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Michel De Lara

Publications and source records attributed to Michel De Lara.

18 recordsLinked to original sources

Optimal Operation and Valuation of Electricity Storages

This paper applies computational techniques of convex stochastic optimization to optimal operation and valuation of electricity storages in the face of uncertain electricity prices. Our approach is applicable to various specifications of storages, and it allows for e.g.\ hard constraints on storage capacity and charging speed. Our valuations are based on the indifference pricing principle, which builds on optimal trading strategies and calibrates to the user's initial position, market views and risk preferences. We illustrate the effects of storage capacity and charging speed by numerically computing the valuations using stochastic dual dynamic programming.

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Lower Bound Convex Programs for Exact Sparse Optimization

In exact sparse optimization problems on Rd (also known as sparsity constrained problems), one looks for solution that have few nonzero components. In this paper, we consider problems where sparsity is exactly measured either by the nonconvex l0 pseudonorm (and not by substitute penalty terms) or by the belonging of the solution to a finite union of subsets. Due to the combinatorial nature of the sparsity constraint, such problems do not generally display convexity properties, even if the criterion to minimize is convex. In the most common approach to tackle them, one replaces the sparsity constraint by a convex penalty term, supposed to induce sparsity. Thus doing, one loses the original exact sparse optimization problem, but gains convexity. However, by doing so, it is not clear that one obtains a lower bound of the original exact sparse optimization problem. In this paper, we propose another approach, where we lose convexity but where we gain at keeping the original exact sparse optimization formulation, by displaying lower bound convex minimization programs. For this purpose , we introduce suitable conjugacies, induced by a novel class of one-sided linear couplings. Thus equipped, we present a systematic way to design norms and lower bound convex minimization programs over their unit ball. The family of norms that we display encompasses most of the sparsity inducing norms used in machine learning. Therefore, our approach provides foundation and interpretation for their use.

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A Suitable Conjugacy for the l0 Pseudonorm

The so-called l0 pseudonorm on R d counts the number of nonzero components of a vector. It is well-known that the l0 pseudonorm is not convex, as its Fenchel biconjugate is zero. In this paper, we introduce a suitable conjugacy, induced by a novel coupling, Caprac, having the property of being constant along primal rays, like the l0 pseudonorm. The Caprac coupling belongs to the class of one-sided linear couplings, that we introduce. We show that they induce conjugacies that share nice properties with the classic Fenchel conjugacy. For the Caprac conjugacy, induced by the coupling Caprac, we prove that the l0 pseudonorm is equal to its biconjugate: hence, the l0 pseudonorm is Caprac-convex in the sense of generalized convexity. As a corollary, we show that the l0 pseudonorm coincides, on the sphere, with a convex lsc function. We also provide expressions for conjugates in terms of two families of dual norms, the 2-k-symmetric gauge norms and the k-support norms.

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Fenchel-Moreau Conjugation Inequalities with Three Couplings and Application to Stochastic Bellman Equation

Given two couplings between "primal" and "dual" sets, we prove a general implication that relates an inequality involving "primal" sets to a reverse inequality involving the "dual" sets.% More precisely, let be given two "primal" sets $\PRIMAL$, $\PRIMALBIS$and two "dual" sets $\DUAL$, $\DUALBIS$, together with two {coupling} functions \(\PRIMAL \overset{\coupling}{\leftrightarrow} \DUAL \) and \(\PRIMALBIS \overset{\couplingbis}{\leftrightarrow} \DUALBIS \). We define a new coupling \(\SumCoupling{\coupling}{\couplingbis} \) between the "primal" product set~$\PRIMAL \times \PRIMALBIS$ and the "dual" product set $\DUAL \times \DUALBIS$. Then, we consider any bivariate function \(\kernel : \PRIMAL \times \PRIMALBIS \to \barRR \) and univariate functions \(\fonctionprimal : \PRIMAL \to \barRR \) and \(\fonctionprimalbis : \PRIMALBIS \to \barRR \), all defined on the "primal" sets. We prove that \(\fonctionprimal\np{\primal} \geq \inf\_{\primalbis \in \PRIMALBIS} \Bp{\kernel\np{\primal, \primalbis} \UppPlus \fonctionprimalbis\np{\primalbis}} \) \( \Rightarrow \SFM{\fonctionprimal}{\coupling}\np{\dual} \leq \inf\_{\dualbis \in \DUALBIS} \Bp{\SFM{\kernel}{\SumCoupling{\coupling}{\couplingbis}}\np{\dual,\dualbis} \UppPlus \SFM{\fonctionprimalbis}{-\couplingbis}\np{\dualbis}} \), where we stress that the Fenchel-Moreau conjugates \(\SFM{\fonctionprimal}{\coupling} \) and \(\SFM{\fonctionprimalbis}{-\couplingbis}\) are not necessarily taken with the same coupling. We study the equality case, after having established the classical Fenchel inequality but with a general coupling. % We display several applications. We provide a new formula for the Fenchel-Moreau conjugate of a generalized inf-convolution. We obtain formulas with partial Fenchel-Moreau conjugates. Finally, we consider the Bellman equation in stochastic dynamic programming and we provide a "Bellman-like" equation for the Fenchel conjugates of the value functions.

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Stochastic Optimization of Braking Energy Storage and Ventilation in a Subway Station

In the Paris subway system, stations represent about one third of the overall energy consumption. Within stations, ventilation is among the top consuming devices; it is operated at maximum airflow all day long, for air quality reasons. In this paper, we present a concept of energy system that displays comparable air quality while consuming much less energy. The system comprises a battery that makes it possible to recover the trains braking energy, arriving under the form of erratic and strong peaks. We propose an energy management system (EMS) that, at short time scale, controls energy flows and ventilation airflow. By using proper optimization algorithms, we manage to match supply with demand, while minimizing energy daily costs. For this purpose, we have designed algorithms that take into account the braking variability. They are based on the so-called Stochastic Dynamic Programming (SDP) mathematical framework. We fairly compare SDP based algorithms with the widespread Model Predictive Control (MPC) ones. First, both SDP and MPC yield energy/money operating savings of the order of one third, compared to the current management without battery (our figure does not include the cost of the battery). Second, depending on the specific design, we observe that SDP outperforms MPC by a few percent, with an easier online numerical implementation.

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Robust Viability Analysis of a Controlled Epidemiological Model

Managing infectious diseases is a world public health issue, plagued by uncertainties. In this paper, we analyze the problem of viable control of a dengue outbreak under uncertainty. For this purpose, we develop a controlled Ross-Macdonald model in discrete time, with mosquito vector control by fumigation and with uncertainties affecting the dynamics. The robust viability kernel is the set of all initial states such that there exists at least a strategy of insecticide spraying which guarantees that the number of infected people remains below a threshold, for all times, and whatever the sequences of uncertainties (scenarios). Having chosen three nested subsets of uncertainties - a deterministic one (without uncertainty), a medium one and a large one - we can measure the incidence of the uncertainties on the size of the kernel, in particular on its reduction with respect to the de-terministic case. The numerical results show that the viability kernel without uncertainties is highly sensitive to the variability of parameters - here the biting rate, the probability of infection to mosquitoes and humans, and the proportion of female mosquitoes per person. So the robust viability kernel is a possible tool to reveal the importance of uncertainties regarding epidemics control.

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A Mathematical Framework for Resilience: Dynamics, Uncertainties, Strategies and Recovery Regimes

Resilience is a rehashed concept in natural hazard management - resilience of cities to earthquakes, to floods, to fire, etc. In a word, a system is said to be resilient if there exists a strategy that can drive the system state back to "normal" after any perturbation. What formal flesh can we put on such a malleable notion? We propose to frame the concept of resilience in the mathematical garbs of control theory under uncertainty. Our setting covers dynamical systems both in discrete or continuous time, deterministic or subject to uncertainties. We will say that a system state is resilient if there exists an adaptive strategy such that the generated state and control paths, contingent on uncertainties, lay within an acceptable domain of random processes, called recovery regimes. We point out how such recovery regimes can be delineated thanks to so called risk measures, making the connection with resilience indicators. Our definition of resilience extends others, be they "` a la Holling" or rooted in viability theory. Indeed, our definition of resilience is a form of controlability for whole random processes (regimes), whereas others require that the state values must belong to an acceptable subset of the state set.

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Stochastic optimal control of a domestic microgrid equipped with solar panel and battery

Microgrids are integrated systems that gather and operate energy production units to satisfy consumers demands. This paper details different mathematical methods to design the Energy Management System (EMS) of domestic microgrids. We consider different stocks coupled together - a battery, a domestic hot water tank - and decentralized energy production with solar panel. The main challenge of the EMS is to ensure, at least cost, that supply matches demand for all time, while considering the inherent uncertainties of such systems. We benchmark two optimization algorithms to manage the EMS, and compare them with a heuristic. The Model Predictive Control (MPC) is a well known algorithm which models the future uncertainties with a deterministic forecast. By contrast, Stochastic Dual Dynamic Programming (SDDP) models the future uncertainties as probability distributions to compute optimal policies. We present a fair comparison of these two algorithms to control microgrid. A comprehensive numerical study shows that i) optimization algorithms achieve significant gains compared to the heuristic, ii) SDDP outperforms MPC by a few percents, with a reasonable computational overhead.

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A Mathematical Framework for Resilience: Dynamics, Strategies, Shocks and Acceptable Paths

Resilience is a rehashed concept in natural hazard management - resilience of cities to earthquakes, to floods, to fire, etc. In a word, a system is said to be resilient if there exists a strategy that can drive the system state back to "normal" (acceptable states) after a shock. What formal flesh can we put on such malleable notion? We propose to frame the concept of resilience in the mathematical garbs of control theory under uncertainty. Our setting covers dynamical systems both in discrete or continuous time, deterministic or subject to uncertainties. Our definition of resilience extends others, be they "a la Holling" or rooted in viability theory. Indeed, we require that, after a shock, the system returns to an acceptable "regime" , that is, that the state-control path as a whole must return to a set of acceptable paths (and not only the state values must belong to an acceptable subset of the state set). More generally, as state and control paths are contingent on uncertainties, we require that their tails processes must lay within acceptable domains of stochastic processes. We end by pointing out how such domains can be delineated thanks to so called risk measures.

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Adaptive Strategies for The Open-Pit Mine Optimal Scheduling Problem

Within the mining discipline, mine planning is the component that studies how to transform the information about the ore resources into value for the owner. For open-pit mines, an optimal block scheduling maximizes the discounted value of the extracted blocks (period by period), called the net present value (NPV). However, to be feasible, a mine schedule must respect the slope constraints. The optimal open-pit block scheduling problem (OPBSP) consists, therefore, in finding such an optimal schedule. On the one hand, we introduce the dynamical optimization approach to mine scheduling in the deterministic case, and we propose a class of (suboptimal) adaptive strategies, the so-called index strategies. We show that they provide upper and lower bounds for the NPV, and we provide numerical results. On the other hand, we introduce a theoretical framework for OPBSP under uncertainty and learning.

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Viable Control of an Epidemiological Model

In mathematical epidemiology, epidemic control often aims at driving the number of infected individuals to zero, asymptotically. However , during the transitory phase, the number of infected can peak at high values. In this paper, we consider mosquito vector control in the Ross-Macdonald epidemiological model, with the goal of capping the proportion of infected by dengue at the peak. We formulate this problem as one of control of a dynamical system under state constraint. We allow for time-dependent fumigation rates to reduce the population of mosquito vector, in order to maintain the proportion of infected individuals by dengue below a threshold for all times. The so-called viability kernel is the set of initial states (mosquitoes and infected individuals) for which such a fumigation control trajectory exists. Depending on whether the cap on the proportion of infected is low, high or medium, we provide different expressions of the viability kernel. We also characterize so-called viable policies that produce, at each time, a fumigation rate as a function of current proportions of infected humans and mosquitoes, such that the proportion of infected humans remains below a threshold for all times. We provide a numerical application in the case of control of a dengue outbreak in 2013 in Cali, Colombia.

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Ecosystem Viable Yields

The World Summit on Sustainable Development (Johannesburg, 2002) encouraged the application of the ecosystem approach by 2010. However, at the same Summit, the signatory States undertook to restore and exploit their stocks at maximum sustainable yield (MSY), a concept and practice without ecosystemic dimension, since MSY is computed species by species, on the basis of a monospecific model. Acknowledging this gap, we propose a definition of "ecosystem viable yields" (EVY) as yields compatible i) with guaranteed biological safety levels for all time and ii) with an ecosystem dynamics. To the difference of MSY, this notion is not based on equilibrium, but on viability theory, which offers advantages for robustness. For a generic class of multispecies models with harvesting, we provide explicit expressions for the EVY. We apply our approach to the anchovy--hake couple in the Peruvian upwelling ecosystem.

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Dynamic consistency for Stochastic Optimal Control problems

For a sequence of dynamic optimization problems, we aim at discussing a notion of consistency over time. This notion can be informally introduced as follows. At the very first time step $t_0$, the decision maker formulates an optimization problem that yields optimal decision rules for all the forthcoming time step $t_0, t_1, ..., T$; at the next time step $t_1$, he is able to formulate a new optimization problem starting at time $t_1$ that yields a new sequence of optimal decision rules. This process can be continued until final time $T$ is reached. A family of optimization problems formulated in this way is said to be time consistent if the optimal strategies obtained when solving the original problem remain optimal for all subsequent problems. The notion of time consistency, well-known in the field of Economics, has been recently introduced in the context of risk measures, notably by Artzner et al. (2007) and studied in the Stochastic Programming framework by Shapiro (2009) and for Markov Decision Processes (MDP) by Ruszczynski (2009). We here link this notion with the concept of "state variable" in MDP, and show that a significant class of dynamic optimization problems are dynamically consistent, provided that an adequate state variable is chosen.

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Environmental Noise Variability in Population Dynamics Matrix Models

The impact of environmental variability on population size growth rate in dynamic models is a recurrent issue in the theoretical ecology literature. In the scalar case, R. Lande pointed out that results are ambiguous depending on whether the noise is added at arithmetic or logarithmic scale, while the matrix case has been investigated by S. Tuljapurkar. Our contribution consists first in introducing another notion of variability than the widely used variance or coefficient of variation, namely the so-called convex orders. Second, in population dynamics matrix models, we focus on how matrix components depend functionaly on uncertain environmental factors. In the log-convex case, we show that, in a sense, environmental variability increases both mean population size and mean log-population size and makes them more variable. Our main result is that specific analytical dependence coupled with appropriate notion of variability lead to wide generic results, valid for all times and not only asymptotically, and requiring no assumptions of stationarity, of normality, of independency, etc. Though the approach is different, our conclusions are consistent with previous results in the literature. However, they make it clear that the analytical dependence on environmental factors cannot be overlooked when trying to tackle the influence of variability.

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Preferences Yielding the "Precautionary Effect"

Consider an agent taking two successive decisions to maximize his expected utility under uncertainty. After his first decision, a signal is revealed that provides information about the state of nature. The observation of the signal allows the decision-maker to revise his prior and the second decision is taken accordingly. Assuming that the first decision is a scalar representing consumption, the \emph{precautionary effect} holds when initial consumption is less in the prospect of future information than without (no signal). \citeauthor{Epstein1980:decision} in \citep*{Epstein1980:decision} has provided the most operative tool to exhibit the precautionary effect. Epstein's Theorem holds true when the difference of two convex functions is either convex or concave, which is not a straightforward property, and which is difficult to connect to the primitives of the economic model. Our main contribution consists in giving a geometric characterization of when the difference of two convex functions is convex, then in relating this to the primitive utility model. With this tool, we are able to study and unite a large body of the literature on the precautionary effect.

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Viable harvest of monotone bioeconomic models

Some monospecies age class models, as well as specific multi-species models (with so-called technical interactions), exhibit useful monotonicity properties. This paper deals with discrete time monotone bioeconomics dynamics in the presence of state and control constraints. In practice, these latter "acceptable configurations" represent production and preservation requirements to be satisfied for all time, and they also possess monotonicity properties. A state $x$ is said to belong to the viability kernel if there exists a trajectory, of states and controls, starting from $x$ and satisfying the constraints. Under monotonicity assumptions, we present upper and lower estimates of the viability kernel. This helps delineating domains where a viable management is possible. Numerical examples, in the context of fisheries management, for the Chilean sea bass (\emph{Dissostichus eleginoides}) and Alfonsino (\emph{Beryx splendens}) are given.

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Conditional Value-at-Risk Constraint and Loss Aversion Utility Functions

We provide an economic interpretation of the practice consisting in incorporating risk measures as constraints in a classic expected return maximization problem. For what we call the infimum of expectations class of risk measures, we show that if the decision maker (DM) maximizes the expectation of a random return under constraint that the risk measure is bounded above, he then behaves as a ``generalized expected utility maximizer'' in the following sense. The DM exhibits ambiguity with respect to a family of utility functions defined on a larger set of decisions than the original one; he adopts pessimism and performs first a minimization of expected utility over this family, then performs a maximization over a new decisions set. This economic behaviour is called ``Maxmin under risk'' and studied by Maccheroni (2002). This economic interpretation allows us to exhibit a loss aversion factor when the risk measure is the Conditional Value-at-Risk.

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Viability Kernel for Ecosystem Management Models

We consider sustainable management issues formulated within the framework of control theory. The problem is one of controlling a discrete--time dynamical system (e.g. population model) in the presence of state and control constraints, representing conflicting economic and ecological issues for instance. The viability kernel is known to play a basic role for the analysis of such problems and the design of viable control feedbacks, but its computation is not an easy task in general. We study the viability of nonlinear generic ecosystem models under preservation and production constraints. Under simple conditions on the growth rates at the boundary constraints, we provide an explicit description of the viability kernel. A numerical illustration is given for the hake--anchovy couple in the Peruvian upwelling ecosystem.

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