arXiv subjects

Ramon Grima

Publications and source records attributed to Ramon Grima.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Cell Division Changes Fate Decisions in a Genetic Toggle Switch

Gene regulatory networks govern cellular fate decisions through multistable dynamics. The genetic toggle switch is a canonical model of such behaviour; yet, the impact of cell division on its dynamics remains poorly understood. We derive analytical separatrices for a simplified Boolean toggle switch with and without division. We show that division can redirect trajectories with identical initial conditions to opposing stable states, and we define a region of disagreement where fate decisions are predicted incorrectly if division is neglected. Our results imply that division can fundamentally reshape fate boundaries in multistable regulatory networks.

q-bio.MN↗

arXiv2025

Imperfect molecular detection can renormalize apparent kinetic rates in stochastic gene regulatory networks

Imperfect molecular detection in single-cell experiments introduces technical noise that obscures the true stochastic dynamics of gene regulatory networks. While binomial models of molecular capture provide a principled description of imperfect detection, they have so far been analyzed only for simple gene-expression models that do not explicitly account for regulation. Here, we extend binomial models of capture to general gene regulatory networks to understand how imperfect capture reshapes the observed time-dependent statistics of molecular counts. Our results reveal when capture effects correspond to a renormalization of a subset of the kinetic rates and when they cannot be absorbed into effective rates, providing a systematic basis for interpreting noisy single-cell measurements. In particular, we show that rate renormalization depends on the level of regulatory detail in the model. For implicit regulatory models based on promoter state transitions, it arises whenever gene product synthesis does not trigger a promoter state change, as in the absence of promoter-proximal pausing or when pausing is short-lived. For models with explicit transcription factor binding, the same condition holds, together with sufficiently high transcription factor abundance, which in practice requires only a few tens of molecules per cell. In these cases, technical noise reduces the apparent mean burst size of synthesized gene products and accelerates the apparent rates of transcription factor binding reactions. This acceleration becomes stronger as the number of protein species and/or molecules involved in promoter switching increases. These effects hold for gene regulatory networks of arbitrary connectivity and remain valid under time-dependent kinetic rates.

q-bio.MN↗

arXiv2025

Effects of Model Reduction on Coherence and Information Transfer in Stochastic Biochemical Systems

Simplified stochastic models are widely used in the study of frequency-resolved noise propagation in biochemical reaction networks, a common measure being the coherence between random fluctuations in molecule number trajectories. Such models have also found widespread application in the quantification of how information is transmitted in reaction networks via the mutual information (MI) rate. A common assumption is that, under timescale separation, estimates for the coherence and MI rate obtained from simplified (reduced) models closely approximate those in the underlying full models. Here, we challenge that assumption by showing that, while reduced models can faithfully reproduce low-order statistics of molecular counts, they frequently incur substantial discrepancies in the coherence spectrum, especially at intermediate and high frequencies. These errors, in turn, lead to significant inaccuracies in the resulting estimates for the MI rates. We show that the observed discrepancies are due to the interplay between the structure of the underlying reaction networks, the specific model reduction method that is applied, and the asymptotic limits relating the full and the reduced models. We illustrate our results in canonical models of enzyme catalysis and gene expression, highlighting practical implications for quantifying information flow in cells.

q-bio.MN↗

arXiv2024

Universal deterministic patterns in stochastic count data

We report the existence of deterministic patterns in plots showing the relationship between the mean and the Fano factor (ratio of variance and mean) of stochastic count data. These patterns are found in a wide variety of datasets, including those from genomics, paper citations, commerce, ecology, disease outbreaks, and employment statistics. We develop a theory showing that the patterns naturally emerge when data sampled from discrete probability distributions is organised in matrix form. The theory precisely predicts the patterns and shows that they are a function of only one variable - the sample size.

q-bio.QM↗

arXiv2024

Analysis of a detailed multi-stage model of stochastic gene expression using queueing theory and model reduction

We introduce a biologically detailed, stochastic model of gene expression describing the multiple rate-limiting steps of transcription, nuclear pre-mRNA processing, nuclear mRNA export, cytoplasmic mRNA degradation and translation of mRNA into protein. The processes in sub-cellular compartments are described by an arbitrary number of processing stages, thus accounting for a significantly finer molecular description of gene expression than conventional models such as the telegraph, two-stage and three-stage models of gene expression. We use two distinct tools, queueing theory and model reduction using the slow-scale linear-noise approximation, to derive exact or approximate analytic expressions for the moments or distributions of nuclear mRNA, cytoplasmic mRNA and protein fluctuations, as well as lower bounds for their Fano factors in steady-state conditions. We use these to study the phase diagram of the stochastic model; in particular we derive parametric conditions determining three types of transitions in the properties of mRNA fluctuations: from sub-Poissonian to super-Poissonian noise, from high noise in the nucleus to high noise in the cytoplasm, and from a monotonic increase to a monotonic decrease of the Fano factor with the number of processing stages. In contrast, protein fluctuations are always super-Poissonian and show weak dependence on the number of mRNA processing stages. Our results delineate the region of parameter space where conventional models give qualitatively incorrect results and provide insight into how the number of processing stages, e.g. the number of rate-limiting steps in initiation, splicing and mRNA degradation, shape stochastic gene expression by modulation of molecular memory.

q-bio.MN↗

arXiv2023

Solving stochastic gene expression models using queueing theory: a tutorial review

Stochastic models of gene expression are typically formulated using the chemical master equation, which can be solved exactly or approximately using a repertoire of analytical methods. Here, we provide a tutorial review of an alternative approach based on queueing theory that has rarely been used in the literature of gene expression. We discuss the interpretation of six types of infinite server queues from the angle of stochastic single-cell biology and provide analytical expressions for the stationary and non-stationary distributions and/or moments of mRNA/protein numbers, and bounds on the Fano factor. This approach may enable the solution of complex models which have hitherto evaded analytical solution.

q-bio.SC↗

arXiv2023

Uncovering the effect of RNA polymerase steric interactions on gene expression noise: analytical distributions of nascent and mature RNA numbers

The telegraph model is the standard model of stochastic gene expression, which can be solved exactly to obtain the distribution of mature RNA numbers per cell. A modification of this model also leads to an analytical distribution of the nascent RNA numbers. These solutions are routinely used for the analysis of single-cell data, including the inference of transcriptional parameters. However, these models neglect important mechanistic features of transcription elongation, such as the stochastic movement of RNA polymerases and their steric interactions. Here we construct a model of gene expression describing promoter switching between inactive and active states, binding of RNA polymerases in the active state, their stochastic movement including steric interactions along the gene, and their unbinding leading to a mature transcript that subsequently decays. We derive the steady-state distributions of the nascent and mature RNA numbers in two important limiting cases: constitutive expression and slow promoter switching. We show that RNA fluctuations are suppressed by steric interactions between RNA polymerases, and that this suppression can even lead to sub-Poissonian fluctuations; these effects are most pronounced for nascent RNA and less prominent for mature RNA, since the latter is not a direct sensor of transcription. We find a relationship between the parameters of our microscopic mechanistic model and those of the standard models that ensures excellent consistency in their prediction of the first and second RNA number moments over vast regions of parameter space, encompassing slow, intermediate, and rapid promoter switching, provided the RNA number distributions are Poissonian or super-Poissonian. Furthermore, we identify the limitations of inference from mature RNA data, specifically showing that it cannot differentiate between highly distinct RNA polymerase traffic patterns on a gene.

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arXiv2022

Regulation of stem cell dynamics through volume exclusion

Maintenance and regeneration of adult tissues rely on the self-renewal of stem cells. Regeneration without over-proliferation requires precise regulation of the stem cell proliferation and differentiation rates. The nature of such regulatory mechanisms in different tissues, and how to incorporate them in models of stem cell population dynamics, is incompletely understood. The critical birth-death (CBD) process is widely used to model stem cell populations, capturing key phenomena, such as scaling laws in clone size distributions. However, the CBD process neglects regulatory mechanisms. Here, we propose the birth-death process with volume exclusion (vBD), a variation of the birth-death process that considers crowding effects, such as may arise due to limited space in a stem cell niche. While the deterministic rate equations predict a single non-trivial attracting steady state, the master equation predicts extinction and transient distributions of stem cell numbers with three possible behaviours: long-lived quasi-steady state, and short-lived bimodal or unimodal distributions. In all cases, we approximate solutions to the vBD master equation using a renormalised system-size expansion, quasi-steady state approximation and the WKB method. Our study suggests that the size distribution of a stem cell population bears signatures that are useful to detect negative feedback mediated via volume exclusion.

q-bio.PE↗

arXiv2022

Bayesian learning of effective chemical master equations in crowded intracellular conditions

Biochemical reactions inside living cells often occur in the presence of crowders -- molecules that do not participate in the reactions but influence the reaction rates through excluded volume effects. However the standard approach to modelling stochastic intracellular reaction kinetics is based on the chemical master equation (CME) whose propensities are derived assuming no crowding effects. Here, we propose a machine learning strategy based on Bayesian Optimisation utilising synthetic data obtained from spatial cellular automata (CA) simulations (that explicitly model volume-exclusion effects) to learn effective propensity functions for CMEs. The predictions from a small CA training data set can then be extended to the whole range of parameter space describing physiologically relevant levels of crowding by means of Gaussian Process regression. We demonstrate the method on an enzyme-catalyzed reaction and a genetic feedback loop, showing good agreement between the time-dependent distributions of molecule numbers predicted by the effective CME and CA simulations.

q-bio.QM↗

arXiv2021

MomentClosure.jl: automated moment closure approximations in Julia

MomentClosure.jl is a Julia package providing automated derivation of the time-evolution equations of the moments of molecule numbers for virtually any chemical reaction network using a wide range of moment closure approximations. It extends the capabilities of modelling stochastic biochemical systems in Julia and can be particularly useful when exact analytic solutions of the chemical master equation are unavailable and when Monte Carlo simulations are computationally expensive. MomentClosure.jl is freely accessible under the MIT license. Source code and documentation are available at https://github.com/augustinas1/MomentClosure.jl

q-bio.MN↗

arXiv2020

Steady-state fluctuations of a genetic feedback loop with fluctuating rate parameters using the unified colored noise approximation

A common model of stochastic auto-regulatory gene expression describes promoter switching via cooperative protein binding, effective protein production in the active state and dilution of proteins. Here we consider an extension of this model whereby colored noise with a short correlation time is added to the reaction rate parameters -- we show that when the size and timescale of the noise is appropriately chosen it accounts for fast reactions that are not explicitly modelled, e.g., in models with no mRNA description, fluctuations in the protein production rate can account for rapid multiple stages of nuclear mRNA processing which precede translation in eukaryotes. We show how the unified colored noise approximation can be used to derive expressions for the protein number distribution that is in good agreement with stochastic simulations. We find that even when the noise in the rate parameters is small, the protein distributions predicted by our model can be significantly different than models assuming constant reaction rates.

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arXiv2020

Small protein number effects in stochastic models of autoregulated bursty gene expression

A stochastic model of autoregulated bursty gene expression by Kumar et al. [Phys. Rev. Lett. 113, 268105 (2014)] has been exactly solved in steady-state conditions under the implicit assumption that protein numbers are sufficiently large such that fluctuations in protein numbers due to reversible protein-promoter binding can be ignored. Here we derive an alternative model that takes into account these fluctuations and hence can be used to study low protein number effects. The exact steady-state protein number distributions is derived as a sum of Gaussian hypergeometric functions. We use the theory to study how promoter switching rates and the type of feedback influence the size of protein noise and noise-induced bistability. Furthermore we show that our model predictions for the protein number distribution are significantly different from those of Kumar et al. when the protein mean is small, gene switching is fast, and protein binding is faster than unbinding.

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arXiv2020

Exact solution of stochastic gene expression models with bursting, cell cycle and replication dynamics

The bulk of stochastic gene expression models in the literature do not have an explicit description of the age of a cell within a generation and hence they cannot capture events such as cell division and DNA replication. Instead, many models incorporate cell cycle implicitly by assuming that dilution due to cell division can be described by an effective decay reaction with first-order kinetics. If it is further assumed that protein production occurs in bursts then the stationary protein distribution is a negative binomial. Here we seek to understand how accurate these implicit models are when compared with more detailed models of stochastic gene expression. We derive the exact stationary solution of the chemical master equation describing bursty protein dynamics, binomial partitioning at mitosis, age-dependent transcription dynamics including replication, and random interdivision times sampled from Erlang or more general distributions; the solution is different for single lineage and population snapshot settings. We show that protein distributions are well approximated by the solution of implicit models (a negative binomial) when the mean number of mRNAs produced per cycle is low and the cell cycle length variability is large. When these conditions are not met, the distributions are either almost bimodal or else display very flat regions near the mode and cannot be described by implicit models. We also show that for genes with low transcription rates, the size of protein noise has a strong dependence on the replication time, it is almost independent of cell cycle variability for lineage measurements and increases with cell cycle variability for population snapshot measurements. In contrast for large transcription rates, the size of protein noise is independent of replication time and increases with cell cycle variability for both lineage and population measurements.

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arXiv2019

Parameter estimation for biochemical reaction networks using Wasserstein distances

We present a method for estimating parameters in stochastic models of biochemical reaction networks by fitting steady-state distributions using Wasserstein distances. We simulate a reaction network at different parameter settings and train a Gaussian process to learn the Wasserstein distance between observations and the simulator output for all parameters. We then use Bayesian optimization to find parameters minimizing this distance based on the trained Gaussian process. The effectiveness of our method is demonstrated on the three-stage model of gene expression and a genetic feedback loop for which moment-based methods are known to perform poorly. Our method is applicable to any simulator model of stochastic reaction networks, including Brownian Dynamics.

q-bio.QM↗

arXiv2019

Stochastic modeling of auto-regulatory genetic feedback loops: a review and comparative study

Auto-regulatory feedback loops are one of the most common network motifs. A wide variety of stochastic models have been constructed to understand how the fluctuations in protein numbers in these loops are influenced by the kinetic parameters of the main biochemical steps. These models differ according to (i) which sub-cellular processes are explicitly modelled; (ii) the modelling methodology employed (discrete, continuous or hybrid); (iii) whether they can be analytically solved for the steady-state distribution of protein numbers. We discuss the assumptions and properties of the main models in the literature, summarize our current understanding of the relationship between them and highlight some of the insights gained through modelling.

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arXiv2018

Extending the linear-noise approximation to biochemical systems influenced by intrinsic noise and slow lognormally distributed extrinsic noise

It is well known that the kinetics of an intracellular biochemical network is stochastic. This is due to intrinsic noise arising from the random timing of biochemical reactions in the network as well as due to extrinsic noise stemming from the interaction of unknown molecular components with the network and from the cell's changing environment. While there are many methods to study the effect of intrinsic noise on the system dynamics, few exist to study the influence of both types of noise. Here we show how one can extend the conventional linear-noise approximation to allow for the rapid evaluation of the molecule numbers statistics of a biochemical network influenced by intrinsic noise and by slow lognormally distributed extrinsic noise. The theory is applied to simple models of gene regulatory networks and its validity confirmed by comparison with exact stochastic simulations. In particular we show how extrinsic noise modifies the dependence of the variance of the molecule number fluctuations on the rate constants, the mutual information between input and output signalling molecules and the robustness of feed-forward loop motifs.

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arXiv2017

The Linear-Noise Approximation and moment-closure approximations for stochastic chemical kinetics

This is a short review of two common approximations in stochastic chemical and biochemical kinetics. It will appear as Chapter 6 in the book "Quantitative Biology: Theory, Computational Methods and Examples of Models" edited by Brian Munsky, Lev Tsimring and Bill Hlavacek (to be published in late 2017/2018 by MIT Press). All chapter references in this article refer to chapters in the aforementioned book.

q-bio.SC↗

arXiv2017

Efficient Low-Order Approximation of First-Passage Time Distributions

We consider the problem of computing first-passage time distributions for reaction processes modelled by master equations. We show that this generally intractable class of problems is equivalent to a sequential Bayesian inference problem for an auxiliary observation process. The solution can be approximated efficiently by solving a closed set of coupled ordinary differential equations (for the low-order moments of the process) whose size scales with the number of species. We apply it to an epidemic model and a trimerisation process, and show good agreement with stochastic simulations.

physics.comp-ph↗