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Roland Tóth

Publications and source records attributed to Roland Tóth.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources
arXiv2026

Learning Surrogate LPV State-Space Models with Uncertainty Quantification

The Linear Parameter-Varying (LPV) framework enables the construction of surrogate models of complex nonlinear and high-dimensional systems, facilitating efficient stability and performance analysis together with controller design. Despite significant advances in data-driven LPV modelling, existing approaches do not quantify the uncertainty of the obtained LPV models. Consequently, assessing model reliability for analysis and control or detecting operation outside the training regime requires extensive validation and user expertise. This paper proposes a Bayesian approach for the joint estimation of LPV state-space models, including their scheduling map, together with characterization of the model uncertainty and confidence bounds on the predicted model response directly from input-output data. Both aleatoric uncertainty due to measurement noise and epistemic uncertainty arising from limited training data and structural bias are considered. The resulting model preserves the LPV structure required for controller synthesis while enabling computationally efficient simulation and uncertainty propagation. The approach is demonstrated on the surrogate modelling of a two-dimensional nonlinear interconnection of mass-spring-damper systems.

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arXiv2026

Amplitude Dependent Bode Diagrams via Scaled Relative Graphs

Scaled Relative Graphs (SRGs) provide an intuitive graphical frequency-domain method for the analysis of Nonlinear (NL) systems, generalizing the Nyquist diagram. In this paper, we develop a method for computing $L_2$-gain bounds for Lur'e systems over bounded frequency and amplitude ranges. We do this by restricting the input space of the SRG both in frequency and energy content, and using methods from Sobolev theory. The resulting gain bounds over restricted sets of inputs are less conservative than bounds computed over the entire $L_2$, and yield three-dimensional NL generalization of the Bode diagram, plotting $L_2$-gain as function of both input frequency and energy content. In the zero-energy limit, the Linear Time-Invariant (LTI) Bode diagram is recovered, and at the infinite-energy zero-frequency limit, we recover the $L_2$-gain. The effectiveness of our method is demonstrated on an example that resembles Phase-Locked Loop dynamics.

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arXiv2026

Robust Space-Filling Input Design via Stochastic Optimization

The space-filling input design approach generates a so-called space-filling dataset in the feature space of the system model. The design method is applicable on a broad class of model structures with wide selection of signals and also incorporates information measures through optimality criteria into the signal design. However, during the signal design, knowledge of a hypothesized model is required. The designed signal can perform far from the optimal if the true system is significantly different from the hypothesized system model. This paper proposes a robust space-filling input design algorithm that can generate a space-filling dataset for an entire class of models. The proposed algorithm takes the expectation of an optimality criterion over the population of the model class, and a stochastic approximation technique is employed to optimize this robust criteria. The efficiency of the proposed algorithm is demonstrated in a simulation example.

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arXiv2026

A subspace approach to data-driven predictive control for linear parameter-varying systems

This paper presents a subspace data-driven predictive control method for linear parameter-varying (LPV) systems. Starting from an affine LPV state-space model in innovation form, we derive a multi-step predictor that separates the effects of past data, future inputs, scheduling trajectories, and innovations. By projecting this representation onto the row span of lifted input-output-scheduling data, we obtain an asymptotically unbiased data-driven predictor that can be embedded directly in a receding-horizon control problem, without explicitly identifying an LPV model. To make the resulting LPV data-driven predictive control (DDPC) formulation tractable, we introduce an LPV extension of $γ$-DDPC based on an LQ factorization. This formulation fixes the number of online decision variables independently of the length of the dataset. A reduced-order predictor is then proposed to curb the exponential growth of scheduling-dependent regressors, which also relaxes the persistence-of-excitation condition. Simulation studies, including an unbalanced-disk example, show that the proposed controller achieves good tracking performance and, compared to existing LPV DDPC schemes, achieves better robustness to measurement noise and reduced computational cost, making multi-step LPV DDPC practically deployable, even with longer past horizons.

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arXiv2026

Online learning of neural state-space models

Recent advances in deep-learning-based nonlinear system identification have led to encoder-based estimation of neural state-space (ANN-SS) models that achieve state-of-the-art performance in offline settings by estimating initial model states from past input-output data. These methods are typically used in multiple-shooting-based offline identification, and online learning of these models remains largely unexplored. This paper presents a batch-wise learning pipeline and a direct recursive identification algorithm for subspace encoder-based ANN-SS models. We provide convergence analysis of the recursive formulation and validate its performance through extensive simulation studies. The results demonstrate that the proposed approach enables computationally efficient online adaptation with high model accuracy.

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arXiv2026

Nonparametric Control Koopman Operators

This paper presents a novel Koopman composition operator representation framework for control systems in reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces (RKHSs) that is free of explicit dictionary or input parametrizations. By establishing fundamental equivalences between different model representations, we are able to close the gap of control system operator learning and infinite-dimensional regression, enabling various empirical estimators and the connection to the well-understood learning theory in RKHSs under one unified framework. Consequently, our proposed framework allows for arbitrarily accurate finite-rank approximations in infinite-dimensional spaces and leads to finite-dimensional predictors without a priori restrictions to a finite span of functions or inputs. To enable applications to high-dimensional control systems, we improve the scalability of our proposed control Koopman operator estimates by utilizing sketching techniques. Numerical experiments demonstrate superior prediction accuracy compared to bilinear EDMD, especially in high dimensions. Finally, we show that our learned models are readily interfaced with linear-parameter-varying techniques for model predictive control.

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arXiv2026

Efficient stochastic model-predictive control based on the meta-state-space representation

Stochastic model-predictive control (SMPC) has evolved to a powerful framework for the control of stochastic dynamical systems. SMPC utilizes a probabilistic uncertainty description to provide a systematic trade-off between the control objective and constraint satisfaction in a statistical sense. However, the majority of existing SMPC methods face challenges related to computational tractability due to the need for stochastic inference. Approaches that apply accurate inference are computationally demanding, which can lead to serious limitations in the implementability of these methods. Hence, in practice, the uncertainty propagation and the resulting distributions are typically approximated, e.g., by Gaussian distributions. These approximations promote computational efficiency, but are often too conservative, becoming a limiting factor in the representation of stochastic state evolution and the implied guarantees. To overcome this fundamental limitation of SMPC approaches, we propose a novel formulation based on the meta-state-space (MSS) representation of stochastic dynamical systems. The proposed MSS-based SMPC scheme offers a computationally efficient way to forward propagate the uncertainty with a flexible and highly accurate approximation of the probabilistic system description. With the presented method, the entire output probability density function can be directly shaped, which is unprecedented among existing SMPC techniques. Finally, we provide a detailed theoretical analysis and demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed methodology via an extensive simulation study.

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arXiv2026

Least Costly Space-Filling Experiment Design for the Identification of a Nonlinear System

The quality of an estimated nonlinear model highly depends on the data quality that was used for the system identification. By using a Gaussian Process-based optimal input design approach, a so-called space-filling dataset can be generated in the feature space of the system model. The design method is applicable for a broad type of signals and models and also incorporates information measures through optimality criteria into the signal design. However, the resulting input design can be costly to apply to the real system. The goal of this paper is to propose a space-filling input design that can minimize the experimentation cost in terms of a user defined measure, while still guaranteeing a prescribed level of space-fillingness. Through a Monte Carlo simulation study we demonstrate that the proposed method can appropriately shape the excitation signal to significantly reduce the experimental cost while the identified model performance remains adequate.

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arXiv2026

Efficient Learning of Affine and Rational Dependency LPV Models With Linear Fractional Representation

Identifying control-friendly models of nonlinear systems remains one of the major challenges at the intersection of system identification and control. The Linear Parameter-Varying (LPV) framework offers a promising solution, but existing identification methods often rely on model structures with affine scheduling dependency. Instead, this work proposes the use of LPV models with Linear Fractional Representation (LFR) admitting a rational scheduling-dependency, capable of modelling complex nonlinear systems with fewer scheduling variables compared to affine models. This work introduces a direct parameterization to ensure well-posedness of rational LPV-LFR models, which by joint-estimation of an LPV plant and scheduling map, using only input-output data, is capable of modelling complex nonlinear systems. Accuracy of the proposed approach is shown on two simulation examples.

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arXiv2026

Learning Koopman Models From Data Under General Noise Conditions

This paper presents a novel identification approach of Koopman models of nonlinear systems with inputs under rather general noise conditions. The method uses deep state-space encoders based on the concept of state reconstructability and an efficient multiple-shooting formulation of the squared loss of the prediction error to estimate the dynamics and the lifted state only from input-output data. Furthermore, the Koopman model structure includes an innovation noise term that is used to handle process and measurement noise. It is shown that the proposed approach is statistically consistent (estimation error tends to zero when the number of data points goes to infinity) and computationally efficient due to the multiple-shooting formulation, by which the prediction error of the model can be calculated on multiple subsections of the data in parallel. The latter allows for efficient batch optimization of the network parameters and, at the same time, excellent long-term prediction capabilities of the obtained models. The performance of the approach is illustrated by nonlinear benchmark examples and experimental data from a Crazyflie 2.1 quadcopter.

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arXiv2026

Robust Adaptive Predictive Control for Hook-Based Aerial Transportation Between Moving Platforms

This paper presents a novel model predictive control (MPC) approach for autonomous pick-and-place between moving platforms with a hook-equipped aerial manipulator. First, for accurate and rapid modeling of the complex dynamics, a digital twin model of the quadcopter equipped with a hook-based gripper, implemented in MuJoCo, is constructed and used as the predictive model for the MPC. To handle uncertainties of the predictive model (e.g. due to aerodynamics and uncertain payloads), a robust adaptive MPC approach is proposed. By systematic integration of zero-order robust optimization (zoRO) based uncertainty propagation and an extended Kalman filter (EKF) for parameter estimation, the MPC algorithm ensures robust constraint satisfaction, high performance, and computational efficiency. The effectiveness of the proposed method is evaluated in complex simulated scenarios and in real-world flight experiments.

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arXiv2026

Analysis of Non-Square Nonlinear MIMO Systems using Scaled Relative Graphs

Scaled Relative Graphs (SRGs) provide a novel graphical frequency-domain method for the analysis of nonlinear systems. There have been recent efforts to generalize SRG analysis to Multiple-Input Multiple-Output (MIMO) systems. However, these attempts yielded only results for square systems, due to the inherent Hilbert space structure of the SRG. In this paper, we develop an SRG analysis method that accommodates non-square operators. The key element is the embedding of operators to a space of operators acting on a common Hilbert space, while restricting the input space to the original input dimension, to avoid conservatism. We generalize SRG interconnection rules to restricted input spaces and develop stability theorems to guarantee causality, well-posedness and (incremental) $L_2$-gain bounds for the overall interconnection. We show utilization of the proposed theoretical concepts on the analysis of nonlinear systems in a Linear Fractional Representation (LFR) form, which is a rather general class of systems, and the LFR is directly utilizable for control. Moreover, we provide formulas for the computation of MIMO SRGs of stable LTI operators and diagonal and non-square static nonlinear operators. Finally, we demonstrate the advantages of our embedding approach on several examples.

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arXiv2026

Data-driven Learning of LPV Surrogate Models of Fuel Sloshing

This paper aims to enhance the efficiency of validation and verification campaigns involving fuel sloshing phenomena. Our first contribution is the development of an open-source, high-fidelity and computationally efficient two-dimensional smoothed-particle hydrodynamics-based fuel sloshing simulator that reproduces the dynamics of a spacecraft with a partially filled tank with liquid propellant. Implemented in Python using Jax, the simulator leverages GPU parallelization and supports automatic differentiation, enabling rapid generation of simulation data and system linearizations for general surrogate modelling purposes. Our second contribution is the demonstration of a practical methodology for constructing surrogate models of fuel sloshing from input--output data generated by the simulator, targeting rapid simulation and model-based control applications. The surrogate model employs a Linear Parameter-Varying (LPV) state-space structure with affine dependence on the scheduling variables, providing an accurate yet computationally efficient approximation of the sloshing dynamics. The capabilities of the proposed approach are demonstrated through closed-loop simulations of a rigid spacecraft with a partially filled fuel tank for two manoeuvre profiles under zero-gravity conditions. The identified surrogate enables simulations that are two orders of magnitude faster than the high-fidelity model.

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arXiv2026

Data-driven augmentation of first-principles models under constraint-free well-posedness and stability guarantees

The integration of first-principles models with learning-based components, i.e., model augmentation, has gained increasing attention, as it offers higher model accuracy and faster convergence properties compared to black-box approaches, while generating physically interpretable models. Recently, a unified formulation has been proposed that generalizes existing model augmentation structures, utilizing linear fractional representations (LFRs). However, several potential benefits of the approach remain underexplored. In this work, we address three key limitations. First, the added flexibility of LFRs also introduces possible algebraic loops, i.e., a problem of well-posedness. To address this challenge, we propose a constraint-free direct parametrization of the model structure with a well-posedness guarantee. Second, we introduce a constraint-free parametrization that ensures stability of the overall model augmentation structure via contraction. Third, we adopt an efficient identification pipeline capable of handling non-smooth cost functions, such as group-lasso regularization, which facilitates automatic model order selection and discovery of the required augmentation configuration. These contributions are demonstrated on various simulation and benchmark identification examples.

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arXiv2026

Unifying Sequential Quadratic Programming and Linear-Parameter-Varying Algorithms for Real-Time Model Predictive Control

This paper presents a unified framework that connects sequential quadratic programming (SQP) and the iterative linear-parameter-varying model predictive control (LPV-MPC) technique. Using the differential formulation of the LPV-MPC, we demonstrate how SQP and LPV-MPC can be unified through a specific choice of scheduling variable and the 2nd Fundamental Theorem of Calculus (FTC) embedding technique and compare their convergence properties. This enables the unification of the zero-order approach of SQP with the LPV-MPC scheduling technique to enhance the computational efficiency of robust and stochastic MPC problems. To demonstrate our findings, we compare the two schemes in a simulation example. Finally, we present real-time feasibility and performance of the zero-order LPV-MPC approach by applying it to Gaussian process (GP)-based MPC for autonomous racing with real-world experiments.

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arXiv2026

Learning-based augmentation of first-principle models: A linear fractional representation-based approach

Nonlinear system identificationhas proven to be effective in obtaining accurate models from data for complex real-world systems. In particular, recent encoder-based methods with artificial neural network state-space (ANN-SS) models have achieved state-of-the-art performance on various benchmarks, using computationally efficient methods and offering consistent model estimation in the presence of noisy data. However, inclusion of prior knowledge of the system can be further exploited to increase (i) estimation speed, (ii) accuracy, and (iii) interpretability of the resulting models. This paper proposes a model augmentation method that incorporates prior knowledge from first-principles (FP) models in a flexible manner. We introduce a novel linear-fractional-representation (LFR) model structure that allows for the general representation of various augmentation structures including the ones that are commonly used in the literature, and an encoder-based identification algorithm for estimating the proposed structures together with appropriate initialisation methods. The performance and generalisation capabilities of the proposed method are demonstrated on the identification of a hardening mass-spring-damper system in a simulation study and on the data-driven modelling of the dynamics of an F1Tenth electric car using measured data.

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arXiv2026

Bayesian Optimization Based Grid Point Allocation for LPV and Robust Control

This paper investigates systematic selection of optimal grid points for grid-based Linear Parameter-Varying (LPV) and robust controller synthesis. In both settings, the objective is to identify a set of local models such that the controller synthesized for these local models will satisfy global stability and performance requirements for the entire system. Here, local models correspond to evaluations of the LPV or uncertain plant at fixed values of the scheduling signal or realizations of the uncertainty set, respectively. Then, Bayesian optimization is employed to discover the most informative points that govern the closed-loop performance of the designed LPV or robust controller for the complete system until no significant further performance increase or a user specified limit is reached. Furthermore, when local model evaluations are computationally demanding or difficult to obtain, the proposed method is capable to minimize the number of evaluations and adjust the overall computational cost to the available budget. Lastly, the capabilities of the proposed method in automatically obtaining a sufficiently informative grid set are demonstrated on three case-studies: a robust controller design for an unbalanced disk, a multi-objective robust attitude controller design for a satellite with uncertain parameters and two flexible rotating solar arrays, and an LPV controller design for a robotic arm.

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arXiv2026

Orthogonal-by-construction augmentation of physics-based input-output models

This paper proposes a novel orthogonal-by-construction parametrization for augmenting physics-based input-output models with a learning component in an additive sense. The parametrization allows to jointly optimize the parameters of the physics-based model and the learning component. Unlike the commonly applied additive (parallel) augmentation structure, the proposed formulation eliminates overlap in representation of the system dynamics, thereby preserving the uniqueness of the estimated physical parameters, ultimately leading to enhanced model interpretability. By theoretical analysis, we show that, under mild conditions, the method is statistically consistent and guarantees recovery of the true physical parameters. With further analysis regarding the asymptotic covariance matrix of the identified parameters, we also prove that the proposed structure provides a clear separation between the physics-based and learning components of the augmentation structure. The effectiveness of the proposed approach is demonstrated through simulation studies, showing accurate reproduction of the data-generating dynamics without sacrificing consistent estimation of the physical parameters.

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