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Miguel Quartin

Publications and source records attributed to Miguel Quartin.

At least 37 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

Improving precision and accuracy in cosmology with model-independent spectrum and bispectrum

A new and promising avenue was recently developed for analyzing large-scale structure data with a model-independent approach, in which the linear power spectrum shape is parametrized with a large number of freely varying wavebands rather than by assuming specific cosmological models. We call this method FreePower. Here we show, using a Fisher matrix approach, that precision of this method for the case of the one-loop power spectrum is greatly improved with the inclusion of the tree-level bispectrum. We also show that accuracy can be similarly improved by employing perturbation theory kernels whose structure is entirely determined by symmetries instead of evolution equations valid in particular models (like in the usual Einstein-deSitter approximation). The main result is that with the Euclid survey one can precisely measure the Hubble function, distance and ($k$-independent) growth rate $f(z)$ in seven redshift bins in the range $z\in [0.6,\, 2.0]$. The typical errors for the lowest $z$bins are around 1\% (for $H$), 0.5--1\% (for $D$), and 1--3\% (for $f$). The use of general perturbation theory allows us, for the first time, to study constraints on the nonlinear kernels of cosmological perturbations, that is, beyond the linear growth factor, showing that they can be probed at the 10--20\% level. We find that the combination of spectrum and bispectrum is particularly effective in constraining the perturbation parameters, both at linear and quadratic order.

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Constraining Horndeski theory with gravitational waves from coalescing binaries

In the broad subclass of Horndeski theories with a luminal speed of gravitational waves, we derive gravitational waveforms emitted from a compact binary by considering the wave propagation on a spatially flat cosmological background. A scalar field nonminimally coupled to gravity gives rise to hairy neutron star (NS) solutions with a nonvanishing scalar charge, whereas black holes (BHs) do not have scalar hairs in such theories. A binary system containing at least one hairy neutron star modifies the gravitational waveforms in comparison to those of the BH-BH binary. Using the tensor gravitational waveforms, we forecast the constraints on a parameter characterizing the difference of scalar charges of NS-BH or NS-NS binaries for Advanced LIGO and Einstein Telescope. We illustrate how these constraints depend on redshift and signal-to-noise ratio, and on different possible priors. We show that in any case it is possible to constrain the scalar charge precisely, so that some scalarized NS solutions known in the literature can be excluded.

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The CMB cold spot under the lens: ruling out a supervoid interpretation

The Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB) anisotropies are thought to be statistically isotropic and Gaussian. However, several anomalies are observed, including the CMB Cold Spot, an unexpected cold $\sim 10^{\circ}$ region with $p$-value $\lesssim 0.01$ in standard $Λ$CDM. One of the proposed origins of the Cold Spot is an unusually large void on the line of sight, that would generate a cold region through the combination of integrated Sachs-Wolfe and Rees-Sciama effects. In the past decade extensive searches were conducted in large scale structure surveys, both in optical and infrared, in the same area for $z \lesssim 1$ and did find evidence of large voids, but of depth and size able to account for only a fraction of the anomaly. Here we analyze the lensing signal in the Planck CMB data and rule out the hypothesis that the Cold Spot could be due to a large void located anywhere between us and the surface of last scattering. In particular, computing the evidence ratio we find that a model with a large void is disfavored compared to $Λ$CDM, with odds 1 : 13 (1 : 20) for SMICA (NILC) maps, compared to the original odds 56 : 1 (21 : 1) using temperature data alone.

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CMB statistical isotropy confirmation at all scales using multipole vectors

We present an efficient numerical code and conduct, for the first time, a null and model-independent CMB test of statistical isotropy using Multipole Vectors (MVs) at all scales. Because MVs are insensitive to the angular power spectrum $C_\ell$, our results are independent from the assumed cosmological model. We avoid a posteriori choices and use pre-defined ranges of scales $\ell\in[2,30]$, $\ell\in[2,600]$ and $\ell\in[2,1500]$ in our analyses. We find that all four masked Planck maps, from both 2015 and 2018 releases, are in agreement with statistical isotropy for $\ell\in[2,30]$, $\ell\in[2,600]$. For $\ell\in[2,1500]$ we detect anisotropies but this is indicative of simply the anisotropy in the noise: there is no anisotropy for $\ell < 1300$ and an increasing level of anisotropy at higher multipoles. Our findings of no large-scale anisotropies seem to be a consequence of avoiding \emph{a posteriori} statistics. We also find that the degree of anisotropy in the full sky (i.e. unmasked) maps vary enormously (between less than 5 and over 1000 standard deviations) among the different mapmaking procedures and data releases.

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Unveiling the Universe with Emerging Cosmological Probes

The detection of the accelerated expansion of the Universe has been one of the major breakthroughs in modern cosmology. Several cosmological probes (CMB, SNe Ia, BAO) have been studied in depth to better understand the nature of the mechanism driving this acceleration, and they are being currently pushed to their limits, obtaining remarkable constraints that allowed us to shape the standard cosmological model. In parallel to that, however, the percent precision achieved has recently revealed apparent tensions between measurements obtained from different methods. These are either indicating some unaccounted systematic effects, or are pointing toward new physics. Following the development of CMB, SNe, and BAO cosmology, it is critical to extend our selection of cosmological probes. Novel probes can be exploited to validate results, control or mitigate systematic effects, and, most importantly, to increase the accuracy and robustness of our results. This review is meant to provide a state-of-art benchmark of the latest advances in emerging beyond-standard cosmological probes. We present how several different methods can become a key resource for observational cosmology. In particular, we review cosmic chronometers, quasars, gamma-ray bursts, standard sirens, lensing time-delay with galaxies and clusters, cosmic voids, neutral hydrogen intensity mapping, surface brightness fluctuations, stellar ages of the oldest objects, secular redshift drift, and clustering of standard candles. The review describes the method, systematics, and results of each probe in a homogeneous way, giving the reader a clear picture of the available innovative methods that have been introduced in recent years and how to apply them. The review also discusses the potential synergies and complementarities between the various probes, exploring how they will contribute to the future of modern cosmology.

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Fisher matrix for the one-loop galaxy power spectrum: measuring expansion and growth rates without assuming a cosmological model

We introduce a methodology to extend the Fisher matrix forecasts to mildly non-linear scales without the need of selecting a cosmological model. We make use of standard non-linear perturbation theory for biased tracers complemented by counterterms, and assume that the cosmological distances can be measured accurately with standard candles. Instead of choosing a specific model, we parametrize the linear power spectrum and the growth rate in several $k$ and $z$ bins. We show that one can then obtain model-independent constraints of the expansion rate $E(z)=H(z)/H_0$ and the growth rate $f(k,z)$, besides the bias functions. We apply the technique to both Euclid and DESI public specifications in the range $0.6\le z \le 1.8$ and show that the gain in precision when going from $k_{\rm max} = 0.1$ to $0.2\,h$/Mpc is around two- to threefold, while it reaches four- to ninefold when extending to $k_{\rm max} = 0.3\,h$/Mpc. In absolute terms, with $k_{\rm max}=0.2\,h/$Mpc, one can reach high precision on $E(z)$ at each $z$-shell: 8-10% for DESI with $Δz=0.1$, 5-6% for Euclid with $Δz=0.2-0.3$. This improves to 1-2% if the growth rate $f$ is taken to be $k$-independent. The growth rate itself has in general much weaker constraints, unless assumed to be $k$-independent, in which case the gain is similar to the one for $E(z)$ and uncertainties around 5-15% can be reached at each $z$-bin. We also discuss how neglecting the non-linear corrections can have a large effect on the constraints even for $k_{\rm max}=0.1\,h/$Mpc, unless one has independent strong prior information on the non-linear parameters.

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The lure of sirens: joint distance and velocity measurements with third generation detectors

The next generation of detectors will detect gravitational waves from binary neutron stars at cosmological distances, for which around a thousand electromagnetic follow-ups may be observed per year. So far, most work devoted to the expected cosmological impact of these standard sirens employed them only as distance indicators. Only recently their use as tracers of clustering, similar to what already proposed for supernovae, has been studied. Focusing on the expected specifications of the Einstein Telescope (ET), we forecast here the performance on cosmological parameters of future standard sirens as both distance and density indicators, with emphasis on the linear perturbation growth index and on spatial curvature. We improve upon previous studies in a number of ways: a more detailed analysis of available telescope time, the inclusion of more cosmological and nuisance parameters, the Alcock-Paczynski correction, the use of sirens also as both velocity and density tracers, and a more accurate estimation of the distance posterior. We find that the analysis of the clustering of sirens improves the constraints on $H_0$ by 30% and on $Ω_{k0}$ by over an order of magnitude, with respect to their use merely as distance indicators. With 5 years of joint ET and Rubin Observatory follow-ups we could reach precision of 0.1 km/s/Mpc in $H_0$ and 0.02 in $Ω_{k0}$ using only data in the range $0<z<0.5$. We also find that the use of sirens as tracers of density, and not only velocity, yields good improvements on the growth of structure constraints.

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The 6x2pt method: supernova velocities meet multiple tracers

We present a new methodology to analyse in a comprehensive way large-scale and supernovae (or any other distance indicator) surveys. Our approach combines galaxy and supernova position and redshift data with supernova peculiar velocities, obtained through their magnitude scatter, to construct a 6x2pt analysis which includes six power spectra. The 3x3 correlation matrix of these spectra expresses exhaustively the information content of the surveys at the linear level. We proceed then to forecast the performance of future surveys like LSST and 4MOST with a Fisher Matrix analysis, adopting both a model-dependent and a model-independent approach. We compare the performance of the 6x2pt approach to the traditional one using only galaxy clustering and some recently proposed combinations of galaxy and supernovae data and quantify the possible gains by optimally extracting the linear information. We show that the 6x2pt method shrinks the uncertainty area in the $σ_8, γ$ plane by more than half when compared to the traditional method. The combined clustering and velocity data on the growth of structures has uncertainties at similar levels to those of the CMB but exhibit orthogonal degeneracies, and the combined constraints yield improvements of factors of 5 in each of the five cosmological parameters here considered. Concerning the model-independent results, we find that our method can improve the constraints on $H(z)/H_0$ in all redshift bins by more than 70% with respect to the galaxy clustering alone and by 30% when supernova velocities (but not clustering) are considered, reaching a precision of 3-4% at high redshifts.

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First constraints on the intrinsic CMB dipole and our velocity with Doppler and aberration

We test the usual hypothesis that the Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB) dipole, its largest anisotropy, is due to our peculiar velocity with respect to the Hubble flow by measuring independently the Doppler and aberration effects on the CMB using Planck 2018 data. We remove the spurious contributions from the conversion of intensity into temperature and arrive at measurements which are independent from the CMB dipole itself for both temperature and polarization maps and both SMICA and NILC component-separation methods. Combining these new measurements with the dipole one we get the first constraints on the intrinsic CMB dipole. Assuming a standard dipolar lensing contribution we can put an upper limit on the intrinsic amplitude: 3.7 mK (95% CI). We estimate the peculiar velocity of the solar system without assuming a negligible intrinsic dipole contribution: $v = (300^{+111}_{-93})$ km/s with $(l,b) = (276 \pm 33, 51 \pm 19)^\circ$ [SMICA], and $v = (296^{+111}_{-88})$ km/s with $(l,b) = (280 \pm 33, 50 \pm 20)^\circ$ [NILC] with negligible systematic contributions. These values are consistent with the peculiar velocity hypothesis of the dipole.

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Disentangling Doppler modulation, aberration and the temperature dipole in the CMB

An observer in relative motion to the Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB) rest frame is sensitive to both aberration and Doppler effects. Both effects introduce similar but non-identical off-diagonal couplings in the spherical harmonic coefficients. The CMB temperature dipole may have additional contributions from an intrinsic component, which in turn produces different aberration and Doppler couplings. Moreover, the standard conversion from intensity measurements into temperature also introduces spurious Doppler-like couplings. In order to learn about the intrinsic dipole it is therefore important to measure both aberration and Doppler couplings in an independent manner while also removing the spurious contributions from unit conversion, which are degenerate with the dipole. Here we present a pipeline to measure the Doppler and aberration signal independently from each other and from the dipole itself. We also consider realistic beaming, noise and mask effects. Our pipeline results in independent and unbiased estimators which have uncertainties only ~20% larger than the simple theoretical expectations. We discuss the achievable precision in each measurement for Planck 2018, and also forecast them for future ground-based experiments with the Simons Observatory and CMB-S4. An alternative pipeline is presented in order to cross-check results and improve robustness.

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Measuring the Hubble function with standard candle clustering

Supernova Ia magnitude surveys measure the dimensionless luminosity distance $H_{0}D_{L}$. However, from the distances alone one cannot obtain quantities like $H(z)$ or the dark energy equation of state, unless further cosmological assumptions are imposed. Here we show that by measuring the power spectrum of density contrast and of peculiar velocities of supernovae one can estimate also $H(z)/H_{0}$ regardless of background or linearly perturbed cosmology and of galaxy-matter bias. This method, dubbed Clustering of Standard Candles (CSC) also yields the redshift distortion parameter $β(k,z)$ and the biased matter power spectrum in a model-independent way. We forecast that an optimistic (pessimistic) LSST may be able to constrain $H(z)/H_{0}$ to 5-13% (9-40%) in redshift bins of $Δz=0.1$ up to at least $z=0.6$.

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On the cosmological performance of photometrically classified supernovae with machine learning

The efficient classification of different types of supernova is one of the most important problems for observational cosmology. However, spectroscopic confirmation of most objects in upcoming photometric surveys, such as the The Rubin Observatory Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST), will be unfeasible. The development of automated classification processes based on photometry has thus become crucial. In this paper we investigate the performance of machine learning (ML) classification on the final cosmological constraints using simulated lightcurves from The Supernova Photometric Classification Challenge, released in 2010. We study the use of different feature sets for the lightcurves and many different ML pipelines based on either decision tree ensembles or automated search processes. To construct the final catalogs we propose a threshold selection method, by employing a \emph{Bias-Variance tradeoff}. This is a very robust and efficient way to minimize the Mean Squared Error. With this method we were able to get very strong cosmological constraints, which allowed us to keep $\sim 75\%$ of the total information in the type Ia SNe when using the SALT2 feature set and $\sim 33\%$ for the other cases (based on either the Newling model or on standard wavelet decomposition).

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On the amount of peculiar velocity field information in supernovae from LSST and beyond

Peculiar velocities introduce correlations between supernova magnitudes, which implies that the supernova Hubble diagram residual carries information on both the matter power spectrum at the present time and its growth rate. By a combination of brute-force exact computations of likelihoods and Fisher matrix analysis, we investigate how this information, which comes from supernova data only, depends on different survey parameters such as covered area, depth, and duration. We show that, for a survey like The Rubin Observatory Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) and a fixed redshift depth, the same observing time provides the same cosmological information whether one observes a larger area, or a smaller area during more years. We also show that although the peculiar velocity information is peaked in the range $z \in [0, 0.2]$, there is yet plenty of information in $z \in [0.2, 0.5]$, and for very high supernova number densities there is even more information in the latter range. We conclude that, after 5 years, LSST could measure $σ_8$ with an uncertainty of 0.17 with the current strategy, and that this could be improved to 0.09 if the supernova completeness is improved to 20%. Moreover, we forecast results considering the extra parameter $γ$, and show that this creates a non-linear degeneracy with $σ_8$ that makes the Fisher matrix analysis inadequate. Finally, we discuss the possibility of achieving competitive results with the current Zwicky Transient Facility.

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Breaking the spell of Gaussianity: forecasting with higher order Fisher matrices

We present the new method DALI (Derivative Approximation for LIkelihoods) for reconstructing and forecasting posteriors. DALI extends the Fisher Matrix formalism but allows for a much wider range of posterior shapes. While the Fisher Matrix formalism is limited to yield ellipsoidal confidence contours, our method can reproduce the often observed flexed, deformed or curved shapes of known posteriors. This gain in shape fidelity is obtained by expanding the posterior to higher order in derivatives with respect to parameters, such that non-Gaussianity in the parameter space is taken into account. The resulting expansion is positive definite and normalizable at every order. Here, we present the new technique, highlight its advantages and limitations, and show a representative application to a posterior of dark energy parameters from supernovae measurements.

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The effect of baryons in the cosmological lensing PDFs

Observational cosmology is passing through a unique moment of grandeur with the amount of quality data growing fast. However, in order to better take advantage of this moment, data analysis tools have to keep up the pace. Understanding the effect of baryonic matter on the large-scale structure is one of the challenges to be faced in cosmology. In this work, we have thoroughly studied the effect of baryonic physics on different lensing statistics. Making use of the Magneticum Pathfinder suite of simulations we show that the influence of luminous matter on the 1-point lensing statistics of point sources is significant, enhancing the probability of magnified objects with $μ>3$ by a factor of $2$ and the occurrence of multiple-images by a factor $5-500$ depending on the source redshift and size. We also discuss the dependence of the lensing statistics on the angular resolution of sources. Our results and methodology were carefully tested in order to guarantee that our uncertainties are much smaller than the effects here presented.

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Exploring cosmic origins with CORE: gravitational lensing of the CMB

Lensing of the CMB is now a well-developed probe of large-scale clustering over a broad range of redshifts. By exploiting the non-Gaussian imprints of lensing in the polarization of the CMB, the CORE mission can produce a clean map of the lensing deflections over nearly the full-sky. The number of high-S/N modes in this map will exceed current CMB lensing maps by a factor of 40, and the measurement will be sample-variance limited on all scales where linear theory is valid. Here, we summarise this mission product and discuss the science that it will enable. For example, the summed mass of neutrinos will be determined to an accuracy of 17 meV combining CORE lensing and CMB two-point information with contemporaneous BAO measurements, three times smaller than the minimum total mass allowed by neutrino oscillations. In the search for B-mode polarization from primordial gravitational waves with CORE, lens-induced B-modes will dominate over instrument noise, limiting constraints on the gravitational wave power spectrum amplitude. With lensing reconstructed by CORE, one can "delens" the observed polarization internally, reducing the lensing B-mode power by 60%. This improves to 70% by combining lensing and CIB measurements from CORE, reducing the error on the gravitational wave amplitude by 2.5 compared to no delensing (in the null hypothesis). Lensing measurements from CORE will allow calibration of the halo masses of the 40000 galaxy clusters that it will find, with constraints dominated by the clean polarization-based estimators. CORE can accurately remove Galactic emission from CMB maps with its 19 frequency channels. We present initial findings that show that residual Galactic foreground contamination will not be a significant source of bias for lensing power spectrum measurements with CORE. [abridged]

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Constraining the halo mass function with observations

The abundances of dark matter halos in the universe are described by the halo mass function (HMF). It enters most cosmological analyses and parametrizes how the linear growth of primordial perturbations is connected to these abundances. Interestingly, this connection can be made approximately cosmology independent. This made it possible to map in detail its near-universal behavior through large-scale simulations. However, such simulations may suffer from systematic effects, especially if baryonic physics is included. In this paper we ask how well observations can constrain directly the HMF. The observables we consider are galaxy cluster number counts, galaxy cluster power spectrum and lensing of type Ia supernovae. Our results show that DES is capable of putting the first meaningful constraints on the HMF, while both Euclid and J-PAS can give stronger constraints, comparable to the ones from state-of-the-art simulations. We also find that an independent measurement of cluster masses is even more important for measuring the HMF than for constraining the cosmological parameters, and can vastly improve the determination of the halo mass function. Measuring the HMF could thus be used to cross-check simulations and their implementation of baryon physics. It could even, if deviations cannot be accounted for, hint at new physics.

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CMB all-scale blackbody distortions induced by linearizing temperature

Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB) experiments, such as WMAP and Planck, measure intensity anisotropies and build maps using a linearized formula for relating them to the temperature blackbody fluctuations. However, this procedure also generates a signal in the maps in the form of y-type distortions which is degenerate with the thermal Sunyaev Zel'dovich (tSZ) effect. These are small effects that arise at second-order in the temperature fluctuations not from primordial physics but from such a limitation of the map-making procedure. They constitute a contaminant for measurements of: our peculiar velocity, the tSZ and primordial y-distortions. They can nevertheless be well-modeled and accounted for. We show that the distortions arise from a leakage of the CMB dipole into the y-channel which couples to all multipoles, mostly affecting the range $\ell$ < ~400. This should be visible in Planck's y-maps with an estimated signal-to-noise ratio of about 12. We note however that such frequency-dependent terms carry no new information on the nature of the CMB dipole. This implies that the real significance of Planck's Doppler coupling measurements is actually lower than reported by the collaboration. Finally, we quantify the level of contamination in tSZ and primordial y-type distortions and show that it is above the sensitivity of proposed next generation CMB experiments.

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