arXiv subjects

Roberto Covino

Publications and source records attributed to Roberto Covino.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

A differentiable photon-by-photon likelihood for continuous free-energy landscapes and diffusion coefficients from single-molecule FRET

Single-molecule FRET probes the conformational dynamics of biomolecules by measuring the distance between two dyes. The experiment produces a stream of coloured photons, which is only an indirect readout of these dynamics. Recovering the free-energy landscape and diffusion coefficient from such a photon stream is a difficult inverse problem. Existing approaches assume a small number of discrete states, bin the photons, or are computationally expensive. Here we derive an exact likelihood for the recorded photon stream under a model in which the dye distance diffuses on a continuous free-energy landscape. It uses the raw inter-photon times and colours at full time resolution, and analytically integrates out all hidden trajectories. The likelihood is differentiable, so automatic differentiation returns exact gradients with respect to all model parameters. This lets us jointly infer the free-energy landscape, the diffusion coefficient, and the photophysical parameters by gradient-based optimization. On simulated data, we recover free-energy landscapes, including ones with a short-lived intermediate, together with the diffusion coefficients. Uncertainties follow from the curvature of the likelihood, computed directly from the same gradients. The framework also guides experimental design. Before any data are recorded, we can evaluate how much a given acquisition setting reduces the resulting uncertainty. Evaluation on the GPU is fast, and independent traces are processed in parallel, so a single fit converges in minutes and scales to large datasets. The likelihood extends photon-by-photon analysis to continuous free-energy landscapes and diffusion coefficients, putting fast quantitative inference with uncertainties within reach of the smFRET community.

physics.chem-ph↗

arXiv2026

Committors and Reaction Rates from Trial Functions That Violate the Boundary Conditions

The committor is the optimal reaction coordinate for a rare transition: it pinpoints the transition state and fixes the rate, and it governs events from protein folding to crystal nucleation. It minimises a Dirichlet energy, whose value at the minimum is the reactive flux, over functions that vanish on the reactant state and equal one on the product state. In high dimensions such a trial space is very hard to build. Here we rewrite the variational principle so that the boundary conditions are replaced by a normalisation of one boundary observable, the fidelity. Any trial function is then admissible, including functions that cannot satisfy the boundary values at all. On this basis we estimate the high-dimensional committor and rates from one-dimensional profiles along projected coordinates, taking as input only pre-existing equilibrium or reweighted configurations, a diffusion constant estimate, and the two state definitions. The optimum has a closed form that is cheap to evaluate. We obtain committors for AIB9 and villin HP-35 in full torsion space, and folding and unfolding rates for chignolin from umbrella sampling alone.

physics.chem-ph↗

arXiv2026

Accelerated descriptor-free path sampling for protein-ligand binding kinetics

The kinetics of protein-ligand binding systems are increasingly recognized as a key determinant of drug efficacy, yet remain far harder to compute than binding affinities. Existing kinetics methods either bias the dynamics along a collective variable (CV), demanding careful system-specific CV design, or use path sampling, which keeps the dynamics unbiased but can struggle to converge rates out of deep free-energy wells and often relies on hand-engineered descriptors. By combining the `best of both worlds', we propose a method to compute accurate kinetics for general ligand-unbinding problems at modest computational expense and minimal fine tuning, building on the AI for Molecular Mechanism Discovery (AIMMD) path sampling framework. To avoid the need for feature engineering, we opt for modelling the committor with a single descriptor-free, equivariant graph neural network shared across all systems. We also partially flatten deep bound-state wells with a static, basin-restricted bias potential. This improves convergence by lifting the path sampling state boundary out of regions, where the committor is hard to learn, while leaving the reactive region strictly unbiased. Across host-guest and protein-ligand systems spanning roughly 17 orders of magnitude in residence time, the method robustly recovers rates in line with reference and experimental values. Simultaneously, and without further sampling, it also reconstructs the underlying unbinding mechanisms. We additionally find that accurate rates do not require globally accurate committor models, allowing for efficient kinetics estimation even in a low-data training regime. Requiring little system-specific setup, our approach offers an efficient and broadly generalizable route to binding kinetics, and its shared committor architecture lays crucial groundwork for probing structure-kinetics relationships across ligand series in drug discovery.

physics.chem-ph↗

arXiv2026

Protein Dynamics Beyond Structure Prediction

The ability to predict protein three-dimensional structures from amino acid sequences is a landmark achievement in molecular biology, where recent deep learning approaches such as AlphaFold are the culmination of decades of work. Yet, the quantitative understanding of how protein sequences give rise to dynamic conformational changes and higher-order assemblies remains unsolved. Folding and conformational states are dynamic, stochastic processes, shaped by sequence, energy, co-translational constraints, chaperone machineries, and the physicochemical conditions of the cellular environment. Recent advances now position the field to move beyond static structural endpoints toward a mechanistic understanding of folding dynamics in living systems. Single-molecule techniques enable time-resolved observation of folding trajectories and intermediate states hitherto hidden by traditional structural biology approaches, while computational innovations and data-driven approaches offer new ways to integrate heterogeneous data across scales. In this Roadmap, we review the current conceptual landscape of protein folding, examine the experimental and theoretical gaps that remain, and discuss emerging strategies that integrate high-resolution measurements with multiscale modeling. We outline a roadmap toward a quantitative and predictive science of protein folding dynamics, conformational kinetics, and macromolecular self-assembly. Realizing this vision would transform our understanding of the dynamics of molecular self-organization, from the folding of individual polypeptides to the emergence of dynamic macromolecular complexes. This will enable rational control of folding and misfolding in health and disease, extend protein engineering principles beyond static structural design, and establish a mechanistic foundation for predictive and personalized interventions in proteostasis-related disorders.

q-bio.BM↗

arXiv2026

Quantitative and Predictive Folding Models from Limited Single-Molecule Data Using Simulation-Based Inference

The study of biomolecular folding has been greatly advanced by single-molecule force spectroscopy (SMFS), which enables the observation of the dynamics of individual molecules. However, extracting quantitative models of fundamental properties such as folding landscapes from SMFS data is very challenging due to instrumental noise, linker artifacts, and the inherent stochasticity of the process, often requiring extensive datasets and complex calibration. Here, we introduce a framework based on simulation-based inference (SBI) that overcomes these limitations by integrating physics-based modeling with deep learning. We first apply this framework to analyze constant-force measurements of a DNA hairpin. From a single experimental trajectory of only two seconds, we successfully reconstruct the hairpin's free energy landscape and folding dynamics, obtaining results in close agreement with established deconvolution methods that require 10-100 times more data. Furthermore, we demonstrate the generality of our approach by applying it to a riboswitch aptamer featuring multiple states and tertiary contacts, resolving the profile of a landscape featuring four metastable states from a single trajectory. The Bayesian nature of this approach robustly quantifies uncertainties for all inferred parameters, including diffusion coefficients and linker stiffness, without needing independent measurements of instrument properties. The inferred models are predictive, generating simulated trajectories that quantitatively reproduce experimental thermodynamics and kinetics. The ability to derive statistically robust models from minimal datasets is crucial for investigating complex biomolecular systems where extensive data collection is impractical, paving the way for novel applications of SMFS.

physics.chem-ph↗

arXiv2026

A Machine-Learned Symbolic Committor for a Chemical Reaction: Retinal Isomerization

The thermal cis-trans isomerization around the C$_{13}$=C$_{14}$ double bond of retinal is a prototypical high-barrier reaction whose mechanism hinges on subtle out-of-plane bending motions. We apply Artificial Intelligence for Molecular Mechanism Discovery (AIMMD) to N-retinylidene-lysine in vacuum, learning the committor from unbiased molecular dynamics trajectories generated by two-way shooting. Parametrizing the logit of the committor, rather than the committor itself, allows the neural network to resolve the reaction coordinate across the full transition region, not only at the isocommittor surface $p_B(\mathbf{x}) = 0.5$. Holdback input randomization identifies four proper dihedrals around the reactive bond as the informative coordinates, while the improper dihedrals at C$_{13}$ and C$_{14}$ prove unsuitable because reactant, transition, and product states share the same values. Symbolic regression then distills the network into compact analytical expressions and shows that a nonlinear coupling of all four dihedrals is required to reproduce the S-shaped, stepwise pathway seen in the transition path ensemble. This S-shape is absent from the minimum-free-energy path: it arises from the non-equilibrium dynamics of the short ($\sim 0.13$ ps) transition events combined with the mass asymmetry between heavy-atom and hydrogen-bearing dihedrals. An interpretable, machine-learned committor thus exposes dynamical features of the mechanism to which the free-energy surface is blind. The workflow requires no prior assumptions about the reaction coordinate and extends naturally to other isomerizations and to chemical reactions more broadly.

physics.chem-ph↗

arXiv2025

Follow the MEP: Scalable Neural Representations for Minimum-Energy Path Discovery in Molecular Systems

Characterizing conformational transitions in physical systems remains a fundamental challenge, as traditional sampling methods struggle with the high-dimensional nature of molecular systems and high-energy barriers between stable states. These rare events often represent the most biologically significant processes, yet may require months of continuous simulation to observe. One way to understand the function and mechanics of such systems is through the minimum energy path (MEP), which represents the most probable transition pathway between stable states in the high-friction, low-temperature limit. We present a method that reformulates MEP discovery as a fast and scalable neural optimization problem. By representing paths as implicit neural representations and training with differentiable molecular force fields, our method discovers transition pathways without expensive sampling. Our approach scales to large biomolecular systems through a simple loss function derived from the path's likelihood via the Onsager-Machlup action and a scalable new architecture, AdaPath. We demonstrate this approach on two proteins, including an explicitly hydrated BPTI system with more than 3,500 atoms. Our method identifies a MEP that captures the same conformational change observed in a millisecond-scale molecular dynamics (MD) simulation in just minutes on a standard GPU, rather than weeks on a specialized cluster.

physics.chem-ph↗

arXiv2025

Cryo-em images are intrinsically low dimensional

Simulation-based inference provides a powerful framework for cryo-electron microscopy, employing neural networks in methods like CryoSBI to infer biomolecular conformations via learned latent representations. This latent space represents a rich opportunity, encoding valuable information about the physical system and the inference process. Harnessing this potential hinges on understanding the underlying geometric structure of these representations. We investigate this structure by applying manifold learning techniques to CryoSBI representations of hemagglutinin (simulated and experimental). We reveal that these high-dimensional data inherently populate low-dimensional, smooth manifolds, with simulated data effectively covering the experimental counterpart. By characterizing the manifold's geometry using Diffusion Maps and identifying its principal axes of variation via coordinate interpretation methods, we establish a direct link between the latent structure and key physical parameters. Discovering this intrinsic low-dimensionality and interpretable geometric organization not only validates the CryoSBI approach but enables us to learn more from the data structure and provides opportunities for improving future inference strategies by exploiting this revealed manifold geometry.

q-bio.QM↗

arXiv2025

Understanding Reaction Mechanisms from Start to Finish

Understanding mechanisms of rare but important events in complex molecular systems, such as protein folding or ligand (un)binding, requires accurately mapping transition paths from an initial to a final state. The committor is the ideal reaction coordinate for this purpose, but calculating it for high-dimensional, nonlinear systems has long been considered intractable. Here, we introduce an iterative path sampling strategy for computing the committor function for systems with high free energy barriers. We start with an initial guess to define isocommittor interfaces for transition interface sampling. The resulting path ensemble is then reweighted and used to train a neural network, yielding a more accurate committor model. This process is repeated until convergence, effectively solving the long-standing circular problem in enhanced sampling where a good reaction coordinate is needed to generate efficient sampling, and vice-versa. The final, converged committor model can be interrogated to extract mechanistic insights. We demonstrate the power of our method on a benchmark 2D potential and a more complex host-guest (un)binding process in explicit solvent.

physics.chem-ph↗

arXiv2025

The need to implement FAIR principles in biomolecular simulations

This letter illustrates the opinion of the molecular dynamics (MD) community on the need to adopt a new FAIR paradigm for the use of molecular simulations. It highlights the necessity of a collaborative effort to create, establish, and sustain a database that allows findability, accessibility, interoperability, and reusability of molecular dynamics simulation data. Such a development would democratize the field and significantly improve the impact of MD simulations on life science research. This will transform our working paradigm, pushing the field to a new frontier. We invite you to support our initiative at the MDDB community (https://mddbr.eu/community/) Now published as: Amaro, R.E., et al. The need to implement FAIR principles in biomolecular simulations. Nat Methods (2025) https://doi.org/10.1038/s41592-025-02635-0

q-bio.BM↗

arXiv2025

Optimal Rejection-Free Path Sampling

We propose an efficient novel path sampling-based framework designed to accelerate the investigation of rare events in complex molecular systems. A key innovation is the shift from sampling restricted path ensemble distributions, as in transition path sampling, to directly sampling the distribution of shooting points. This allows for a rejection-free algorithm that samples the entire path ensemble efficiently. Optimal sampling is achieved by applying a selection bias that is the inverse of the free energy along a reaction coordinate. The optimal reaction coordinate, the committor, is iteratively constructed as a neural network using AI for Molecular Mechanism Discovery (AIMMD), concurrently with the free energy profile, which is obtained through reweighting the sampled path ensembles. We showcase our algorithm on theoretical and molecular bechnmarks, and demonstrate how it provides at the same time molecular mechanism, free energy, and rates at a moderate computational cost.

physics.chem-ph↗

arXiv2024

Simulation-based inference of single-molecule experiments

Single-molecule experiments are a unique tool to characterize the structural dynamics of biomolecules. However, reconstructing molecular details from noisy single-molecule data is challenging. Simulation-based inference (SBI) integrates statistical inference, physics-based simulators, and machine learning and is emerging as a powerful framework for analysing complex experimental data. Recent advances in deep learning have accelerated the development of new SBI methods, enabling the application of Bayesian inference to an ever-increasing number of scientific problems. Here, we review the nascent application of SBI to the analysis of single-molecule experiments. We introduce parametric Bayesian inference and discuss its limitations. We then overview emerging deep-learning-based SBI methods to perform Bayesian inference for complex models encoded in computer simulators. We illustrate the first applications of SBI to single-molecule force-spectroscopy and cryo-electron microscopy experiments. SBI allows us to leverage powerful computer algorithms modeling complex biomolecular phenomena to connect scientific models and experiments in a principled way.

physics.chem-ph↗

arXiv2024

Free energy, rates, and mechanism of transmembrane dimerization in lipid bilayers from dynamically unbiased molecular dynamics simulations

The assembly of proteins in membranes plays a key role in many crucial cellular pathways. Despite their importance, characterizing transmembrane assembly remains challenging for experiments and simulations. Equilibrium molecular dynamics simulations do not cover the time scales required to sample the typical transmembrane assembly. Hence, most studies rely on enhanced sampling schemes that steer the dynamics of transmembrane proteins along a collective variable that should encode all slow degrees of freedom. However, given the complexity of the condensed-phase lipid environment, this is far from trivial, with the consequence that free energy profiles of dimerization can be poorly converged. Here, we introduce an alternative approach, which relies only on simulating short, dynamically unbiased trajectory segments, avoiding using collective variables or biasing forces. By merging all trajectories, we obtain free energy profiles, rates, and mechanisms of transmembrane dimerization with the same set of simulations. We showcase our algorithm by sampling the spontaneous association and dissociation of a transmembrane protein in a lipid bilayer, the popular coarse-grained Martini force field. Our algorithm represents a promising way to investigate assembly processes in biologically relevant membranes, overcoming some of the challenges of conventional methods.

cond-mat.soft↗

arXiv2023

Sampling a rare protein transition with a hybrid classical-quantum computing algorithm

Simulating spontaneous structural rearrangements in macromolecules with classical Molecular Dynamics (MD) is an outstanding challenge. Conventional supercomputers can access time intervals up to tens of $μ$s, while many key events occur on exponentially longer time scales. Transition path sampling techniques have the advantage of focusing the computational power on barrier-crossing trajectories, but generating uncorrelated transition paths that explore diverse conformational regions remains an unsolved problem. We employ a path-sampling paradigm combining machine learning (ML) with quantum computing (QC) to address this issue. We use ML on a classical computer to perform a preliminary uncharted exploration of the conformational space. The data set generated in this exploration is then post-processed to obtain a network representation of the reactive kinetics. Quantum annealing machines can exploit quantum superposition to encode all the transition pathways in this network in the initial quantum state and ensure the generation of completely uncorrelated transition paths. In particular, we resort to the DWAVE quantum computer to perform an all-atom simulation of a protein conformational transition that occurs on the ms timescale. Our results match those of a special purpose supercomputer designed to perform MD simulations. These results highlight the role of biomolecular simulation as a ground for applying, testing, and advancing quantum technologies.

physics.bio-ph↗

arXiv2023

Molecular free energies, rates, and mechanisms from data-efficient path sampling simulations

Molecular dynamics is a powerful tool for studying the thermodynamics and kinetics of complex molecular events. However, these simulations can rarely sample the required time scales in practice. Transition path sampling overcomes this limitation by collecting unbiased trajectories capturing the relevant events. Moreover, the integration of machine learning can boost the sampling while simultaneously learning a quantitative representation of the mechanism. Still, the resulting trajectories are by construction non-Boltzmann-distributed, preventing the calculation of free energies and rates. We developed an algorithm to approximate the equilibrium path ensemble from machine learning-guided path sampling data. At the same time, our algorithm provides efficient sampling, the mechanism, free energy, and rates of rare molecular events at a very moderate computational cost. We tested the method on the folding of the mini-protein chignolin. Our algorithm is straightforward and data-efficient, opening the door to applications on many challenging molecular systems.

physics.chem-ph↗

arXiv2022

Simulation-based inference of single-molecule force spectroscopy

Single-molecule force spectroscopy (smFS) is a powerful approach to studying molecular self-organization. However, the coupling of the molecule with the ever-present experimental device introduces artifacts, that complicates the interpretation of these experiments. Performing statistical inference to learn hidden molecular properties is challenging because these measurements produce non-Markovian time-series, and even minimal models lead to intractable likelihoods. To overcome these challenges, we developed a computational framework built on novel statistical methods called simulation-based inference (SBI). SBI enabled us to directly estimate the Bayesian posterior, and extract reduced quantitative models from smFS, by encoding a mechanistic model into a simulator in combination with probabilistic deep learning. Using synthetic data, we could systematically disentangle the measurement of hidden molecular properties from experimental artifacts. The integration of physical models with machine learning density estimation is general, transparent, easy to use, and broadly applicable to other types of biophysical experiments.

physics.chem-ph↗

arXiv2022

Information-theoretical measures identify accurate low-resolution representations of protein configurational space

A steadily growing computational power is employed to perform molecular dynamics simulations of biological macromolecules, which represents at the same time an immense opportunity and a formidable challenge. In fact, large amounts of data are produced, from which useful, synthetic, and intelligible information has to be extracted to make the crucial step from knowing to understanding. Here we tackled the problem of coarsening the conformational space sampled by proteins in the course of molecular dynamics simulations. We applied different schemes to cluster the frames of a dataset of protein simulations; we then employed an information-theoretical framework, based on the notion of resolution and relevance, to gauge how well the various clustering methods accomplish this simplification of the configurational space. Our approach allowed us to identify the level of resolution that optimally balances simplicity and informativeness; furthermore, we found that the most physically accurate clustering procedures are those that induce an ultrametric structure of the low-resolution space, consistently with the hypothesis that the protein conformational landscape has a self-similar organisation. The proposed strategy is general and its applicability extends beyond that of computational biophysics, making it a valuable tool to extract useful information from large datasets.

cond-mat.soft↗

arXiv2022

Sampling Rare Conformational Transitions with a Quantum Computer

Spontaneous structural rearrangements play a central role in the organization and function of complex biomolecular systems. In principle, physics-based computer simulations like Molecular Dynamics (MD) enable us to investigate these thermally activated processes with an atomic level of resolution. However, rare conformational transitions are intrinsically hard to investigate with MD, because an exponentially large fraction of computational resources must be invested to simulate thermal fluctuations in metastable states. Path sampling methods like Transition Path Sampling hold the great promise of focusing the available computational power on sampling the rare stochastic transition between metastable states. In these approaches, one of the outstanding limitations is to generate paths that visit significantly different regions of the conformational space at a low computational cost. To overcome these problems we introduce a rigorous approach that integrates a machine learning algorithm and MD simulations implemented on a classical computer with adiabatic quantum computing. First, using functional integral methods, we derive a rigorous low-resolution representation of the system's dynamics, based on a small set of molecular configurations generated with machine learning. Then, a quantum annealing machine is employed to explore the transition path ensemble of this low-resolution theory, without introducing un-physical biasing forces to steer the system's dynamics. Using the D-Wave quantum computer, we validate our scheme by simulating a benchmark conformational transition in a state-of-the-art atomistic description. We show that the quantum computing step generates uncorrelated trajectories, thus facilitating the sampling of the transition region in configuration space. Our results provide a new paradigm for MD simulations to integrate machine learning and quantum computing.

quant-ph↗