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arXiv · 2308.12182

Mitigating the effect of the population model uncertainty on the strong lensing Bayes factor using nonparametric methods

Damon H. T. Cheung·Stefano Rinaldi·Martina Toscani·Otto A. Hannuksela
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Abstract

Strong lensing of gravitational waves can produce several detectable images as repeated events in the upcoming observing runs, which can be detected with the posterior overlap analysis (Bayes factor). The choice of the binary black hole population plays an important role in the analysis as two gravitational-wave events could be similar either because of lensing or astrophysical coincidence. In this study, we investigate the biases induced by different population models on the Bayes factor. We build up a mock catalog of gravitational-wave events following a benchmark population and reconstruct it using both nonparametric and parametric methods. Using these reconstructions, we compute the Bayes factor for lensed pair events by utilizing both models and compare the results with a benchmark model. We show that the use of a nonparametric population model gives a smaller bias than parametric population models. Therefore, our study demonstrates the importance of choosing a sufficiently agnostic population model for strong lensing analyses.

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Damon H. T. Cheung, Stefano Rinaldi, Martina Toscani, Otto A. Hannuksela. 2023-08-23. Mitigating the effect of the population model uncertainty on the strong lensing Bayes factor using nonparametric methods. https://doi.org/10.1103/physrevd.111.063012

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