, the CB-SMBHs orbit may become highly eccentric throughout the evolution of these objects, and the orbital period may be far longer than the observational time baseline. We investigate the problem of detecting the CB-SMBH with hot dust emission and high eccentricity (eCBSMBH, e=0.5) when the observed time baselines of their astrometric data and radial velocities are considerably shorter than the orbital period. The parameter space of the Keplerian model of the eCBSMBH is large for exploratory purposes. We therefore applied the Bayesian method to fit orbital elements of the eCBSMBH to combined radial velocity and astrometric data covering a small fraction of the orbital period. We estimate that a number of potential eCBSMBH systems within reach of GRAVITY + will be similar to the number of the planned circular targets. We show that using observational time baselines that cover ~ 10% of the orbit increases the possibility of determining the period, eccentricity, and total mass of an eCBSMBH. When the observational time baseline becomes too short (~ 5%), the quality of the retrieved eCBSMBH parameters degrades. We also illustrate how interferometry may be used to estimate the photo-centre at the eCBSMBH emission line, which could be relevant for GRAVITY+ successors. Even if the astrometric signal for eCBSMBH systems is reduced by a factor of sqrt{1-e^{2}} compared to circular ones, we find that the hot dust emission of eCBSMBHs can be traced by GRAVITY+ at the elementary level.

astro-ph.GA

Tracing the outflow kinematics in Type 2 Active Galactic Nuclei

We have used the sample of 577 active galactic nuclei Type 1.8-2 spectra (z < 0.25), taken from Sloan Digital Sky Survey, to trace the influence of the outflow kinematics to the profiles of different emission lines (Hbeta, [O III], Halpha, [N II], [S II]). All considered lines were fitted with two Gaussian components: one which fits the core of the line, and another which fits the wings. We gave the procedure for decomposition of Halpha+[N II] wavelength band, for the spectra where these lines overlap. The influence of the gravitational/non-gravitational kinematics to the line components is investigated by comparing the dispersions of the line components with stellar velocity dispersion. We found that wing components of all considered emission lines have pure non-gravitational kinematics, the core components are consistent with gravitational kinematics for the Halpha, [N II] and [S II] lines, while in the [O III] there is evidence for contribution from non-gravitational kinematics. We adopted the wing components as proxy of the outflow contribution and we investigated the outflow kinematics by analysing the correlations between widths and between shifts of the wing components of different lines. We found the strong correlations between shifts and between wing component widths of all considered lines, with exception of the Hbeta wing component width. These correlations indicate that outflow dynamics systemically affects all emission lines in spectrum. However, it reflects with different strength in their profiles, which is observed as different widths of the wing components. The strongest outflow signature is observed in the [O III] lines, which have the broadest wing components, weaker in Halpha and [N II], and the weakest in [S II]. These results imply that considered lines arise in different parts of an outflowing region.

astro-ph.GA

Photoreverberation mapping of quasars in the context of LSST observing strategies

The upcoming photometric surveys, such as the Rubin Observatory's Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) will monitor unprecedented number of active galactic nuclei (AGN) in a decade long campaign. Motivated by the science goals of LSST, which includes the harnessing of broadband light curves of AGN for photometric reverberation mapping (PhotoRM), we implement the existing formalism to estimate the lagged response of the emission line flux to the continuum variability using only mutli-band photometric light curves. We test the PhotoRM method on a set of 19 artificial light curves simulated using a stochastic model based on the Damped Random Walk process. These light curves are sampled using different observing strategies, including the two proposed by the LSST, in order to compare the accuracy of time-lag retrieval based on different observing cadences. Additionally, we apply the same procedure for time-lag retrieval to the observed photometric light curves of NGC 4395, and compare our results to the existing literature.

astro-ph.GA