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Noah Sailer

Publications and source records attributed to Noah Sailer.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Optimal and exact wide-angle power spectrum estimation

What is the optimal power spectrum estimator on ultra-large scales where the plane-parallel approximation breaks down? Conventional estimators, such as the Yamamoto estimator, are only optimal in the plane-parallel limit, while their associated window functions are typically approximated by truncating a slowly converging infinite series. We address two outstanding challenges in the analysis of wide-angle power spectra. First, we derive the optimal estimator for a broad class of clustering signals and show that it is equivalent to a previously proposed two-$\ell$ generalization of the Yamamoto estimator. Second, we show how to write the exact two-$\ell$ window function as a finite number of terms that can be efficiently evaluated using FFTs. Our results apply to a wide range of observables, including redshift-space distortions (RSDs) and large-scale radial-velocity reconstruction from the kinetic Sunyaev-Zel'dovich effect. Focusing on linear-theory RSDs, we validate the finite window-function representation numerically and show that the two-$\ell$ estimator can yield order-unity improvements in the signal-to-noise ratio of ultra-large-scale power spectrum measurements.

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Dispu$τ$able: the high cost of a low optical depth

Recent baryonic acoustic oscillation (BAO) measurements from the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI) are mildly discrepant ($2.2σ$) with the cosmic microwave background (CMB) when interpreted within $Λ$CDM. When analyzing these data with extended cosmologies this inconsistency manifests as a $\simeq3σ$ preference for sub-minimal neutrino mass or evolving dark energy. It is known that the preference for sub-minimal neutrino mass from the suppression of structure growth could be alleviated by increasing the optical depth to reionization $τ$. We show that, because the CMB-inferred $τ$ is negatively correlated with the matter fraction, a larger optical depth resolves a similar preference from geometric constraints. Optical depths large enough to resolve the neutrino mass tension ($τ\sim0.09)$ reduce the preference for evolving dark energy from $\simeq3σ$ to $\simeq1.5σ$ and increase the CMB-inferred values of $n_s$ and $H_0$ to $0.968\pm0.004$ and $67.94\pm0.44$ km/s/Mpc, respectively. Conversely, within $Λ$CDM the combination of DESI BAO, high-$\ell$ CMB and CMB lensing yields $τ= 0.090 \pm 0.012$, which is in $\simeq3-5σ$ tension with Planck low-$\ell$ polarization data when taken at face value. Essentially all current CMB analyses $-$ including recent results from WMAP+ACT and SPT $-$ adopt the Planck measurement of $τ$: thus a systematic in large-scale Planck polarization would serve as a "single-point failure" for most modern cosmological analyses that include CMB data. While there is no evidence for systematics in the large-scale Planck data, $τ$ remains the least well-constrained $Λ$CDM parameter and is far from its cosmic variance limit. This strengthens the case for future large-scale CMB experiments as well as direct probes of the epoch of reionization.

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Highly Efficient Selection of High-Redshift Emission-Line Galaxies for future DESI-like surveys with Deep Multi-band Imaging

Emission-line galaxies (ELGs) are an important tracer of baryon acoustic oscillations (BAO) and large-scale structure (LSS) at $z > 1$. In this work, we investigate the feasibility of using deep wide-area multi-band imaging (e.g., from the Rubin Observatory) to efficiently select high redshift ELGs. Using Hyper Supreme-Cam $grizy$ photometry and COSMOS2020 many-band photometric redshifts, we designed simple color cuts guided by a probabilistic random forest classifier to select galaxies at $z = 1.1$--$1.6$. We then empirically tested and refined these color cuts using two samples of galaxies with deep spectroscopy and broad color coverage obtained with the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI). Compared to DESI ELGs at $z = 1.1$--$1.6$, we achieve a higher redshift measurement success rate (89% versus 69%), a much higher correct redshift range success rate (84% versus 34%), and a far higher net surface density yield (1372 $\mathrm{deg^{-2}}$ versus 660 $\mathrm{deg^{-2}}$). Combining our sample with current DESI ELGs would increase the net ELG number density by a factor of $\sim3$, moving it out of the shot-noise limited regime and reducing the uncertainties on the BAO scale parameter at $z = 1.1$--$1.6$ by a factor of $\sim 2$.

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Missing baryons recovered: a measurement of the gas fraction in galaxies and groups with the kinematic Sunyaev-Zel'dovich effect and CMB lensing

We present new constraints on the halo masses and matter density profiles of DESI galaxy groups by cross-correlating samples of Luminous Red Galaxies (LRGs) and Bright Galaxy Survey (BGS) galaxies with the publicly available CMB lensing convergence map from ACT DR6. This provides an independent, lensing-based calibration of halo masses, complementary to methods relying on clustering or dynamics. We derive constraints on the mean halo mass for three DESI-selected samples, finding $\log(M_{\rm halo}/(M_\odot/h)) \approx 13.18$, 13.03 and 13.02 for the Main LRG, Extended LRG, and BGS samples, respectively. Using a halo model approach, we also compare the projected galaxy-matter density profiles with previously reported gas profiles inferred from measurements of the kinematic Sunyaev-Zel'dovich (kSZ) effect. This work addresses one of the key uncertainties in interpreting kSZ signals -- the unknown host halo mass distribution -- by providing an independent and consistent mass calibration. The agreement between the gas and total mass profiles at large aperture suggests that sufficiently far from the group center (2--3 virial radii), we recover all the baryons, offering a resolution to the 'missing baryon' problem. We further study the cumulative gas fractions for all galaxies as well as for the most massive galaxy groups in the sample ($\log(M_{\rm halo}/(M_\odot/h)) \approx 13.5$), finding values that are physically sensible and in agreement with previous findings using kSZ and X-ray data: compared to the TNG300 simulation, the observed gas fractions are systematically lower at fixed radius by $\gtrsim$4$σ$, providing compelling, independent evidence for stronger baryonic feedback in the real Universe. These findings highlight the power of combining CMB lensing with galaxy surveys to probe the interplay between baryons and dark matter in group-sized halos.

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The Atacama Cosmology Telescope DR6 and DESI: Structure formation over cosmic time with a measurement of the cross-correlation of CMB Lensing and Luminous Red Galaxies

We present a high-significance cross-correlation of CMB lensing maps from the Atacama Cosmology Telescope (ACT) Data Release 6 (DR6) with spectroscopically calibrated luminous red galaxies (LRGs) from the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI). We detect this cross-correlation at a significance of 38$σ$; combining our measurement with the Planck Public Release 4 (PR4) lensing map, we detect the cross-correlation at 50$σ$. Fitting this jointly with the galaxy auto-correlation power spectrum to break the galaxy bias degeneracy with $σ_8$, we perform a tomographic analysis in four LRG redshift bins spanning $0.4 \le z \le 1.0$ to constrain the amplitude of matter density fluctuations through the parameter combination $S_8^\times = σ_8 \left(Ω_m / 0.3\right)^{0.4}$. Prior to unblinding, we confirm with extragalactic simulations that foreground biases are negligible and carry out a comprehensive suite of null and consistency tests. Using a hybrid effective field theory (HEFT) model that allows scales as small as $k_{\rm max}=0.6$ $h/{\rm Mpc}$, we obtain a 3.3% constraint on $S_8^\times = σ_8 \left(Ω_m / 0.3\right)^{0.4} = 0.792^{+0.024}_{-0.028}$ from ACT data, as well as constraints on $S_8^\times(z)$ that probe structure formation over cosmic time. Our result is consistent with the early-universe extrapolation from primary CMB anisotropies measured by Planck PR4 within 1.2$σ$. Jointly fitting ACT and Planck lensing cross-correlations we obtain a 2.7% constraint of $S_8^\times = 0.776^{+0.019}_{-0.021}$, which is consistent with the Planck early-universe extrapolation within 2.1$σ$, with the lowest redshift bin showing the largest difference in mean. The latter may motivate further CMB lensing tomography analyses at $z<0.6$ to assess the impact of potential systematics or the consistency of the $Λ$CDM model over cosmic time.

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Bias hardened estimators of patchy screening profiles

Detecting anisotropic screening of the cosmic microwave background (CMB) holds the promise of revealing the distribution of gas in the Universe, characterizing the complex processes of galaxy formation and feedback, and studying the epoch of reionization. Estimators for inhomogeneous screening, including some recently proposed small-scale (stacked) estimators, are quadratic or higher order in the CMB temperature or polarization fields and are therefore subject to contamination from CMB lensing. We review the origin of this lensing bias and show that, when stacking on unWISE galaxies, the expected lensing bias dominates the signal if left unmitigated. Hardening techniques that null the lensing bias have been proposed for standard quadratic estimators, whereas only approximate methods have been proposed for stacked estimators. We review these techniques and apply the former to stacked estimators, presenting several strategies (including the optimal strategy) to null lensing contamination when stacking on any large-scale structure (LSS) tracer.

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Mapping the gas density with the kinematic Sunyaev-Zel'dovich and patchy screening effects: a self-consistent comparison

The secondary anisotropies of the cosmic microwave background (CMB) provide a wealth of astrophysical and cosmological information. Pairing measurements of the CMB temperature map obtained by DR5 of the Atacama Cosmology Telescope (ACT) with the large-scale structure imaging survey conducted by the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument, DECaLS DR9, we investigate two effects that are sensitive to the gas density $τ$: kinematic Sunyaev-Zel'dovich (kSZ) and `patchy screening' (also known as `anisotropic screening'). In particular, we measure the stacked profiles around Luminous Red Galaxies (LRGs) at a mean redshift of $z \approx 0.7$. We detect the kSZ signal at 7.2$σ$, and we find a signal at $\sim 4.1σ$ for the patchy screening estimator, which is in excess relative to the kSZ signal. We attribute this excess to contamination from CMB lensing. We demonstrate the effect of lensing using $N$-body simulations, and we show that the screening signal is dominated by it. Accounting for lensing, our measurement places a 95\% upper bound on the optical depth of the Extended DESI LRG sample of $τ<$ 2.5 $10^{-4}$ for a mean value of the sample of $τ\approx$ 1.6 $10^{-4}$. Furthermore, via hydro simulations, we show that the underlying optical depth signal measured by both effects (after removing the CMB lensing contribution) is in perfect agreement when adopting either a Compensated Aperture Photometry (CAP) filter or a high-pass filter. Consistent with previous measurements, we see evidence for excess baryonic feedback around DESI LRGs in the patchy screening measurement. Provided both effects are measured with high signal-to-noise, one can measure the amplitude ratio between them, which is proportional to the root-mean-square velocity of the host halo sample, and place constraints on velocity-sensitive models such as modified gravity and phantom dark energy.

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Cosmological constraints from the cross-correlation of DESI Luminous Red Galaxies with CMB lensing from Planck PR4 and ACT DR6

We infer the growth of large scale structure over the redshift range $0.4\lesssim z \lesssim 1$ from the cross-correlation of spectroscopically calibrated Luminous Red Galaxies (LRGs) selected from the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI) legacy imaging survey with CMB lensing maps reconstructed from the latest Planck and ACT data. We adopt a hybrid effective field theory (HEFT) model that robustly regulates the cosmological information obtainable from smaller scales, such that our cosmological constraints are reliably derived from the (predominantly) linear regime. We perform an extensive set of bandpower- and parameter-level systematics checks to ensure the robustness of our results and to characterize the uniformity of the LRG sample. We demonstrate that our results are stable to a wide range of modeling assumptions, finding excellent agreement with a linear theory analysis performed on a restricted range of scales. From a tomographic analysis of the four LRG photometric redshift bins we find that the rate of structure growth is consistent with $Λ$CDM with an overall amplitude that is $\simeq5-7\%$ lower than predicted by primary CMB measurements with modest $(\sim2σ)$ statistical significance. From the combined analysis of all four bins and their cross-correlations with Planck we obtain $S_8 = 0.765\pm0.023$, which is less discrepant with primary CMB measurements than previous DESI LRG cross Planck CMB lensing results. From the cross-correlation with ACT we obtain $S_8 = 0.790^{+0.024}_{-0.027}$, while when jointly analyzing Planck and ACT we find $S_8 = 0.775^{+0.019}_{-0.022}$ from our data alone and $σ_8 = 0.772^{+0.020}_{-0.023}$ with the addition of BAO data. These constraints are consistent with the latest Planck primary CMB analyses at the $\simeq 1.6-2.2σ$ level, and are in excellent agreement with galaxy lensing surveys.

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Evolution of structure growth during dark energy domination: Insights from the cross-correlation of DESI galaxies with CMB lensing and galaxy magnification

We use a Hybrid Effective Field Theory (HEFT) model to constrain the evolution of low-redshift $(z\lesssim0.4)$ matter fluctuations by cross-correlating DESI Bright Galaxy Survey (BGS) legacy imaging with the latest CMB lensing maps from Planck and ACT. Our tomographic BGS analysis finds that the evolution and amplitude of matter fluctuations align with CMB-conditioned $Λ$CDM predictions. When including DESI Baryon Acoustic Oscillation (BAO) measurements we obtain $σ_8 = 0.876^{+0.051}_{-0.067}$ from BGS alone. Jointly analyzing BGS and Luminous Red Galaxy (LRG) cross-correlations with the same CMB lensing maps yields $σ_8 = 0.791\pm0.021$. As a complementary approach we isolate the galaxy magnification signal from the cross-correlation of non-overlapping BGS and LRG photometric redshift bins, ruling out the null-magnification hypothesis at $11σ$. For the first time, we constrain structure growth from the (finite-difference calibrated) galaxy magnification signal and find $σ_8=0.720\pm0.047\,\,({\rm stat.})\pm0.050\,\,({\rm sys.})$ when adopting a linear bias model and including BAO data.

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The Spectroscopic Stage-5 Experiment

The existence, properties, and dynamics of the dark sectors of our universe pose fundamental challenges to our current model of physics, and large-scale astronomical surveys may be our only hope to unravel these long-standing mysteries. In this white paper, we describe the science motivation, instrumentation, and survey plan for the next-generation spectroscopic observatory, the Stage-5 Spectroscopic Experiment (Spec-S5). Spec-S5 is a new all-sky spectroscopic instrument optimized to efficiently carry out cosmological surveys of unprecedented scale and precision. The baseline plan for Spec-S5 involves upgrading two existing 4-m telescopes to new 6-m wide-field facilities, each with a highly multiplexed spectroscopic instrument capable of simultaneously measuring the spectra of 13,000 astronomical targets. Spec-S5, which builds and improves on the hardware used for previous cosmology experiments, represents a cost-effective and rapid approach to realizing a more than 10$\times$ gain in spectroscopic capability compared to the current state-of-the-art represented by the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument project (DESI). Spec-S5 will provide a critical scientific capability in the post-Rubin and post-DESI era for advancing cosmology, fundamental physics, and astrophysics in the 2030s.

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Predicting the 21 cm field with a Hybrid Effective Field Theory approach

A detection of the 21 cm signal can provide a unique window of opportunity for uncovering complex astrophysical phenomena at the epoch of reionization and placing constraints on cosmology at high redshifts, which are usually elusive to large-scale structure surveys. In this work, we provide a theoretical model based on a quadratic bias expansion capable of recovering the 21 cm power spectrum with high accuracy sufficient for upcoming ground-based radio interferometer experiments. In particular, we develop a hybrid effective field theory (HEFT) model in redshift space that leverages the accuracy of $N$-body simulations with the predictive power of analytical bias expansion models, and test it against the Thesan suite of radiative transfer hydrodynamical simulations. We make predictions of the 21 cm brightness temperature field at several distinct redshifts, ranging between $z = 6.5$ and 11, thus probing a large fraction of the reionization history of the Universe ($x_{\rm HI} = 0.3 \sim 0.9$), and compare our model to the `true' 21 cm brightness in terms of the correlation coefficient, power spectrum and modeling error. We find percent-level agreement at large and intermediate scales, $k \lesssim 0.5 h/{\rm Mpc}$, and favorable behavior down to small scales, $k \sim 1 h/{\rm Mpc}$, outperforming pure perturbation-theory-based models. To put our findings into context, we show that even in the absence of any foreground contamination the thermal noise of a futuristic HERA-like experiment is comparable with the theoretical uncertainty in our model in the allowed `wedge' of observations, providing further evidence in support of using HEFT-based models to approximate a range of cosmological observables.

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DESI luminous red galaxy samples for cross-correlations

We present two galaxy samples, selected from DESI Legacy Imaging Surveys (LS) DR9, with approximately 20,000 square degrees of coverage and spectroscopic redshift distributions designed for cross-correlations such as with CMB lensing, galaxy lensing, and the Sunyaev-Zel'dovich effect. The first sample is identical to the DESI Luminous Red Galaxy (LRG) sample, and the second sample is an extended LRG sample with 2-3 times the DESI LRG density. We present the improved photometric redshifts, tomographic binning and their spectroscopic redshift distributions and imaging systematics weights, and magnification bias coefficients. The catalogs and related data products will be made publicly available. The cosmological constraints using this sample and Planck lensing maps are presented in a companion paper. We also make public the new set of general-purpose photometric redshifts trained using DESI spectroscopic redshifts, which are used in this work, for all galaxies in LS DR9.

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Foreground-immune CMB lensing reconstruction with polarization

Extragalactic foregrounds are known to generate significant biases in temperature-based CMB lensing reconstruction. Several techniques, which include ``source hardening'' and ``shear-only estimators'' have been proposed to mitigate contamination and have been shown to be very effective at reducing foreground-induced biases. Here we extend both techniques to polarization, which will be an essential component of CMB lensing reconstruction for future experiments, and investigate the ``large-lens'' limit analytically to gain insight on the origin and scaling of foreground biases, as well as the sensitivity to their profiles.Using simulations of polarized point sources, we estimate the expected bias to both Simons Observatory and CMB-S4 like (polarization-based) lensing reconstruction, finding that biases to the former are minuscule while those to the latter are potentially non-negligible at small scales ($L\sim1000-2000$). In particular, we show that for a CMB-S4 like experiment, an optimal linear combination of point-source hardened estimators can reduce the (point-source induced) bias to the CMB lensing power spectrum by up to two orders of magnitude, at a $\sim4\%$ noise cost relative to the global minimum variance estimator.

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Optical depth to reionization from perturbative 21cm clustering

The optical depth $τ$ is the least well determined parameter in the standard model of cosmology, and one whose precise value is important for both understanding reionization and for inferring fundamental physics from cosmological measurements. We forecast how well future epoch of reionization experiments could constraint $τ$ using a symmetries-based bias expansion that highlights the special role played by anisotropies in the power spectrum on large scales. Given a parametric model for the ionization evolution inspired by the physical behavior of more detailed reionization simulations, we find that future 21cm experiments could place tight constraints on the timing and duration of reionization and hence constraints on $τ$ that are competitive with proposed, space-based CMB missions provided they can measure $k\approx 0.1\,h\,\text{Mpc}^{-1}$ with a clean foreground wedge across redshifts spanning the most active periods of reionization, corresponding to ionization fractions $0.2 \lesssim x \lesssim 0.8$. Significantly improving upon existing CMB-based measurements with next-generation 21cm surveys would require substantially longer observations ($\sim5$ years) than standard $\mathcal{O}(1000 \,\,\text{hour})$ integration times. Precise measurements of smaller scales will not improve constraints on $τ$ until a better understanding of the astrophysics of reionization is achieved. In the presence of noise and foregrounds even future 21cm experiments will struggle to constrain $τ$ if the ionization evolution deviates significantly from simple parametric forms.

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Snowmass2021 Cosmic Frontier White Paper: Cosmology and Fundamental Physics from the three-dimensional Large Scale Structure

Advances in experimental techniques make it possible to map the high redshift Universe in three dimensions at high fidelity in the near future. This will increase the observed volume by many-fold, while providing unprecedented access to very large scales, which hold key information about primordial physics. Recently developed theoretical techniques, together with the smaller size of non-linearities at high redshift, allow the reconstruction of an order of magnitude more "primordial modes", and should improve our understanding of the early Universe through measurements of primordial non-Gaussianity and features in the primordial power spectrum. In addition to probing the first epoch of accelerated expansion, such measurements can probe the Dark Energy density in the dark matter domination era, tightly constraining broad classes of dynamical Dark Energy models. The shape of the matter power spectrum itself has the potential to detect sub-percent fractional amounts of Early Dark Energy to $z \sim 10^5$, probing Dark Energy all the way to when the Universe was only a few years old. The precision of these measurements, combined with CMB observations, also has the promise of greatly improving our constraints on the effective number of relativistic species, the masses of neutrinos, the amount of spatial curvature and the gravitational slip. Studies of linear or quasi-linear large-scale structure with redshift surveys and the CMB currently provide our tightest constraints on cosmology and fundamental physics. Pushing the redshift and volume frontier will provide guaranteed, significant improvements in the state-of-the-art in a manner that is easy to forecast and optimize.

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A Spectroscopic Road Map for Cosmic Frontier: DESI, DESI-II, Stage-5

In this white paper, we present an experimental road map for spectroscopic experiments beyond DESI. DESI will be a transformative cosmological survey in the 2020s, mapping 40 million galaxies and quasars and capturing a significant fraction of the available linear modes up to z=1.2. DESI-II will pilot observations of galaxies both at much higher densities and extending to higher redshifts. A Stage-5 experiment would build out those high-density and high-redshift observations, mapping hundreds of millions of stars and galaxies in three dimensions, to address the problems of inflation, dark energy, light relativistic species, and dark matter. These spectroscopic data will also complement the next generation of weak lensing, line intensity mapping and CMB experiments and allow them to reach their full potential.

astro-ph.CO

Cosmology at high redshift -- a probe of fundamental physics

An observational program focused on the high redshift ($2<z<6$) Universe has the opportunity to dramatically improve over upcoming LSS and CMB surveys on measurements of both the standard cosmological model and its extensions. Using a Fisher matrix formalism that builds upon recent advances in Lagrangian perturbation theory, we forecast constraints for future spectroscopic and 21-cm surveys on the standard cosmological model, curvature, neutrino mass, relativistic species, primordial features, primordial non-Gaussianity, dynamical dark energy, and gravitational slip. We compare these constraints with those achievable by current or near-future surveys such as DESI and Euclid, all under the same forecasting formalism, and compare our formalism with traditional linear methods. Our Python code FishLSS $-$ used to calculate the Fisher information of the full shape power spectrum, CMB lensing, the cross-correlation of CMB lensing with galaxies, and combinations thereof $-$ is publicly available.

astro-ph.CO

Optimal multifrequency weighting for CMB lensing

Extragalactic foregrounds in Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB) temperature maps lead to significant biases in CMB lensing reconstruction if not properly accounted for. Combinations of multi-frequency data have been used to minimize the overall map variance (internal linear combination, or ILC), or specifically null a given foreground, but these are not tailored to CMB lensing. In this paper, we derive an optimal multi-frequency combination to jointly minimize CMB lensing noise and bias. We focus on the standard lensing quadratic estimator, as well as the "shear-only" and source-hardened estimators, whose responses to foregrounds differ. We show that an optimal multi-frequency combination is a compromise between the ILC and joint deprojection, which nulls the thermal Sunyaev-Zel'dovich (tSZ) and Cosmic Infrared Background (CIB) contributions. In particular, for a Simons Observatory-like experiment with $\ell_{\text{max},T}=3000$, we find that profile hardening alone (with the standard ILC) reduces the bias to the lensing power amplitude by $40\%$, at a $20\%$ cost in noise, while the bias to the cross-correlation with a LSST-like sample is reduced by nearly an order of magnitude at a $10\%$ noise cost, relative to the standard quadratic estimator. With a small amount of joint deprojection the bias to the profile hardened estimator can be further reduced to less than half the statistical uncertainty on the respective amplitudes, at a $20\%$ and $5\%$ noise cost for the auto- and cross-correlation respectively, relative to the profile hardened estimator with the standard ILC weights. Finally, we explore possible improvements with more aggressive masking and varying $\ell_{\text{max,}T}$.

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