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Michael W. McElwain

Publications and source records attributed to Michael W. McElwain.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

The Science Potential of Characterizing Gas Giant Exoplanets with HWO

With the ability to directly image Earth-like exoplanets and search their atmospheres for biosignatures, the upcoming Habitable Worlds Observatory (HWO) will also collect high signal-to-noise ratio (S/N) reflected-light photometry and spectra of nearby gas giant exoplanets. Such high-quality data would allow novel investigations into gas giant atmospheric composition, formation, and kinematic properties, and could enable the detection of exomoons around these planets. We use the EXOSIMS direct imaging mission simulator to model HWO observations of Jupiter-radius gas giants at Earth-like and Jupiter-like instellations around the 164 stars in the ExEP target list. We find that HWO should be able to achieve S/N $\geq$ 5 broadband visible-light detections of gas giants in this instellation range within 5 minutes of integration. 10 hours of R=1000 near-IR spectroscopy with HWO should reveal water, methane, and ammonia absorption features in the atmospheres of Jupiter-like gas giants. HWO time-series photometry should exceed 1% flux precision in one hour for any Earth-instellation gas giants around ExEP stars, and for Jupiter-like gas giants at $d\leq$ 7 parsecs. Time-series light curves at this cadence and precision could, over tens of hours, reveal rotation-induced variability comparable to Jupiter's. Eclipses of Mars-sized exomoons may be detectable in high-cadence light curves of Jupiter sized planets in the habitable zones of ExEP stars at $d\leq$ 10 parsecs. For any hypothetical Earth-like exomoons with oxygen-rich atmospheres at $d\leq$ 7 parsecs from the Solar System, HWO might be able to detect the spectral signature of molecular oxygen amid the parent planet's photon noise in deep ($\sim$400 hour integration) spectroscopic HWO observations at R=1000. Such moons, if they exist, represent additional habitable worlds that HWO could investigate for biosignatures.

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Early Exploration of the Scientific Discovery Space for the Habitable Worlds Observatory

The Habitable Worlds Observatory (HWO) is a future NASA flagship mission concept identified by the Astro2020 Decadal Survey as the highest priority for large space missions. HWO should conduct "transformative astrophysics" and search for biosignatures in the atmospheres of approximately 25 potentially Earth-like planets. To further the early-stage development of HWO, NASA formed the Science, Technology, Architecture Review Team (START). In turn, START invited the scientific community to join working groups to explore the potential discovery space. In this paper, we present 70 science cases that resulted from this process. The cases address four scientific pillars: growth of galaxies (15 cases), evolution of the elements (13 cases), solar systems in context (32 cases), and living worlds (10 cases). Combined, they would address 27 of the 30 science questions and discovery areas identified by Astro2020. The 140 observing programs needed for the 70 investigations encompass a rich variety of spectroscopic (for 87% of science cases) and photometric (for 30%) observations extending from the UV to the NIR. Additionally, high-contrast and polarimetric capabilities would be needed for 34% and 27% of science cases, respectively. Access to UV wavelengths is critical: 83% of science cases need data at wavelengths <400 nm, and 26% extend to <100 nm. In the NIR, 26% of science cases need observations at wavelengths >=2000 nm. Pursuing the full portfolio of science would also necessitate precise astrometry for planet mass measurement, rapid response capabilities, a large instantaneous field of regard, non-sidereal tracking, saturation mitigation strategies, and high dynamic range.

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The JWST Early Release Science Program for Direct Observations of Exoplanetary Systems VIII: patchy forsterite and enstatite clouds in the atmosphere of VHS 1256 b, retrieval lessons learned and outlook to the future

JWST defines a new era for the data-driven approach of retrieval modelling, which has become a cornerstone tool for the statistical inference of exoplanetary and brown dwarf properties. The Early Release Science program #1386 observations of VHS 1256 b represent a huge jump in data quality, data quantity and spectral coverage for such objects. VHS 1256 b is a young, planetary mass and extremely variable companion that populates the enigmatic L/T cohort of substellar atmospheres. In this first retrieval analysis of the full 1 - 18 micron dataset, we apply the Brewster retrieval framework to the NIRSpec and MIRI spectroscopic observations of VHS 1256 b, exploring a variety of cloud species and structures. Using Delta(BIC) we find that the data is best described by a forsterite (Mg$_{2}$SiO$_{4}$) and enstatite (MgSiO$_{3}$) cloud combination. Our analysis shows a strong preference for patchy silicate cloud coverage, which aligns with VHS 1256 b's extensive and well documented spectral variability. Our retrieval is able to place constraints on the abundances of H$_{2}$O, CO, CO$_{2}$, CH$_{4}$ as well as NH$_{3}$. We also show that the retrieved parameters are sensitive to the data used and the relative signal-to-noise ratios between data from different instruments. We conclude with the next steps for the wider retrieval community to better understand young and cloudy exoplanetary atmospheres.

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CATKit2-HCI: a collaborative framework for advancing high-contrast coronagraph testbeds

High-contrast exoplanet imaging requires dedicated laboratory testbeds for the development and validation of coronagraph architectures, wavefront sensing and control methods, calibration strategies, and system-level observing concepts. These testbeds often share similar software needs, yet many tools are developed independently at each institution. The CATKit2-High-Contrast-Imaging collaboration, or CATKit2-HCI, addresses this gap by providing a shared software framework for reusable HCI infrastructure. Built on top of CATKit2, an open-source hardware control and synchronization framework originally developed for the High-contrast Imager for Complex Aperture Telescopes (HiCAT) testbed at the Space Telescope Science Institute, CATKit2-HCI provides the collaborative layer for HCI-specific algorithms, calibration tools, diagnostics, visualization, and performance metrics. The collaboration currently includes multiple coronagraph testbeds in the United States and Europe. Its goals are to reduce duplicated software development, improve code quality through shared review, enable more direct comparison of results across facilities, and facilitate the movement of students, postdoctoral researchers, and collaborators between laboratories. We describe the motivation, architecture, collaboration model, shared technical capabilities, and early cross-testbed examples of CATKit2-HCI as a framework for accelerating coronagraph technology development.

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Searching for GEMS: Three warm Saturns and a super-Jupiter orbiting four early M-dwarfs

We report the confirmation and characterization of four transiting giant planets orbiting early-M dwarfs discovered by the Searching for Giant Exoplanets around M-dwarf Stars (GEMS) survey: TOI-7189 b, TOI-7265B b, TOI-7393 b, and TOI-7394B b. Joint modeling of TESS and ground-based photometry with precision radial velocities from the Habitable-zone Planet Finder and NEID spectrographs yields self-consistent orbital and physical parameters for all systems. The planets have short orbital periods ($P = 1.25-4.17$ days), masses spanning from $0.5\,M_{\rm J}$ to $2.1\,M_{\rm J}$, and radii comparable to Jupiter ($0.95\,R_{\rm J} < R_p < 1.02\,R_{\rm J}$). TOI-7189 b ($0.50\,M_{\rm J}$), TOI-7265B b ($0.71\,M_{\rm J}$), and TOI-7393 b ($0.61\,M_{\rm J}$) are Saturn-like in mass and density, whereas TOI-7394B b is a dense super-Jupiter ($2.10\,M_{\rm J}$, $ρ_p \approx 2.4$ g cm$^{-3}$) on a 1.25-day orbit. All hosts are early-M dwarfs with a narrow range of stellar properties, enabling a controlled comparison of giant-planet outcomes around low-mass stars. Three systems orbit super-solar metallicity stars, while TOI-7393 ($\mathrm{[Fe/H]} = -0.35 \pm 0.16$) is the most metal-poor GEMS host identified to date, and exhibits kinematics approaching the thin/thick-disk transition, suggestive of an older stellar population. Together, these systems reveal substantial diversity in the masses and bulk properties of short-period giant planets orbiting early-M dwarfs, demonstrating that markedly different planetary outcomes can arise around stars with otherwise similar fundamental properties.

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Characterizing Earth analogs may require a moderate or high-resolution spectrograph

A primary goal of the Habitable Worlds Observatory (HWO) is to detect and measure the abundance of biosignature molecules, such as water (H2O) and oxygen (O2), in the atmosphere of Earth analogs. This is expected to require deep spectroscopic observations lasting hundreds of hours per planet. In this context, it is essential to optimize the spectral resolution of the spectrograph to both maximize the number of planets that can be studied over the lifetime of the mission, and also to reduce the risks of false detections. The purpose of this work is to provide a framework to explore the spectral resolution design trade-space for HWO. This framework must be valid and comparable across all spectral resolutions from low (R<100) to high resolutions (R>10,000), and account for the spectral correlation of the residual starlight (i.e., speckle noise chromaticity). Leveraging the concept of "template matching", we develop a simulation toolkit based on the Python package EXOSIMS to compute the detection significance of planets and molecules. We then simulate observations of Earth analogs around 164 stars using representative mission parameters to explore the effects of the detector noise and the correlated speckle noise floor. Our findings suggest that a moderate or high resolution spectrograph (R>1,000) will provide higher sensitivity to critical molecules compared to a low resolution spectroscopy mode (e.g., R~140). The correlated speckle noise may also entirely suppress our ability to detect bio-signatures at low spectral resolutions. We conclude that a more comprehensive study combined with detailed models of its stability, and other sources of correlated noise, is necessary to fully explore the trade space of spectral resolution and detectability of key species.

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Habitable Worlds Observatory's Concept and Technology Maturation: Initial Feasibility and Trade Space Exploration

The Habitable Worlds Observatory is the first telescope ever designed to search for life and will be a powerhouse of discovery across topics in astrophysics. The observatory was the top recommendation of the Astro2020 Decadal Survey for large missions and a new HWO Technology Maturation Project Office was formed in August 2024 to mature the architecture, science and technology. In this paper we review the overall approach taken to mature the mission concept. We show progress on architecture development, integrated modeling, science cases, and technology roadmaps consistent with pre-formulation studies. We discuss plans for instrument studies and international engagement and science engagement including a Community Science and Instrument Team. Finally, we describe the plan forward to the Mission Concept Review.

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Discovery of a Nearby Habitable Zone Super-Earth Candidate Amenable to Direct Imaging

We present the discovery of GJ 251 c, a candidate super-Earth orbiting in the Habitable Zone (HZ) of its M dwarf host star. Using high-precision Habitable-zone Planet Finder (HPF) and NEID RVs, in conjunction with archival RVs from the Keck I High Resolution Echelle Spectrometer (HIRES), the Calar Alto high-Resolution search for M dwarfs with Exoearths with Near-infrared and optical Echelle Spectrograph (CARMENES), and the SPectropolarimètre InfraROUge (SPIRou), we improve the measured parameters of the known planet, GJ 251 b ($P_{b}$ = 14.2370 days; $m \sin(i)$ = 3.85$^{+0.35}_{-0.33}$ M$_{\oplus}$), and we significantly constrain the minimum mass of GJ 251 c, placing it in a plausibly terrestrial regime (P$_{c}$ = 53.647 $\pm$ 0.044 days; $ m \sin i_{c}$ = 3.84 $\pm$ 0.75 M$_{\oplus}$). Using activity mitigation techniques that leverage chromatic information content, we perform a color-dependent analysis of the system and a detailed comparison of more than 50 models that describe the nature of the planets and stellar activity in the system. Due to GJ 251's proximity to Earth (5.5 pc), next generation, thirty meter class telescopes will likely be able to image terrestrial planets in GJ 251's HZ. In fact, GJ 251 c is currently the best candidate for terrestrial, HZ planet imaging in the Northern Sky.

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Habitable World Discovery and Characterization: Coronagraph Concept of Operations and Data Post-Processing

The discovery and characterization of habitable worlds was the top scientific recommendation of the Astro2020 decadal survey and is a key objective of the Habitable Worlds Observatory. Biosignature identification drives exceedingly challenging observations, which require raw contrasts of roughly 10$^{-10}$ contrast and ultimately, 1$σ$ photometric precision of roughly 3$\times 10^{-12}$ contrast. Despite significant advances for the Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope's Coronagraph Instrument, technological gaps still exist in a wide range of technologies such as starlight suppression, deformable mirrors, wavefront control, low noise detectors, and high-contrast spectroscopy. Even with these new technologies matured, the Habitable Worlds Observatory must carefully obtain the observations and rely on post-processing of the data to achieve its science objectives. During the START and TAG efforts, a working group was convened to explore the Coronagraph Concept of Operations and Post Processing (COPP) in the context of the Habitable Worlds Observatory. This COPP working group evaluated coronagraphic concept of operations to enable different post processing approaches, such as reference differential imaging and angular differential imaging, polarization differential imaging, orbital differential imaging, coherent differential imaging, spectral processing, and point-spread function subtraction algorithms that incorporate ancillary telemetry and data. Future integrated modeling simulations and testbed demonstrations are needed to determine the achievable post processing gains for each approach. We report a summary of this working group's activities and findings, as well as an outlook for maturation of these techniques and infusion into the Habitable Worlds Observatory technology portfolio.

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The NEID Earth Twin Survey. III. Survey Performance After Three Years on Sky

The NEID Earth Twin Survey (NETS) has been delivering a rich set of precise radial velocity (RV) measurements for 41 bright, nearby main sequence stars. Here, we describe the status of the survey after three years on sky and we present the full set of RV measurements and accompanying stellar activity indicators. We discuss intermediate survey diagnostics, including calibration of the known RV zero point offset introduced following the Contreras fire in 2022 and the identification of an undiagnosed and previously unknown zero point offset in 2021. An analysis of our data set using RVSearch demonstrates that for these target stars, NEID is independently sensitive to nearly all known planets with periods shorter than the NETS observing baseline. We also highlight a number of newly detected RV signals, which present exciting opportunities for future investigations.

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Time-resolved p-mode oscillations for subgiant HD 142091 with NEID at WIYN

Detections of Earth-analog planets in radial velocity observations are limited by stellar astrophysical variability occurring on a variety of timescales. Current state-of-the-art methods to disentangle potential planet signals from intrinsic stellar signals assume that stellar signals introduce asymmetries to the line profiles that can therefore be separated from the pure translational Doppler shifts of planets. Here, we examine this assumption using a time series of resolved stellar p-mode oscillations in HD 142091 ($κ$ CrB), as observed on a single night with the NEID spectrograph at 2-minute cadence and with 25 cm/s precision. As an evolved subgiant star, this target has p-mode oscillations that are larger in amplitude (4-8 m/s) and occur on longer timescales (80 min.) than those of typical Sun-like stars of RV surveys, magnifying their corresponding effects on the stellar spectral profile. We show that for HD 142091, p-mode oscillations manifest primarily as pure Doppler shifts in the average line profile -- measured by the cross-correlation function (CCF) -- with "shape-driven" CCF variations as a higher-order effect. Specifically, we find that the amplitude of the shift varies across the CCF bisector, with 10% larger oscillation amplitudes closer to the core of the CCF, and 25% smaller oscillation amplitudes for bisector velocities derived near the wings; we attribute this trend to larger oscillation velocities higher in the stellar atmosphere. Using a line-by-line analysis, we verify that a similar trend is seen as a function of average line depth, with deeper lines showing larger oscillation amplitudes. Finally, we find no evidence that p-mode oscillations have a chromatic dependence across the NEID bandpass beyond that due to intrinsic line depth differences across the spectrum.

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The NEID Earth Twin Survey. II. Dynamical Masses in Seven High-acceleration Star Systems

We present a set of companion dynamical masses and orbital parameters of seven star systems from the NEID Earth Twin Survey with significant absolute astrometric accelerations between the epochs of Hipparcos and Gaia. These include four binary star systems (HD 68017 AB, 61 Cygni AB, HD 24496 AB, and HD 4614 AB) and three planetary systems (HD 217107, HD 190360, and HD 154345). Our analyses incorporate a long baseline of RVs that includes over 1100 previously unpublished measurements from NEID and MINERVA, extending the overall RV baseline for each system by $\approx$2.5 years, as well as relative astrometry for the stellar binary systems where the positions of both stars are well-measured. In each case, the combination of astrometry and RVs constrains the three-dimensional acceleration of the host star and enables precise dynamical masses. We publish true masses for three planets whose measurements were previously entangled with their inclinations, four stellar masses with $\lesssim$1% relative precision, and improved orbital solutions for all seven systems, including the first for HD 24496 AB. These solutions not only agree with previous estimates, but also improve their fidelity. We also explore each system for evidence of periodic signals in the residuals around our best-fit models, and discuss the potential that the three planetary systems have for being directly imaged. With dynamical mass estimates and reliable orbit ephemerides, these seven star systems represent promising benchmarks for future stellar and planetary characterization efforts, and are amenable for further improvement with the upcoming release of Gaia epoch astrometry.

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Probing the Outskirts of M Dwarf Planetary Systems with a Cycle 1 JWST NIRCam Coronagraphy Survey

The population of giant planets on wide orbits around low-mass M dwarf stars is poorly understood, but the unprecedented sensitivity of JWST NIRCam coronagraphic imaging now provides direct access to planets significantly less massive than Jupiter beyond 10 AU around the closest, youngest M dwarfs. We present the design, observations, and results of JWST GTO Program 1184, a Cycle 1 NIRCam coronagraphic imaging survey of 9 very nearby and young low-mass stars at 3-5 micron wavelengths. In the F356W and F444W filters, we achieve survey median 5-sigma contrasts deeper than 10-5 at a separation of 1", corresponding to 0.20 MJup in F444W and 1.30 MJup in F356W at planet-star separations of 10 AU. Our results include 3-5 micron debris disk detections and the identification of many extended and point-like sources in the final post-processed images. In particular, we have identified two marginal point source candidates having fluxes and color limits consistent with model predictions for young sub-Jupiter mass exoplanets. Under the assumption that neither candidate is confirmed, we place the first direct-imaging occurrence constraints on M dwarf wide-orbit (semimajor axes 10-100 AU), sub-Jupiter mass exoplanets (0.3-1 MJup). We find frequency limits of < 0.10 and < 0.16 objects per star with 1 and 3-sigma confidence, respectively. This survey brings to the forefront the unprecedented capabilities of JWST NIRCam coronagraphic imaging when targeting young, low-mass stars and acts as a precursor to broader surveys to place deep statistical constraints on wide-orbit, sub-Jupiter mass planets around M dwarfs.

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The JWST Early Release Science Program for Direct Observations of Exoplanetary Systems III: Aperture Masking Interferometric Observations of the star HIP 65426 at 3.8 um

We present aperture masking interferometry (AMI) observations of the star HIP 65426 at $3.8\,\rm{μm}$ as a part of the JWST Direct Imaging Early Release Science (ERS) program obtained using the Near Infrared Imager and Slitless Spectrograph (NIRISS) instrument. This mode provides access to very small inner working angles (even separations slightly below the Michelson limit of $0.5λ/D$ for an interferometer), which are inaccessible with the classical inner working angles of the JWST coronagraphs. When combined with JWST's unprecedented infrared sensitivity, this mode has the potential to probe a new portion of parameter space across a wide array of astronomical observations. Using this mode, we are able to achieve a $5σ$ contrast of $Δm{\sim}7.62{\pm}0.13$ mag relative to the host star at separations ${\gtrsim}0.07{"}$, and the contrast deteriorates steeply at separations ${\lesssim}0.07{"}$. However, we detect no additional companions interior to the known companion HIP 65426 b (at separation ${\sim}0.82{"}$ or, $87^{+108}_{-31}\,\rm{au}$). Our observations thus rule out companions more massive than $10{-}12\,\rm{M_{Jup}}$ at separations ${\sim}10{-}20\,\rm{au}$ from HIP 65426, a region out of reach of ground or space-based coronagraphic imaging. These observations confirm that the AMI mode on JWST is sensitive to planetary mass companions at close-in separations (${\gtrsim}0.07{"}$), even for thousands of more distant stars at $\sim$100 pc, in addition to the stars in the nearby young moving groups as stated in previous works. This result will allow the planning and successful execution of future observations to probe the inner regions of nearby stellar systems, opening an essentially unexplored parameter space.

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Jitter Across 15 Years: Leveraging Precise Photometry from Kepler and TESS to Extract Exoplanets from Radial Velocity Time Series

Stellar activity contamination of radial velocity (RV) data is one of the top challenges plaguing the field of extreme precision RV (EPRV) science. Previous work has shown that photometry can be very effective at removing such signals from RV data, especially stellar activity caused by rotating star spots and plage.The exact utility of photometry for removing RV activity contamination, and the best way to apply it, is not well known. We present a combination photometric and RV study of eight Kepler/K2 FGK stars with known stellar variability. We use NEID RVs acquired simultaneously with TESS photometry, and we perform injection recovery tests to quantify the efficacy of recent TESS photometry versus archival Kepler/K2 photometry for removing stellar variability from RVs. We additionally experiment with different TESS sectors when training our models in order to quantify the real benefit of simultaneously acquired RVs and photometry. We conclude that Kepler photometry typically performs better than TESS at removing noise from RV data when it is available, likely due to longer baseline and precision. In contrast, for targets with available K2 photometry, especially those most active, and with high precision ($σ_{NEID}$ $<$ 1 m s$^{-1}$) NEID RVs, TESS may be the more informative dataset. However, contrary to expectations, we have found that training on simultaneous photometry does not always achieve the best results.

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Quiet Please: Detrending Radial Velocity Variations from Stellar Activity with a Physically Motivated Spot Model

For solar-type stars, spots and their associated magnetic regions induce radial velocity perturbations through the Doppler rotation signal and the suppression of convective blueshift -- collectively known as rotation-modulation. We developed the Rotation-Convection (RC) model: a method of detrending and characterizing rotation-modulation, using only cross-correlation functions or 1-dimensional spectra, without the need for continuous high cadence measurements. The RC method uses a simple model for the anomalous radial velocity induced by an active region and has two inputs: stellar flux (or a flux proxy) and the relative radial velocity between strongly and weakly absorbed wavelengths (analogous to the bisector-inverse slope). On NEID solar data (three month baseline), the RC model lowers the amplitude of rotationally-modulated stellar activity to below the meter-per-second level. For the standard star HD 26965, the RC model detrends the activity signal to the meter-per-second level for HARPS, EXPRES, and NEID observations, even though the temporal density and timespan of the observations differs by an order of magnitude between the three datasets. In addition to detrending, the RC model also characterizes the rotation-modulation signal. From comparison with the Solar Dynamics Observatory, we confirmed that the model accurately recovers and separates the rotation and convection radial velocity components. We also mapped the amplitude of the rotation and convection perturbations as a function of height within the stellar atmosphere. Probing stellar atmospheres with our revised spot model will fuel future innovations in stellar activity mitigation, enabling robust exoplanet detection.

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Utilizing Photometry from Multiple Sources to Mitigate Stellar Variability in Precise Radial Velocities: A Case Study of Kepler-21

We present a new analysis of Kepler-21, the brightest (V = 8.5) Kepler system with a known transiting exoplanet, Kepler-21 b. Kepler-21 b is a radius valley planet ($R = 1.6\pm 0.2 R_{\oplus}$) with an Earth-like composition (8.38$\pm$1.62 g/cc), though its mass and radius fall in the regime of possible "water worlds." We utilize new Keck/HIRES and WIYN/NEID radial velocity (RV) data in conjunction with Kepler and TESS photometry to perform a detailed study of activity mitigation between photometry and RVs. We additionally refine the system parameters, and we utilize Gaia astrometry to place constraints on a long-term RV trend. Our activity analysis affirms the quality of Kepler photometry for removing correlated noise from RVs, despite its temporal distance, though we reveal some cases where TESS may be superior. Using refined orbital parameters and updated composition curves, we rule out a ``water world" scenario for Kepler-21 b, and we identify a long period super-Jupiter planetary candidate, Kepler-21 (c).

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The JWST Early Release Science Program for Direct Observations of Exoplanetary Systems II: A 1 to 20 Micron Spectrum of the Planetary-Mass Companion VHS 1256-1257 b

We present the highest fidelity spectrum to date of a planetary-mass object. VHS 1256 b is a $<$20 M$_\mathrm{Jup}$ widely separated ($\sim$8\arcsec, a = 150 au), young, planetary-mass companion that shares photometric colors and spectroscopic features with the directly imaged exoplanets HR 8799 c, d, and e. As an L-to-T transition object, VHS 1256 b exists along the region of the color-magnitude diagram where substellar atmospheres transition from cloudy to clear. We observed VHS 1256~b with \textit{JWST}'s NIRSpec IFU and MIRI MRS modes for coverage from 1 $μ$m to 20 $μ$m at resolutions of $\sim$1,000 - 3,700. Water, methane, carbon monoxide, carbon dioxide, sodium, and potassium are observed in several portions of the \textit{JWST} spectrum based on comparisons from template brown dwarf spectra, molecular opacities, and atmospheric models. The spectral shape of VHS 1256 b is influenced by disequilibrium chemistry and clouds. We directly detect silicate clouds, the first such detection reported for a planetary-mass companion.

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