arXiv subjects

Michael S. P. Kelley

Publications and source records attributed to Michael S. P. Kelley.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

A JWST Study of Stardust. II. Polycyclic Aromatic Hydrocarbons in Comet 81P/Wild 2 and Implications for Primitive Solar System Carbon

We report observations of comet 81P/Wild 2, target of the Stardust sample return mission, on UT 2023 March 20 and 24 at a heliocentric distance ($r_H$) of 1.85 au using the NIRSpec and MIRI integral field unit spectrographs on board the James Webb Space Telescope (JWST). This study is the first compositional comparison between JWST remote-sensing spectroscopy of a solar system object against terrestrial analysis of its returned samples. Recent work determined contributions of molecular emission from coma volatiles and thermal emission from the nucleus and coma dust grains to these spectra. Subtracting the molecular and thermal emission models produces a residual spectrum with a clear resonance near 3.37 $μ$m and multiple others spanning the $6 - 12$ $μ$m region. Analysis of these residuals provides strong evidence for the presence of polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) in the coma of 81P/Wild 2. The resulting PAH populations reflect material incorporated into the nucleus of 81P/Wild 2 that was inherited from the diffuse interstellar medium, the interstellar medium, and the protoplanetary disk. The PAHs sensed by JWST are compared to those detected in laboratory analyses of the Stardust mission returned samples.

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arXiv2026

Tails and Trails: Comets and NEOs Survive Co-addition in Rubin Early Data Preview 2

We identify effectively single-visit imaging hidden within the deep co-added images of the NSF-DOE Vera C. Rubin Observatory Early Data Preview 2 (EDP2). These shallow regions contain only one or two contributing visits, providing access to single-visit-depth imaging ahead of the full Data Preview 2 (DP2) release in late 2026. We develop a workflow to locate known small Solar System bodies in these data, using our Ponder orchestrator with the Sorcha survey simulator to predict their positions and the Rubin Science Platform (RSP) to identify shallow coadds and extract image cutouts. Because cometary activity and near-Earth-object (NEO) trails produce extended morphologies, both remain identifiable in these shallow coadds. From approximately 700 comet and active-object cutouts, we identify 59 activity detections spanning 32 objects. We discover activity in 2025 NC6, previously unknown to be active; identify the first reported pre-perihelion activity of 2008 QZ44; and independently rediscover known comets 243P/NEAT and 510P/Boattini through their activity. We also recover 336 NEO cutouts, including 29 with predicted trails longer than 25 pixels. We provide accompanying galleries and tabular data, and highlight 99P/Kowal 1, 510P, and 303P/NEAT as targets for immediate follow-up. Shallow coadds are a relatively unexplored facet of Rubin data with applications beyond the Solar System examples presented here: regions with varying numbers of contributing visits will persist throughout the Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST).

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arXiv2026

JWST Reveals Refractory-Rich Water Ice in Interstellar Comet 3I/ATLAS: Evidence for a Continuum of Grain Properties across Protoplanetary Disks

We present JWST/NIRSpec PRISM observations of the interstellar comet 3I/ATLAS obtained on 2025 August 6 (Epoch 1), 2025 December 22 (Epoch 2), and 2026 April 1 (Epoch 3), spanning eight months around perihelion at heliocentric distances of 3.3, 2.4, and 5.7 au, respectively. The spectra reveal a broad 3 $μ$m absorption band together with H$_2$O, CO$_2$, and CO gas emission. Unlike previously reported water-ice-rich Solar System comae, the strong 3 $μ$m absorption is accompanied by weak or absent 1.5 and 2.0 $μ$m water-ice bands. Spectral modeling indicates that the observations are best reproduced by submicron- to micron-sized water-ice-bearing aggregates containing refractory material. Compared with Epoch 1, the Epoch 3 spectrum favors the presence of a second population of larger, micron-sized, ice-rich aggregates and exhibits a subtle Fresnel-like structure near 3.1 $μ$m, consistent with crystalline water ice. The observations can be explained by either crystalline water ice at both epochs, with the spectral evolution arising primarily from changes in grain size and refractory mixing, or an evolution from an amorphous-like to crystalline state. The spectral properties of 3I bridge those of water-ice-bearing Solar System comae and several spectral classes of mid-sized trans-Neptunian objects, suggesting that the icy building blocks of planetesimals formed in different protoplanetary disks may span a continuum in the physical state of water ice, ranging from pure ice grains to water-ice-bearing aggregates with varying refractory content at submicron-to-micron scales, with 3I extending toward the refractory-rich end of this continuum.

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arXiv2026

The Highly Unusual Behavior and Chemical Composition of Interstellar Comet 2I/Borisov

We report on imaging, spectroscopy, and narrowband photometry of interstellar comet 2I/Borisov obtained at Lowell Observatory from 2019 September 13 to December 16. We measured chemical composition on four nights before perihelion, from October 4 to November 25 (2.466 to 2.028 au), with CN detections on all nights. Our measurements from October 27 represent the earliest reported detections of C$_2$ and C$_3$, where C$_2$-to-CN and C$_3$-to-CN log production rate ratios were $-$0.7 and $-$1.3, respectively. Both ratios increased by nearly 4$\times$ to $-$0.3 and $-$0.9 by November 25, an extremely large increase with heliocentric distance that is unprecedented in the Lowell Observatory comet database. We additionally observed OH and NH on November 25, with a derived H$_2$O production rate of 4.5$\times $10$^{26}$ mol s$^{-1}$ and very high log production rate ratios for CN-to-OH ($-$2.0) and NH-to-OH ($-$1.7). Monitoring from broadband $R$ images from September 13 to December 16 suggests dust ($A(0^{\circ})fρ$) production peaked around October 19, 50 days before its December 8 perihelion passage. Narrowband images from October 4 and 27 reveal a nearly symmetric CN distribution in Borisov's coma, suggesting activity over its entire sunward hemisphere and possibly its entire nucleus. Our results, combined with those from others, reveal a chemical composition and behavior with heliocentric distance unlike any other comet we have observed.

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arXiv2026

JWST Spatial-Spectral Mapping of Green Comet C/2022 E3 (ZTF)

We report a survey of molecular emission from cometary volatiles using the James Webb Space Telescope (JWST) toward Oort cloud comet C/2022 E3 (ZTF) carried out on UT 2023 February 28 and March 1 at a heliocentric distance (rH) of 1.33 au. These measurements of H2O, HCN, CH3OH, C2H6, CH4, CO, CO2, 13CO2, and OCS sampled post-perihelion molecular chemistry in C/2022 E3. A suite of near to mid-infrared OH (prompt emission) transitions were also detected. This work presents nucleus-centered spectra for all detected species, spatial-spectral maps of column density and rotational temperature as a function of distance from the nucleus for all except C2H6, HCN, and OH, and maps of co-measured continuum. The spatial distributions of both quantities were anisotropic for all mapped molecules; however, H2O showed distributions distinct from the remaining species. Coma-averaged values of the ortho-to-para ratio (OPR) for H2O and the 12CO2/13CO2 ratio derived from these maps were consistent with the statistical equilibrium value of 3 and the terrestrial value of 89, respectively. The modeled mass fraction of the sub-micron dust grains is dominated by amorphous carbon (56%) followed by amorphous Mg:Fe pyroxene (28%), crystalline olivine (10%), and amorphous Mg:Fe olivine (5%) with a crystalline mass fraction of 0.2385(0.0008). We compare the volatile and dust composition of C/2022 E3 (ZTF) against comets measured to date, including those surveyed by JWST.

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arXiv2026

An Enriched Methane D/H Ratio in the Interstellar Object 3I/ATLAS

Interstellar objects are interlopers from other planetary systems, and their volatile compositions provide a glimpse into planet formation around their host star. We present near-infrared spectra of the coma of interstellar object 3I/ATLAS measured with the James Webb Space Telescope. Our results demonstrate an unexpectedly high D/H = $(3.33\pm0.31)\%$ for methane and represent an exceedingly rare detection of deuterated organic molecules in an interstellar object. This D/H ratio exceeds any other value for methane measured in the solar system, and is a factor of $14\pm2$ higher than that measured in comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko by the Rosetta spacecraft, the only other comet for which CH$_3$D has been detected. Both 3I/ATLAS and 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko show a higher degree of methane dueteration compared to water, consistent with trends seen in other solar system bodies and the nearby interstellar medium, where deuteration in organics exceeds that of water by up to an order of magnitude. The D/H ratio in methane itself is observationally unconstrained in extrasolar sources to date, but the enriched ratio in 3I/ATLAS is similar to those measured in methanol and formaldehyde toward primitive environments. The elevated D/H ratio for methane in 3I/ATLAS is consistent with the hypothesis that its ices formed in a cold, low metallicity interstellar or protostellar environment under a high cosmic ray irradiation rate (Cordiner et al. 2026).

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arXiv2026

A JWST Study of Stardust. I. Infrared Spectroscopy of Comet 81P/Wild 2 and Overall Composition

We report observations of comet 81P/Wild 2, target of the Stardust sample return mission, on UT 2023 March 20 and 24 at a heliocentric distance ($r_H$) of 1.85 au using the NIRSpec and MIRI integral field unit spectrographs on board the James Webb Space Telescope (JWST). This study is the first compositional comparison between JWST remote-sensing spectroscopy of a solar system object against terrestrial analysis of its returned samples. We securely detected molecular emission from H$_2$O, CH$_4$, C$_2$H$_6$, CH$_3$OH, CO, CO$_2$, $^{13}$CO$_2$, OCS, HCN, and CN and find molecular abundances consistent within $2σ$ with those reported during previous perihelion passages. The water ortho-to-para ratio was $2.76\pm0.05$, and the $^{12}$CO$_2$/$^{13}$CO$_2$ ratio was $85\pm4$. Thermal emission from the nucleus and dust was detected and modeled, providing an effective nucleus radius of $1.77\pm0.04$ km and a dust composition (relative mass fraction of the submicron grains) of $\sim36\%$ amorphous carbon, $\sim25\%$ amorphous Mg:Fe olivine, $\sim23\%$ Mg-rich crystalline olivine, and $\sim15\%$ amorphous Mg:Fe pyroxene. The crystalline mass fraction of the sub-micron grains in the coma was $0.362\pm0.003$. Comparison of the JWST-derived thermal model against the fine-grained materials in Stardust returned samples demonstrates complementarity between the missions, with each most sensitive to a different population of the coma dust grains.

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arXiv2026

Multi-year Ground-Based Survey Photometry of Active Comet 103P/Hartley 2 and Centaur (2060) Chiron: A Tale of Two Comets in the Pre-LSST Era

Comets and Centaurs trace the evolution of trans-Neptunian objects (TNOs) into the inner solar system. Their activity reflects the interplay between volatile sublimation, dust dynamics, and ring scattering. Yet the long-term behavior of individual objects is less constrained. To probe this evolutionary transition, we use wide-field survey photometry from the Asteroid Terrestrial-impact Last Alert System, Zwicky Transient Facility, and Las Cumbres Observatory observations of the Jupiter-family comet (JFC) 103P/Hartley 2 during its 2023/24 apparition, and the Centaur (2060) Chiron across 2020-2025, including its 2021 outburst. For 103P, heliocentric activity slopes are asymmetric about perihelion, with a steep inbound index ($n_{r,\rm pre}=-3.48\pm0.08$) and flatter outbound value ($n_{r,\rm post}=-1.16\pm0.04$), consistent with enhanced relative dust contribution post-perihelion. Reduced brightness versus prior apparitions matches reported secular fading trends. Dust mass-loss rates are $\sim4$-16 kg s$^{-1}$ for assumed grain properties. Colors exhibit a blueward trend near perihelion, consistent with enhanced gas contamination of the $g$-band, with possible phase-dependent scattering. A periodogram recovers a $\sim18.7$ hr activity-linked period near perihelion. For Chiron, subtracting a quiescent baseline reveals exponential decay from the 2021 outburst on a $\sim1.4$ yr timescale. Seasonal phase curves flatten from $β_o=0.150\pm0.034$ mag deg$^{-1}$ in 2021 to $\lesssim0.09$ mag deg$^{-1}$ by 2023-2025, converging with quiescent behavior. Broad-band colors remain unchanged at ATLAS ($c-o$)=0.22$\pm$0.09 mag. This extended activity suggests a new epoch of persistent, low-level activity and/or evolving ring-scattering. These objects bracket the TNO-to-JFC evolutionary sequence, with 103P near the volatile-depleted end, and Chiron still volatile-rich and capable of episodic activity.

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arXiv2026

A Look at Eight Outbursts of Comet 7P/Pons-Winnecke

Cometary outbursts may be used as a means to infer the physical processes occurring on cometary nuclei. To that end, we studied eight outbursts of comet 7P/Pons-Winnecke identified between 2021 June 3 and 2021 August 31. The data analyzed consisted of optical images and derived photometry of the comet from the Las Cumbres Observatory network of telescopes. The outburst strengths relative to the ambient coma ranged from -0.2 to -1.1 mag, and the ejecta themselves had apparent brightnesses ranging from 17.4 to 13.3 mag. The morphologies of the ejecta varied, suggesting that the events may have originated from different sources across the nucleus. An order of magnitude estimation of the ejecta masses ranged from 10$^{5}$ - 10$^{6}$ kg, similar to other mini-outbursts of comets. The surface-area normalized outburst rate estimated during this time period is similar to comets 41P/Tuttle-Giacobini-Kresák, 9P/Tempel 1 and 46P/Wirtanen, but 10 times larger than that observed at comet 49P/Arend-Rigaux. However, a comparison to the mini-outburst rate of comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko reveals significant discrepancies between Rosetta spacecraft results and those from ground-based telescopes. We also investigate whether or not cometary outbursts from 7P in the 19th century are needed to explain outbursts in meteor shower rates observed in the 20th century.

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arXiv2026

Coma Physics of an Interstellar Object: JWST Spatial-Spectral Mapping of 3I/ATLAS

We report a survey of molecular emission from cometary volatiles using the James Webb Space Telescope (JWST) toward interstellar object 3I/ATLAS carried out on UT 2025 December 22 and 23 at a heliocentric distance ($r_H$) of $2.37-2.41$ au. These measurements of CO, CO$_2$, H$_2$O, CH$_3$OH, and CH$_4$ sampled molecular chemistry in 3I/ATLAS as it receded from its encounter with our Sun and entered the vicinity of the H$_2$O ice line -- the region between $r_H$ = $2-3$ au where the temperature becomes too low for H$_2$O to vigorously sublime and CO and CO$_2$ begin to control the overall activity. CO was the most abundant molecule, followed by H$_2$O and CO$_2$, whose molecular abundances with respect to CO were $(40.5\pm3.1)\%$ and ($41.6\pm0.3)\%$, respectively. This work presents spatial-spectral maps of column density and rotational temperature as a function of distance from the nucleus for all detected species. The spatial distributions of both quantities were highly anisotropic for the apolar species in the coma of 3I/ATLAS, yet were more nearly symmetric for the polar molecules. These results demonstrate how volatiles were segregated in the nucleus ices of 3I/ATLAS and reveal heating and cooling mechanisms in its coma. Derived maps of the ortho-to-para ratio (OPR) for H$_2$O were flat with increasing distance from the nucleus and consistent with a coma-averaged value $\mathrm{OPR}=2.7\pm0.2$, slightly less than the expected equilibrium value of three.

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arXiv2026

JWST and Gemini Observations of the Active Centaur 450P/LONEOS: Nucleus and Coma Characterizations

Between 2019 and 2024, we used the Gemini-N and JWST observatories to conduct a detailed case study of the active Centaur 450P/LONEOS, whose orbit was significantly altered by a close Saturn encounter in 1992. Gemini-N GMOS optical images likely captured the first views of 450P's inactive nucleus, indicating a relatively small radius of $R_N = 1.8\pm0.5$ km and a surface color of $g' - i' = 1.15\pm0.09$. This places 450P on the red end of the neutral/gray Centaur population and may indicate comparatively limited solar-driven surface processing relative to other known active Centaurs. A coma developed as 450P changed its heliocentric distance, $R_H$, from 7.83 au to 7.24 au, with an estimated low dust production rate of $\sim$4-8 kg s$^{-1}$. JWST NIRSpec IFU Prism-mode spectra revealed an elongated dust morphology and a symmetric $CO_2$ gas distribution in the coma but no $H_2O$ or CO emission features, with production rates of $Q_{CO_2} = (6.99\pm0.07)\times10^{24}$ molec. s$^{-1}$, $Q_{H_2O} \leq 1.2\times10^{24}$ molec. s$^{-1}$, and $Q_{CO} \leq 5.2\times10^{24}$ molec. s$^{-1}$. Absorption features at 2.0 and 3.0 $μ$m indicate the presence of water ice, and a subtle 3.1 $μ$m feature is consistent with crystalline water ice in larger grains. A Hapke-style model dominated by large ($D_{eff.} = 5.9$ $μ$m) dust grains with a volumetric ice fraction of $f_{ice} = 33\%$ fits the spectrum. A thermal model incorporating 450P's orbital history since $\sim$1500 CE aligns with the observed onset of activity driven by $CO_2$ outgassing from amorphous water ice crystallization between 140-160 K.

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arXiv2026

Emerging Diversity Among the Main-Belt Comets: Insights from JWST and Ground-Based Observations of 457P/Lemmon-PANSTARRS

We present JWST NIRSpec and NIRCam observations of 457P/Lemmon-PANSTARRS, a main-belt comet that displayed activity around its 2020 perihelion and that was observed to regain activity during its 2024 perihelion by a ground-based observing campaign. The previous successful measurements of water production from two main-belt comets by the JWST NIRSpec instrument confirmed the hypothesis that H2O reservoirs are responsible for activity in dynamically stable main-belt comets. However, the main-belt comets observed with JWST thus far, 238P/Read and 358P/PANSTARRS, occupy orbits in the outer main-belt, with main-belt comets with smaller semi-major axes not yet sensitively tested for H2O. We find that despite clearly displaying dust activity in both ground-based and JWST imaging over a broad period, there were no corresponding H2O, CO, CO2, or CH3OH emissions within sensitive upper limits; notable given 457P is the first main-belt comet with a semi-major axis within the 5:2 mean-motion resonance with Jupiter. We show that we were sensitive to production rates of gas predicted by the dust/gas ratios of 238P and 358P, and hypothesize that 457P may be more depleted than its companions; Q(H2O) must be less than 2x10^24 molecules/s, or 0.035 kg/s. Further surveying of main-belt comets across the parameter space of semi-major axis and eccentricity will shed light on whether 457P represents an edge member of a spectrum or a distinct subclass of main-belt comets.

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arXiv2026

Characterization of the Volatile Properties of 133P/Elst-Pizarro and Other Main-Belt Comets with JWST and Ground-Based Observations

We report results from an analysis of the volatile composition and evolution of main-belt comet (MBC) 133P/Elst-Pizarro using JWST NIRSpec and NIRCam observations and ground-based observations during its 2024 active apparition, and also assess the body of JWST MBC observations acquired to date. Using NIRSpec, we measure water vapor outgassing rates at two points in 133P's orbit, finding Q(H2O)=(1.9+/-0.6)x10^25 molecules/s on UT 2024 June 12 (at a true anomaly of nu=8 deg and heliocentric distance of rh=2.674 au), and Q(H2O)=(1.4+/-0.4)x10^25 molecules/s on UT 2024 October 14 (at nu=37.4 deg and rh=2.747 au). These measurements nominally represent a decline of ~25% in Q(H2O) between the visits, although they are also consistent with no change within uncertainties. We do not detect CO, CO2, or CH3OH, placing 133P's hypervolatile depletion (Q(CO2)/Q(H_2O)<0.009) at a similar level found for previously observed MBCs. We find log(Afrho/Q(H2O)) values for the three MBCs for which water vapor outgassing has been successfully detected that are consistent within uncertainties with an average value of log(Afrho/Q(H2O))=-24.6+/-0.2. Lastly, we find no clear correlations of water production rates with nucleus size, semimajor axis, or heliocentric distance among MBCs observed by JWST so far, but would particularly encourage future JWST observations of additional MBCs interior to the 5A:2J MMR with Jupiter and at high inclinations, as well as multiple observations of MBCs during single active apparitions to further investigate areas of interest identified from the current sample of JWST-observed MBCs.

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arXiv2026

Observations of [O I] emission in Comets C/2014 Q2 (Lovejoy) and C/2007 N3 (Lulin): Possible Influence of Solar Activity on Oxygen Line Ratios

Observing [O I] emission to calculate an "oxygen line ratio" has been proposed as a potential proxy for direct CO$_2$ measurement in comets. However, the photochemistry governing [O I] release into the coma is not well understood, and using theoretical release rates often yields different results than using empirical release rates determined in conjunction with direct space-based measurements of CO$_2$. We hypothesize that the accuracy of the release rates could depend on the level of solar activity at the time the comet is observed, which will be influenced by the solar cycle. We present observations and analysis of [O I] emission in one comet observed near solar maximum, C/2014 Q2 (Lovejoy), and one near solar minimum, C/2007 N3 (Lulin). Our [O I] measurements were obtained using two high spectral resolution optical spectrographs: the Tull Coudé spectrometer at McDonald Observatory and the ARCES spectrometer at Apache Point Observatory. We use empirical and theoretical models for [O I] emission from the literature to derive multiple sets of inferred CO$_2$ abundances for these comets and compare to contemporaneous space-based measurements of CO$_2$. We find that the empirical model, which was developed based on comet observations obtained near solar maximum, reproduces the directly measured CO$_2$ abundances better for Lovejoy. Neither model accurately reproduces the direct measurement for Lulin. We discuss the implications of our findings for the accuracy and dependencies of the oxygen line ratio method for inferring CO$_2$ abundances in cometary comae.

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arXiv2026

Isotopic Evidence for a Cold and Distant Origin of the Interstellar Object 3I/ATLAS

Interstellar objects provide the only directly observable samples of icy planetesimals formed around other stars, and can therefore provide insight into the diversity of physical and chemical conditions occurring during exoplanet formation. Here we report isotopic measurements of the interstellar comet 3I/ATLAS, which reveal an elemental composition unlike any Solar System body. The water in 3I/ATLAS is enriched in deuterium, at a level of D/H = (0.95 +- 0.06)%, which is more than an order of magnitude higher than in known comets, while its range of 12C/13C ratios (141-191 for CO2 and 123-172 for CO) exceeds typical values found in the Solar System, as well as nearby interstellar clouds and protoplanetary disks. Such extreme isotopic signatures indicate formation at temperatures $\lesssim30$ K in a relatively metal-poor environment, early in the history of the Galaxy. When interpreted with respect to models for Galactic chemical evolution, the carbon isotopic composition implies that 3I/ATLAS accreted roughly 10-12 billion years ago, following an early period of intense star formation. 3I/ATLAS thus represents a preserved fragment of an ancient planetary system, and provides direct evidence for active ice chemistry and volatile-rich planetesimal formation in the young Milky Way.

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arXiv2026

Time-Domain Photometry and Activity Evolution of Interstellar Comet 3I/ATLAS with BHTOM

Time-domain photometric monitoring is essential for characterizing cometary evolution, particularly for rare interstellar objects with limited observing opportunities. We aimed to characterize the pre-perihelion photometric behavior and dust activity of the interstellar comet 3I/ATLAS, and to test the capability of the Black Hole Target and Observation Manager (BHTOM) platform and telescope network for coordinated high-cadence non-sidereal observations. We obtained 70 days of time-series photometry of 3I/ATLAS from 2025 July 4 - September 11 using 16 telescopes and 1554 images. The data were processed and calibrated with the BHTOM pipeline. High-cadence, multi-band imaging was used to measure the rotation period and color evolution, while the dust activity was quantified via Afp measurements. We present a pre-perihelion light curve of 3I/ATLAS from Rh = 3.18 - 2.19 au, which exhibited a steady increase of ~3 magnitudes with no evidence of anomalous behavior. We measured a rotation period of P_rot = 15.98 +/- 0.08 h. The relative dust production increased from A(0)fp ~600 - 1100 cm, and the upper limit on the dust mass-loss rate increased from \leq 217 kg/s to \leq 328 kg/s. We measured an activity index of n = -1.24 +/- 0.02, consistent with a well-developed dust coma. The colors were statistically non-changing, with only a weak, non-significant tendency for 3I/ATLAS to become bluer at 3.5 > Rh > 2.2 au.

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arXiv2026

Sequential Fragmentation of C/2025 K1 (ATLAS) After Its Near-Sun Passage

Comet C/2025 K1 (ATLAS) reached perihelion at 0.33 au on 2025 October 8. Daily monitoring by the LCO Outbursting Objects Key Project revealed a major activity increase between November 2 and 4, accompanied by rapid changes in coma morphology. Serendipitous HST/STIS acquisition images obtained on November 8-10 captured the comet only days after this event and resolved five fragments, providing an early high-resolution view of a nucleus in the process of disruption. Fragment motions and morphologies indicate a hierarchical fragmentation sequence, including a slow secondary split of fragment II. Back extrapolation shows that both the primary and secondary breakups preceded their associated photometric outbursts by roughly one to three days. This consistent lag, together with the appearance of thin, short-lived arclets around fragment I in the first HST epoch, suggests that freshly exposed interior material warms rapidly but requires time before dust can be released efficiently. Given the comet's close perihelion passage, rotational instability driven by enhanced outgassing torques is a plausible contributor to nucleus disintegration and dust release, and may represent the primary source of the observed brightening. These combined ground- and space-based observations provide rare, time-resolved constraints on the thermal and structural evolution of a fragmented comet near perihelion and highlight the scientific value of capturing a nucleus within days of disruption, when thermal adjustment, dust mantle re-formation, and outgassing-driven torques jointly govern the onset of activity.

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arXiv2025

Disintegration of Long-period Comet C/2019 Y4 (ATLAS). II. Post-Perihelion Remnant Recovery

We present an investigation into the fate of disrupting near-Sun comet C/2019 Y4 (ATLAS). Imaging observations with the Lowell Discovery Telescope (LDT), obtained 3--5 months after the reported disruption and the last sighting, constrained the primary component C/2019 Y4-B to an absolute magnitude of $H>20.5$ or a diameter of $D<0.5$~km (assuming a geometric albedo of 0.04) at an outbound heliocentric distance of 2.71~au. A search of shallower data obtained from the Zwicky Transient Facility (ZTF) survey, conducted when components A and B receded from 2.5 to 2.9~au from the Sun, yielded no detections, suggesting that the fragments had either ceased to exist or were not substantially active during this period. The uncertain fate of C/2019 Y4 highlights the challenge in understanding the state of presumably disrupted comets. Our review of six other presumably disrupted long-period comets reveals that negative confirmations were not reported for half of them, leaving their disruption presumptions inconclusive.

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