arXiv subjects
Publications and source records attributed to Rozane Bezerra de Siqueira.
The aim of this study is to estimate the implications for the reference rate and for the distribution of the tax burden among households from the consumption tax reform as outlined in the version of the Projeto de Lei Complementar (PLP) 68 approved by the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies in July 2024.
Taxes on goods and services account for about 45% of total tax revenue in Brazil. This tax collection results in a highly complex system, with several taxes, different tax bases, and a multiplicity of rates. Moreover, about 43% of taxes on goods fall on inputs. In this context, the effective tax rates can substantially differ from the legal rates. In this study we estimate the final incidence of indirect taxes in Brazil using the 2015 Brazilian input-output matrix and a method that incorporates the multisector effects of the taxation of inputs.
The outbreak of the Covid-19 pandemic has led to an increasing interest in Universal Basic Income (UBI) proposals as it exposed the inadequacy of traditional welfare systems to provide basic financial security to a large share of the population. In this paper, we use a static tax-benefit microsimulation model to analyse the fiscal and distributional effects of the hypothetical implementation in Brazil of alternative UBI schemes which partially replace the existing tax-transfer system. The results indicate that the introduction of a UBI/Flat Tax system in the country could be both extremely effective in reducing poverty and inequality and economically viable.