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Robert Shorten

Publications and source records attributed to Robert Shorten.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Sinkhorn-Knopp balancing with generalised martingale-type constraints

We consider the problem of optimally distributing resources from a set of suppliers to a set of consumers in the presence of general transportation constraints, and including heterogeneous flexibility in the marginal constraints. Such problems frequently arise in a variety of practical settings; for example, in the context of sharing economy applications, where one is not only interested in the transportation plan, but also its realisation, and in other problems that involve the study of martingales. Our principal contribution in this paper is to consider a generalisation of the classic entropically regularised Optimal Transport formulation in which such problems can be solved with a Sinkhorn algorithm. In particular, we present provably convergent Sinkhorn-like algorithms for solving this class of problems, and provide examples to both illustrate the utility of our approach as well as its efficacy.

math.OC

Robust Dynamic Pricing and Admission Control with Fairness Guarantees

Dynamic pricing is commonly used to regulate congestion in shared service systems. This paper is motivated by the fact that in the presence of users with varying price sensitivity (responsiveness), conventional monotonic pricing can lead to unfair outcomes by disproportionately excluding price-elastic users, particularly under high or uncertain demand. We therefore develop a fairness-oriented mechanism under demand uncertainty. The paper's contributions are twofold. First, we show that when fairness is imposed as a hard state constraint, the optimal (revenue maximizing) pricing policy is generally non-monotonic in demand. This structural result departs fundamentally from standard surge pricing rules and reveals that price reduction under heavy load may be necessary to maintain equitable access. Second, we address the problem that price elasticity among heterogeneous users is unobservable. To solve it, we develop a robust dynamic pricing and admission control framework that enforces capacity and fairness constraints for all user type distributions consistent with aggregate measurements. By integrating integral High Order Control Barrier Functions (iHOCBFs) with a robust optimization framework under uncertain user-type distribution, we obtain a controller that guarantees forward invariance of safety and fairness constraints while optimizing revenue. Numerical experiments demonstrate improved fairness and revenue performance relative to monotonic surge pricing policies.

eess.SY

Smart nudging for efficient routing through networks

In this paper, we formulate the design of efficient digitalised deposit return schemes as a control problem. We focus on the recycling of paper cups, though the proposed methodology applies more broadly to reverse logistics systems arising in circular economy R-strategies. Each item is assumed to carry a digital wallet through which monetary rewards are allocated to actors transferring the item across successive stages, incentivising completion of the recycling process. System efficiency is ensured by: (i) decentralised algorithms that avoid congestion at individual nodes; (ii) a decentralised AIMD-based algorithm that optimally splits the deposit across layers; and (iii) a feedback control loop that dynamically adjusts the deposit to achieve a desired throughput. The effectiveness of the framework is demonstrated through extensive simulations using realistic paper cup recycling data.

eess.SY

A Fair, Flexible, Zero-Waste Digital Electricity Market: A First-Principles Approach Combining Automatic Market Making, Holarchic Architectures and Shapley Theory

This thesis presents a fundamental rethink of electricity market design at the wholesale and balancing layers. Rather than treating markets as static spot clearing mechanisms, it reframes them as a continuously online, event driven dynamical control system: a two sided marketplace operating directly on grid physics. Existing energy only, capacity augmented, and zonal market designs are shown to admit no shock robust Nash equilibrium under realistic uncertainty, instead relying on price caps, uplift, and regulatory intervention to preserve solvency and security. In response, the thesis develops a holarchic Automatic Market Maker (AMM) in which prices are bounded, exogenous control signals derived from physical tightness rather than emergent equilibrium outcomes. The AMM generalises nodal and zonal pricing through nested scarcity layers, from node to cluster to zone to region to system, such that participant facing prices inherit from the tightest binding constraint. Nodal and zonal pricing therefore emerge as special cases of a unified scarcity propagation rule. Beyond pricing, the AMM functions as a scarcity aware control system and a digitally enforceable rulebook for fair access and proportional allocation under shortage. Fuel costs are recovered through pay as bid energy dispatch consistent with merit order, while non fuel operating and capital costs are allocated according to adequacy, flexibility, and locational contribution. Large scale simulations demonstrate bounded input bounded output stability, controllable procurement costs, zero structural waste, and improved distributional outcomes. The architecture is climate aligned and policy configurable, but requires a managed transition and new operational tools for system operators and market participants.

eess.SY

Stochastic Sample Approximations of (Local) Moduli of Continuity

Modulus of local continuity is used to evaluate the robustness of neural networks and fairness of their repeated uses in closed-loop models. Here, we revisit a connection between generalized derivatives and moduli of local continuity, and present a non-uniform stochastic sample approximation for moduli of local continuity. This is of importance in studying robustness of neural networks and fairness of their repeated uses.

cs.LG

Momentum-Based Access and Speed Control for Improved Safety in Heterogeneous Road Networks

The increasing variety of means of transportation, including light vehicles like e-scooters and e-bikes, together with the increasing weight of conventional vehicles due to electrification and consumer preferences for SUVs, are raising serious concerns regarding the safety of road networks. In this paper we design a two-level control algorithm to improve the safety of heterogeneous networks: first, an access control strategy decreases the heterogeneity of the network depending on actual traffic conditions; then, a speed control strategy mitigates the probability of serious injuries in potential collisions. Both control strategies are designed based on momentum considerations, as this is regarded as the most influential variable to assess injury risk. The road network mobility simulator SUMO is adopted to implement and validate our proposed control strategies.

eess.SY

Online Learning with Multiple Fairness Regularizers via Graph-Structured Feedback

There is an increasing need to enforce multiple, often competing, measures of fairness within automated decision systems. The appropriate weighting of these fairness objectives is typically unknown a priori, may change over time and, in our setting, must be learned adaptively through sequential interactions. In this work, we address this challenge in a bandit setting, where decisions are made with graph-structured feedback.

cs.LG

Learning Network Dismantling Without Handcrafted Inputs

The application of message-passing Graph Neural Networks has been a breakthrough for important network science problems. However, the competitive performance often relies on using handcrafted structural features as inputs, which increases computational cost and introduces bias into the otherwise purely data-driven network representations. Here, we eliminate the need for handcrafted features by introducing an attention mechanism and utilizing message-iteration profiles, in addition to an effective algorithmic approach to generate a structurally diverse training set of small synthetic networks. Thereby, we build an expressive message-passing framework and use it to efficiently solve the NP-hard problem of Network Dismantling, virtually equivalent to vital node identification, with significant real-world applications. Trained solely on diversified synthetic networks, our proposed model -- MIND: Message Iteration Network Dismantler -- generalizes to large, unseen real networks with millions of nodes, outperforming state-of-the-art network dismantling methods. Increased efficiency and generalizability of the proposed model can be leveraged beyond dismantling in a range of complex network problems.

cs.LG

humancompatible.interconnect: Testing Properties of Repeated Uses of Interconnections of AI Systems

Artificial intelligence (AI) systems often interact with multiple agents. The regulation of such AI systems often requires that {\em a priori\/} guarantees of fairness and robustness be satisfied. With stochastic models of agents' responses to the outputs of AI systems, such {\em a priori\/} guarantees require non-trivial reasoning about the corresponding stochastic systems. Here, we present an open-source PyTorch-based toolkit for the use of stochastic control techniques in modelling interconnections of AI systems and properties of their repeated uses. It models robustness and fairness desiderata in a closed-loop fashion, and provides {\em a priori\/} guarantees for these interconnections. The PyTorch-based toolkit removes much of the complexity associated with the provision of fairness guarantees for closed-loop models of multi-agent systems.

cs.AI

A Feedback Control Framework for Incentivised Suburban Parking Utilisation and Urban Core Traffic Relief

Urban traffic congestion, exacerbated by inefficient parking management and cruising for parking, significantly hampers mobility and sustainability in smart cities. Drivers often face delays searching for parking spaces, influenced by factors such as accessibility, cost, distance, and available services such as charging facilities in the case of electric vehicles. These inefficiencies contribute to increased urban congestion, fuel consumption, and environmental impact. Addressing these challenges, this paper proposes a feedback control incentivisation-based system that aims to better distribute vehicles between city and suburban parking facilities offering park-and-charge/-ride services. Individual driver behaviours are captured via discrete choice models incorporating factors of importance to parking location choice among drivers, such as distance to work, public transport connectivity, charging infrastructure availability, and amount of incentive offered; and are regulated through principles of ergodic control theory. The proposed framework is applied to an electric vehicle park-and-charge/-ride problem, and demonstrates how predictable long-term behaviour of the system can be guaranteed.

eess.SY

Predictive Control of EV Overnight Charging with Multi-Session Flexibility

The majority of electric vehicles (EVs) are charged domestically overnight, where the precise timing of power allocation is not important to the user, thus representing a source of flexibility that can be leveraged by charging control algorithms. In this paper, we relax the common assumption, that EVs require full charge every morning, enabling additional flexibility to defer charging of surplus energy to subsequent nights, which can enhance the performance of controlled charging. In particular, we consider a simple domestic smart plug, scheduling power delivery with the objective to minimize CO$_2$ emissions over prediction horizons of multiple sessions -- up to seven days ahead -- utilising model predictive control (MPC). Based on carbon intensity data from the UK National Grid, we demonstrate significant potential for emission reductions with multi-session planning of 40 to 46\% compared to uncontrolled charging and 19 to 26\% compared to single-session planning. Furthermore, we assess, how the driving and charging behaviour of EV users affects the available flexibility and consequentially the potential for emission reductions. Finally, using grid carbon intensity data from 14 different UK regions, we report significant variations in absolute emission reductions based on the local energy mix.

eess.SY

Surge sourcing via hybrid supply in a sharing economy: a resource-efficient, progressive and sustainable way to satisfy surge demand

We propose a surge sourcing approach to address occasional synchronous high demand (surge demand) in sharing economy systems, providing a socio-economically progressive alternative to surge pricing. Instead of suppressing demand among disadvantaged consumers, our scheme increases supply by involving privileged consumer-providers (prosumers) who under-utilize their resources. This hybrid supply approach maintains high quality-of-service (QoS) for both consumers and prosumers in both normal and surge demand situations without surge pricing. To ensure prosumer QoS, we reserve a small portion of the primary supply to meet their needs if their resources become unavailable during surge periods. As the probability of such events is low compared to that of the surge demand itself, the reserved resources required are minimal. The resulting scheme is resource-efficient, socially progressive, and sustainable, exploiting under-used resources. We illustrate our scheme through two applications: high-range car sharing for owners of small EVs, and shared charging points for EV drivers.

econ.GN

Levelised Cost of Demand Response: Estimating the Cost-Competitiveness of Flexible Demand

To make well-informed investment decisions, energy system stakeholders require reliable cost frameworks for demand response (DR) and storage technologies. While the levelised cost of storage (LCOS) permits comprehensive cost comparisons between different storage technologies, no generic cost measure for the comparison of different DR schemes exists. This paper introduces the levelised cost of demand response (LCODR) which is an analogous measure to the LCOS but crucially differs from it by considering consumer reward payments. Additionally, the value factor from cost estimations of variable renewable energy is adapted to account for the variable availability of DR. The LCODRs for four direct load control (DLC) schemes and twelve storage applications are estimated and contrasted against LCOS literature values for the most competitive storage technologies. The DLC schemes are vehicle-to-grid, smart charging, smart heat pumps, and heat pumps with thermal storage. The results show that only heat pumps with thermal storage consistently outcompete storage technologies with EV-based DR schemes being competitive for some applications. The results and the underlying methodology offer a tool for energy system stakeholders to assess the competitiveness of DR schemes even with limited user data.

eess.SY

Detection of Undeclared EV Charging Events in a Green Energy Certification Scheme

The green potential of electric vehicles (EVs) can be fully realized only if their batteries are charged using energy generated from renewable (i.e. green) sources. For logistic or economic reasons, however, EV drivers may be tempted to avoid charging stations certified as providing green energy, instead opting for conventional ones, where only a fraction of the available energy is green. This behaviour may slow down the achievement of decarbonisation targets of the road transport sector. In this paper, we use GPS data to infer whether an undeclared charging event has occurred. Specifically, we construct a Bayesian hypothesis test for the charging behaviour of the EV. Extensive simulations are carried out for an area of London, using the mobility simulator, SUMO, and exploring various operating conditions. Excellent detection rates for undeclared charging events are reported. We explain how the algorithm can serve as the basis for an incentivization scheme, encouraging compliance by drivers with green charging policies.

math.OC

On Optimal Battery Sizing for Electric Vehicles

In this paper, we introduce a quantitative framework to optimize electric vehicle (EV) battery capacities, considering two criteria: upfront vehicle cost and charging inconvenience cost. For this purpose, we (1) develop a comprehensive model for charging inconvenience costs, incorporating both charging time and detours, improving on existing studies, (2) show, through extensive simulations and analytical models, how charging inconvenience cost is affected by different battery capacity and charging infrastructure configurations, (3) introduce an optimisation framework to determine optimal battery capacities based on charging inconvenience and vehicle cost, and (4) show that optimal battery capacities can be influenced by strategic investments in charging infrastructure and tax/incentive policies. The proposed framework provides actionable insights into the sustainable design of EV systems, supporting the development of cost-effective and convenient electric mobility solutions.

eess.SY

Overcoming Representation Bias in Fairness-Aware data Repair using Optimal Transport

Optimal transport (OT) has an important role in transforming data distributions in a manner which engenders fairness. Typically, the OT operators are learnt from the unfair attribute-labelled data, and then used for their repair. Two significant limitations of this approach are as follows: (i) the OT operators for underrepresented subgroups are poorly learnt (i.e. they are susceptible to representation bias); and (ii) these OT repairs cannot be effected on identically distributed but out-of-sample (i.e.\ archival) data. In this paper, we address both of these problems by adopting a Bayesian nonparametric stopping rule for learning each attribute-labelled component of the data distribution. The induced OT-optimal quantization operators can then be used to repair the archival data. We formulate a novel definition of the fair distributional target, along with quantifiers that allow us to trade fairness against damage in the transformed data. These are used to reveal excellent performance of our representation-bias-tolerant scheme in simulated and benchmark data sets.

cs.LG

Randomized Transport Plans via Hierarchical Fully Probabilistic Design

An optimal randomized strategy for design of balanced, normalized mass transport plans is developed. It replaces -- but specializes to -- the deterministic, regularized optimal transport (OT) strategy, which yields only a certainty-equivalent plan. The incompletely specified -- and therefore uncertain -- transport plan is acknowledged to be a random process. Therefore, hierarchical fully probabilistic design (HFPD) is adopted, yielding an optimal hyperprior supported on the set of possible transport plans, and consistent with prior mean constraints on the marginals of the uncertain plan. This Bayesian resetting of the design problem for transport plans -- which we call HFPD-OT -- confers new opportunities. These include (i) a strategy for the generation of a random sample of joint transport plans; (ii) randomized marginal contracts for individual source-target pairs; and (iii) consistent measures of uncertainty in the plan and its contracts. An application in fair market matching is outlined, in which HFPD-OT enables the recruitment of a more diverse subset of contracts -- than is possible in classical OT -- into the delivery of an expected plan.

eess.SY

Embracing Fairness in Consumer Electricity Markets using an Automatic Market Maker

As consumer flexibility becomes expected, it is important that the market mechanisms which attain that flexibility are perceived as fair. We set out fairness issues in energy markets today, and propose a market design to address them. Consumption is categorised as either essential or flexible with different prices and reliability levels for each. Prices are generated by an Automatic Market Maker (AMM) based on instantaneous scarcity and resource is allocated using a novel Fair Play algorithm. We empirically show the performance of the system over 1 year for 101 UK households and benchmark its performance against more classical approaches.

eess.SY