arXiv subjects

Michael Riis Andersen

Publications and source records attributed to Michael Riis Andersen.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Normative Alignment of Recommender Systems via Internal Label Shift

We introduce NAILS (Normative Alignment of Recommender Systems via Internal Label Shift), a simple and scalable method for aligning recommendation outputs with target distributions over item-level attributes, such as categories. Recommender systems optimized solely for user engagement often fail to satisfy broader normative objectives, including fairness, diversity, and editorial values. NAILS modifies the user-conditional item distribution to induce a specified marginal distribution over attributes while preserving the preferences learned by an existing recommender system and requiring no model retraining. We formulate this problem as a form of label shift applied internally within a hierarchical classification framework. By adopting a stakeholder-centric perspective, NAILS enables recommendation outputs to be aligned with global normative objectives. Empirically, we show that NAILS consistently improves attribute-level alignment with minimal impact on user engagement, providing a practical mechanism for value-driven recommendation.

cs.IR↗

arXiv2026

ZoRRO: A Zero-Weight Personalized Recommender System for Scalable News Recommendation

We present ZoRRO (Zero-Weight Personalized Recommender System), a zero-weight, training-free framework for personalized news recommendation designed for scalable real-world deployment. ZoRRO outperforms strong neural baselines in offline ranking evaluations and achieves click-through rate performance in online A/B testing that is nearly on par with a state-of-the-art deep learning model, while operating more than 600 times faster. Our experiments reveal gaps between offline and online performance and demonstrate that models with similar click-through rate outcomes can produce markedly different recommendation distributions, thereby influencing the overall news flow. These findings position ZoRRO as a practical and efficient solution for large-scale news recommendation and highlight the importance of evaluating recommender systems using metrics beyond accuracy alone.

cs.IR↗

arXiv2026

Same Graph, Different Likelihoods: Calibration of Autoregressive Graph Generators via Permutation-Equivalent Encodings

Autoregressive graph generators define likelihoods via a sequential construction process, but these likelihoods are only meaningful if they are consistent across all linearizations of the same graph. Segmented Eulerian Neighborhood Trails (SENT), a recent linearization method, converts graphs into sequences that can be perfectly decoded and efficiently processed by language models, but admit multiple equivalent linearizations of the same graph. We quantify violations in assigned negative log-likelihood (NLL) using the coefficient of variation across equivalent linearizations, which we call Linearization Uncertainty (LU). Training transformers under four linearization strategies on two datasets, we show that biased orderings achieve lower NLL on their native order but exhibit expected calibration error (ECE) two orders of magnitude higher under random permutation, indicating that these models have learned their training linearization rather than the underlying graph. On the molecular graph benchmark QM9, NLL for generated graphs is negatively correlated with molecular stability (AUC $=0.43$), while LU achieves AUC $=0.85$, suggesting that permutation-based evaluation provides a more reliable quality check for generated molecules. Code is available at https://github.com/lauritsf/linearization-uncertainty

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Practical Deep Heteroskedastic Regression

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) in deep learning regression is of wide interest, as it supports critical applications including sequential decision making and risk-sensitive tasks. In heteroskedastic regression, where the uncertainty of the target depends on the input, a common approach is to train a neural network that parameterizes the mean and the variance of the predictive distribution. Still, training deep heteroskedastic regression models poses practical challenges in the trade-off between uncertainty quantification and mean prediction, such as optimization difficulties, representation collapse, and variance overfitting. In this work we identify previously undiscussed fallacies and propose a simple and efficient procedure that addresses these challenges jointly by post-hoc fitting a variance model across the intermediate layers of a pretrained network on a hold-out dataset. We demonstrate that our method achieves on-par or state-of-the-art uncertainty quantification on several molecular graph datasets, without compromising mean prediction accuracy and remaining cheap to use at prediction time.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

On Local Posterior Structure in Deep Ensembles

Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) often improve model calibration and predictive uncertainty quantification compared to point estimators such as maximum-a-posteriori (MAP). Similarly, deep ensembles (DEs) are also known to improve calibration, and therefore, it is natural to hypothesize that deep ensembles of BNNs (DE-BNNs) should provide even further improvements. In this work, we systematically investigate this across a number of datasets, neural network architectures, and BNN approximation methods and surprisingly find that when the ensembles grow large enough, DEs consistently outperform DE-BNNs on in-distribution data. To shine light on this observation, we conduct several sensitivity and ablation studies. Moreover, we show that even though DE-BNNs outperform DEs on out-of-distribution metrics, this comes at the cost of decreased in-distribution performance. As a final contribution, we open-source the large pool of trained models to facilitate further research on this topic.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2024

GeoFormer: A Multi-Polygon Segmentation Transformer

In remote sensing there exists a common need for learning scale invariant shapes of objects like buildings. Prior works relies on tweaking multiple loss functions to convert segmentation maps into the final scale invariant representation, necessitating arduous design and optimization. For this purpose we introduce the GeoFormer, a novel architecture which presents a remedy to the said challenges, learning to generate multipolygons end-to-end. By modeling keypoints as spatially dependent tokens in an auto-regressive manner, the GeoFormer outperforms existing works in delineating building objects from satellite imagery. We evaluate the robustness of the GeoFormer against former methods through a variety of parameter ablations and highlight the advantages of optimizing a single likelihood function. Our study presents the first successful application of auto-regressive transformer models for multi-polygon predictions in remote sensing, suggesting a promising methodological alternative for building vectorization.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2024

EB-NeRD: A Large-Scale Dataset for News Recommendation

Personalized content recommendations have been pivotal to the content experience in digital media from video streaming to social networks. However, several domain specific challenges have held back adoption of recommender systems in news publishing. To address these challenges, we introduce the Ekstra Bladet News Recommendation Dataset (EB-NeRD). The dataset encompasses data from over a million unique users and more than 37 million impression logs from Ekstra Bladet. It also includes a collection of over 125,000 Danish news articles, complete with titles, abstracts, bodies, and metadata, such as categories. EB-NeRD served as the benchmark dataset for the RecSys '24 Challenge, where it was demonstrated how the dataset can be used to address both technical and normative challenges in designing effective and responsible recommender systems for news publishing. The dataset is available at: https://recsys.eb.dk.

cs.IR↗

arXiv2024

RecSys Challenge 2024: Balancing Accuracy and Editorial Values in News Recommendations

The RecSys Challenge 2024 aims to advance news recommendation by addressing both the technical and normative challenges inherent in designing effective and responsible recommender systems for news publishing. This paper describes the challenge, including its objectives, problem setting, and the dataset provided by the Danish news publishers Ekstra Bladet and JP/Politikens Media Group ("Ekstra Bladet"). The challenge explores the unique aspects of news recommendation, such as modeling user preferences based on behavior, accounting for the influence of the news agenda on user interests, and managing the rapid decay of news items. Additionally, the challenge embraces normative complexities, investigating the effects of recommender systems on news flow and their alignment with editorial values. We summarize the challenge setup, dataset characteristics, and evaluation metrics. Finally, we announce the winners and highlight their contributions. The dataset is available at: https://recsys.eb.dk.

cs.IR↗

arXiv2024

Variance reduction of diffusion model's gradients with Taylor approximation-based control variate

Score-based models, trained with denoising score matching, are remarkably effective in generating high dimensional data. However, the high variance of their training objective hinders optimisation. We attempt to reduce it with a control variate, derived via a $k$-th order Taylor expansion on the training objective and its gradient. We prove an equivalence between the two and demonstrate empirically the effectiveness of our approach on a low dimensional problem setting; and study its effect on larger problems.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2024

A Framework for Improving the Reliability of Black-box Variational Inference

Black-box variational inference (BBVI) now sees widespread use in machine learning and statistics as a fast yet flexible alternative to Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for approximate Bayesian inference. However, stochastic optimization methods for BBVI remain unreliable and require substantial expertise and hand-tuning to apply effectively. In this paper, we propose Robust and Automated Black-box VI (RABVI), a framework for improving the reliability of BBVI optimization. RABVI is based on rigorously justified automation techniques, includes just a small number of intuitive tuning parameters, and detects inaccurate estimates of the optimal variational approximation. RABVI adaptively decreases the learning rate by detecting convergence of the fixed--learning-rate iterates, then estimates the symmetrized Kullback--Leibler (KL) divergence between the current variational approximation and the optimal one. It also employs a novel optimization termination criterion that enables the user to balance desired accuracy against computational cost by comparing (i) the predicted relative decrease in the symmetrized KL divergence if a smaller learning were used and (ii) the predicted computation required to converge with the smaller learning rate. We validate the robustness and accuracy of RABVI through carefully designed simulation studies and on a diverse set of real-world model and data examples.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2023

Neural machine translation for automated feedback on children's early-stage writing

In this work, we address the problem of assessing and constructing feedback for early-stage writing automatically using machine learning. Early-stage writing is typically vastly different from conventional writing due to phonetic spelling and lack of proper grammar, punctuation, spacing etc. Consequently, early-stage writing is highly non-trivial to analyze using common linguistic metrics. We propose to use sequence-to-sequence models for "translating" early-stage writing by students into "conventional" writing, which allows the translated text to be analyzed using linguistic metrics. Furthermore, we propose a novel robust likelihood to mitigate the effect of noise in the dataset. We investigate the proposed methods using a set of numerical experiments and demonstrate that the conventional text can be predicted with high accuracy.

cs.CL↗

arXiv2023

Polygonizer: An auto-regressive building delineator

In geospatial planning, it is often essential to represent objects in a vectorized format, as this format easily translates to downstream tasks such as web development, graphics, or design. While these problems are frequently addressed using semantic segmentation, which requires additional post-processing to vectorize objects in a non-trivial way, we present an Image-to-Sequence model that allows for direct shape inference and is ready for vector-based workflows out of the box. We demonstrate the model's performance in various ways, including perturbations to the image input that correspond to variations or artifacts commonly encountered in remote sensing applications. Our model outperforms prior works when using ground truth bounding boxes (one object per image), achieving the lowest maximum tangent angle error.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2023

Learning to Generate 3D Representations of Building Roofs Using Single-View Aerial Imagery

We present a novel pipeline for learning the conditional distribution of a building roof mesh given pixels from an aerial image, under the assumption that roof geometry follows a set of regular patterns. Unlike alternative methods that require multiple images of the same object, our approach enables estimating 3D roof meshes using only a single image for predictions. The approach employs the PolyGen, a deep generative transformer architecture for 3D meshes. We apply this model in a new domain and investigate the sensitivity of the image resolution. We propose a novel metric to evaluate the performance of the inferred meshes, and our results show that the model is robust even at lower resolutions, while qualitatively producing realistic representations for out-of-distribution samples.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2023

On the role of Model Uncertainties in Bayesian Optimization

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a popular method for black-box optimization, which relies on uncertainty as part of its decision-making process when deciding which experiment to perform next. However, not much work has addressed the effect of uncertainty on the performance of the BO algorithm and to what extent calibrated uncertainties improve the ability to find the global optimum. In this work, we provide an extensive study of the relationship between the BO performance (regret) and uncertainty calibration for popular surrogate models and compare them across both synthetic and real-world experiments. Our results confirm that Gaussian Processes are strong surrogate models and that they tend to outperform other popular models. Our results further show a positive association between calibration error and regret, but interestingly, this association disappears when we control for the type of model in the analysis. We also studied the effect of re-calibration and demonstrate that it generally does not lead to improved regret. Finally, we provide theoretical justification for why uncertainty calibration might be difficult to combine with BO due to the small sample sizes commonly used.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2022

SolarDK: A high-resolution urban solar panel image classification and localization dataset

The body of research on classification of solar panel arrays from aerial imagery is increasing, yet there are still not many public benchmark datasets. This paper introduces two novel benchmark datasets for classifying and localizing solar panel arrays in Denmark: A human annotated dataset for classification and segmentation, as well as a classification dataset acquired using self-reported data from the Danish national building registry. We explore the performance of prior works on the new benchmark dataset, and present results after fine-tuning models using a similar approach as recent works. Furthermore, we train models of newer architectures and provide benchmark baselines to our datasets in several scenarios. We believe the release of these datasets may improve future research in both local and global geospatial domains for identifying and mapping of solar panel arrays from aerial imagery. The data is accessible at https://osf.io/aj539/.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2021

Preferential Batch Bayesian Optimization

Most research in Bayesian optimization (BO) has focused on \emph{direct feedback} scenarios, where one has access to exact values of some expensive-to-evaluate objective. This direction has been mainly driven by the use of BO in machine learning hyper-parameter configuration problems. However, in domains such as modelling human preferences, A/B tests, or recommender systems, there is a need for methods that can replace direct feedback with \emph{preferential feedback}, obtained via rankings or pairwise comparisons. In this work, we present preferential batch Bayesian optimization (PBBO), a new framework that allows finding the optimum of a latent function of interest, given any type of parallel preferential feedback for a group of two or more points. We do so by using a Gaussian process model with a likelihood specially designed to enable parallel and efficient data collection mechanisms, which are key in modern machine learning. We show how the acquisitions developed under this framework generalize and augment previous approaches in Bayesian optimization, expanding the use of these techniques to a wider range of domains. An extensive simulation study shows the benefits of this approach, both with simulated functions and four real data sets.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2021

Challenges and Opportunities in High-dimensional Variational Inference

Current black-box variational inference (BBVI) methods require the user to make numerous design choices -- such as the selection of variational objective and approximating family -- yet there is little principled guidance on how to do so. We develop a conceptual framework and set of experimental tools to understand the effects of these choices, which we leverage to propose best practices for maximizing posterior approximation accuracy. Our approach is based on studying the pre-asymptotic tail behavior of the density ratios between the joint distribution and the variational approximation, then exploiting insights and tools from the importance sampling literature. Our framework and supporting experiments help to distinguish between the behavior of BBVI methods for approximating low-dimensional versus moderate-to-high-dimensional posteriors. In the latter case, we show that mass-covering variational objectives are difficult to optimize and do not improve accuracy, but flexible variational families can improve accuracy and the effectiveness of importance sampling -- at the cost of additional optimization challenges. Therefore, for moderate-to-high-dimensional posteriors we recommend using the (mode-seeking) exclusive KL divergence since it is the easiest to optimize, and improving the variational family or using model parameter transformations to make the posterior and optimal variational approximation more similar. On the other hand, in low-dimensional settings, we show that heavy-tailed variational families and mass-covering divergences are effective and can increase the chances that the approximation can be improved by importance sampling.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2021

Uncertainty-aware Sensitivity Analysis Using Rényi Divergences

For nonlinear supervised learning models, assessing the importance of predictor variables or their interactions is not straightforward because it can vary in the domain of the variables. Importance can be assessed locally with sensitivity analysis using general methods that rely on the model's predictions or their derivatives. In this work, we extend derivative based sensitivity analysis to a Bayesian setting by differentiating the Rényi divergence of a model's predictive distribution. By utilising the predictive distribution instead of a point prediction, the model uncertainty is taken into account in a principled way. Our empirical results on simulated and real data sets demonstrate accurate and reliable identification of important variables and interaction effects compared to alternative methods.

stat.ME↗