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Satoshi Kuriki

Publications and source records attributed to Satoshi Kuriki.

At least 37 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

Dependence Properties of B-Spline Copulas

We construct by using B-spline functions a class of copulas that includes the Bernstein copulas arising in Baker's distributions. The range of correlation of the B-spline copulas is examined, and the Frechet--Hoeffding upper bound is proved to be attained when the number of B-spline functions goes to infinity. As the B-spline functions are well-known to be an order-complete weak Tchebycheff system from which the property of total positivity of any order follows for the maximum correlation case, the results given here extend classical results for the Bernstein copulas. In addition, we derive in terms of the Stirling numbers of the second kind an explicit formula for the moments of the related B-spline functions for nonnegative real numbers.

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The Bivariate Lack-of-Memory Distributions

We treat all the bivariate lack-of-memory (BLM) distributions in a unified approach and develop some new general properties of the BLM distributions, including joint moment generating function, product moments and dependence structure. Necessary and sufficient conditions for the survival functions of BLM distributions to be totally positive of order two are given. Some previous results about specific BLM distributions are improved. In particular, we show that both the Marshall--Olkin survival copula and survival function are totally positive of all orders, regardless of parameters. Besides, we point out that Slepian's inequality also holds true for BLM distributions.

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Simultaneous confidence bands for contrasts between several nonlinear regression curves

We propose simultaneous confidence bands of the hyperbolic-type for the contrasts between several nonlinear (curvilinear) regression curves. The critical value of a confidence band is determined from the distribution of the maximum of a chi-square random process defined on the domain of explanatory variables. We use the volume-of-tube method to derive an upper tail probability formula of the maximum of a chi-square random process, which is asymptotically exact and sufficiently accurate in commonly used tail regions. Moreover, we prove that the formula obtained is equivalent to the expectation of the Euler-Poincare characteristic of the excursion set of the chi-square random process, and hence conservative. This result is therefore a generalization of Naiman's inequality for Gaussian random processes. As an illustrative example, growth curves of consomic mice are analyzed.

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Use of spurious correlation for multiplicity adjustment

We consider one of the most basic multiple testing problems that compares expectations of multivariate data among several groups. As a test statistic, a conventional (approximate) $t$-statistic is considered, and we determine its rejection region using a common rejection limit. When there are unknown correlations among test statistics, the multiplicity adjusted $p$-values are dependent on the unknown correlations. They are usually replaced with their estimates that are always consistent under any hypothesis. In this paper, we propose the use of estimates, which are not necessarily consistent and are referred to as spurious correlations, in order to improve statistical power. Through simulation studies, we verify that the proposed method asymptotically controls the family-wise error rate and clearly provides higher statistical power than existing methods. In addition, the proposed and existing methods are applied to a real multiple testing problem that compares quantitative traits among groups of mice and the results are compared.

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Exact ZF Analysis and Computer-Algebra-Aided Evaluation in Rank-1 LoS Rician Fading

We study zero-forcing detection (ZF) for multiple-input/multiple-output (MIMO) spatial multiplexing under transmit-correlated Rician fading for an N_R X N_T channel matrix with rank-1 line-of-sight (LoS) component. By using matrix transformations and multivariate statistics, our exact analysis yields the signal-to-noise ratio moment generating function (m.g.f.) as an infinite series of gamma distribution m.g.f.'s and analogous series for ZF performance measures, e.g., outage probability and ergodic capacity. However, their numerical convergence is inherently problematic with increasing Rician K-factor, N_R , and N_T. We circumvent this limitation as follows. First, we derive differential equations satisfied by the performance measures with a novel automated approach employing a computer-algebra tool which implements Groebner basis computation and creative telescoping. These differential equations are then solved with the holonomic gradient method (HGM) from initial conditions computed with the infinite series. We demonstrate that HGM yields more reliable performance evaluation than by infinite series alone and more expeditious than by simulation, for realistic values of K , and even for N_R and N_T relevant to large MIMO systems. We envision extending the proposed approaches for exact analysis and reliable evaluation to more general Rician fading and other transceiver methods.

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$A$-Hypergeometric Distributions and Newton Polytopes

We give a bijection between a quotient space of the parameters and the space of moments for any $A$-hypergeometric distribution. An algorithmic method to compute the inverse image of the map is proposed utilizing the holonomic gradient method and an asymptotic equivalence of the map and the iterative proportional scaling. The algorithm gives a method to solve a conditional maximum likelihood estimation problem in statistics. Our interplay between the theory of hypergeometric functions and statistics gives some new formulas of $A$-hypergeometric polynomials.

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Recursive computation for evaluating the exact $p$-values of temporal and spatial scan statistics

Let $V$ be a finite set of indices, and let $B_i$, $i=1,\ldots,m$, be subsets of $V$ such that $V=\bigcup_{i=1}^{m}B_i$. Let $X_i$, $i\in V$, be independent random variables, and let $X_{B_i}=(X_j)_{j\in B_i}$. In this paper, we propose a recursive computation method to calculate the conditional expectation $E\bigl[\prod_{i=1}^mχ_i(X_{B_i}) \,|\, N\bigr]$ with $N=\sum_{i\in V}X_i$ given, where $χ_i$ is an arbitrary function. Our method is based on the recursive summation/integration technique using the Markov property in statistics. To extract the Markov property, we define an undirected graph whose cliques are $B_j$, and obtain its chordal extension, from which we present the expressions of the recursive formula. This methodology works for a class of distributions including the Poisson distribution (that is, the conditional distribution is the multinomial). This problem is motivated from the evaluation of the multiplicity-adjusted $p$-value of scan statistics in spatial epidemiology. As an illustration of the approach, we present the real data analyses to detect temporal and spatial clustering.

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MIMO Zero-Forcing Performance Evaluation Using the Holonomic Gradient Method

For multiple-input multiple-output (MIMO) spatial-multiplexing transmission, zero-forcing detection (ZF) is appealing because of its low complexity. Our recent MIMO ZF performance analysis for Rician--Rayleigh fading, which is relevant in heterogeneous networks, has yielded for the ZF outage probability and ergodic capacity infinite-series expressions. Because they arose from expanding the confluent hypergeometric function $ {_1\! F_1} (\cdot, \cdot, σ) $ around 0, they do not converge numerically at realistically-high Rician $ K $-factor values. Therefore, herein, we seek to take advantage of the fact that $ {_1\! F_1} (\cdot, \cdot, σ) $ satisfies a differential equation, i.e., it is a \textit{holonomic} function. Holonomic functions can be computed by the \textit{holonomic gradient method} (HGM), i.e., by numerically solving the satisfied differential equation. Thus, we first reveal that the moment generating function (m.g.f.) and probability density function (p.d.f.) of the ZF signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) are holonomic. Then, from the differential equation for $ {_1\! F_1} (\cdot, \cdot, σ) $, we deduce those satisfied by the SNR m.g.f. and p.d.f., and demonstrate that the HGM helps compute the p.d.f. accurately at practically-relevant values of $ K $. Finally, numerical integration of the SNR p.d.f. produced by HGM yields accurate ZF outage probability and ergodic capacity results.

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Schur Complement Based Analysis of MIMO Zero-Forcing for Rician Fading

For multiple-input/multiple-output (MIMO) spatial multiplexing with zero-forcing detection (ZF), signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) analysis for Rician fading involves the cumbersome noncentral-Wishart distribution (NCWD) of the transmit sample-correlation (Gramian) matrix. An \textsl{approximation} with a \textsl{virtual} CWD previously yielded for the ZF SNR an approximate (virtual) Gamma distribution. However, analytical conditions qualifying the accuracy of the SNR-distribution approximation were unknown. Therefore, we have been attempting to exactly characterize ZF SNR for Rician fading. Our previous attempts succeeded only for the sole Rician-fading stream under Rician--Rayleigh fading, by writing it as scalar Schur complement (SC) in the Gramian. Herein, we pursue a more general, matrix-SC-based analysis to characterize SNRs when several streams may undergo Rician fading. On one hand, for full-Rician fading, the SC distribution is found to be exactly a CWD if and only if a channel-mean--correlation \textsl{condition} holds. Interestingly, this CWD then coincides with the \textsl{virtual} CWD ensuing from the \textsl{approximation}. Thus, under the \textsl{condition}, the actual and virtual SNR-distributions coincide. On the other hand, for Rician--Rayleigh fading, the matrix-SC distribution is characterized in terms of determinant of matrix with elementary-function entries, which also yields a new characterization of the ZF SNR. Average error probability results validate our analysis vs.~simulation.

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EM algorithms for estimating the Bernstein copula

A method that uses order statistics to construct multivariate distributions with fixed marginals and which utilizes a representation of the Bernstein copula in terms of a finite mixture distribution is proposed. Expectation-maximization (EM) algorithms to estimate the Bernstein copula are proposed, and a local convergence property is proved. Moreover, asymptotic properties of the proposed semiparametric estimators are provided. Illustrative examples are presented using three real data sets and a 3-dimensional simulated data set. These studies show that the Bernstein copula is able to represent various distributions flexibly and that the proposed EM algorithms work well for such data.

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Exact MIMO Zero-Forcing Detection Analysis for Transmit-Correlated Rician Fading

We analyze the performance of multiple input/multiple output (MIMO) communications systems employing spatial multiplexing and zero-forcing detection (ZF). The distribution of the ZF signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) is characterized when either the intended stream or interfering streams experience Rician fading, and when the fading may be correlated on the transmit side. Previously, exact ZF analysis based on a well-known SNR expression has been hindered by the noncentrality of the Wishart distribution involved. In addition, approximation with a central-Wishart distribution has not proved consistently accurate. In contrast, the following exact ZF study proceeds from a lesser-known SNR expression that separates the intended and interfering channel-gain vectors. By first conditioning on, and then averaging over the interference, the ZF SNR distribution for Rician-Rayleigh fading is shown to be an infinite linear combination of gamma distributions. On the other hand, for Rayleigh-Rician fading, the ZF SNR is shown to be gamma-distributed. Based on the SNR distribution, we derive new series expressions for the ZF average error probability, outage probability, and ergodic capacity. Numerical results confirm the accuracy of our new expressions, and reveal effects of interference and channel statistics on performance.

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Approximate tail probabilities of the maximum of a chi-square field on multi-dimensional lattice points and their applications to detection of loci interactions

Define a chi-square random field on a multi-dimensional lattice points index set with a direct-product covariance structure, and consider the distribution of the maximum of this random field. We provide two approximate formulas for the upper tail probability of the distribution based on nonlinear renewal theory and an integral-geometric approach called the volume-of-tube method. This study is motivated by the detection problem of the interactive loci pairs which play an important role in forming biological species. The joint distribution of scan statistics for detecting the pairs is regarded as the chi-square random field above, and hence the multiplicity-adjusted $p$-value can be calculated by using the proposed approximate formulas. By using these formulas, we examine the data of Mizuta, et al. (2010) who reported a new interactive loci pair of rice inter-subspecies.

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Likelihood ratio tests for positivity in polynomial regressions

A polynomial that is nonnegative over a given interval is called a positive polynomial. The set of such positive polynomials forms a closed convex cone $K$. In this paper, we consider the likelihood ratio test for the hypothesis of positivity that the estimand polynomial regression curve is a positive polynomial. By considering hierarchical hypotheses including the hypothesis of positivity, we define nested likelihood ratio tests, and derive their null distributions as mixtures of chi-square distributions by using the volume-of-tubes method. The mixing probabilities are obtained by utilizing the parameterizations for the cone $K$ and its dual provided in the framework of Tchebycheff systems for polynomials of degree at most 4. For polynomials of degree greater than 4, the upper and lower bounds for the null distributions are provided. Moreover, we propose associated simultaneous confidence bounds for polynomial regression curves. Regarding computation, we demonstrate that symmetric cone programming is useful to obtain the test statistics. As an illustrative example, we conduct data analysis on growth curves of two groups. We examine the hypothesis that the growth rate (the derivative of growth curve) of one group is always higher than the other.

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Abstract tubes associated with perturbed polyhedra with applications to multidimensional normal probability computations

Let $K$ be a closed convex polyhedron defined by a finite number of linear inequalities. In this paper we refine the theory of abstract tubes (Naiman and Wynn, 1997) associated with $K$ when $K$ is perturbed. In particular, we focus on the perturbation that is lexicographic and in an outer direction. An algorithm for constructing the abstract tube by means of linear programming and its implementation are discussed. Using the abstract tube for perturbed $K$ combined with the recursive integration technique proposed by Miwa, Hayter and Kuriki (2003), we show that the multidimensional normal probability for a polyhedral region $K$ can be computed efficiently. In addition, abstract tubes and the distribution functions of studentized range statistics are exhibited as numerical examples.

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Distributions of the largest singular values of skew-symmetric random matrices and their applications to paired comparisons

Let $A$ be a real skew-symmetric Gaussian random matrix whose upper triangular elements are independently distributed according to the standard normal distribution. We provide the distribution of the largest singular value $σ_1$ of $A$. Moreover, by acknowledging the fact that the largest singular value can be regarded as the maximum of a Gaussian field, we deduce the distribution of the standardized largest singular value $σ_1/\sqrt{\mathrm{tr}(A'A)/2}$. These distributional results are utilized in Scheffé's paired comparisons model. We propose tests for the hypothesis of subtractivity based on the largest singular value of the skew-symmetric residual matrix. Professional baseball league data are analyzed as an illustrative example.

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Graph presentations for moments of noncentral Wishart distributions and their applications

We provide formulas for the moments of the real and complex noncentral Wishart distributions of general degrees. The obtained formulas for the real and complex cases are described in terms of the undirected and directed graphs, respectively. By considering degenerate cases, we give explicit formulas for the moments of bivariate chi-square distributions and $2\times 2$ Wishart distributions by enumerating the graphs. Noting that the Laguerre polynomials can be considered to be moments of a noncentral chi-square distributions formally, we demonstrate a combinatorial interpretation of the coefficients of the Laguerre polynomials.

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The tube method for the moment index in projection pursuit

The projection pursuit index defined by a sum of squares of the third and the fourth sample cumulants is known as the moment index proposed by Jones and Sibson. Limiting distribution of the maximum of the moment index under the null hypothesis that the population is multivariate normal is shown to be the maximum of a Gaussian random field with a finite Karhunen-Loeve expansion. An approximate formula for tail probability of the maximum, which corresponds to the p-value, is given by virtue of the tube method through determining Weyl's invariants of all degrees and the critical radius of the index manifold of the Gaussian random field.

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