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Patricia Schmidt

Publications and source records attributed to Patricia Schmidt.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Prospects for characterizing Population III remnants with next-generation gravitational-wave observatories

The most distant gravitational-wave (GW) detection by LIGO, Virgo and KAGRA so far is a binary black hole (BBH) merger at a redshift of $z\sim 1.1$, corresponding to a luminosity distance of $D_L \sim 8 \, \rm Gpc$. The next-generation GW detectors, the Einstein Telescope (ET) and Cosmic Explorer (CE), will detect mergers beyond the peak of star formation at $z_{\rm peak}\sim 2$, enabling the direct detection of the remnants of the first stars in the early Universe. Realising this science potential requires accurate inference of the redshift, sky localization and intrinsic properties of the most distant mergers. In this work, using a fully Bayesian framework and an astrophysically motivated model, we study Population III remnants with an ET-CE detector network and quantify the measurement uncertainties in redshift, sky localisation, intrinsic masses and spins for BBHs at $z \geq 15$. Considering an optimistic ($5\, \rm Hz$) and pessimistic ($10\,\rm Hz$) lower cutoff frequency for the detectors' sensitivity, we show that the $5\, \rm Hz$ configuration consistently improves the redshift inference for spin-precessing binaries. We also find that the source-frame component masses can be measured to within $\sim 12\%$ on average, and that the highest-redshift sources in the population can be reliably characterised. In contrast, we find only modest constraints on the BH spins. The improved low-frequency sensitivity also extends the redshift reach of the detector network, enabling events injected at $z_{\rm true}\simeq19.8$ to be confidently identified as originating beyond $z\simeq18.5$ at $90\%$ credibility, compared to a maximum lower-bound redshift of $z\simeq17.5$ for the $10\,\rm Hz$ configuration. Improved detector sensitivity below $10\, \rm Hz$ also reduces the sky-localisation uncertainties, which are essential for cosmological cross-correlation.

astro-ph.HE

Binary black hole scattering with generic spins

In this Letter, we confront high-order post-Minkowskian (PM) predictions for generic-spin black-hole scattering with numerical-relativity (NR) simulations for the first time, targeting improvements for eccentric and precessing waveform modelling. We extract azimuthal and polar scattering angles from NR and relate them to the PM spin-kick observable. We introduce asymptotic Euler angles for unbound motion and derive their geometric relation to the scattering angles. Notably, NR exposes a strong-field precessional turning-point structure, including a polar-angle sign change absent in the perturbative PM results.

gr-qc

Post-Newtonian inspiral waveform model for eccentric precessing binaries with higher-order modes and matter effects

We introduce pyEFPEHM, a post-Newtonian (PN) inspiral waveform model for eccentric and spin-precessing compact binaries that includes higher-order modes and matter effects. Accurate and efficient waveform models capturing these effects are essential for probing compact-binary formation channels and exploiting current and future gravitational-wave (GW) observations. pyEFPEHM extends pyEFPE, significantly improving its physical content and accuracy. In particular, we show that above 2.5PN order the quasi-circular contributions to the orbital phasing dominate at each PN order, and incorporate all available higher-order quasi-circular PN corrections to the phasing, including adiabatic tidal effects. We generalize the multiple-scale analysis solution of the spin-precession equations, extending it to higher PN orders and including all available quasi-circular corrections. Finally, we add eccentric corrections up to 1PN order in the waveform amplitudes, including the GW multipoles $(l,|m|)=(2,2),(2,1),(2,0),(3,3),(3,2),(3,1),(3,0),(4,4),(4,2),(4,0)$. We validate pyEFPEHM against analytical waveform models and numerical relativity simulations, showing that it provides a robust and computationally efficient description of the inspiral, with good agreement across a broad region of parameter space and up to close to merger. The accuracy degrades in the late inspiral for systems with very unequal masses ($m_2/m_1 \lesssim 0.1$), significant spins aligned with the orbital angular momentum ($|\chi_\mathrm{eff}| \gtrsim 0.5$), and high eccentricities ($e \gtrsim 0.6$), where the PN expansion is expected to break down. pyEFPEHM represents a significant step toward physically complete and efficient waveform modeling of eccentric and precessing binaries, providing a foundation for future extensions including higher-order corrections, calibration to numerical relativity, and merger ringdown modeling.

gr-qc

Insights from GRBs for optical follow-up of gravitational wave counterparts

Identifying the electromagnetic counterparts to gravitational wave sources is vital to enabling the myriad of investigations possible with multimessenger astronomy. However, locating faint, fast-varying transients within large localisations remains challenging given the uncertainty in their detailed properties. In this work, we investigate how the nearby merger-induced GRBs would be localised by the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA detector network during the fifth gravitational wave observing run (O5) and assess whether their optical counterparts could be detected using gravitational wave localisations alone, without additional localisation from gamma-ray instruments. Counterpart detectability is evaluated using the observed optical afterglow lightcurves of these GRBs and the distance-scaled lightcurve of the kilonova AT2017gfo as a fiducial template. We find that such events can be localised to comparatively small regions of the sky, often only a few to tens of square degrees. As a result, counterparts are detectable by at least one of the available optical telescopes during O5. However, detectability depends strongly on observational depth, as the counterparts are fainter than $22$ mag within a day. Facilities capable of reaching depths of $\gtrsim23$ mag therefore play a key role in recovering these faint counterparts. These results indicate that for such events during O5, the primary challenge for multimessenger discovery will be in achieving sufficient observational depth and reliably identifying the true counterpart among unrelated transients rather than gravitational wave localisation itself.

astro-ph.HE

Impact of eccentricity on the population properties of neutron star - black hole mergers

We revisit the population properties of neutron star-black hole (NSBH) mergers using low-mass compact binary coalescences reported through GWTC-4. Employing pyEFPE, an inspiral-only waveform model that captures both orbital eccentricity and spin-induced precession, we reanalyse all binary neutron star (BNS) and NSBH events observed via gravitational waves. The BNS systems GW170817 and GW190425 are fully consistent with quasi-circular inspirals, while GW200105 stands out among the NSBH binaries as the only system exhibiting significant residual eccentricity at 20 Hz, strengthening evidence for dynamically driven formation pathways. The remaining NSBH events show no measurable eccentricity and appear broadly compatible with low-spin binaries formed through isolated stellar evolution. Using hierarchical Bayesian inference, we obtain the first joint constraints on the mass, spin, and eccentricity distributions of NSBH binaries. Our results also yield the first simultaneous constraints on spin precession and orbital eccentricity in NSBH mergers, while the inferred merger rates remain fully consistent with previous LVK measurements. Treating all NSBH systems as a single population yields results compatible with formation in hierarchical triples, whereas the quasi-circular population remains broadly consistent with isolated evolution. Our results highlight the emerging role of eccentricity as a key discriminator between formation channels. As the number of NSBH detections grows, joint constraints on masses, spins, and orbital eccentricity will enable increasingly sharp tests of dynamical versus isolated binary evolution, establishing NSBH systems as powerful probes of compact-object astrophysics.

astro-ph.HE

Detection of GW200105 with a targeted eccentric search

The neutron star -- black hole (NSBH) binary GW200105 was recently found to have significant residual orbital eccentricity at a gravitational-wave frequency of 20 Hz~\cite{Morras:2025xfu}. The event was originally identified with moderate significance by matched-filter searches that employ non-eccentric templates. The neglect of relevant physical effects, such as orbital eccentricity, can severely reduce the sensitivity of the search and, consequently, also the significance of an event candidate. Here, we present a targeted eccentric search for GW200105. The eccentric search identifies GW200105 as the most significant event with a signal-to-noise ratio of $13.4$ and a false alarm rate of less than 1 in 1000 years. The best-matching template parameters are consistent with the Bayesian inference result, supporting the interpretation of GW200105 as an NSBH that formed through dynamical mechanisms including hierarchical triples and not via isolated binary evolution.

gr-qc

Improved post-Newtonian waveform model for inspiralling precessing-eccentric compact binaries

The measurement of spin-precession and orbital eccentricity in gravitational-wave (GW) signals is a key priority in GW astronomy, as these effects not only provide insights into the astrophysical formation and evolution of compact binaries but also, if neglected, could introduce significant biases in parameter estimation, searches, and tests of General Relativity. Despite the growing potential of upcoming LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA observing runs and future detectors to measure eccentric-precessing signals, accurately and efficiently modeling them remains a challenge. In this work, we present pyEFPE, a frequency-domain post-Newtonian (PN) waveform model for the inspiral of precessing-eccentric compact binaries. pyEFPE improves upon previous models by introducing analytical expressions for the Fourier mode amplitudes, enhancing the numerical stability of the multiple scale analysis framework, and adding recently derived PN corrections, critical to accurately describe signals in GW detectors. Additionally, we simplify the numerical implementation and introduce a scheme to interpolate the amplitudes, achieving a speedup of up to ~O(15) in the waveform computations, making the model practical for data analysis applications. We thoroughly validate pyEFPE by comparing it to other waveform models in the quasi-circular and eccentric-spin-aligned limits, finding good agreement. Additionally, we demonstrate pyEFPE's capability to analyze simulated GW events, accurately recovering the parameters of signals described by both pyEFPE and IMRPhenomXP. While pyEFPE still lacks important physical effects, such as higher-order PN corrections, higher-order modes, mode asymmetries, tidal interactions or the merger-ringdown phase, it represents a significant step towards more complete waveform models, offering a flexible and efficient framework that can be extended in future work to incorporate these effects.

gr-qc

Orbital eccentricity in a neutron star - black hole merger

The observation of gravitational waves from merging black holes and neutron stars provides a unique opportunity to discern information about their astrophysical environment. Two signatures that are considered powerful tracers to distinguish between different binary formation channels are general-relativistic spin-induced orbital precession and orbital eccentricity. Both effects leave characteristic imprints in the gravitational-wave signal that can be extracted from observations. To date, neither precession nor eccentricity have been confidently discerned in merging neutron star - black hole binaries. Here we report the measurement of orbital eccentricity in a neutron star - black hole merger. Using, for the first time, a waveform model that incorporates precession and eccentricity, we perform Bayesian inference on the gravitational-wave event GW200105 (R. Abbott et al. 2021a) and infer a median orbital eccentricity of $e_{20}\sim 0.145$ at an orbital period of 0.1s, ruling out eccentricities smaller than 0.028 with 99.5% confidence. We find inconclusive evidence for the presence of precession, consistent with previous, non-eccentric results, but a more unequal mass ratio. Our result implies a fraction of these binaries will exhibit orbital eccentricity even at small separations, suggesting formation through mechanisms involving dynamical interactions beyond isolated binary evolution. Future observations will reveal the contribution of eccentric neutron star - black hole binaries to the total merger rate across cosmic time.

astro-ph.HE

Strong Field Scattering of Black Holes: Assessing Resummation Strategies

Recent developments in post-Minkowksian (PM) calculations have led to a fast-growing body of weak-field perturbative information. As such, there is major interest within the gravitational wave community as to how this information can be used to improve the accuracy of theoretical waveform models. In this work, we build on recent efforts to validate high-order PM calculations using numerical relativity simulations. We present a new set of high-energy scattering simulations for equal-mass, non-spinning binary black holes, further expanding the existing suite of NR simulations. We outline the basic features of three recently proposed resummation schemes (the $\mathscr{L}$-resummed model, the $w^\mathrm{eob}$ model and the SEOB-PM model) and compare the analytical predictions to our NR data. Each model is shown to demonstrate pathological behaviour at high energies, with common features such as PM hierarchical shifts and divergences. The NR data can also be used to calibrate pseudo-5PM corrections to the scattering angle or EOB radial potentials. In each case, we argue that including higher-order information improves the agreement between the analytical models and NR, though the extent of improvement depends on how this information is incorporated and the choice of analytical baseline. Finally, we demonstrate that further resummation of the EOB radial potentials could be an effective strategy to improving the model agreement.

gr-qc

A geometric template bank for the detection of spinning low-mass compact binaries with moderate orbital eccentricity

Compact binaries on eccentric orbits are another class of gravitational-wave (GW) sources that can provide a wealth of information on binary formation pathways and astrophysical environments. However, historically, eccentricity is often neglected in modelled GW searches for compact binaries. We show that currently used modelled searches that employ quasi-circular template banks are highly ineffectual in detecting binary neutron star (BNS) and neutron star--black hole (NSBH) systems with orbital eccentricities in the range of $[10^{-5},0.15]$ at a GW frequency of $15$Hz. For populations of moderately eccentric BNS and NSBH binaries with (anti-)aligned component spins, we demonstrate that quasi-circular template banks fail to detect up to $\sim 40\%$ of such systems. To alleviate these inefficiencies, we develop the first \emph{geometric} template bank for the search of BNSs and NSBH binaries that includes masses, (anti-)aligned spins and moderate eccentricity. Utilising the post-Newtonian inspiral waveform {\tt TaylorF2Ecc} and a global coordinate transformation, we construct a globally flat metric to efficiently place eccentric templates. Our geometric template bank is highly effectual, and significantly improves the recovery of eccentric signals with less than $6\%$ of signals missed due to the finite template spacing in the bank.

gr-qc

Mapping eccentricity evolutions between numerical relativity and effective-one-body gravitational waveforms

Orbital eccentricity in compact binaries is considered to be a key tracer of their astrophysical origin, and can be inferred from gravitational-wave observations due to its imprint on the emitted signal. For a robust measurement, accurate waveform models are needed. However, ambiguities in the definition of eccentricity can obfuscate the physical meaning and result in seemingly discrepant measurements. In this work we present a suite of 28 new numerical relativity simulations of eccentric, aligned-spin binary black holes with mass ratios between 1 and 6 and initial post-Newtonian eccentricities between 0.05 and 0.3. We then develop a robust pipeline for measuring the eccentricity evolution as a function of frequency from gravitational-wave observables that is applicable even to signals that span at least $\gtrsim 7$ orbits. We assess the reliability of our procedure and quantify its robustness under different assumptions on the data. Using the eccentricity measured at the first apastron, we initialise effective-one-body waveforms and quantify how the precision in the eccentricity measurement, and therefore the choice of the initial conditions, impacts the agreement with the numerical data. We find that even small deviations in the initial eccentricity can lead to non-negligible differences in the phase and amplitude of the waveforms. However, we demonstrate that we can reliably map the eccentricities between the simulation data and analytic models, which is crucial for robustly building eccentric hybrid waveforms, and to improve the accuracy of eccentric waveform models in the strong-field regime.

gr-qc

Phenomenological model of gravitational self-force enhanced tides in inspiralling binary neutron stars

Gravitational waves from inspiralling binary neutron stars provide unique access to ultra-dense nuclear matter and offer the ability to constrain the currently unknown neutron star equation-of-state through tidal measurements. This, however, requires the availability of accurate and efficient tidal waveform models. In this paper we present PhenomGSF, a new phenomenological tidal phase model for the inspiral of neutron stars in the frequency-domain, which captures the gravitational self-force informed tidal contributions of the time-domain effective-one-body model TEOBResumS. PhenomGSF is highly faithful and computationally efficient, and by choosing a modular approach, it can be used in conjunction with any frequency-domain binary black hole waveform model to generate the complete phase for a binary neutron star inspiral. PhenomGSF is valid for neutron star binaries with unequal masses and mass ratios between 1 and 3, and dimensionless tidal deformabilities up to 5000. Furthermore, PhenomGSF does not assume universal relations or parameterised equations-of-state, hence allowing for exotic matter analyses and beyond standard model physics investigations. We demonstrate the efficacy and accuracy of our model through comparisons against TEOBResumS, numerical relativity waveforms and full Bayesian inference, including a reanalysis of the binary neutron star observation GW170817.

gr-qc

Strong-field scattering of two spinning black holes: Numerical Relativity versus post-Minkowskian gravity

Highly accurate models of the gravitational-wave signal from coalescing compact binaries are built by completing analytical computations of the binary dynamics with non-perturbative information from numerical relativity (NR) simulations. In this paper we present four sets of NR simulations of equal-mass black hole binaries that undergo strong-field scattering: (i) we reproduce and extend the nonspinning simulations first presented in [Damour \textit{et al.}, Phys.Rev.D 89 (2014) 8, 081503], (ii) we compute two suites of nonspinning simulations at higher energies, probing stronger field interactions, (iii) we present a series of \textit{spinning} simulations including, for the first time, unequal-spin configurations. When comparing the NR scattering angles to analytical predictions based on state-of-the-art post-Minkowskian (PM) calculations, we find that PM-expanded scattering angles show poor convergence towards NR data. By contrast, a resummed computation of scattering angles via a spin-dependent, radiation-reacted, effective-one-body potential shows excellent agreement for both nonspinning and spinning configurations.

gr-qc

Precision tracking of massive black hole spin evolution with LISA

The Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (LISA) will play a vital role in constraining the origin and evolution of massive black holes throughout the Universe. In this study we use a waveform model (IMRPhenomXPHM) that includes both precession and higher multipoles, and full Bayesian inference to explore the accuracy to which LISA can constrain the binary parameters. We demonstrate that LISA will be able to track the evolution of the spins -- magnitude and orientation -- to percent accuracy, providing crucial information on the dynamics and evolution of massive black hole binaries and the galactic environment in which the merger takes place. Such accurate spin-tracking further allows LISA to measure the recoil velocity of the remnant black hole to better than $100\,\mathrm{km}\,\mathrm{s}^{-1}$ (90\% credibility) and its direction to a few degrees, which provides additional important astrophysical information on the post-merger association. Using a systematic suite of binaries, we showcase that the component masses will be measurable at the sub-percent level, the sky area can be constrained to within $ΔΩ_{90} \approx 0.01 \, \rm{deg}^2$, and the binary redshift to less than $0.01$.

gr-qc

General-relativistic precession in a black-hole binary

The general-relativistic phenomenon of spin-induced orbital precession has not yet been observed in strong-field gravity. Gravitational-wave observations of binary black holes (BBHs) are prime candidates, since we expect the astrophysical binary population to contain precessing binaries. Imprints of precession have been investigated in several signals, but no definitive identification of orbital precession has been reported in any one of the 84 BBH observations to date by the Advanced LIGO and Virgo detectors. Here we report the measurement of strong-field precession in the LIGO-Virgo-Kagra (LVK) gravitational-wave signal GW200129. The binary's orbit precesses at a rate ten orders of magnitude faster than previous weak-field measurements from binary pulsars. We also find that the primary black hole is likely highly spinning. According to current binary population estimates a GW200129-like signal is extremely unlikely, and therefore presents a direct challenge to many current binary formation models.

gr-qc

A Gravitational Wave Detector for Post Merger Neutron Stars: Beyond the Quantum Loss Limit of Michelson Fabry Perot Interferometer

Advanced gravitational-wave detectors that have made groundbreaking discoveries are Michelson interferometers with resonating optical cavities as their arms. As light travels at finite speed, these cavities are optimal for enhancing signals at frequencies below their bandwidth frequency. A small amount of optical loss will, however, significantly impact the high-frequency signals which are not optimally amplified. We find an elegant interferometer configuration with an "L-resonator" as the core, significantly surpassing the loss limited sensitivity of dual recycled Fabry Perot Michelson interferometers at high frequencies. Following this concept, we provide a broadband design of a 25 km detector with outstanding sensitivity between 2-4 kHz. We have performed Monte-Carlo population studies of binary neutron star mergers, given the most recent merger rate from the GWTC-3 catalog and several representative neutron star equations of state. We find that the new interferometer configuration significantly outperforms other third-generation detectors by a factor of 3 to 7 in the signal-to-noise ratio of the post-merger signal. Assuming a detection threshold with signal-to-noise ratio >5 and for the cases we have explored, the new design is the only detector that confidently achieves a detection rate larger than one per year, with the rate being 1 to 30 events per year.

gr-qc

Inferring eccentricity evolution from observations of coalescing binary black holes

The origin and formation of stellar-mass binary black holes remains an open question that can be addressed by precise measurements of the binary and orbital parameters from their gravitational-wave signal. Such binaries are expected to circularize due to the emission of gravitational waves as they approach merger. However, depending on their formation channel, some binaries could have a non-negligible eccentricity when entering the frequency band of current gravitational-wave detectors. In order to measure eccentricity in an observed gravitational-wave signal, accurate waveform models that describe binaries in eccentric orbits are necessary. In this work we demonstrate the efficacy of the improved TEOBResumS waveform model for eccentric coalescing binaries with aligned spins. We first validate the model against mock signals of aligned-spin binary black hole mergers and quantify the impact of eccentricity on the estimation of other intrinsic binary parameters. We then perform a fully Bayesian reanalysis of GW150914 with the eccentric waveform model. We find (i) that the model is reliable for aligned-spin binary black holes and (ii) that GW150914 is consistent with a non-eccentric merger although we cannot rule out small values of initial eccentricity at a reference frequency of $20$ Hz. Finally, we present a systematic method to measure the eccentricity and its evolution directly from the gravitational-wave posterior samples. Such an estimator is useful when comparing results from different analyses as the definition of eccentricity may differ between models. Our scheme can be applied even in the case of small eccentricities and can be adopted straightforwardly in post-processing to allow for direct comparison between models.

gr-qc

On the LISA science performance in observations of short-lived signals from massive black hole binary coalescences

The observation of massive black hole binary systems is one of the main science objectives of the Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (LISA). The instrument's design requirements have recently been revised: they set a requirement at $0.1\,\mathrm{mHz}$, with no additional explicit requirements at lower frequencies. This has implications for observations of the short-lived signals produced by the coalescence of massive and high-redshift binaries. Here we consider the most pessimistic scenario: the (unlikely) case in which LISA has no sensitivity below $0.1\,\mathrm{mHz}$. We show that the presence of higher multipoles (beyond the dominant $\ell = |m| = 2$ mode) in the gravitational radiation from these systems, which will be detectable with a total signal-to-noise ratio $\sim 10^3$, allows LISA to retain the capability to accurately measure the physical parameters, the redshift, and to constrain the sky location. To illustrate this point, we consider a few select binaries in a total (redshifted) mass range of $4 \times10^6 - 4 \times 10^7\,M_\odot$ whose ($\ell = |m| = 2$) gravitational-wave signals last between $\approx 12$ hours and $\approx 20$ days in band. We model the emitted gravitational radiation using the highly accurate (spin-aligned) waveform approximant IMRPhenomXHM and carry out a fully coherent Bayesian analysis on the LISA noise-orthogonal time-delay-interferometry channels.

gr-qc