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Patricia Schmidt

Publications and source records attributed to Patricia Schmidt.

At least 37 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

Accelerating multimodal gravitational waveforms from precessing compact binaries with artificial neural networks

Gravitational waves from the coalescences of black hole and neutron stars afford us the unique opportunity to determine the sources' properties, such as their masses and spins, with unprecedented accuracy. To do so, however, theoretical models of the emitted signal that are i) extremely accurate and ii) computationally highly efficient are necessary. The inclusion of more detailed physics such as higher-order multipoles and relativistic spin-induced orbital precession increases the complexity and hence also computational cost of waveform models, which presents a severe bottleneck to the parameter inference problem. A popular method to generate waveforms more efficiently is to build a fast surrogate model of a slower one. In this paper, we show that traditional surrogate modelling methods combined with artificial neural networks can be used to build a computationally highly efficient while still accurate emulation of multipolar time-domain waveform models of precessing binary black holes. We apply this method to the state-of-the-art waveform model SEOBNRv4PHM and find significant computational improvements: On a traditional CPU, the typical generation of a single waveform using our neural network surrogate SEOBNN_v4PHM_4dq2 takes 18ms for a binary black hole with a total mass of $44 M_{\odot}$ when generated from 20Hz. In comparison to SEOBNRv4PHM itself, this amounts to an improvement in computational efficiency by two orders of magnitude. Utilising additional GPU acceleration, we find that this speed-up can be increased further with the generation of batches of waveforms simultaneously. Even without additional GPU acceleration, this dramatic decrease in waveform generation cost can reduce the inference timescale from weeks to hours.

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Characterization of merging black holes with two precessing spins

Spin precession in merging black-hole binaries is a treasure trove for both astrophysics and fundamental physics. There are now well-established strategies to infer from gravitational-wave data whether at least one of the two black holes is precessing. In this paper we tackle the next-in-line target, namely the statistical assessment that the observed system has two precessing spins. We find that the recently developed generalization of the effective precession spin parameter $χ_\mathrm{p}$ is a well-suited estimator to this task. With this estimator, the occurrence of two precessing spins is a necessary (though not sufficient) condition to obtain values $1<χ_\mathrm{p}\leq 2$. Confident measurements of gravitational-wave sources with $χ_\mathrm{p}$ values in this range can be taken as a conservative assessment that the binary presents two precessing spins. We investigate this argument using a large set of >100 software injections assuming anticipated LIGO/Virgo sensitivities for the upcoming fourth observing run, O4. Our results are very encouraging, suggesting that, if such binaries exist in nature and merge at a sufficient rate, current interferometers are likely to deliver the first confident detection of merging black holes with two precessing spins. We investigate prior effects and waveform systematics and, though these need to be better investigated, did not find any confident false-positive case among all the configurations we tested. Our assessment should thus be taken as conservative.

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Impact of Dynamical Tides on the Reconstruction of the Neutron Star Equation of State

Gravitational waves (GWs) from inspiralling neutron stars afford us a unique opportunity to infer the as-of-yet unknown equation of state of cold hadronic matter at supranuclear densities. During the inspiral, the dominant matter effects are arise due to the star's response to their companion's tidal field, leaving a characteristic imprint in the emitted GW signal. This unique signature allows us to constrain the cold neutron star equation of state. At GW frequencies above $\gtrsim 800$Hz, however, subdominant tidal effects known as dynamical tides become important. In this letter, we demonstrate that neglecting dynamical tidal effects associated with the fundamental ($f$-) mode leads to large systematic biases in the measured tidal deformability of the stars and hence in the inferred neutron star equation of state. Importantly, we find that $f$-mode dynamical tides will already be relevant for Advanced LIGO's and Virgo's fifth observing run ($\sim 2025$) -- neglecting dynamical tides can lead to errors on the neutron radius of $\mathcal{O}(1{\rm km})$, with dramatic implications for the measurement of the equation of state. Our results demonstrate that the accurate modelling of subdominant tidal effects beyond the adiabatic limit will be crucial to perform accurate measurements of the neutron star equation of state in upcoming GW observations.

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Asimov: A framework for coordinating parameter estimation workflows

Since the first detection in 2015 of gravitational waves from compact binary coalescence, improvements to the Advanced LIGO and Advanced Virgo detectors have expanded our view into the universe for these signals. Searches of the of the latest observing run (O3) have increased the number of detected signals to 90, at a rate of approximately 1 per week. Future observing runs are expected to increase this even further. Bayesian analysis of the signals can reveal the properties of the coalescing black holes and neutron stars by comparing predicted waveforms to the observed data. The proliferating number of detected signals, the increasing number of methods that have been deployed, and the variety of waveform models create an ever-expanding number of analyses that can be considered. Asimov is a python package which is designed to simplify and standardise the process of configuring these analyses for a large number of events. It has already been used in developing analyses in three major gravitational wave catalog publications.

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Prospects for distinguishing dynamical tides in inspiralling binary neutron stars with third generation gravitational-wave detectors

Tidal effects in gravitational-wave (GW) observations from binary neutron star mergers have the potential to probe ultra-dense matter and shed light on the unknown nuclear equation of state of neutron stars. Tidal effects in inspiralling neutron star binaries become relevant at GW frequencies of a few hundred Hz and require detectors with exquisite high-frequency sensitivity. Third generation GW detectors such as the Einstein Telescope or Cosmic Explorer will be particularly sensitive in this high-frequency regime, allowing us to probe neutron star tides beyond the adiabatic approximation. Here we assess whether dynamical tides can be measured from a neutron star inspiral. We find that the measurability of dynamical tides depends strongly on the neutron star mass and equation of state. For a semi-realistic population of 10,000 inspiralling binary neutron stars, we conservatively estimate that on average $\mathcal{O}(50)$ binaries will have measurable dynamical tides. As dynamical tides are characterised not only by the star's tidal deformability but also by its fundamental ($f$-) mode frequency, they present a possibility of probing higher-order tidal effects and test consistency with quasi-universal relations. For a GW170817-like signal in a third generation detector network, we find that the stars' $f$-mode frequencies can be measured to within a few hundred Hz.

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The last three years: multiband gravitational-wave observations of stellar-mass binary black holes

Understanding the formation and evolution of the stellar-mass binary black holes discovered by LIGO and Virgo is a challenge that spans many areas of astrophysics, from stellar evolution, dynamics and accretion disks, to possible exotic early universe processes. Over the final years of their lives, stellar-mass binaries radiate gravitational waves that are first observable by space-based detectors (such as LISA) and then ground-based instruments (such as LIGO, Virgo and the next generation observatories Cosmic Explorer and the Einstein Telescope). Using state-of-the-art waveform models and parameter-estimation pipelines for both ground- and space-based observations, we show that (the expected handful of) these multiband observations will allow at least percent-level measurements of all 17 parameters that describe the binary, the possible identification of a likely host galaxy, and the forewarning of the merger days in advance allowing telescopes at multiple wavelengths to search for any electromagnetic signature associated to it. Multiband sources will therefore be a gold mine for astrophysics, but we also show that they could be less useful as laboratories for fundamental tests of general relativity than has been previously suggested.

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Tight multi-messenger constraints on the neutron star equation of state from GW170817 and a forward model for kilonova light curve synthesis

We present a rapid analytic framework for predicting kilonova light curves following neutron star (NS) mergers, where the main input parameters are binary-based properties measurable by gravitational wave detectors (chirp mass and mass ratio, orbital inclination) and properties dependent on the nuclear equation of state (tidal deformability, maximum NS mass). This enables synthesis of a kilonova sample for any NS source population, or determination of the observing depth needed to detect a live kilonova given gravitational wave source parameters in low latency. We validate this code, implemented in the public MOSFiT package, by fitting it to GW170817. A Bayes factor analysis overwhelmingly ($B>10^{10}$) favours the inclusion of an additional luminosity source in addition to lanthanide-poor dynamical ejecta during the first day. This is well fit by a shock-heated cocoon model, though differences in the ejecta structure, opacity or nuclear heating rate cannot be ruled out as alternatives. The emission thereafter is dominated by a lanthanide-rich viscous wind. We find the mass ratio of the binary is $q=0.92\pm0.07$ (90% credible interval). We place tight constraints on the maximum stable NS mass, $M_{\rm TOV}=2.17^{+0.08}_{-0.11}$ M$_\odot$. For a uniform prior in tidal deformability, the radius of a 1.4 M$_\odot$ NS is $R_{1.4}\sim 10.7$ km. Re-weighting with a prior based on equations of state that support our credible range in $M_{\rm TOV}$, we derive a final measurement $R_{1.4}=11.06^{+1.01}_{-0.98}$ km. Applying our code to the second gravitationally-detected neutron star merger, GW190425, we estimate that an associated kilonova would have been fainter (by $\sim0.7$ mag at one day post-merger) and declined faster than GW170817, underlining the importance of tuning follow-up strategies individually for each GW-detected NS merger.

astro-ph.HE↗

New effective precession spin for modeling multimodal gravitational waveforms in the strong-field regime

Accurately modelling the complete gravitational-wave signal from precessing binary black holes through the late inspiral, merger and ringdown remains a challenging problem. The lack of analytic solutions for the precession dynamics of generic double-spin systems, and the high dimensionality of the problem, obfuscate the incorporation of strong-field spin-precession information into semi-analytic waveform models used in gravitational-wave data analysis. Previously, an effective precession spin, $χ_p$, was introduced to reduce the number of spin degrees of freedom. Here, we show that $χ_p$ alone does not accurately reproduce higher-order multipolar modes, in particular the ones that carry strong imprints due to precession such as the $(2,1)$-mode. To improve the higher-mode content, and in particular to facilitate an accurate incorporation of precession effects in the strong-field regime into waveform models, we introduce a new dimensional reduction through an effective precession spin vector, $\vecχ_\perp$, which takes into account precessing spin information from both black holes. We show that this adapted effective precession spin (i) mimics the precession dynamics of the fully precessing configuration remarkably well, (ii) captures the signature features of precession in higher-order modes, and (iii) reproduces the final state of the remnant black hole with high accuracy for the overwhelming majority of configurations. We demonstrate the efficacy of this two-dimensional precession spin in the strong-field regime, paving the path for meaningful calibration of the precessing sector of semi-analytic waveform models with a faithful representation of higher-order modes through merger and the remnant black hole spin.

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A generalized precession parameter $χ_\mathrm{p}$ to interpret gravitational-wave data

Originally designed for waveform approximants, the effective precession parameter $χ_\mathrm{p}$ is the most commonly used quantity to characterize spin-precession effects in gravitational-wave observations of black-hole binary coalescences. We point out that the current definition of $χ_\mathrm{p}$ retains some, but not all, variations taking place on the precession timescale. We rectify this inconsistency and propose more general definitions that either fully consider or fully average those oscillations. Our generalized parameter $χ_\mathrm{p}\in[0,2]$ presents an exclusive region $χ_\mathrm{p}>1$ that can only be populated by binaries with two precessing spins. We apply our prescriptions to current LIGO/Virgo events and find that posterior distributions of $χ_\mathrm{p}$ tend to show longer tails at larger values. This appears to be a generic feature, implying that (i) current $χ_\mathrm{p}$ measurement errors might be underestimated, but also that (ii) evidence for spin precession in current data might be stronger than previously inferred. Among the gravitational-wave events released to date, that which shows the most striking behavior is GW190521.

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Constraining the lensing of binary neutron stars from their stochastic background

Gravitational wave (GW) transients from binary neutron star (BNS) coalescences can, in principle, be subject to gravitational lensing thereby increasing the amplitude and signal-to-noise ratio. We estimate the rate of lensed BNS events resolvable by LIGO and Virgo and find that it is constrained by the current non-detection of a stochastic GW background. Following closely the formalism we developed (10.1103/PhysRevLett.125.141102) in the context of binary black hole lensing, we show that at current sensitivities the fraction of BNS coalescences with lensing magnifications $μ> 1.02$ is less than $\sim 7\times 10^{-8}$ and therefore such events should not be expected in the near future. We also make predictions for projected future sensitivities.

astro-ph.HE↗

Constraining the lensing of binary black holes from their stochastic background

Gravitational waves (GWs) are subject to gravitational lensing in the same way as electromagnetic radiation. However, to date, no unequivocal observation of a lensed GW transient has been reported. Independently, GW observatories continue to search for the stochastic GW signal which is produced by many transient events at high redshift. We exploit a surprising connection between the lensing of individual transients and limits to the background radiation produced by the unresolved population of binary back hole mergers: we show that it constrains the fraction of individually resolvable lensed binary black holes to less than $\sim 4\times 10^{-5}$ at present sensitivity. We clarify the interpretation of existing, low redshift GW observations (obtained assuming no lensing) in terms of their apparent lensed redshifts and masses and explore constraints from GW observatories at future sensitivity. Based on our results, recent claims of observations of lensed events are statistically disfavoured.

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Measuring precession in asymmetric compact binaries

Gravitational-wave observations of merging compact binaries hold the key to precision measurements of the objects' masses and spins. General-relativistic precession, caused by spins misaligned with the orbital angular momentum, is considered a crucial tracer for determining the binary's formation history and environment, and it also improves mass estimates -- its measurement is therefore of particular interest with wide-ranging implications. Precession leaves a characteristic signature in the emitted gravitational-wave signal that is even more pronounced in binaries with highly unequal masses. The recent observations of GW190412 and GW190814 have confirmed the existence of such asymmetric compact binaries. Here, we perform a systematic study to assess the confidence in measuring precession in gravitational-wave observations of high mass ratio binaries and, our ability to measure the mass of the lighter companion in neutron star -- black hole type systems. Using Bayesian model selection, we show that precession can be decisively identified for low-mass binaries with mass ratios as low as $1:3$ and mildly precessing spins with magnitudes $\lesssim 0.4$, even in the presence of systematic waveform errors.

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Distinguishing the nature of comparable-mass neutron star binary systems with multimessenger observations: GW170817 case study

The discovery of GW170817 with gravitational waves (GWs) and electromagnetic (EM) radiation is prompting new questions in strong-gravity astrophysics. Importantly, it remains unknown whether the progenitor of the merger comprised two neutron stars (NSs), or a NS and a black hole (BH). Using new numerical-relativity simulations and incorporating modeling uncertainties we produce novel GW and EM observables for NS-BH mergers with similar masses. A joint analysis of GW and EM measurements reveals that if GW170817 is a NS-BH merger, <40% of the binary parameters consistent with the GW data are compatible with EM observations.

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Forecasts for detecting the gravitational-wave memory effect with Advanced LIGO and Virgo

The detection of gravitational waves (GWs) from binary black holes (BBHs) has allowed the theory of general relativity to be tested in a previously unstudied regime: that of strong curvature and high GW luminosities. One distinctive and measurable effect associated with this aspect of the theory is the nonlinear GW memory effect. The GW memory effect is characterized by its effect on freely falling observers: the proper distance between their locations differs before and after a burst of GWs passes by their locations. Gravitational-wave interferometers, like the LIGO and Virgo detectors, can measure features of this effect from a single BBH merger, but previous work has shown that it will require an event that is significantly more massive and closer than any previously detected GW event. Finding evidence for the GW memory effect within the entire population of BBH mergers detected by LIGO and Virgo is more likely to occur sooner. A prior study has shown that the GW memory effect could be detected in a population of BBHs consisting of binaries like the first GW150914 event after roughly one-hundred events. In this paper, we compute forecasts of the time it will take the advanced LIGO and Virgo detectors (when the detectors are operating at their design sensitivities) to find evidence for the GW memory effect in a population of BBHs that is consistent with the measured population of events in the first two observing runs of the LIGO detectors. We find that after five years of data collected by the advanced LIGO and Virgo detectors the signal-to-noise ratio for the nonlinear GW memory effect in the population will be about three (near a previously used threshold for detection). We point out that the different approximation methods used to compute the GW memory effect can lead to notably different signal-to-noise ratios.

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Validity of common modelling approximations for precessing binary black holes with higher-order modes

The current paradigm for constructing waveforms from precessing compact binaries is to first construct a waveform in a non-inertial, co-precessing binary source frame followed by a time-dependent rotation to map back to the physical, inertial frame. A key insight in the construction of these models is that the co-precessing waveform can be effectively mapped to some equivalent aligned spin waveform. Secondly, the time-dependent rotation implicitly introduces $m$-mode mixing, necessitating an accurate description of higher-order modes in the co-precessing frame. We assess the efficacy of this modelling strategy in the strong field regime using Numerical Relativity simulations. We find that this framework allows for the highly accurate construction of $(2,\pm 2)$ modes in our data set, while for higher order modes, especially the $(2,|1|), (3,|2|)$ and $(4,|3|)$ modes, we find rather large mismatches. We also investigate a variant of the approximate map between co-precessing and aligned spin waveforms, where we only identify the slowly varying part of the time domain co-precessing waveforms with the aligned-spin one, but find no significant improvement. Our results indicate that the simple paradigm to construct precessing waveforms does not provide an accurate description of higher order modes in the strong-field regime, and demonstrate the necessity for modelling mode asymmetries and mode-mixing to significantly improve the description of precessing higher order modes.

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On the properties of the massive binary black hole merger GW170729

We present a detailed investigation into the properties of GW170729, the gravitational wave with the most massive and distant source confirmed to date. We employ an extensive set of waveform models, including new improved models that incorporate the effect of higher-order waveform modes which are particularly important for massive systems. We find no indication of spin-precession, but the inclusion of higher-order modes in the models results in an improved estimate for the mass ratio of $(0.3-0.8)$ at the 90\% credible level. Our updated measurement excludes equal masses at that level. We also find that models with higher-order modes lead to the data being more consistent with a smaller effective spin, with the probability that the effective spin is greater than zero being reduced from $99\%$ to $94\%$. The 90\% credible interval for the effective spin parameter is now $(-0.01-0.50)$. Additionally, the recovered signal-to-noise ratio increases by $\sim0.3$ units compared to analyses without higher-order modes. We study the effect of common spin priors on the derived spin and mass measurements, and observe small shifts in the spins, while the masses remain unaffected. We argue that our conclusions are robust against systematic errors in the waveform models. We also compare the above waveform-based analysis which employs compact-binary waveform models to a more flexible wavelet- and chirplet-based analysis. We find consistency between the two, with overlaps of $\sim 0.9$, typical of what is expected from simulations of signals similar to GW170729, confirming that the data are well-described by the existing waveform models. Finally, we study the possibility that the primary component of GW170729 was the remnant of a past merger of two black holes and find this scenario to be indistinguishable from the standard formation scenario.

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Frequency domain model of $f$-mode dynamic tides in gravitational waveforms from compact binary inspirals

The recent detection of gravitational waves (GWs) from the neutron star binary inspiral GW170817 has opened a unique avenue to probe matter and fundamental interactions in previously unexplored regimes. Extracting information on neutron star matter from the observed GWs requires robust and computationally efficient theoretical waveform models. We develop an approximate frequency-domain GW phase model of a main GW signature of matter: dynamic tides associated with the neutron stars' fundamental oscillation modes ($f$-modes). We focus on nonspinning objects on circular orbits and demonstrate that, despite its mathematical simplicity, the new "$f$-mode tidal" (fmtidal) model is in good agreement with the effective-one-body dynamical tides model up to GW frequencies of $\gtrsim 1$ kHz and gives physical meaning to part of the phenomenology captured in tidal models tuned to numerical-relativity. The advantages of the fmtidal model are that it makes explicit the dependence of the GW phasing on the characteristic equation-of-state parameters, i.e., tidal deformabilities and $f$-mode frequencies; it is computationally efficient; and it can readily be added to any frequency-domain baseline waveform. The fmtidal model is easily amenable to future improvements and provides the means for a first step towards independently measuring additional fundamental properties of neutron star matter beyond the tidal deformability as well as performing novel tests of general relativity from GW observations.

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The SXS Collaboration catalog of binary black hole simulations

Accurate models of gravitational waves from merging black holes are necessary for detectors to observe as many events as possible while extracting the maximum science. Near the time of merger, the gravitational waves from merging black holes can be computed only using numerical relativity. In this paper, we present a major update of the Simulating eXtreme Spacetimes (SXS) Collaboration catalog of numerical simulations for merging black holes. The catalog contains 2018 distinct configurations (a factor of 11 increase compared to the 2013 SXS catalog), including 1426 spin-precessing configurations, with mass ratios between 1 and 10, and spin magnitudes up to 0.998. The median length of a waveform in the catalog is 39 cycles of the dominant $\ell=m=2$ gravitational-wave mode, with the shortest waveform containing 7.0 cycles and the longest 351.3 cycles. We discuss improvements such as correcting for moving centers of mass and extended coverage of the parameter space. We also present a thorough analysis of numerical errors, finding typical truncation errors corresponding to a waveform mismatch of $\sim 10^{-4}$. The simulations provide remnant masses and spins with uncertainties of 0.03% and 0.1% ($90^{\text{th}}$ percentile), about an order of magnitude better than analytical models for remnant properties. The full catalog is publicly available at https://www.black-holes.org/waveforms .

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