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Marko Simonović

Publications and source records attributed to Marko Simonović.

At least 37 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

Constraining Early Dark Energy with Large-Scale Structure

An axion-like field comprising $\sim 10\%$ of the energy density of the universe near matter-radiation equality is a candidate to resolve the Hubble tension; this is the "early dark energy" (EDE) model. However, as shown in Hill et al. (2020), the model fails to simultaneously resolve the Hubble tension and maintain a good fit to both cosmic microwave background (CMB) and large-scale structure (LSS) data. Here, we use redshift-space galaxy clustering data to sharpen constraints on the EDE model. We perform the first EDE analysis using the full-shape power spectrum likelihood from the Baryon Oscillation Spectroscopic Survey (BOSS), based on the effective field theory (EFT) of LSS. The inclusion of this likelihood in the EDE analysis yields a $25\%$ tighter error bar on $H_0$ compared to primary CMB data alone, yielding $H_0 = 68.54^{+0.52}_{-0.95}$ km/s/Mpc ($68\%$ CL). In addition, we constrain the maximum fractional energy density contribution of the EDE to $f_{\rm EDE} < 0.072$ ($95\%$ CL). We explicitly demonstrate that the EFT BOSS likelihood yields much stronger constraints on EDE than the standard BOSS likelihood. Including further information from photometric LSS surveys,the constraints narrow by an additional $20\%$, yielding $H_0 = 68.73^{+0.42}_{-0.69}$ km/s/Mpc ($68\%$ CL) and $f_{\rm EDE}<0.053$ ($95\%$ CL). These bounds are obtained without including local-universe $H_0$ data, which is in strong tension with the CMB and LSS, even in the EDE model. We also refute claims that MCMC analyses of EDE that omit SH0ES from the combined dataset yield misleading posteriors. Finally, we demonstrate that upcoming Euclid/DESI-like spectroscopic galaxy surveys can greatly improve the EDE constraints. We conclude that current data preclude the EDE model as a resolution of the Hubble tension, and that future LSS surveys can close the remaining parameter space of this model.

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Non-linear perturbation theory extension of the Boltzmann code CLASS

We present a new open-source code that calculates one-loop power auto- and cross-power spectra for matter fields and biased tracers in real and redshift space. These spectra incorporate all ingredients required for a direct application to data: non-linear bias, redshift-space distortions, infra-red resummation, counterterms, and the Alcock-Paczynski effect. Our code is based on the Boltzmann solver CLASS and inherits its advantage: user friendliness, ease of modification, high speed, and simple interface with other software. We present detailed descriptions of the theoretical model, the code structure, approximations, and accuracy tests. A typical end-to-end run for one cosmology takes $\sim 0.3$ seconds, which is sufficient for Markov Chain Monte Carlo parameter extraction. As an example, we apply the code to data from the Baryon Oscillation Spectroscopic Survey (BOSS) and infer cosmological parameters from the shape of the galaxy power spectrum.

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Cosmological Parameters from the BOSS Galaxy Power Spectrum

We present cosmological parameter measurements from the publicly available Baryon Oscillation Spectroscopic Survey (BOSS) data on anisotropic galaxy clustering in Fourier space. Compared to previous studies, our analysis has two main novel features. First, we use a complete perturbation theory model that properly takes into account the non-linear effects of dark matter clustering, short-scale physics, galaxy bias, redshift-space distortions, and large-scale bulk flows. Second, we employ a Markov-Chain Monte-Carlo technique and consistently reevaluate the full power spectrum likelihood as we scan over different cosmologies. Our baseline analysis assumes minimal $Λ$CDM, varies the neutrino masses within a reasonably tight range, fixes the primordial power spectrum tilt, and uses the big bang nucleosynthesis prior on the physical baryon density $ω_b$. In this setup, we find the following late-Universe parameters: Hubble constant $H_0=(67.9\pm 1.1)$ km$\,$s$^{-1}$Mpc$^{-1}$, matter density fraction $Ω_m=0.295\pm 0.010$, and the mass fluctuation amplitude $σ_8=0.721\pm 0.043$. These parameters were measured directly from the BOSS data and independently of the Planck cosmic microwave background observations. Scanning over the power spectrum tilt or relaxing the other priors do not significantly alter our main conclusions. Finally, we discuss the information content of the BOSS power spectrum and show that it is dominated by the location of the baryon acoustic oscillations and the power spectrum shape. We argue that the contribution of the Alcock-Paczynski effect is marginal in $Λ$CDM, but becomes important for non-minimal cosmological models.

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Combining Full-Shape and BAO Analyses of Galaxy Power Spectra: A 1.6% CMB-independent constraint on H0

We present cosmological constraints from a joint analysis of the pre- and post-reconstruction galaxy power spectrum multipoles from the final data release of the Baryon Oscillation Spectroscopic Survey (BOSS). Geometric constraints are obtained from the positions of BAO peaks in reconstructed spectra, analyzed in combination with the unreconstructed spectra in a full-shape (FS) likelihood using a joint covariance matrix, giving stronger parameter constraints than FS-only or BAO-only analyses. We introduce a new method for obtaining constraints from reconstructed spectra based on a correlated theoretical error, which is shown to be simple, robust, and applicable to any flavor of density-field reconstruction. Assuming $Λ$CDM with massive neutrinos, we analyze data from two redshift bins $z_\mathrm{eff}=0.38,0.61$ and obtain $1.6\%$ constraints on the Hubble constant $H_0$, using only a single prior on the current baryon density $ω_b$ from Big Bang Nucleosynthesis (BBN) and no knowledge of the power spectrum slope $n_s$. This gives $H_0 = 68.6\pm1.1\,\mathrm{km\,s}^{-1}\mathrm{Mpc}^{-1}$, with the inclusion of BAO data sharpening the measurement by $40\%$, representing one of the strongest current constraints on $H_0$ independent of cosmic microwave background data. Restricting to the best-fit slope $n_s$ from Planck (but without additional priors on the spectral shape), we obtain a $1\%$ $H_0$ measurement of $67.8\pm 0.7\,\mathrm{km\,s}^{-1}\mathrm{Mpc}^{-1}$. We find strong constraints on the cosmological parameters from a joint analysis of the FS, BAO, and Planck data. This sets new bounds on the sum of neutrino masses $\sum m_ν< 0.14\,\mathrm{eV}$ (at $95\%$ confidence) and the effective number of relativistic degrees of freedom $N_\mathrm{eff} = 2.90^{+0.15}_{-0.16}$, though contours are not appreciably narrowed by the inclusion of BAO data.

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Could quasar lensing time delays hint to a core component in halos, instead of H0 tension?

The time delay measured between the images of gravitationally lensed quasars probes a combination of the angular diameter distance to the source-lens system and the mass density profile of the lens. Observational campaigns to measure such systems have reported a determination of the Hubble parameter H0 that shows significant tension with independent determination based on the cosmic microwave background (CMB) and large scale structure (LSS). We show that lens mass models that exhibit a cored component, coexisting with a cusp, probe a degenerate direction in the lens model parameter space, being an approximate mass sheet transformation. This family of lens models has not been considered by the cosmographic analyses. Once added to the model, the cosmographic error budget should become dependent on stellar kinematics uncertainties. We propose that a core component coexisting with a cusp could bring the lensing measurements of H0 to accord with the CMB/LSS value.

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Cosmological Parameters and Neutrino Masses from the Final Planck and Full-Shape BOSS Data

We present a joint analysis of the Planck cosmic microwave background (CMB) and Baryon Oscillation Spectroscopic Survey (BOSS) final data releases. A key novelty of our study is the use of a new full-shape (FS) likelihood for the redshift-space galaxy power spectrum of the BOSS data, based on an improved perturbation theory template. We show that the addition of the redshift space galaxy clustering measurements breaks degeneracies present in the CMB data alone and tightens constraints on cosmological parameters. Assuming the minimal $Λ$CDM cosmology with massive neutrinos, we find the following late-Universe parameters: the Hubble constant \mbox{$H_0=67.95^{+0.66}_{-0.52}$ km s$^{-1}$Mpc$^{-1}$}, the matter density fraction \mbox{$Ω_m=0.3079^{+0.0065}_{-0.0085}\,$}, the mass fluctuation amplitude \mbox{$σ_8=0.8087_{-0.0072}^{+0.012}\,$}, and an upper limit on the sum of neutrino masses \mbox{$M_{\text{tot}} <0.16\,$ eV} ($95\%$ CL).This can be contrasted with the Planck-only measurements: \mbox{$H_0=67.14_{-0.72}^{+1.3}$} km s$^{-1}$Mpc$^{-1}$, $Ω_m=0.3188^{+0.0091}_{-0.016}\,$, \mbox{$σ_8=0.8053_{-0.0091}^{+0.019}\,$}, and \mbox{$M_{\text{tot}} <0.26\,$ eV} ($95\%$ CL). Our bound on the sum of neutrino masses relaxes once the hierarchy-dependent priors from the oscillation experiments are imposed. The addition of the new FS likelihood also constrains the effective number of extra relativistic degrees of freedom, \mbox{$N_{\text{eff}}=2.88\pm 0.17$}. Our study shows that the current FS and the pure baryon acoustic oscillation data add a similar amount of information in combination with the Planck likelihood. We argue that this is just a coincidence given the BOSS volume and efficiency of the current reconstruction algorithms.In the era of future surveys FS will play a dominant role in cosmological parameter measurements.

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Modeling Biased Tracers at the Field Level

In this paper we test the perturbative halo bias model at the field level. The advantage of this approach is that any analysis can be done without sample variance if the same initial conditions are used in simulations and perturbation theory calculations. We write the bias expansion in terms of modified bias operators in Eulerian space, designed such that the large bulk flows are automatically resummed and not treated perturbatively. Using these operators, the bias model accurately matches the Eulerian density of halos in N-body simulations. The mean-square model error is close to the Poisson shot noise for a wide range of halo masses and it is rather scale-independent, with scale-dependent corrections becoming relevant at the nonlinear scale. In contrast, for linear bias the mean-square model error can be higher than the Poisson prediction by factors of up to a few on large scales, and it becomes scale dependent already in the linear regime. We show that by weighting simulated halos by their mass, the mean-square error of the model can be further reduced by up to an order of magnitude, or by a factor of two when including $60\%$ mass scatter. We also test the Standard Eulerian bias model using the nonlinear matter field measured from simulations and show that it leads to a larger and more scale-dependent model error than the bias expansion based on perturbation theory. These results may be of particular relevance for cosmological inference methods that use a likelihood of the biased tracer at the field level, or for initial condition and BAO reconstruction that requires a precise estimate of the large-scale potential from the biased tracer density.

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Beyond the traditional Line-of-Sight approach of cosmological angular statistics

We present a new efficient method to compute the angular power spectra of large-scale structure observables that circumvents the numerical integration over Bessel functions, expanding on a recently proposed algorithm based on FFTlog. This new approach has better convergence properties. The method is explicitly implemented in the CLASS code for the case of number count $C_\ell$'s (including redshift-space distortions, weak lensing, and all other relativistic corrections) and cosmic shear $C_\ell$'s. In both cases our approach speeds up the calculation of the exact $C_\ell$'s (without the Limber approximation) by a factor of order 400 at a fixed precision target of 0.1%.

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Efficient Evaluation of Cosmological Angular Statistics

Angular statistics of cosmological observables are hard to compute. The main difficulty is due to the presence of highly-oscillatory Bessel functions which need to be integrated over. In this paper, we provide a simple and fast method to compute the angular power spectrum and bispectrum of any observable. The method is based on using an FFTlog algorithm to decompose the momentum-space statistics onto a basis of power-law functions. For each power law, the integrals over Bessel functions have a simple analytical solution. This allows us to efficiently evaluate these integrals, independently of the value of the multipole $\ell$. In particular, this method significantly speeds up the evaluation of the angular bispectrum compared to existing methods. To illustrate our algorithm, we compute the galaxy, lensing and CMB temperature angular power spectrum and bispectrum.

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Cosmological Perturbation Theory Using the FFTLog: Formalism and Connection to QFT Loop Integrals

We present a new method for calculating loops in cosmological perturbation theory. This method is based on approximating a $Λ$CDM-like cosmology as a finite sum of complex power-law universes. The decomposition is naturally achieved using an FFTLog algorithm. For power-law cosmologies, all loop integrals are formally equivalent to loop integrals of massless quantum field theory. These integrals have analytic solutions in terms of generalized hypergeometric functions. We provide explicit formulae for the one-loop and the two-loop power spectrum and the one-loop bispectrum. A chief advantage of our approach is that the difficult part of the calculation is cosmology independent, need be done only once, and can be recycled for any relevant predictions. Evaluation of standard loop diagrams then boils down to a simple matrix multiplication. We demonstrate the promise of this method for applications to higher multiplicity/loop correlation functions.

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Effective Theory of Squeezed Correlation Functions

Various inflationary scenarios can often be distinguished from one another by looking at the squeezed limit behavior of correlation functions. Therefore, it is useful to have a framework designed to study this limit in a more systematic and efficient way. We propose using an expansion in terms of weakly coupled super-horizon degrees of freedom, which is argued to generically exist in a near de Sitter space-time. The modes have a simple factorized form which leads to factorization of the squeezed-limit correlation functions with power-law behavior in $k_{\rm long}/k_{\rm short}$. This approach reproduces the known results in single-, quasi-single-, and multi-field inflationary models. However, it is applicable even if, unlike the above examples, the additional degrees of freedom are not weakly coupled at sub-horizon scales. Stronger results are derived in two-field (or sufficiently symmetric multi-field) inflationary models. We discuss the observability of the non-Gaussian 3-point function in the large-scale structure surveys, and argue that the squeezed limit behavior has a higher detectability chance than equilateral behavior when it scales as $(k_{\rm long}/k_{\rm short})^Δ$ with $Δ<1$ -- where local non-Gaussianity corresponds to $Δ=0$.

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Weinberg Soft Theorems from Weinberg Adiabatic Modes

Soft theorems for the scattering of low energy photons and gravitons and cosmological consistency conditions on the squeezed-limit correlation functions are both understood to be consequences of invariance under large gauge transformations. We apply the same method used in cosmology -- based on the identification of an infinite set of "adiabatic modes" and the corresponding conserved currents -- to derive flat space soft theorems for electrodynamics and gravity. We discuss how the recent derivations based on the asymptotic symmetry groups (BMS) can be continued to a finite size sphere surrounding the scattering event, when the soft photon or graviton has a finite momentum. We give a finite distance derivation of the antipodal matching condition previously imposed between future and past null infinities, and explain why all but one radiative degrees of freedom decouple in the soft limit. In contrast to earlier works on BMS, we work with adiabatic modes which correspond to large gauge transformations that are $r$-dependent.

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LSS constraints with controlled theoretical uncertainties

Forecasts and analyses of cosmological observations often rely on the assumption of a perfect theoretical model over a defined range of scales. We explore how model uncertainties and nuisance parameters in perturbative models of the matter and galaxy spectra affect constraints on neutrino mass and primordial non-Gaussianities. We provide a consistent treatment of theoretical errors and argue that their inclusion is a necessary step to obtain realistic cosmological constraints. We find that galaxy surveys up to high redshifts will allow a detection of the minimal neutrino mass and local non-Gaussianity of order unity, but improving the constraints on equilateral non-Gaussianity beyond the CMB limits will be challenging. We argue that similar considerations apply to analyses where theoretical models are based on simulations.

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Equivalence Principle and the Baryon Acoustic Peak

We study the dominant effect of a long wavelength density perturbation $δ(λ_L)$ on short distance physics. In the non-relativistic limit, the result is a uniform acceleration, fixed by the equivalence principle, and typically has no effect on statistical averages due to translational invariance. This same reasoning has been formalized to obtain a "consistency condition" on the cosmological correlation functions. In the presence of a feature, such as the acoustic peak at $l_{\rm BAO}$, this naive expectation breaks down for $λ_L<l_{\rm BAO}$. We calculate a universal piece of the three-point correlation function in this regime. The same effect is shown to underlie the spread of the acoustic peak, and is calculable to all orders in the long modes. This can be used to improve the result of perturbative calculations - a technique known as "infra-red resummation" - and is explicitly applied to the one-loop calculation of power spectrum. Finally, the success of BAO reconstruction schemes is argued to be another empirical evidence for the validity of the results.

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Implications of the scalar tilt for the tensor-to-scalar ratio

We investigate the possible implications of the measured value of the scalar tilt $n_s$ for the tensor-to-scalar ratio $r$ in slow-roll, single-field inflationary models. The measured value of the tilt satisfies $n_s -1\sim 1/N_*$, where $N_* \sim 60$ is the number of $e$-folds for observationally relevant scales. If this is not a coincidence and the scaling holds for different values of $N$, it strongly suggests that either $r$ is as big as $10^{-1}$ (a possibility in tension with the recent data), or smaller than $10^{-2}$ and exponentially dependent on $n_s$. A large region of the ($n_s$,$r$) plane is not compatible with this scaling.

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Detecting Primordial $B$-Modes after Planck

We update the forecasts for the measurement of the tensor-to-scalar ratio $r$ for various ground-based experiments (AdvACT, CLASS, Keck/BICEP3, Simons Array, SPT-3G), balloons (EBEX 10k and Spider) and satellites (CMBPol, COrE and LiteBIRD), taking into account the recent Planck data on polarized dust and using a component separation method. The forecasts do not change significantly with respect to previous estimates when at least three frequencies are available, provided foregrounds can be accurately described by few parameters. We argue that a theoretically motivated goal for future experiments is $r\sim2\times10^{-3}$, and that this is achievable if the noise is reduced to $\sim1\,μ$K-arcmin and lensing is reduced to $10\%$ in power. We study the constraints experiments will be able to put on the frequency and $\ell$-dependence of the tensor signal as a check of its primordial origin. Futuristic ground-based and balloon experiments can have good constraints on these parameters, even for $r\sim2\times10^{-3}$. For the same value of $r$, satellites will marginally be able to detect the presence of the recombination bump, the most distinctive feature of the primordial signal.

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Baryon Acoustic Peak and the Squeezed Limit Bispectrum

In the non-relativistic regime, pertinent to the large scale structure of the Universe, the leading effect of a long-wavelength perturbation $δ(λ_L)$ on short distance physics is a uniform acceleration $\propto λ_L δ(λ_L)$. Typically, this has no effect on statistical averages at equal time since a uniform acceleration results in a uniform translation -- a reasoning that has been formalized as a "consistency condition" on the cosmological correlation functions. This naive expectation fails in the presence of the baryon acoustic feature provided $λ_L < \ell_{\rm BAO}$. We derive the squeezed limit of correlation functions in this regime.

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Multiple Soft Limits of Cosmological Correlation Functions

We derive novel identities satisfied by inflationary correlation functions in the limit where two external momenta are taken to be small. We derive these statements in two ways: using background-wave arguments and as Ward identities following from the fixed-time path integral. Interestingly, these identities allow us to constrain some of the O(q^2) components of the soft limit, in contrast to their single-soft analogues. We provide several nontrivial checks of our identities both in the context of resonant non-Gaussianities and in small sound speed models. Additionally, we extend the relation at lowest order in external momenta to arbitrarily many soft legs, and comment on the many-soft extension at higher orders in the soft momentum. Finally, we consider how higher soft limits lead to identities satisfied by correlation functions in large-scale structure.

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