arXiv subjects

Samet Oymak

Publications and source records attributed to Samet Oymak.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Evolutionary Feature Engineering for Structured Data

Large language models are increasingly used as open-ended search operators in evolutionary optimization. We introduce Evolutionary Feature Engineering (EFE), a framework for using LLM-based evolution to discover preprocessing transformations for structured data. EFE represents transformations as Python programs with a standardized fit/transform interface, allowing them to be inserted directly into existing machine learning pipelines. During evolution, candidate programs are refined using dataset context, summary statistics, and downstream performance feedback on validation set. We instantiate EFE in two settings. For time-series forecasting, EFE-Time learns invertible, dataset-specific normalizations that improve off-the-shelf time-series foundation models. It reduces forecasting errors (MASE, WQL, MAE) 3% or more when averaged across datasets and improvements are as much as 19% on the COVID-Deaths dataset. Notably, these improvements occur with recent TSFMs such as Chronos-2. For tabular prediction, EFE-Tab evolves compact feature programs that add useful interpretable features and remove redundant ones, improving or matching existing LLM-based feature-engineering methods. We found EFE-Tab to be particularly effective on classical decision trees, where small sets of evolved features yield competitive accuracy while preserving interpretability. Overall, EFE demonstrates that LLM-based evolution can improve both accuracy and interpretability when automatically tackling structured data.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Evolutionary Multi-Task Optimization for LLM-Guided Program Discovery

Recent LLM-guided evolutionary search methods have shown that iterative program mutation can discover strong algorithms, but they typically optimize each task independently, even when related tasks share reusable structure. We introduce Evolutionary Multi-Task Optimization (EMO) for LLM-guided program discovery, and propose EMO-STA (Shared-Then-Adapt), a two-stage framework that first evolves a shared archive of executable programs across a task family and then adapts selected shared candidates to each target task. Within EMO-STA, we explore multiple adaptation strategies, including warm-starting from the shared archive, adapting the best average shared program, and adapting the shared program that performs best on each target task. Across eight task families spanning continuous optimization, geometric construction, modeling, and algorithmic optimization, EMO-STA improves over matched-compute single-task evolution in most settings, with STA Best-Local providing the strongest in-distribution adaptation and STA Best-Shared yielding robust transfer to unseen tasks. Compute-allocation experiments show that allocating a substantial fraction of the family-level budget to shared evolution is consistently beneficial, with roughly balanced shared and adaptation budgets often being optimal. Beyond compute efficiency, we show that shared evolution can mitigate overfitting in low-evidence settings (e.g. few training data), including ARC tasks and time-series feature engineering, by favoring programs that generalize across all tasks rather than exploiting task-specific brittle artifacts.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

VSPO: Vector-Steered Policy Optimization for Behavioral Control

Modern language models often need to optimize a primary accuracy objective while also accommodating secondary behavioral preferences, such as verbosity, agreeableness, or the level of technical expertise in its response. In practice, a base model may exhibit a desired behavior very rarely or not at all. Thus, endowing the model with a target behavior creates a sparse behavioral reward bottleneck. To address such multi-objective problems, we introduce Vector-Steered Policy Optimization (VSPO) which employs a steering vector associated with the target behavior to control the behavior intensity of the generated rollouts. VSPO is obtained by modifying GRPO to sample rollouts with varying steering intensities. This process can be interpreted as an on-policy latent self-distillation procedure where the model internalizes its steering vector. By varying steering intensities, VSPO upsamples rare behaviors and enriches rollout diversity, which alleviates the sparse reward issue and provably accelerates the policy optimization. Through comprehensive theory and experiments, we establish that VSPO has favorable properties compared to vanilla reward shaping and other alternative approaches. Specifically, under a bandit abstraction, VSPO provably achieves better iteration complexity than reward-shaped GRPO when the steering-induced distributions are sufficiently aligned with the target behavior. We evaluate VSPO across multiple reasoning benchmarks, including MATH and MMLU-Pro, for four target behaviors: explanation expertise, confidence expression, robustness to misleading context, and response verbosity. Our results show that VSPO consistently improves the control along target behavior while maintaining or improving task accuracy compared with reward shaping, teacher-trace distillation, and guidance-based baselines.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Latent Chain-of-Thought Improves Structured-Data Transformers

Chain-of-thought and more broadly test-time compute are known to augment the expressive capabilities of language models and have led to major innovations in reasoning. Motivated by this success, this paper explores latent chain-of-thought as well as the impact of depth and looping for time-series and tabular data. We propose a recurrent scheme in which a structured-data transformer, after an initial forward pass, compresses its query-position hidden states into feedback tokens that are appended to the input and processed again, allowing multiple rounds of latent computation before prediction. We compare CoT models against a same-depth no-CoT baseline, a deeper baseline matched to the CoT model in effective depth, and a looped transformer with weight-tied recurrence but no additional chain-of-thought tokens. Across 36 datasets in time-series forecasting and tabular prediction, latent chain-of-thought improves over the baseline on 7/9 time-series datasets (+12.63\% average gain) and 23/27 tabular datasets (+3.25\% average gain), with CoT models performing best on average in both settings. We also show that the benefit of CoT extends to pretrained foundation models: applying latent CoT to nanoTabPFN, a small open-source tabular foundation model, improves its performance above the much larger TabPFN-v2 on TabArena. Together, these results demonstrate that chain-of-thought is a useful axis for scaling test-time compute for structured data.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Stochastic Sparse Attention for Memory-Bound Inference

Autoregressive decoding becomes bandwidth-limited at long contexts, as generating each token requires reading all $n_k$ key and value vectors from KV cache. We present Stochastic Additive No-mulT Attention (SANTA), a method that sparsifies value-cache access by sampling $S \ll n_k$ indices from the post-softmax distribution and aggregates only those value rows. This yields an unbiased estimator of the post-softmax value aggregation while replacing value-stage multiply-accumulates with gather-and-add. We introduce stratified and systematic sampling to design variance-reduced, GPU-friendly variants. Evaluated on Llama-3.1-8B-Instruct at 32k-token contexts, S$^2$ANTA matches baseline accuracy while achieving up to $1.5\times$ decode-step attention-kernel speedup over FlashInfer and FlashDecoding on an NVIDIA RTX 6000 Ada. In batched long-context generation, these kernel gains translate to up to $1.25\times$ end-to-end decode-latency speedup. Finally, we propose Bernoulli $qK^\mathsf{T}$ sampling as a complementary technique to sparsify the score stage, reducing key-feature access through stochastic ternary queries. Both methods are complementary to upstream quantization, low-rank projection, KV-cache compression, and KV-cache selection methods. Together, they point toward sparse, multiplier-free, and energy-efficient inference. We open-source our kernels at: https://github.com/OPUSLab/SANTA.git

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

On the Generalization Properties of Selective State-Space Models for Filtering Tasks for Unknown Systems

Selective State-Space Models (SSMs) such as Mamba have emerged as an alternative architecture to self-attention based transformers in sequence modeling tasks. Recent works have demonstrated the use of transformers in some filtering and output prediction tasks via in-context learning. In this paper, we analyze whether structured SSMs can work equally well for filtering of unknown systems. In particular, we train the SSM on trajectory samples from a set of systems. At run-time, the SSM is given the outputs of an unknown system from the same set and is expected to predict the next output online. Theoretically, under appropriate assumptions, we derive generalization bounds as to why SSMs succeed in such tasks. Empirically, we demonstrate the performance via several numerical examples. We also discuss the advantages and disadvantages of SSMs versus transformers for this task.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2026

Learning to Correct: Calibrated Reinforcement Learning for Multi-Attempt Chain-of-Thought

State-of-the-art reasoning models utilize long chain-of-thought (CoT) to solve increasingly complex problems using more test-time computation. In this work, we explore a long CoT setting where the model makes up to K successive attempts at solving a problem, in which each attempt is allowed to build on earlier ones after the model receives a hard verifier feedback. This motivates RL methods that can harness per-attempt rewards by carefully weighting individual attempts. We study optimizing the Verification@K reward (the model succeeds by the K-th attempt) and show that naively weighing the attempts by their pass/fail results in biased gradients. We introduce Calibrated Attempt-Level (CAL) GRPO by devising a weighing strategy to obtain unbiased gradients while maintaining small variance. Our theory reveals how incorporating per-attempt rewards influence the training and the eventual Verification@K performance. Experiments, baselines, and ablations on synthetic and real data corroborate our theory and the benefits of CAL-GRPO over vanilla GRPO as well as naive weighting.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

In-Context Learning Under Regime Change

Non-stationary sequences arise naturally in control, forecasting, and decision-making. The data-generating process shifts at unknown times, and models must detect the change, discard or downweight obsolete evidence, and adapt to new dynamics on the fly. Transformer-based foundation models increasingly rely on in-context learning for time series forecasting, tabular prediction, and continuous control. As these models are deployed in non-stationary environments, understanding their ability to detect and adapt to regime shifts is important. We formalize this as an in-context change-point detection problem and formally establish the existence of transformer models that solve this problem. Our construction demonstrates that model complexity, in layers and parameters, depends on the level of information available about the change-point location, from no knowledge to knowing exact timing. We validate our results with experiments on synthetic linear regression and linear dynamical systems, where trained transformers match the performance of optimal baselines across information levels. We also show that encoding and incorporating changepoint knowledge indeed improves the real-world performance of a pretrained foundation models on infectious disease forecasting and on financial volatility forecasting around Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announcements without retraining, demonstrating practical applicability to real-world regime changes.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Enabling Intrinsic Reasoning over Dense Geospatial Embeddings with DFR-Gemma

Representation learning for geospatial and spatio-temporal data plays a critical role in enabling general-purpose geospatial intelligence. Recent geospatial foundation models, such as the Population Dynamics Foundation Model (PDFM), encode complex population and mobility dynamics into compact embeddings. However, their integration with Large Language Models (LLMs) remains limited. Existing approaches to LLM integration treat these embeddings as retrieval indices or convert them into textual descriptions for reasoning, introducing redundancy, token inefficiency, and numerical inaccuracies. We propose Direct Feature Reasoning-Gemma (DFR-Gemma), a novel framework that enables LLMs to reason directly over dense geospatial embeddings. DFR aligns high-dimensional embeddings with the latent space of an LLM via a lightweight projector, allowing embeddings to be injected as semantic tokens alongside natural language instructions. This design eliminates the need for intermediate textual representations and enables intrinsic reasoning over spatial features. To evaluate this paradigm, we introduce a multi-task geospatial benchmark that pairs embeddings with diverse question-answer tasks, including feature querying, comparison, and semantic description. Experimental results show that DFR allows LLMs to decode latent spatial patterns and perform accurate zero-shot reasoning across tasks, while significantly improving efficiency compared to text-based baselines. Our results demonstrate that treating embeddings as primary data inputs, provides a more direct, efficient, and scalable approach to multimodal geospatial intelligence.

cs.CL↗

arXiv2026

Learning to Bet for Horizon-Aware Anytime-Valid Testing

We develop horizon-aware anytime-valid tests and confidence sequences for bounded means under a strict deadline $N$. Using the betting/e-process framework, we cast horizon-aware betting as a finite-horizon optimal control problem with state space $(t, \log W_t)$, where $t$ is the time and $W_t$ is the test martingale value. We first show that in certain interior regions of the state space, policies that deviate significantly from Kelly betting are provably suboptimal, while Kelly betting reaches the threshold with high probability. We then identify sufficient conditions showing that outside this region, more aggressive betting than Kelly can be better if the bettor is behind schedule, and less aggressive can be better if the bettor is ahead. Taken together these results suggest a simple phase diagram in the $(t, \log W_t)$ plane, delineating regions where Kelly, fractional Kelly, and aggressive betting may be preferable. Guided by this phase diagram, we introduce a Deep Reinforcement Learning approach based on a universal Deep Q-Network (DQN) agent that learns a single policy from synthetic experience and maps simple statistics of past observations to bets across horizons and null values. In limited-horizon experiments, the learned DQN policy yields state-of-the-art results.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2026

Covariance-Aware Transformers for Quadratic Programming and Decision Making

We explore the use of transformers for solving quadratic programs and how this capability benefits decision-making problems that involve covariance matrices. We first show that the linear attention mechanism can provably solve unconstrained QPs by tokenizing the matrix variables (e.g.~$A$ of the objective $\frac{1}{2}x^\top Ax+b^\top x$) row-by-row and emulating gradient descent iterations. Furthermore, by incorporating MLPs, a transformer block can solve (i) $\ell_1$-penalized QPs by emulating iterative soft-thresholding and (ii) $\ell_1$-constrained QPs when equipped with an additional feedback loop. Our theory motivates us to introduce Time2Decide: a generic method that enhances a time series foundation model (TSFM) by explicitly feeding the covariance matrix between the variates. We empirically find that Time2Decide uniformly outperforms the base TSFM model for the classical portfolio optimization problem that admits an $\ell_1$-constrained QP formulation. Remarkably, Time2Decide also outperforms the classical "Predict-then-Optimize (PtO)" procedure, where we first forecast the returns and then explicitly solve a constrained QP, in suitable settings. Our results demonstrate that transformers benefit from explicit use of second-order statistics, and this can enable them to effectively solve complex decision-making problems, like portfolio construction, in one forward pass.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

SmartChunk Retrieval: Query-Aware Chunk Compression with Planning for Efficient Document RAG

Retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) has strong potential for producing accurate and factual outputs by combining language models (LMs) with evidence retrieved from large text corpora. However, current pipelines are limited by static chunking and flat retrieval: documents are split into short, predetermined, fixed-size chunks, embeddings are retrieved uniformly, and generation relies on whatever chunks are returned. This design brings challenges, as retrieval quality is highly sensitive to chunk size, often introduces noise from irrelevant or misleading chunks, and scales poorly to large corpora. We present SmartChunk retrieval, a query-adaptive framework for efficient and robust long-document question answering (QA). SmartChunk uses (i) a planner that predicts the optimal chunk abstraction level for each query, and (ii) a lightweight compression module that produces high-level chunk embeddings without repeated summarization. By adapting retrieval granularity on the fly, SmartChunk balances accuracy with efficiency and avoids the drawbacks of fixed strategies. Notably, our planner can reason about chunk abstractions through a novel reinforcement learning scheme, STITCH, which boosts accuracy and generalization. To reflect real-world applications, where users face diverse document types and query styles, we evaluate SmartChunk on five QA benchmarks plus one out-of-domain dataset. Across these evaluations, SmartChunk outperforms state-of-the-art RAG baselines, while reducing cost. Further analysis demonstrates strong scalability with larger corpora and consistent gains on out-of-domain datasets, highlighting its effectiveness as a general framework for adaptive retrieval.

cs.IR↗

arXiv2025

Mitigating Participation Imbalance Bias in Asynchronous Federated Learning

In Asynchronous Federated Learning (AFL), the central server immediately updates the global model with each arriving client's contribution. As a result, clients perform their local training on different model versions, causing information staleness (delay). In federated environments with non-IID local data distributions, this asynchronous pattern amplifies the adverse effect of client heterogeneity (due to different data distribution, local objectives, etc.), as faster clients contribute more frequent updates, biasing the global model. We term this phenomenon heterogeneity amplification. Our work provides a theoretical analysis that maps AFL design choices to their resulting error sources when heterogeneity amplification occurs. Guided by our analysis, we propose ACE (All-Client Engagement AFL), which mitigates participation imbalance through immediate, non-buffered updates that use the latest information available from all clients. We also introduce a delay-aware variant, ACED, to balance client diversity against update staleness. Experiments on different models for different tasks across diverse heterogeneity and delay settings validate our analysis and demonstrate the robust performance of our approaches.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

BREAD: Branched Rollouts from Expert Anchors Bridge SFT & RL for Reasoning

Small language models (SLMs) struggle to learn complex reasoning behaviors, especially when high-quality traces are scarce or difficult to learn from. The standard training approach combines a supervised fine-tuning (SFT) stage, often to distill capabilities of a larger model, followed by a reinforcement learning (RL)stage such as Group Relative Policy Optimization (GRPO). In this paper, we investigate the fundamental limitations of this SFT + RL paradigm and propose methods to overcome them. Under a suitable theoretical model, we demonstrate that the SFT + RL strategy can fail completely when (1) the expert's traces are too difficult for the small model to express, or (2) the small model's initialization has exponentially small likelihood of success. To address these, we introduce BREAD: a GRPO variant that unifies the SFT and RL stages via partial expert guidance and branched rollouts. When self-generated traces fail, BREAD adaptively inserts short expert prefixes/hints, allowing the small model to complete the rest of the reasoning path, and ensuring that each update includes at least one successful trace. This mechanism both densifies the reward signal and induces a natural learning curriculum. BREAD requires fewer than 40% of ground-truth traces, consistently outperforming standard GRPO while speeding up the training by about 3 times. Importantly, we demonstrate that BREAD helps the model solve problems that are otherwise unsolvable by the SFT + RL strategy, highlighting how branched rollouts and expert guidance can substantially boost SLM reasoning.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

When and How Unlabeled Data Provably Improve In-Context Learning

Recent research shows that in-context learning (ICL) can be effective even when demonstrations have missing or incorrect labels. To shed light on this capability, we examine a canonical setting where the demonstrations are drawn according to a binary Gaussian mixture model (GMM) and a certain fraction of the demonstrations have missing labels. We provide a comprehensive theoretical study to show that: (1) The loss landscape of one-layer linear attention models recover the optimal fully-supervised estimator but completely fail to exploit unlabeled data; (2) In contrast, multilayer or looped transformers can effectively leverage unlabeled data by implicitly constructing estimators of the form $\sum_{i\ge 0} a_i (X^\top X)^iX^\top y$ with $X$ and $y$ denoting features and partially-observed labels (with missing entries set to zero). We characterize the class of polynomials that can be expressed as a function of depth and draw connections to Expectation Maximization, an iterative pseudo-labeling algorithm commonly used in semi-supervised learning. Importantly, the leading polynomial power is exponential in depth, so mild amount of depth/looping suffices. As an application of theory, we propose looping off-the-shelf tabular foundation models to enhance their semi-supervision capabilities. Extensive evaluations on real-world datasets show that our method significantly improves the semisupervised tabular learning performance over the standard single pass inference.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

Extrapolation by Association: Length Generalization Transfer in Transformers

Transformer language models have demonstrated impressive generalization capabilities in natural language domains, yet we lack a fine-grained understanding of how such generalization arises. In this paper, we investigate length generalization--the ability to extrapolate from shorter to longer inputs--through the lens of \textit{task association}. We find that length generalization can be \textit{transferred} across related tasks. That is, training a model with a longer and related auxiliary task can lead it to generalize to unseen and longer inputs from some other target task. We demonstrate this length generalization transfer across diverse algorithmic tasks, including arithmetic operations, string transformations, and maze navigation. Our results show that transformer models can inherit generalization capabilities from similar tasks when trained jointly. Moreover, we observe similar transfer effects in pretrained language models, suggesting that pretraining equips models with reusable computational scaffolding that facilitates extrapolation in downstream settings. Finally, we provide initial mechanistic evidence that length generalization transfer correlates with the re-use of the same attention heads between the tasks. Together, our findings deepen our understanding of how transformers generalize to out-of-distribution inputs and highlight the compositional reuse of inductive structure across tasks.

cs.CL↗

arXiv2025

Continuous Chain of Thought Enables Parallel Exploration and Reasoning

Modern language models generate chain-of-thought traces by autoregressively sampling tokens from a finite vocabulary. While this discrete sampling has achieved remarkable success, conducting chain-of-thought with continuously-valued tokens (CoT2) offers a richer and more expressive alternative. Our work provides new theoretical guarantees and algorithms for CoT2, motivated by logical reasoning tasks that inherently require search capabilities. Theoretically, we establish how CoT2 facilitates the model to track multiple discrete traces in parallel; and quantify the level of achievable parallelism and its benefits for inference efficiency. We also provide a CoT2-based one-layer transformer construction that solves the combinatorial "subset sum problem" given a sufficient embedding dimension. These insights arise from a novel and effective supervision strategy where we match the language model outputs to the empirical token distributions of a set of target traces. Complementing this, we introduce sampling strategies that unlock policy optimization methods for CoT2. Our primary strategy samples and composes $K$ discrete tokens at each decoding step to control the level of parallelism. Experiments confirm that (i) the optimal level of parallelism is governed by the embedding dimension, (ii) our continuous supervision strategy can outperform alternative methods, and (iii) policy optimization with CoT2 indeed improves the performance of the model beyond its initial discrete or continuous supervision.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

Attention with Trained Embeddings Provably Selects Important Tokens

Token embeddings play a crucial role in language modeling but, despite this practical relevance, their theoretical understanding remains limited. Our paper addresses the gap by characterizing the structure of embeddings obtained via gradient descent. Specifically, we consider a one-layer softmax attention model with a linear head for binary classification, i.e., $\texttt{Softmax}( p^\top E_X^\top ) E_X v = \frac{ \sum_{i=1}^T \exp(p^\top E_{x_i}) E_{x_i}^\top v}{\sum_{j=1}^T \exp(p^\top E_{x_{j}}) }$, where $E_X = [ E_{x_1} , \dots, E_{x_T} ]^\top$ contains the embeddings of the input sequence, $p$ is the embedding of the $\mathrm{\langle cls \rangle}$ token and $v$ the output vector. First, we show that, already after a single step of gradient training with the logistic loss, the embeddings $E_X$ capture the importance of tokens in the dataset by aligning with the output vector $v$ proportionally to the frequency with which the corresponding tokens appear in the dataset. Then, after training $p$ via gradient flow until convergence, the softmax selects the important tokens in the sentence (i.e., those that are predictive of the label), and the resulting $\mathrm{\langle cls \rangle}$ embedding maximizes the margin for such a selection. Experiments on real-world datasets (IMDB, Yelp) exhibit a phenomenology close to that unveiled by our theory.

cs.LG↗