arXiv subjects

Otto A. Hannuksela

Publications and source records attributed to Otto A. Hannuksela.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Stereoscopic gravitational-wave probe: Gravitational lensing of a binary merger in active galactic nuclei

Recent work has shown that, if a large fraction of the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA compact binary coalescences (CBCs) occur in accretion disks around active galactic nuclei (AGNs), many such AGN-CBC systems will likely experience lensing and produce multiple gravitational-wave (GW) "images" of the CBCs that will become detectable with current or future GW detectors. However, the waveforms produced by such lensed "images" will differ from those produced by other lensing systems because the binary source is orbiting the AGN's central supermassive black hole at a close distance. Here, we show that these systems produce 2 snapshots of the same binary source from 2 different viewing angles. These differences in the effective viewing angle between the images are encoded in the GWs they emit, such that GW detectors can effectively analyse the waveforms from 2 viewpoints. Beyond such "multi-view lensing", the GW images may also differ by their Doppler shift due to the expected relativistic orbital motion of the source around the AGN, an effect which is further amplified by the proximity to the lens. If the AGN's own angular momentum can be related to the binary's orbital angular momentum, we can describe the entire AGN-CBC system using only one additional free parameter compared with a typical point-mass lens system, or with 3 additional parameters when we do not make such an assumption. In this work, we establish a framework of transformation rules that describe both the angles in the 2 points of view, and the Doppler effect that comes from the source's motion around the lens. We also provide the framework to produce consistent AGN-lensed waveforms from any currently available GW waveform. These AGN-CBC systems give 2 unique points of view on a binary merger thus opening up a new window into the merger's properties unlike any other lens system.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2026

When the black holes align: a subpopulation of aligned massive binary black holes observed via gravitational waves

In this work, we investigate the features present in the joint primary mass and effective spin distribution of binary black holes without relying on specific modelling assumptions. We make use of non-parametric methods, flexible models capable of approximating arbitrary probability densities with minimal mathematical assumptions, applying it to the newly released GWTC-5.0. Our analysis supports, albeit with large uncertainties, the presence of at least two separate sub-population of binary black holes showing different effective spin distributions: one of them, preferring positive $χ_\mathrm{eff}$ values, points towards the direction of systems formed in a non-spherically-symmetric, dynamical environment.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2026

Comment on `Measuring the Hubble Constant Using Strongly Lensed Gravitational Wave Signals'

In Huang et al (JCAP08(2023)003), the work claimed that the Hubble constant can be constrained from lensed gravitational waves, despite the absence of information on GW source redshift or Einstein radius (angular size of the lens), as long as lens redshift is provided independently. To demonstrate, the authors set up a singular isothermal sphere lens model and applied Fisher information matrix and Bayesian parameter estimation on injected lensed GWs. However, their conclusion contradicts our previous work on degeneracies of GW lens system parameters. In this comment, we illustrate that Hubble constant cannot be measured with lens redshift alone, in the absence of source redshift or (Einstein radius).

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2026

Spin Precession Signatures as an Indicator of Microlensing in Strongly Lensed Gravitational Waves

Microlensing by the stellar field in a strong-lensing galaxy can introduce wave-optics distortions into the waveforms of strongly lensed gravitational waves (SLGWs). If these signals are analyzed with waveform templates that do not include microlensing, the lensing-induced modulation may be misinterpreted as intrinsic source physics. In particular, microlensing can mimic spin precession, since both effects can produce beat-pattern-like features in the waveform. In this work, we study the degeneracy between stellar-field microlensing and spin precession, and ask to what extent microlensed SLGWs may show false evidence of precession. We analyze simulated SLGW events for two detector sensitivities, O5 and a lower-noise configuration with a power spectral density reduced by a factor of 4 (named O5 Plus), assuming binary black holes with parallel spins. We find that microlensing can indeed produce apparent evidence for precession, and that this effect becomes more visible at higher signal-to-noise ratios. Under O5 sensitivity, 4.88% of microlensed events lie above the one-sided Gaussian-equivalent 3$σ$ background threshold, corresponding to the 99.9th percentile of the unlensed-background distribution, while under O5 Plus sensitivity this fraction increases to 14.91%. We also find that the evidence for precession is positively correlated with the strength of microlensing. This correlation is weak under O5 sensitivity, but becomes clear under O5 Plus sensitivity. In addition, Type II (saddle-point) images show a stronger correlation than Type I (minimum-point) images. These results show that evidence for precession in GW data should be interpreted with care, as it may also arise from microlensing wave effects in SLGWs.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2026

Testing cosmological isotropy with gravitational waves and gamma-ray bursts

The cosmological principle asserts that the Universe is homogeneous and isotropic on large enough scales. However, alternative cosmological models can bring about anisotropies through local inhomogeneities, anisotropic evolution, or exotic physics. In addition, select studies have also hinted at mild evidence of anisotropies in SNe Ia, CMB, and GRB data, though these remain unconfirmed. In this work, we test for cosmological anisotropies using gravitational waves and gamma-ray bursts, adopting the latest O4a release from the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA collaboration and GRBWeb (including all known GRBs since 1991). If the cosmological principle holds, the sky localisation and the characteristics of the GRBs and GWs (masses, luminosities, redshifts) should be statistically isotropic when corrected for selection biases. We employ a couple statistical methods, including angular power spectra and two-point correlation functions, and compare the results against synthetic data. The work extends previous analyses by including the most recent datasets, and the use of multiple complementary statistical tests. We find no significant evidence for anisotropy in the current GW and GRB datasets, consistent with the cosmological principle.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2026

A First Investigation of Repeated-Signal Localization of Strongly Lensed Gravitational Waves for Multimessenger Astronomy

Accurate sky localization is essential for gravitational-wave (GW) astronomy, particularly for multimessenger follow-up and host galaxy identification. For strongly lensed GW events, achieving localization at the level of $\sim 10~\mathrm{deg}^2$ is critical for associating signals with their lensing structures and enabling targeted searches for additional faint images. We investigate how sky localization improves when combining multiple lensed images of the same source. Using simulated lensed compact binary coalescences and \textsc{BAYESTAR} sky localization, we evaluate localization performance as a function of image multiplicity. We find that combining multiple images leads to a systematic improvement in localization, with the largest gain occurring when combining two images, typically reducing the 90\% credible region area by an order of magnitude. Additional images provide further improvements, with four-image systems achieving localization areas of $\sim 10$--$100~\mathrm{deg}^2$. We also show that subthreshold images contribute modest but non-degrading improvements, enabling their safe inclusion in localization analyses. These results demonstrate that strongly lensed GW events provide a natural pathway to improved localization and motivate hierarchical search strategies for detecting faint lensed images.

astro-ph.IM↗

arXiv2026

Investigating the effect of sensitivity of KAGRA on sky localization of gravitational-wave sources from compact binary coalescences

The addition of KAGRA to the global gravitational-wave detector network introduces new baselines and complementary antenna response patterns that can enhance sky localization for compact binary coalescences. We investigate KAGRA's role in the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA network using a systematic injection study of binary neutron star signals. Sky maps are constructed with a radiometric, coherence-based framework, allowing isolation of geometric and timing contributions from individual detectors. Localization performance is quantified using the fraction of events localized within $100~\mathrm{deg}^2$, cumulative area distributions, and the median $90%$ credible region. We also assess KAGRA's impact on detection rates by varying its sensitivity over a wide range. Even at its current sensitivity of $\sim10~\mathrm{Mpc}$, KAGRA provides measurable improvements by breaking degeneracies through additional baselines and directional constraints. As sensitivity increases, improvements in signal-to-noise ratio and timing precision lead to substantial reductions in localization area. We identify a binary neutron star range of $\sim30~\mathrm{Mpc}$ as a practical benchmark for reliable localization suitable for electromagnetic follow-up, noting this as a conservative estimate. In addition, KAGRA increases the number of detectable events by enabling lower signal-to-noise detections. These results demonstrate that even a modest-sensitivity detector can significantly enhance network performance through geometric complementarity, highlighting the importance of a geographically distributed network for multimessenger gravitational-wave astronomy.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2026

Strong gravitational-wave lensing posterior odds

Like light, gravitational waves are gravitationally lensed by intervening massive astrophysical objects, such as galaxies, clusters, black holes, and stars, resulting in a variety of potentially observable gravitational-wave lensing signatures. Searches for gravitational-wave lensing by the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA (LVK) collaboration have begun. One common method focuses on strong gravitational-wave lensing, which produces multiple "images": repeated copies of the same gravitational wave that differ only in amplitude, arrival time, and overall "Morse phase." The literature identifies two separate approaches to identifying such repeated gravitational-wave events based on frequentist and Bayesian approaches. Several works have discussed selection effects and identified challenges similar to the well-known "birthday problem", namely, the rapidly increasing likelihood of false alarms in an ever-growing catalogue of event pairs. Here, we discuss these problems, unify the different approaches in Bayesian language, and derive the posterior odds for strong lensing. In particular, the Bayes factor and prior odds are sensitive to the number of gravitational-wave events in the data, but the posterior odds are insensitive to it once strong lensing time delays are accounted for. We confirm the Lo et al. (2023) finding that selection effects enter the Bayes factor as an overall normalisation constant. However, this factor cancels out in the posterior odds and does not affect frequentist approaches to strong lensing detection.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2025

Weak Lensing Approximation of Wave-optics Effects from General Symmetric Lens Profiles

Gravitational lensing of electromagnetic (EM) waves has yielded many profound discoveries across fundamental physics, astronomy, astrophysics, and cosmology. Similar to EM waves, gravitational waves (GWs) can also be lensed. When their wavelength is comparable to the characteristic scale of the lens, wave-optics (WO) effects manifest as frequency-dependent modulations in the GW waveform. These WO features encode valuable information about the lensing system but are challenging to model, especially in the weak lensing regime, which has a larger optical depth than strong lensing. We present a novel and efficient framework to accurately approximate WO effects induced by general symmetric lens profiles. Our method is validated against numerical calculations and recovers the expected asymptotic behavior in both high- and low-frequency limits. Accurate and efficient modeling of WO effects in the weak lensing regime will enable improved lens reconstruction, delensing of standard sirens, and provide a unique probe to the properties of low-mass halos with minimal baryonic content, offering new insights into the nature of dark matter.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2025

Constraining binary mergers in AGN disks using the non-observation of lensed gravitational waves

The dense and dynamic environments within active galactic nuclei (AGN) accretion disks may serve as prolific birthplaces for binary black holes (BBHs) and one possible origin for some of the BBHs detected by gravitational-wave (GW) observatories. We show that a considerable fraction of the BBH in AGN disks will be strongly lensed by the central supermassive black hole (SMBH). Thus, the non-observation of lensed GW signals can be used to constrain the fraction of BBH binaries residing in AGN disks. The non-detection of lensing with current ${\cal O}(100)$ detections will be sufficient to start placing constraints on the fraction of BBHs living within accretion disks near the SMBH. In the next-generation detectors era, with ${\cal O}(10^5)$ BBH observations and no lensed events, we will be able to rule out most migration traps as dominant birthplaces of BBH mergers; moreover, we will be able to constrain the minimum size of the accretion disk. On the other hand, should AGNs constitute a major formation channel, lensed events from AGNs will become prominent in the future.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2025

A Giant Peanut-shaped Ultra-High-Energy Gamma-Ray Emitter Off the Galactic Plane

Ultra-high-energy (UHE), exceeding 100 TeV (10^12 electronvolts), γ-rays manifests extreme particle acceleration in astrophysical sources. Recent observations by γ-ray telescopes, particularly by the Large High Altitude Air Shower Observatory (LHAASO), have revealed a few tens of UHE sources, indicating numerous Galactic sources capable of accelerating particles to PeV (10^15 electronvolts) energies. However, discerning the dominant acceleration mechanisms (leptonic versus hadronic), the relative contributions of specific source classes, and the role of particle transport in shaping their observed emission are central goals of modern UHE astrophysics. Here we report the discovery of a giant UHE γ-ray emitter at -17.5° off the Galactic plane - a region where UHE γ-ray sources are rarely found. The emitter exhibits a distinctive asymmetric shape, resembling a giant "Peanut" spanning 0.45° \times 4.6°, indicative of anisotropic particle distribution over a large area. A highly aged millisecond pulsar (MSP) J0218+4232 is the sole candidate accelerator positionally coincident with the Peanut region. Its association with UHE γ-rays extending to 0.7 PeV, if confirmed, would provide the first evidence of a millisecond pulsar powering PeV particles. Such a finding challenges prevailing models, which posit that millisecond pulsars cannot sustain acceleration to PeV energies. The detection reveals fundamental gaps in understanding particle acceleration, cosmic-ray transport, and interstellar magnetic field effects, potentially revealing new PeV accelerator (PeVatron) classes.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2025

LensingFlow: An Automated Workflow for Gravitational Wave Lensing Analyses

In this work, we present LensingFlow. This is an implementation of an automated workflow to search for evidence of gravitational lensing in a large series of gravitational wave events. This workflow conducts searches for evidence in all generally considered lensing regimes. The implementation of this workflow is built atop the Asimov automation framework and CBCFlow metadata management software and the resulting product therefore encompasses both the automated running and status checking of jobs in the workflow as well as the automated production and storage of relevant metadata from these jobs to allow for later reproduction. This workflow encompasses a number of existing lensing pipelines and has been designed to accommodate any additional future pipelines to provide both a current and future basis on which to conduct large scale lensing analyses of gravitational wave signal catalogues. The workflow also implements a prioritisation management system for jobs submitted to the schedulers in common usage in computing clusters ensuring both the completion of the workflow across the entire catalogue of events as well as the priority completion of the most significant candidates. As a first proof-of-concept demonstration, we deploy LensingFlow on a mock data challenge comprising 10 signals in which signatures of each lensing regime are represented. LensingFlow successfully ran and identified the candidates from this data through its automated checks of results from consituent analyses.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2025

Residual test to search for microlensing signatures in strongly lensed gravitational wave signals

When a gravitational wave signal encounters a massive object, such as a galaxy or galaxy cluster, it undergoes strong gravitational lensing, producing multiple copies of the original signal. These strongly lensed signals exhibit identical waveform morphology in the frequency domain, allowing analysis without the need for complex lens models. However, stellar fields and dark matter substructures within the galactic lens introduce microlensing effects that alter individual signal morphologies. Identifying these microlensing signatures is computationally challenging within Bayesian frameworks. In this study, we propose a residual test to efficiently search for microlensing signatures by leveraging the fact that current Bayesian inference pipelines are optimized solely for the strong lensing hypothesis. Using cross-correlation techniques, we investigate the microlensing-induced deviations from the strong hypothesis, which are imprinted in the residuals. Most simulated signals from our realistic microlensing populations exhibit small mismatches between the microlensed and unlensed waveforms, but a fraction show significant deviations. We find that 28% (52%) and 34% (66%)of microlensed events with mismatch > 0.03 and > 0.1, respectively, can be discerned with O4 (O5) detector sensitivities, which demonstrates that high-mismatch events are more likely to be identified as microlensed. Including all events from a realistic population, 11% (21.5%) are identifiable with O4 (O5) sensitivity using our approach.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2025

Uncovering faint lensed gravitational-wave signals and reprioritizing their follow-up analysis using galaxy lensing forecasts with detected counterparts

Like light, gravitational waves can be gravitationally lensed by massive astrophysical objects. Strong gravitational lensing by galaxies and galaxy clusters is anticipated to become observable in the coming years. This phenomenon will manifest as multiple copies of the original wave, each exhibiting identical frequency evolution but distinct arrival times, amplitudes, and overall phases. Some of these images can be below the detection threshold and require targeted search methods, based on tailor-made template banks. These searches can be made more sensitive by using our knowledge of the typical distribution and morphology of lenses to predict the time delay, magnification, and image-type ordering of the lensed images. Here, we show that when a subset of the galaxy lensed images is super-threshold, they can be used to construct a more constrained prediction of the arrival time of the remaining signals, enhancing our ability to identify lensing candidate signals. Our suggested method effectively reduces the list of triggers requiring follow-up and generally re-ranks the genuine counterpart higher in the lensing candidate list. So, using information provided by the two or three super-threshold images, one can identify additional lensed images, also strengthening the evidence for the lensed signal hypothesis.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2025

Multi-messenger Gravitational Lensing

We introduce the rapidly emerging field of multi-messenger gravitational lensing - the discovery and science of gravitationally lensed phenomena in the distant universe through the combination of multiple messengers. This is framed by gravitational lensing phenomenology that has grown since the first discoveries in the 20th century, messengers that span 30 orders of magnitude in energy from high energy neutrinos to gravitational waves, and powerful "survey facilities" that are capable of continually scanning the sky for transient and variable sources. Within this context, the main focus is on discoveries and science that are feasible in the next 5-10 years with current and imminent technology including the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA network of gravitational wave detectors, the Vera C. Rubin Observatory, and contemporaneous gamma/X-ray satellites and radio surveys. The scientific impact of even one multi-messenger gravitational lensing discovery will be transformational and reach across fundamental physics, cosmology and astrophysics. We describe these scientific opportunities and the key challenges along the path to achieving them. This article is the introduction to the Theme Issue of the Philosophical Transactions of The Royal Society A on the topic of Multi-messenger Gravitational Lensing, and describes the consensus that emerged at the associated Theo Murphy Discussion Meeting in March 2024.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2025

Mitigating the effect of the population model uncertainty on the strong lensing Bayes factor using nonparametric methods

Strong lensing of gravitational waves can produce several detectable images as repeated events in the upcoming observing runs, which can be detected with the posterior overlap analysis (Bayes factor). The choice of the binary black hole population plays an important role in the analysis as two gravitational-wave events could be similar either because of lensing or astrophysical coincidence. In this study, we investigate the biases induced by different population models on the Bayes factor. We build up a mock catalog of gravitational-wave events following a benchmark population and reconstruct it using both nonparametric and parametric methods. Using these reconstructions, we compute the Bayes factor for lensed pair events by utilizing both models and compare the results with a benchmark model. We show that the use of a nonparametric population model gives a smaller bias than parametric population models. Therefore, our study demonstrates the importance of choosing a sufficiently agnostic population model for strong lensing analyses.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2025

Inferring cosmology from gravitational waves using non-parametric detector-frame mass distribution

The challenge of understanding the Universe's dynamics, particularly the Hubble tension, requires precise measurements of the Hubble constant. Building upon the existing spectral-siren method, which capitalizes on population information from gravitational-wave sources, this paper explores an alternative way to analyze the population data to obtain the cosmological parameters in $Λ$CDM. We demonstrated how non-parametric methods, which are flexible models that can be used to agnostically reconstruct arbitrary probability densities, can be incorporated into this framework and leverage the detector-frame mass distribution to infer the cosmological parameters. We tested our method with mock data and applied it to $70$ binary black hole mergers from the third gravitational-wave transient catalog of the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA Collaboration.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2024

Millilensing induced systematic biases in parameterized tests of General Relativity

Tests of general relativity (GR) can be systematically biased when our waveform models are inaccurate. We here study systematic biases in tests of general relativity induced by neglecting lensing effects for millilensed gravitational-wave signals, where the lens mass is typically in the $10^3M_\odot$--$10^5M_\odot$ range. In particular, we use a nested-sampling Bayesian parameter estimation and model selection analysis of a millilensed signal with an unlensed parameterized post-Einsteinian (ppE) recovery model. We find that the ppE model is significantly biased toward a detection of a deviation from general relativity at signal-to-noise ratios of 30 and higher, especially when the source is aligned with the lens mass (the lensing effect is pronounced) and when its total mass is low (the signal duration is long). We use a toy model and the linear signal and Laplace approximations to provide a semi-analytic explanation for the trends in the systematic errors found in the nested sampling analysis. Moreover, a Bayes factor analysis reveals that the (unlensed) ppE model is weakly favored over the (unlensed) GR model, and a fitting factor study shows there is a significant loss of signal-to-noise ratio when using the (unlensed) ppE model. This implies that although a parameter estimation study may incorrectly infer a deviation from general relativity, a residual signal-to-noise ratio test would reveal that the ppE model is not a good fit to the data. Thus, with current detectors, millilensing-induced systematic biases are unlikely to result in false positive detections of GR deviations.

gr-qc↗